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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 02 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

That's a wrap for 2022. Stocks closed out the year with a whimper. All three major indexes posted modest losses Friday, capping their worst year since 2008. The S&P 500 ended the year down 19%. " U.S. Stocks Close Out Worst Year Since 2008", www.wsj.com, December 30, 2022.

The Biden administration is planning to begin refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a senior administration official said Friday, marking the end to the massive supply releases that the White House ordered to tame the sharp price spikes earlier this year. The administration had announced in October it would set up a process to purchase oil from companies to refill the SPR at a price of $67 to $72 a barrel. - Ben Lefebvre, "Biden Administration Set to Start Refilling Oil Reserve", Dec 16, 2022, www.politico.com.

The level of the SPR - an emergency stockpile of crude oil managed by the Department of Energy (DOE) - declined to 375.1 million barrels last week, marking the first time it has fallen below 378 million barrels since December 1983, according to the Energy Information Administration. Prior to last week, the reserve's lowest level since 1983 was recorded on Dec. 30, 1983, when it hit 378.3 million barrels. - Thomas Catenacci, "US Emergency Oil Stockpiles Drop to Lowest Level Since 1983", Dec 28, 2022, www.foxbusiness.com.

We are back. And so is Mercury retrograde, otherwise known as "The Trickster".

After the impressive rally of many global stock markets from their lows of 2022 in late September through mid-October (with the conclusion of the last passage of Saturn square Uranus) to their new cycle highs of December 13, 2022, a sharp decline began right into Mercury turning retrograde on Thursday, December 29. Some markets, like in the U.S. and Europe, bottomed the prior week, December 19-22, as Jupiter formed its third and final semi-square to Uranus. The first two (mid-May and late September 2022) coincided with sharp stock market declines from highs that occurred a couple of weeks earlier, just as this one did.

Now we will see if the Mercury retrograde can end this latest decline and commence a new rally. With the Trickster, you never really know until the middle of the retrograde cycle, which will take place on January 8, which is a weekend.

In other markets, both Gold and Silver enjoyed nice end-of-the-year rallies. Gold rallied to a high of 1841.90 on Tuesday, December 27, the highest level since its yearly low of 1618.30 on November 3. Silver also rallied into December 27, to 24.49, which was slightly lower than its 8 - month high of 24.52 made the prior week on December 21. Crude also made its weekly high of 81.18 on December 27, up from its yearly low of 70.08 on December 9. It makes one wonder : did Trader Joe purchase the 300 million barrels of oil then as he announced in October that he would ? If so, why did the Department of Energy announce prior to last week that the stockpile has continued to fall to its lowest level since 1983 ? If you sold 180M barrels at $95 and then bought 300M, shouldn't the price be much higher than $80? Maybe it's the Trickster at work already. Or maybe it's Saturn (government) in Pisces (confusion) starting up a little early before its ingress on March 7.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

"Stable growth" isn't just a sentiment. For Democrats, the U.S. economy is understood now as primarily a public economy in which well-being for most people comes from government payments to individuals, rather than from private economic activity or even work. There's one other problem: A "stable" low-growth economy will be really, really boring. - Daniel Henninger, Sober Up, America", Wall Street Journal, December 29, 2022.

I did not choose to be what I am. It is my karma - ­ James Cavell, "Shogun", 1975.

There's a lot of Capricorn energy underway from the cosmos this week. First, Mercury turned retrograde in 24° Capricorn on Thursday. It will remain there until it turns direct at 8° Capricorn on January 18. In the sign of Capricorn, Mercury can be serious and critical. It represents the mind of a skeptic or scientist. A true, scientist is a skeptic, but a true skeptic is not necessarily a scientist or even scientific. By itself, this combination does not lend itself well to rising stock markets. It is sort of like any market rally has to prove itself to be taken seriously. Until then, skepticism is akin to fear and doubt of anything that is hyped to be a positive. "Prove it" is the calling card for Mercury in Capricorn.

Of course, the Sun is in Capricorn now as well until January 20, just two days after the Trickster ends its retrograde romp. The Sun, in the sign of the mountain goat (or sea goat) wants to climb. No hurdle or obstacle is too high to overcome if applied with disciple and patience. The Sun in Capricorn is up for the challenge of "proving it" that Mercury in Capricorn requires.

