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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 24 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The Dow ended up more than 700 points as stocks rose sharply Friday, with investors weighing the possibility of a slower pace of rate increases. All three major indexes gained during the week, with the Dow notching its third straight week of gains. - www.wsj.com, October 21, 2022.

Yesterday's US jobless claims decline kept bond yields elevated. US Federal Reserve Chair Powell's poor communication does not help-markets are not sure whether the Fed wants to squeeze workers or profits to reduce inflation (the latter would be more appropriate), creating unnecessary sensitivity to data releases. - Dr. Paul Donovan, "Moving On", UBD Morning Audio Comment, October 21, 2022.

The week started off with a grand air trine between Sun/Venus in Libra to Mars in Gemini and Saturn in Aquarius, October 12-19. The most recent lows in several global stock indices were at the beginning of the period, on October 13, which also sported the Mars/Neptune square on the same day. The stock market plunged immediately after the CPI report was announced that day, then started a sharp rally that has continued through last week. The DJIA ended up over 700 points on Friday for its best weekly gain since June.

However, the gains and new multi-month highs were not even across the board. In Europe, the SMI and DAX made new 5-week highs on October 18 during the grand trine, on Tuesday, October 18. The FTSE and AEX did not make new 5-week highs.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, only India's Nifty index made a new multi-week high on Friday. The SSE (Shanghai Stock Composite Index) had a modest rally to a weekly high on October 19 and both the Japan Nikkei and Australian ASX made secondary highs on October 19 (but lower than the highs of October 6). The Hang Seng in Hong Kong, on the other hand, fell to its lowest level since May 2009 on Thursday, October 20.

In the Americas, Brazil's Bovespa index soared to its highest mark since April, while the DJIA's high on Friday was its best level since September 15. The S&P and NASDAQ, on the other hand, were well below their recent highs of October 6. The bottom line is that there is still plenty of intermarket bearish divergence throughout the various regions of the world, which is not a convincing sign that the bear market has ended, even if the Fed does announce it will slow down the pace of interest rate increases.

Bullish divergence was also observable in the precious metals markets. On Friday, October 21, Gold fell to its lowest level since April 2020. But Silver remained well above its recent low of $18.01 the prior week. By Friday's close Gold was up nearly $40 off that low and Silver was back above $19.00.

What caused these rallies? First, earnings reports were still fairly strong. Second, there is a rumor (did we say Mars will square Neptune for the next several weeks ?) that the Fed will start pulling back from its rate increases. Third, the Bank of Japan intervened in the support of the Yen again on Friday, bringing the Dollar sharply lower against the Yen. Metals and stocks like the idea of a weaker Dollar. So do multi-national American corporations who find it difficult to sell their goods abroad at such unfavorable exchange rates. A lower dollar will help their exports.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

The standard explanation for Truss's bad few weeks doesn't hold up. The real reason is far scarier. If the accepted General Theory of Trussonomics doesn't hold up, try this : The markets' beef with Trussonomics was that it might have worked. - Joseph C. Sternberg, "The U.K. Market Meltdown Could be Headed Your Way", Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2022.

The United Kingdom would like to make clear that the last two weeks were an elaborate publicity stunt to advertise an upcoming Mr. Bean movie. No notice should be taken. Financial markets have reduced the competence risk premium and can now ignore UK politics-unless former UK PM Johnson re-emerges, in which case the market may reconsider the risk premia. Dr. Paul Donovan, "Moving On", UBD Morning Audio Comment, October 21, 2022.

The cosmic fireworks are not over. This weekend finds Saturn ending its retrograde motion, and stations involving Saturn usually have a dour message. Saturn rules loss, among other things, and often a failure or delay to accomplish one's goals, especially in government. The short reign of U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss, brought about by her effort to enact a modest tax cut package over five years to stimulate the economy, is a prime example of both Saturn turning direct (loss) as well as Mars square Neptune (rumors and scapegoating). In the article by Joseph Steinberg quoted above, he goes on to note, "Then there's the question of how one gets from a bond selloff to a central-bank bailout for pension funds, of all things. Britain's defined-benefit pension managers certainly have gotten caught out by the near-catastrophic failure of a hedging strategy designed to sustain them through long periods of ultralow interest rates". How convenient to deflect the blame for that lack of fiduciary responsibility onto Truss. That lack of oversight by the pension fund managers likely had more to do with the collapse of the U.K.'s financial stability than the policies of the new Prime Minister. Truss was the classical Neptune victim of macho Mars taking full and aggressive control of the narrative. We may be seeing more of that David and Goliath mismatch when Mars turns retrograde next weekend, October 30, a cosmic setup where the aggressor ends up losing. In other words, the truth may start to come out as to why Britain's financial system nearly collapsed, and the fingers may not be pointing so much at Truss, the scapegoat (or Mr. Bean).

