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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 14 - 2022
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2022 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Inflation eased last month to the slowest pace since January but remained high, likely keeping Federal Reserve officials on course to start slowing the pace of interest-rate rises aimed at taming price pressures.
The Labor Department on Thursday said that its consumer-price index increased 7.7% in October from the same month a year ago, down from 8.2% in September and June's 9.1% rate, which was the highest in four decades. - Gwen Guilford and Nick Timiraos, "Easing Inflation Fuels Stock Surge", Wall Street Journal, November 11, 2022.
This week's investor run on the FTX crypto-currency exchange marks round two of the great crypto crackup, and so far the victims are consenting adults. Barring an unexpected spread to the banking system, this is another in the long line of easy-money manias turned to panic. "The FTX Crypto Fiasco", Wall Street Journal Opinion Page, November 11, 2022.
Where do you even start with a week like last week ?.
How about starting with Uranus? More specifically, let's begin with the awareness that the last "translations" of key planets (Sun/Venus) to the departing Saturn/Uranus square of 2021-2022 happened November 5-11. That's big. And the middle of that November 5-11 passage was Election Day, November 8, which just happened to also be the day of a powerful lunar eclipse. You expected something unexpected - upsets - would happen in the election and financial markets. They did. There was no huge red (Republican) wave that all the pundits were predicting, unless they knew astrology. There may not even be a clear cut majority in the Senate until a runoff in Georgia (again) takes place.
Then the market surprises (Uranus) began. Bitcoin and cryptos surprised everyone that day, November 8, as a monstrous collapse to a new yearly low got underway. This is the equivalent of a "bank run", which fits one of the classical possibilities of Uranus in Taurus, especially with the square from Saturn (loss). The stable banks still seem stable (so far), but the digital banks just lost several billion dollars in value. It also fits with the outlook for Bitcoin described in last year's Forecast 2022 Book , which called for a rout of 77-93% in 2022. The loss has now been about 77.5% from the all-time high of November 2021 around $69,000.
Surprises and whipsaws then advanced to the stock market. After making new cycle highs on Tuesday, November 8. U.S. stock markets fell hard on Wednesday due to the unknown election results and lack of a "red wave" that would have put the nation's purse into the hands of the Republicans, which voters believed had a greater sense of fiduciary responsibility according to almost all polls. The DJIA was down over 600 points, and nearly 900 points from Tuesday's high. But then, the next day, November 10, the CPI (inflation) report was released and it was another surprise. The numbers were much lower than anyone predicted (Uranus again). On that news, the U.S. stock markets opened sharply higher, and ended the day with their largest one-day gains in over two years. The DJIA was up over 1200 points, twice the amount of its losses the previous day. Suddenly (Uranus again) it looked like the worst of the 2022 bear market in stocks was over. In that one day, the world changed from bearish to bullish. In the middle of the week that saw the final planetary "translation" of the nearly two-year Saturn/Uranus square, capped by a powerful lunar eclipse, the financial world turned from darkness to light and the political world was turned upside down. Pundits and polls were wrong - again - courtesy of Uranus.
The lower-than-expected inflation numbers was a shot heard around the world. It suggested the Fed will be able to let up on the pace of their interest rate hikes, which had also thrust the value of the U.S. Dollar to heights that caused headaches for other nations (for everyone, really, except savers of dollars). And we didn't even mention that Mars (which pertains to pain and rules Aries, which relates to the head) had just turned retrograde the week before on October 31. It has to be added to the mix correlating with these major reversals in financial markets as well as the sudden shift in the collective attitudes of investors.
Nearly all world stock indices surged to new multi-month highs last week on the U.S. inflation report surprise. One that stands out is India's NIFTY index, which climbed to 18,362 on Friday, very close to its all-time high of 18,504 one year ago. One exception to the powerful rallies of late last week was Brazil, where the Bovespa fell to its lowest level since late September. Most of these rallies were spectacular, but most are still below their highs of August. They need to surpass those highs to set a bullish trend indicator pattern of a cycle longer than a primary type.
Gold and Silver were notable last week as each exhibited sharp rallies. Gold soared to 1771 on Friday, a major rally off its two-year low of 1618 just one week earlier on November 3. Silver exploded to 22.16, its highest price in five months. But the big story was the collapse of cryptos. Bitcoin plummeted to 15,566 on Thursday, November 10, its lowest price since November 12, 2020. Less than a week ago (November 5) it was trading at 21,471, its highest price since mid-September. That is a decline of 27.5%. Ethereum also got hit, falling to a low of 1071, but that was not a new yearly low as in the case of BTC.
All in all, it was another wild week, completely in line with the hard aspects involving Uranus, a lunar eclipse, and followed by the very erratic Moon in Gemini, Wednesday through Friday..
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-Term thoughts :
It is even possible he (Biden) gets more support from the mid-term elections than anyone thought. Given that Biden's own supporters are increasingly disappointed in him and his low approval ratings in 2021, how can that be ? The reason is probably Donald Trump. His promise to be actively involved in the mid-term elections could cause a massive rupture in the Republican party. Where does such a godsend show in Biden's chart? By transiting Neptune, which makes an extremely lucky grand trine to his natal Jupiter (ruling planet) and his stellium of Mercury, Sun, and Venus in Scorpio, in the 12 th house. All the president has to do is act calm and non-threatening. With transiting Neptune in a grand water trine, benefits come easily to the native and without much effort. - Quote from the Forecast 2022 Book , Chapter on "The U.S. President in 2022", written one year ago, in November 2021.