On Monday, January 1, Venus will conjoin Pluto in 27° Capricorn. Thus we have money and credit (Venus) vying for dominance over debt (Pluto). In Capricorn, debt and over-spending promise to be major issues this year. It baffles financial experts how the U.S. government can justify another $1.7T stimulus package when it claims to be serious about fighting inflation. It's not going to make it easy for the Fed (a Capricorn entity born December 23, 1913) to lower interest rates any time soon if Congress can't get serious about fiscal reform. What is needed is good ole Capricorn productivity generated by the private sector. Until then, Henninger (quote above) is right. You don't get a "stable economy" as much as you get a boring and very slow-growing economy (if we are lucky). It's the Jimmy Carter, post-Saturn-square-Uranus economy of 45 years ago, all over again. Maybe we should be happy with this as traders. After all, that's the kind of economy in which traders should flourish. But it is boring for investors looking to find signs of life, or excitement, in any sector of the market other than energy, where prices are primed to go higher and higher, especially if Biden ever gets around to pushing the buy button and purchases 300 million barrels of oil as he announced two months ago.

Oh, there I go again, playing the role of the Trickster in the skeptical sign of Capricorn. Wake me up when it's over. Oh, wait a minute! Mars and Uranus will turn direct on January 12 and 22, with Mercury doing the same on January 18. I think we will get a heartbeat then. Maybe even an explosion. Prepare for a wakeup call then. Markets could get rattled. So could governments and their leaders.

Longer-Term thoughts :

".

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The audiobook of the abridged edition of Forecast 2024 is now available. Click here to order this abridged edition for only $19.95, or $13.96 if you are an Audible member, or for one credit (no cost) if you have earned Audible credits. Narrated by astrologer Thomas Miller (he does an excellent job!), this audiobook is 5 hrs and 34 minutes. It covers all sections of the Forecast Book except the financial markets and the geocosmic calendar and ephemeris in the back of the book. When you go to the audible website linked here, click on the book cover > sample > to hear the introduction. ORDER NOW and load it onto your phone to listen to while you are working out or just taking a walk. It's a great way to get prepared for the New Year ! .

             Note 2 : Forecast 2024 is completed in both the print and ebook (English) versions. If you live in the U.S. you should have received it by now. If you live overseas, the actual delivery depends on your postal service .

The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2024 is $66 as long as supplies last. We are down to the last 1-1/2 boxes. Last year's book sold out, so order now before they are gone. There will be no additional printings. The price for the eBook edition will remain $55, and will continue to be available even if the printed edition sells out.

For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. Click here to order from Amazon.
We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com

Each foreign translation of Forecast 2024 has a section on that nation's stock market that is not in the English or other nations' Forecast Book. Yet we are aware that some readers and investors may be interested in the stock markets of these other nations, but do not wish those editions in the other nation's language. Therefore, we make those stock market outlooks available in English as a separate service for $35.00 each. The overseas market reports for 2023 that are available separately in English include: Japan's Nikkei , China's Shanghai Composite , and the German DAX plus Zurich SMI indices . Each is available in PDF format. Each report is about 9-11 pages, with their monthly charts as of November 2022, and a list of their critical reversal dates for 2023.

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.             

             Note 3 : The English version of the Monthly Chinese Shanghai Composite Report was released last week.

We are pleased to announce that there is now an ETF with the symbol ASHR that is an index tracking 300 of the largest and most liquid Chinese shares and closely follows the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE). As our most sophisticated and experienced global traders know China's financial markets are critical to the global economy. Each monthly report of this important market is 5-8 pages in length and includes daily and weekly charts, with a list of geocosmic indicators and critical reversal dates for the next several weeks, and what to expect. These reports also include an additional feature on the solar/lunar signals in effect each month for the SSE based on current studies underway by MMTA student Yating Hu. These will identify the 2-4 most likely periods, lasting 1-3 days each month, when the probability is greatest for trading cycle highs and lows based on the historical studies of the SSE since its inception in December 1990.

The subscription rates for this MMA SSE monthly report are :

1 year = $275
3 months = $95
1 issue =$35

For a subscription to this service, please visit www.mmacycles.com and go to shop> subscriptions and scroll down to this report. Or click here.

