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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 7 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Employers added 261,000 nonfarm jobs, more than expected and in line with the previous month's 263,000. The unemployment rate edged higher to 3.7%, up from 3.5% in September. Hourly pay remained brisk rising at 4.7% year over year, matching September. - "October's Jobs Report Solid, Making Fed's Inflation Fight Harder", www.foxbusiness.com, November 4, 2022.

"Since 1942, there have been 20 midterm elections. US stocks climbed higher in the next 12 months after every single one". ­- Stephen McBride, Risk-Hedge Report, "Should You Sell Your Stocks Ahead of Tuesday's Big Election?" www.riskhedge.com, November 3, 2022.

We are back to the state of five retrograde planets following the turn of Mars on October 31. This, on top of the potent T-square between the Sun/Venus in Scorpio opposing Uranus in Taurus and square Saturn in Aquarius, November 5-11, now in its orb of influence. And this is in addition to the lunar eclipse on November 8, right in the middle of the T-square, and also the date of the U.S. mid-term elections. The good news is that the geocosmic hurricane/tsunami season for financial markets (and geopolitics) ends after that.

For now, financial markets are starting off every bit as wild as these cosmic signatures suggested they would. On Wednesday, the DJIA reached 33,071, its highest level since August 26 and up over 4400 points since its yearly low of three weeks ago. By the next day, Thursday, November 3, it had dropped to 31,727, a swing of 1344 points in one day. The next day, Friday, it was back up over 400 points. It makes one wonder what will happen now that both Venus and the Sun will oppose Uranus November 5-9, with Saturn square to each through November 11.

The pattern was similar in many world indices. That is, most have rallied since their yearly lows of September 28-October 3 or October 13, to highs last week, followed by quick, sharp declines into Thursday and a rally on Friday. In Europe, the rally into Friday was most significant for the German DAX and London FTSE indices, which soared to their highest levels since September 13-14.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the pattern was similar for the Nikkei and the Australian ASX. Both continued to make new cycle highs into November 2 since their lows of October 3, then both sold off into Thursday-Friday. In India the Nifty also made a new cycle high on November 2, but didn't sell off much before recovering on Friday. The high of November 2 was its highest mark since January 18. For China and Hong Kong, it was a little different. The Shanghai Composite in China made a double bottom on October 31, as Mars turned retrograde, to its yearly low of April 27, then rallied sharply into Friday. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong dropped to a new multi-year low, also on October 31, and then like the SSE, rallied sharply into Friday. It appears the Chinese markets are coming out of their long slumber, which would bode well for the rest of the world's stock markets.

There was greater excitement in precious metals last week. Gold fell to a new yearly low of 1618 on Thursday, but by Friday, it was back up above 1680 to its highest price in three weeks. Silver fell to 18.80 on Thursday, well above its recent lows, and then blasted off on Friday to a high of 20.96. This fits well with our forecast based on cycle studies, which suggest we could see $30 Silver soon if 21.50 can be exceeded.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing renewed life as well. Both rallied to their highest prices since September 13. If they can avoid a major selloff this week, both may be the early stages of a new bullish run.

With Jupiter returning to Pisces on October 28, Crude Oil prices are also rising smartly, soaring to a new multi-week high of 92.87 on Friday, making President Biden's "trade" of drawing down the Strategic Petroleum Reserves when the price was in the low 80's - to their lowest price since the 1980's - while publicly announcing he would buy back at $70-75, a questionable decision involving national security and speculative use of taxpayers' monies for possibly political reasons. The timing appears to be an unsuccessful and costly attempt to drive down oil prices going into the mid-term elections. Why would he announce his "trading plan" publicly at the time ? Or at any time, in a matter related to national security ?.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :

The oil industry "has not met its commitment to invest in America and support the American people", Biden said. They're not just making a "fair return" he said, they're making "profits so high it is hard to believe. I think it's outrageous. If they passed those profits on to consumers, gasoline prices would be down about 50 cents". - Reuters, "Biden Calls on Oil, Gas Companies to Stop 'War Profiteering,' Threatens Windfall Tax", November 1, 2022.

"I'm not sure [I] understand the argument for a windfall profits tax on energy companies", Summers said on Twitter Tuesday morning. "If you reduce profitability, you will discourage investment which is the opposite of our objective". - Larry Summers as reported by Matt Egan, "Biden's Oil Windfall Tax Would Backfire, Warns Larry Summers", www.cnn.com, November 1, 2022.

The windfall tax proposal repudiates everything Mr. Biden says about wanting lower energy prices. - Wall Street Journal Editors, "Energy Policy for Dummies", November 2, 2022.