Let's cut to the chase : If Mr. Trump announces next week that he's running again, the 2024 presidential election ends that day. It guarantees a wipeout for Republicans.- Daniel Henninger, "The Trump Liability for the GOP", Wall Street Journal, November 10, 2022.
"What the hell just happened ? How could so many be so wrong?" Because they don't understand Uranus. They don't understand the correlation between cycles in the cosmos and cycles in human activity. They didn't understand the importance - the "good fortune" - of Neptune making a grand trine to President Biden's natal Venus trine Jupiter. It's probably the luckiest aspect and the greatest payoff he gets in a lifetime for the least amount of effort. It's a testament to the cliché that "It's better to be lucky than good." The election was not a testament to how great Joe Biden is as a leader or how popular his policies are with the American people. It's a testament to his good fortune that Donald Trump made it possible, once again, for this election to be a referendum on him - Trump - and his unpopular, never-ending complaint about the "stolen election" that most Americans want to get past.
But enough about politics. The election is mostly over (but the party leadership of Congress is not yet decided) and the rate of inflation is coming down. Both equity and commodity markets love it because it means 1) the Dollar is coming down, and 2) the value of assets are going to rise. Optimism (Jupiter) is back and pessimism (Saturn) about the future has been sidelined for the moment. This may continue as a series of geocosmic signatures pertaining to optimism will now come into play.
In the study of astrology, optimism is ruled by Jupiter and the sign of Sagittarius. This week begins an arrival of both, which is even more meaningful because the challenge of the Saturn/Uranus square is finally ending. On Tuesday, November 15, Venus will form a favorable trine to Jupiter. In the field of metaphysics, this is known as the "Law of Abundance" aspect. The Sun trines Neptune the same day which is a little like Jupiter as both Jupiter and Neptune rule Pisces and Neptune is in Pisces. The euphoria may take a back step next weekend, November 19, as Mars retrograde returns to square Neptune, the same aspect that was present October 13 when the U.S. stock market made its yearly low on a poor CPI reading. Now it is doing that again but this time with Mars retrograde, the CPI report had just the opposite result. The following week then finds the Sun trine Jupiter, then entering Sagittarius, and Jupiter turning direct, November 21-23.
That's a lot of Jupiter and Sagittarius. That's a lot of optimism being messaged by the cosmos. It's a reason why stocks can continue to rally. It is a good omen and a reason to have a party and celebrate. Enjoy the forthcoming holiday season, which may be getting an early start.
Longer-Term thoughts :
".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : FORECAST 2023is still on schedule to be printed by December 15. You can still pre-order prior to December 1 to ensure the fastest delivery time once the printing is completed.
The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2023 is now $66 as supplies last . And the price for the eBook edition will remain at $55, and will be available even if the printed edition sells out as it did last year.
For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard. It is impressive!.
Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.
We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2023 Book.
We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:
German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese :www.nodoor.com
We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.
Note 2 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.
We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.
The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :
1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35
For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.
Note 3 : New - The issue of the MMA ETF Report was released last week ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce.
This report covers SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. For an overview from Gianni about what this new monthly report will cover, check out his newest ETF Episode on Merriman Market Analyst's YouTube Channel.
Note 4 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the month issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report (which featured a special long-term update on Gold), sign up online and select the subscription option : Month Issue One Time Payment + Addendum for only $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report, Special Long-Term Gold Update, and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week.
Note 5 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.
Note 6 : ANNOUNCING THE NEW MMA CYCLES GRAIN REPORT ! It's coming in late January 2023. Edited by top MMTA graduate Wyatt Fellows, this report will provide excellent cyclical and geocosmic analysis on Soybeans, Corn, Wheat, and Cotton. Wyatt owns and operates a large farm in Wisconsin and has a deep understanding of the cycles and fundamentals connected with grain markets. This is a report that all farmers, people connected with the grain business, and traders will want to have access to. We have sent out two Cotton studies by Wyatt so far and the response has been excellent. We will be sending a free sample of this new grain report before January, at which time you will be able to sign up and subscribe to this report if you wish for a special introductory rate. Stay tuned !.
Note 7 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.
The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.
The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).
Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2023 for only $35 !.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).
We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
January 6 2023 : MMA CHINA WEBINAR FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR! Financial markets review for the China SSE stock index, Gold, Crude Oil, and now DJIA and Bitcoin: Details and registration will be announced soon.
February 19, 2023 : ANNUAL MMA FORECAST 2023 WEBINAR with Ray Merriman. Details and registration will be announced soon.
March 18, 2023 : Tentative beginning date of the next series of MMTA courses. We will have exciting news on this in December when enrollment begins for a limited number of students to be accepted for our third 2-year program. We also hope to have a video available for viewing then of interviews conducted with those who completed the second MMTA program in September 2022. Stay tuned! oto
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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