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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 03 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Stocks closed lower Friday, ending the third quarter on a downbeat note as investors fretted about the path ahead for earnings, interest rates and global economic growth. All three indexes are down at least 21% for the year. The S&P 500, Nasdaq and small-cap Russell 2000 are now all on three-quarter losing streaks for the first time since 2009. - Eric Wallerstein and David Marino-Nachison, "Stocks Close Lower Friday; S&P 500 Down for Third Straight Quarter", Wall Street Journal online, September 30, 2022.

Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard on Friday underscored the need to bring down inflation, saying the central bank is "committed to avoiding pulling back prematurely" on restrictive monetary policy. Sarah Min, "Dow Tumbles 500 Points to End September Down Nearly 9%", www.cnbc.com, September 30, 2022.

With six planets retrograde, we will see about that (quote above).

It's been a rough Mercury retrograde cycle (September 10-October 2). From a geocosmic perspective, that's because it coincided with the most potent celestial pattern of the year involving Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus, all in "hard" aspects to one another.

First, we are now completing the fourth and last passage of the 45-year Saturn/Uranus waning square cycle, a combination that has coincided with widespread supply chain disruptions and a major contributor to the highest inflation numbers in 40 years. It is also coinciding with world chaos as major economic systems and financial markets are breaking down and fears (Saturn) of a third World War are increasing. The Dollar is soaring as the Fed sharply increases interest rates to fight inflation, and other currencies, like the British Pound, Euro, and Yen are collapsing to a new decade and even record lows. At the same time, Russia's Putin is attempting to annex parts of Ukraine while threatening a nuclear strike if western powers interfere with his sham elections. Did the people who were displaced from these territories get a vote ?.

Second, Jupiter made a double semi-square (hard aspect) to both Saturn and Uranus in the past ten days. Uranus has the power to break support (or resistance), which is the domain of Saturn, and Jupiter does everything in a "big " way. So, many stock markets broke to new yearly lows last week, U.S. Treasuries broke to their lowest level since November 2007, and the British Pound to its lowest level . ever.

Third, Mercury has been retrograde for the past three weeks. The last "high" was the half-primary cycle crest of September 12 at 32,504 in the DJIA, the first trading day after it turned retrograde. On Friday, September 30, the last trading day before it turns direct, DJIA was down to 28,715, a loss of nearly 4000 points in less than 3 weeks. When a market makes a cycle high near the time Mercury, Venus, or Mars turn retrograde, it will often make its cycle low near the time it turns direct. This is probably the only study offering some hope at the moment for bulls. However, that is exactly the psychological climate when markets do reverse. That is, when investor sentiment (collective psychology) is most bearish is often near the time when rallies begin. And now that Mercury is turning direct and Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus are breaking up their difficult aspect formation with one another, there is a cosmic reason to think a bottom of some importance is close at hand.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

"Victimization fits laziness like a glove... (as) Victimhood becomes a currency". - Vivek Ramaswamy , "The Victimhood Olympics", from "Real Time with Bill Maher", HBO, September 23, 2022.

Importantly, there was this (from John F. Kennedy during the Cuban Missile Crisis with Russia): "Above all, while defending our own vital interests, nuclear powers must avert those confrontations which bring an adversary to a choice of either a humiliating retreat or a nuclear war". Choosing that path would be evidence of a "collective death-wish for the world". Kennedy's insight that nuclear weapons changed the facts of human history was shared by Ronald Reagan. Like Kennedy, he respected Russia's nuclear arsenal. Reagan said, privately and publicly, that "a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought". - Peggy Noonan, "Enduring Lessons of the Cuban Missile Crisis", Wall Street Journal, October 1-2, 2022.

If we were analyzing or trading the stock market purely on geocosmic studies, we would consider buying now, for this current cosmic setup exemplifies the basic principle of market timing using geocosmics. That is, the middle of the heaviest planetary transits (aspects or stations) is when markets most often reverse their trends. That is happening now (September 21-September 28 +/- 1 week). There are two exceptions to this basic principle, however: Mercury retrograde and strong aspects involving Uranus. Instead of reversals, Uranus can coincide with breakouts that tend to be extreme and last approximately 4-8 trading days after they are exact. With Mercury retrograde, you often get a day or two of rallies and it will appear the trend has changed, only to see the Trickster violating those signals in what is known as fake outs. This is why we do not advise position trading during Mercury retrograde, a rule that served us well during the last three weeks (although our very short-term trading strategies worked out very well).

This Trickster behavior can continue as long as five days after Mercury turns retrograde. Thus, even though the actual bottom might be happening right now in many markets, it is also possible this instability and erraticism could last another week. But even then, a respite might be short-lived, for on October 23, Saturn will turn direct and on October 30, Mars will turn retrograde. It's like a broken automobile that gets repaired and then breaks down again until you actually solve the cause of the breakdown, which might involve having to replace the part or system altogether.

We recently posted to Twitter, "If you can't stand the wind, go inside and close the door until the storm passes". In real terms, the wind was more than just a wind this time. It was a hurricane, and in other tweets we discussed this September 21-28 period +/- 1 week as a "cosmic and mundane hurricane", too. Hurricane Ian has been that and more. Going inside and closing your doors would not have helped in this case. You needed to evacuate. Closing your positions and standing aside (which was the market message for traders) would have helped for many. But many people in the line of Hurricane Ian have lost their homes, which is a real tragedy. Unfortunately, this tragedy also fits the nature of Uranus (high winds) being squared by Saturn (loss) and semi-squared by Jupiter (excessive).