OK. We are not big fans of fossil fuel drilling and oil companies making huge profits in a time that inflation is affecting large segments of the population. But we are concerned about the existential threat involved in national security with Jupiter set to return to Aries in mid-December. Therefore, we still need to produce oil and gas while at the same time continuing to grow the alternative and renewable energy markets, just as the state of Oklahoma is doing, as reported in "Oklahoma's Energy Balancing Act" by Alex Irwin-Hunt at www.fdiinteligence.com (September 23, 2022). Our focus in this column pertains to the education of geocosmic signatures related to movements in financial markets. In this case, rising energy prices correlate with the return of Jupiter into Pisces, October 28-December 20, 2022.

For the week ahead, we have the lunar eclipse in Taurus (Sun in Scorpio) on Tuesday. A lunar eclipse is when the shadow of the earth blocks out the view of the Moon. The Earth is in between the Sun and Moon. This makes it a "special" full Moon in the sense that the opposition implied by the full moon is intensified. It's a time of conflict, in the study of astrology, which can be transitioned into a period of heightened awareness. The challenge is to resolve the conflict, whatever it is, between the past (emotional, Moon) and the future (vitality, Sun). In other words, you can't advance cleanly into the future as wished until the emotional issues of the past, sometimes referred to as "karma", are confronted and resolved. Once resolved, a big weight is removed and a lightness of being is created in relationships.

With the lunar eclipse Taurus, people want security, stability, comfort and safety. The Moon is exalted in Taurus. But the Sun in Scorpio likes to court danger and taboo. While the Moon in Taurus is also conjoined with Uranus, the Moon is not likely to get its wish for comfort and safety through diplomacy or just being "nice", for Uranus is the planet of disruption, disagreement, refusal to acquiesce, and often the result of an urge to get attention, even if via shock. Thus, we need to be prepared for a "shock" of some sort, whether in the geopolitical or financial realm, or via nature. Also, the time frame in which a lunar eclipse is operative seems to be about three weeks before and after the actual cosmic event. Although the peak of "energy", of course, is during the moment of the event itself.

Once the eclipse period is over, there are no further "disruptions" by Uranus until the last few days of December when Jupiter returns to Aries (December 20) and forms its last of three semi-squares to Uranus (December 23-24). The most recent semi-square to Uranus was on September 28, which was near the end of the last stock market plunge to their yearly lows. But relax. Third passages are not usually as strong as the first two. The future looks brighter and a little more stable in 2023, especially after mid-May. We cover that in great detail in the forthcoming Forecast 2023 Book (see announcements below).

Longer-Term thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : THE SALE IS OVER BUT YOU CAN STILL PRE-ORDER FORECAST 2023 prior to December 1 to ensure the fastest delivery time once the printing is completed.

The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2023 is now $66 as supplies last . And the price for the eBook edition will remain at $55, once the book is completed.

For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2023 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

             Note 2 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.

We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.

The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :

1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35

For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.

             Note 3 : New - The issue of the MMA ETF Report was released last week ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce.

This report covers SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. For an overview from Gianni about what this new monthly report will cover, check out his newest ETF Episode on Merriman Market Analyst's YouTube Channel.

             Note 4 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the month issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report (which featured a special long-term update on Gold), sign up online and select the subscription option : Month Issue One Time Payment + Addendum for only $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report, Special Long-Term Gold Update, and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week.

             Note 5 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.

             Note 6 : ANNOUNCING THE NEW MMA CYCLES GRAIN REPORT ! It's coming in late January 2023. Edited by top MMTA graduate Wyatt Fellows, this report will provide excellent cyclical and geocosmic analysis on Soybeans, Corn, Wheat, and Cotton. Wyatt owns and operates a large farm in Wisconsin and has a deep understanding of the cycles and fundamentals connected with grain markets. This is a report that all farmers, people connected with the grain business, and traders will want to have access to. We have sent out two Cotton studies by Wyatt so far and the response has been excellent. We will be sending a free sample of this new grain report before January, at which time you will be able to sign up and subscribe to this report if you wish for a special introductory rate. Stay tuned !.

             Note 7 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.

The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.

The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).

Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35 !.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be released this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00. And keep in mind that subscribers to this report will also receive a complimentary addendum and mid-term report of MMA Cycles, written by MMTA student Pouyan Zolfagarnia, two weeks later.

We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we will be adding analysis of the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market coming out this week!

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             January 6 2023 : MMA CHINA WEBINAR FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR! Financial markets review for the China SSE stock index, Gold, Crude Oil, and now DJIA and Bitcoin: Details and registration will be announced soon.

             February 19, 2023 : ANNUAL MMA FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR with Ray Merriman. Details and registration will be announced soon.

             March 18, 2023 : Tentative beginning date of the next series of MMTA courses. We will have exciting news on this in December when enrollment begins for a limited number of students to be accepted for our third 2-year program. We also hope to have a video available for viewing then of interviews conducted with those who completed the second MMTA program in September 2022. Stay tuned! oto

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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