Saturn turning direct is a powerful Level 2 geocosmic signature when given an orb of 9 trading days. It has a high correlation to primary cycles in stock indices and may have correlated with a primary cycle trough in many stock indices on October 13, which was six trading days before this station. That too might explain why the stock market was strong last week, for the early stages of all primary cycles are more bullish than bearish. Even in bear markets they can exhibit strong rallies for 2-5 weeks.

In other geocosmic news, the Sun and Venus will leave Libra for Scorpio this weekend too. Venus in Libra is one of the planet-sign combinations we have identified as corresponding to important lows in metals and rallies in stocks. It appears to have worked again. Now advancing into Scorpio on October 23, the attention will likely shift to debt and taxes, and off of Mr. Bean's wild ride in the U.K.

Later in the week, Jupiter will retrograde back into Pisces, October 28-December 20. You may remember it was Jupiter in Pisces early this year that brought us the hit show, "The Return of Inflation", which made box office records that producers were completely unprepared for. Inflation's not over, and neither is the tendency to misjudge when it will be. But that won't stop banking leaders and others from making statements (even predictions) as if they know this time. It's going to one of those periods where you may want to sell the rumor and buy the fact, except facts are in short supply compared to rumors with Mars retrograde square Neptune (rumors), and Jupiter on its way back to almost joining Neptune in Pisces (big rumors, even whoppers) through the end of this year. Crude Oil and metals may like that. Those with a sense of humor might too.

And by the way, I do think the rate of inflation will come down in 2023 and the Fed will regain control over price stability for a couple of years before their next misjudgment, which I will cover in the Forecast 2023 Book. This would be a good time to order next week's book as the special pre-publication sale ends October 31 (see Announcements below).

Longer-Term thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : One more week FORECAST 2023 SPECIAL OFFERS are now underway ! Written by Raymond Merriman, the preliminary outlook is that 2023 will be another very important year with Pluto starting its 20-year transit through Aquarius. Although 2022 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2022 book have already unfolded. For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

This Annual Forecast Pre-Order Event will run through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book, print and eBook, and  MMA Subscription Reports. You may pre-order Forecast 2023 at the discounted rate of $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription reports is offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2023.

Please not that after the pre-sale period ends, the price for Forecast 2023 will increase to $66 on November 1st and not $55 as originally intended. The cost of paper, printing, and distribution has gone up so much in the past few weeks that we have to make adjustments. Nevertheless, we will still honor our current pre-publication discount rate for $45. And the price for the eBook edition will remain at $55.00 after October 31. Thus, if you wish a printed edition of this year's Forecast Book, it is best to order now, before October 31, and save $21.00.

Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2023 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

             Note 2 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.

We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.

The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :

1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35

For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.

             Note 3 : New - The issue of the MMA ETF Report was released last week ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce.

This report covers SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. For an overview from Gianni about what this new monthly report will cover, check out his newest ETF Episode on Merriman Market Analyst's YouTube Channel.

             Note 4 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the month issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report (which featured a special long-term update on Gold), sign up online and select the subscription option : Month Issue One Time Payment + Addendum for only $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report, Special Long-Term Gold Update, and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week.

             Note 5 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.

             Note 6 : ANNOUNCING THE NEW MMA CYCLES GRAIN REPORT ! It's coming in late January 2023. Edited by top MMTA graduate Wyatt Fellows, this report will provide excellent cyclical and geocosmic analysis on Soybeans, Corn, Wheat, and Cotton. Wyatt owns and operates a large farm in Wisconsin and has a deep understanding of the cycles and fundamentals connected with grain markets. This is a report that all farmers, people connected with the grain business, and traders will want to have access to. We have sent out two Cotton studies by Wyatt so far and the response has been excellent. We will be sending a free sample of this new grain report before January, at which time you will be able to sign up and subscribe to this report if you wish for a special introductory rate. Stay tuned !.

             Note 7 : RAY MERRIMAN TRADING UDOW AT THE MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT! One of the highlights of the recent MMA Investment and Trading Retreat was Ray Merriman giving a live demonstration of day trading in the triple leveraged Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF or the UDOW, using the technical and price objective theories taught at MMTA when in the time band for cycle or solar/lunar reversal, using 30- and 1-minute charts. As a learning day trader or anyone applying these methods, this video is not to be missed! To view this video, click here.

             Note 8 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.

The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.

The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).

Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35 !.

             Note 9 : I will be celebrating my solar return this December in Kauai, Hawaii. If any of our readers who live there (or might be visiting there) would be interested in joining me for dinner one night, please contact me (Ray Merriman) at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary addendum and mid-term report of MMA Cycles, written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia, two weeks later.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             January 6 2023 : MMA CHINA WEBINAR FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR! Financial markets review for the China SSE stock index, Gold, Crude Oil, and now DJIA and Bitcoin: Details and registration will be announced soon.

             February 19, 2023 : ANNUAL MMA FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR with Ray Merriman. Details and registration will be announced soon.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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