Regarding mundane threats to world peace, there are two things I would like to bring up. First, Mars will turn retrograde on October 30 at 25° 36' Gemini. It will form a square to transiting Neptune in Pisces three times, between 23-25°of Gemini and Pisces, October 12, 2022-March 15, 2023. Iran's natal chart has Mars at 25°31' Pisces, square to Neptune at 20° 28' Sagittarius. The U.S. has Mars at 19° 51' Gemini and Neptune at 22° 22' Virgo. In other words, there is a grand mutable square between Mars/Neptune in the charts of both nations over the next five months, and during the time that Mars will be retrograde (October 30, 2022-January 12, 2023) and touching off these aspects in the U.S. and Iranian charts.

Iran is undergoing major protests, which could threaten (and even succeed) in dismantling the current regime. The U.S. could be drawn into this. At the same time, it is on the brink of a possible nuclear event ignited by Russia. Russia has just escalated its conflict with Ukraine as Mars is about to turn retrograde, and in fact while six planets are retrograde right now. In previous columns going back to spring, we had discussed how the tide could likely turn in favor of Ukraine based on these retrogrades (especially Mars) as well as the 1/8 semi-square cycle of Jupiter to Saturn. And here we are. Russia is escalating again as the next important signature approaches : Mars retrograde. This is our second point, which we describe once again: Mars retrograde is the time when the aggressor is usually the loser.

The good news is that this can all end in the spring, when the final Jupiter/Saturn semi-square takes place on March 21, and Jupiter will then proceed to its favorable sextile with Saturn on June 19. Spring cannot come fast enough. We need to be strong and not lazy until then while Mars is retrograde. Our leaders need to be, too. Venus just entered Libra on September 29, where it will remain until October 23. This can be favorable for compromises. It may also be favorable for equity markets, although Silver tends to decline during that time. Rather than seeing yourself as a victim in this unstable time, see it as an opportunity. For instance, if other studies show a tradeable low is forming in Silver and/or Crude Oil, consider it. These two markets are highlighted the next three weeks.

Stay strong. Be conscious of your health and stay warm as winter approaches and Mars squares Neptune, which relates to the immune system and blood cells (red and white). Reach out and help those in need (Mars/Neptune), but do not let yourself become a victim to those who are lazy and prey on "woe-is-me" themes of victimization and exhibit passive-aggressive behaviors (other expressions of Mars/Neptune).

Longer-Term thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : FORECAST 2023 SPECIAL OFFERS are now underway ! Written by Raymond Merriman, the preliminary outlook is that 2023 will be another very important year with Pluto starting its 20-year transit through Aquarius. Although 2022 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2022 book have already unfolded. For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

This Annual Forecast Pre-Order Event will run through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book, print and eBook, and  MMA Subscription Reports. You may pre-order Forecast 2023 at the discounted rate of $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription reports is offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2023.

After the pre-order event ends, the price for Forecast 2023 will increase to $55 on November 1st. We have worked very hard to keep our Forecast price the same for the past 10 years- no price increase due to inflation (yet)!

Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2023 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

             Note 2 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.

We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.

The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :

1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35

For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.

             Note 3 : New - The issue of the new MMA ETF Monthly Cycles Report was released last week ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce.

This report covers SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. For an overview from Gianni about what this new monthly report will cover, check out his newest ETF Episode on Merriman Market Analyst's YouTube Channel.

             Note 4 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the month issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report (which featured a special long-term update on Gold), sign up online and select the subscription option : Month Issue One Time Payment + Addendum for only $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report, Special Long-Term Gold Update, and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week.

             Note 5 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.

             Note 6 : RECORDINGS ARE NOW AVAILABLE!!! THE MMA TRADING AND INVESTMENT RETREAT took place September 9-11, 2022. This special 3-day event featured long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term analyses of several financial markets, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Euro, Dollar/Yen T-Notes, and Crude Oil, plus other fascinating reports on the IBEX and Web 3. It also went into depth with the MMA trading plan - how to use the daily and weekly report data points - and how we assess each market and determine the trading strategy for each day based on MMA's cycles analysis, geocosmic studies, solar/lunar studies, combined with chart patterns, price targets, and technical studies. Raymond Merriman and Gianni di Poce led these presentations, with special appearances by MMTA graduates Pouyan Zolfagarnia, Eleonore Charrez, Ali Atlas, and Rita Perea on Silver, the IBEX and Web 3. If you are a short-term trader or an investor interested in the longer- and intermediate-term outlook, this is a special event that provides great value to planning for your financial future! For information and ordering click here. Or drop us an email at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 7 : RAY MERRIMAN TRADING UDOW AT THE MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT! One of the highlights of the recent MMA Investment and Trading Retreat was Ray Merriman giving a live demonstration of day trading in the triple leveraged Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF or the UDOW, using the technical and price objective theories taught at MMTA when in the time band for cycle or solar/lunar reversal, using 30- and 1-minute charts. As a learning day trader or anyone applying these methods, this video is not to be missed! To view this video, click here.

             Note 8 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.

The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.

The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).

Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35 !.

             Note 9 : I will be celebrating my solar return this December in Kauai, Hawaii. If any of our readers who live there (or might be visiting there) would be interested in joining me for dinner one night, please contact me (Ray Merriman) at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary addendum and mid-term report of MMA Cycles, written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia, two weeks later.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             September 9-11, 2022 :

             A.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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