             Note 4 : New - The issue of the MMA ETF Montly Cycles Report was released last week ! Written by MMTA director Gianni Di Poce.

This report covers SPY (S&P stock market), GDX (Gold), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (Treasuries), XLE (Energy), XLV (Health groups), XLK (Technology), and XHB (home builders, real estate). Now you can get our cycles and geocosmic outlooks for the most popular and traded ETFs, which trade like stocks on the major exchanges. A great compliment to the monthly MMA Cycles Report. Click here for more information.

             Note 5 : The MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia was released last week. It is an excellent issue where Pouyan discusses many important historical events related to Pluto going in Aquarius in 2023, and how some are similar in theme to what is happening today Very fascinating! This mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has very attractive graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more references and illustrations to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. Cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55 . That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 6 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.            

             Note 7 : MMA's weekly and daily subscription reports have been extremely accurate and profitable lately, catching the lows in metals, stocks, crude oil, soybeans, and currencies. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports.

The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and Bitcoin.

The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, Bitcoin, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's).

Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
Sign up for any subscription report between now and September 16th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2024 for only $35 !.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).

We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             January 6 2023 : MMA CHINA WEBINAR Forecast 2024 WEBINAR! Financial markets review for the China SSE stock index, Gold, Crude Oil, and now DJIA and Bitcoin. Topics to be covered will include the four most highlighted geocosmic time bands for trend reversal through July for many financial markets; the importance of the outer planets changing signs 2023-2025; the significance of Pluto crossing the Jupiter/Saturn "supercharged degree" 5 times in 2023-2024; war versus Renaissance cycles coming up; plus the financial markets listed above and questions asked by participants ahead of time. Send your questions to customerservice@mmacycles.com . Cost is $55. Understand that this will be a 2-3-hour webinar and will include translation into Chinese from English. You will hear both languages (English first, then Chinese). To register, click here.

             January 21m 2023, noon , PST : "Outer Planet Shifts in 2023: Crash or Book" with Gianni di Poce on Zoom for the Astrology University. Cost is $30.00. To register, click here.

             February 19, 2023 : ANNUAL MMA Forecast 2024 WEBINAR with Ray Merriman. Save the Date! Starts at 11;15 AM, MST, which is 1:15 PM EST, 6:15 PM GMT, 7:15 PM CET. It will be very early in the morning in Australia, Beijing and Tokyo. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into Raymond Merriman's annual worldwide Forecast 2024 Webinar. This broadcast will address themes from this year's Forecast 2024 book , with updates on financial markets since the book was written in November 2022, including the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Bitcoin. Cost is $55.00, and includes the slides of the presentation, plus access to the video recording of the event. Questions will be answered that are submitted one week before the event if they are deemed of interest to the overall audience. If unable to attend live, the video recording will be available the following day. To register, click here.

             March 18, 2023 : The third MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) since 2013 will commence. This two-year educational and training experience will change your life and how you view financial markets. With this course you will know where the market is at any given interval of time, and the trading or investing strategy to employ. These 8 courses consist of 6-7 zoom meetings (100+ hours of live instruction and interaction with instructors Ray Merriman and Gianni di Poce, including review and preview of current markets each session ) over a two-year period, on Saturdays, with 1-2 month breaks in between each course. That is, you will be in 2-hour Saturday sessions 24-25 weeks/year, over a two year period (March 2023-September 2024), plus one additional voluntary review session for each test after every course. There is nothing else as comprehensive in the field of market timing as this program is available anywhere. It covers our market timing methodology for long-term and intermediate-term investing, plus position and aggressive short-term trading.

Please note: This will be the last course 2-year MMTA program taught by Ray Merriman. Watch for details soon on cost, discounts for early application, and how to enroll. Applications for enrollment will begin January 18 and will be limited to 40 full-time students (last time we had to turn applicants away), which will include an interview prior to acceptance. Below are just a couple of the many comments received from MMTA 2 graduates. More to come.

"My perspective on the markets, and perhaps life, have changed dramatically since being gifted the privilege of joining MMTA2. I am extremely grateful for having been given the opportunity to learn directly from you". - Kyle M, MMTA2 graduate, North Carolina, programmer, trader, and high school math teacher.

" Attached is my final research project on the cotton market.as always critiques are welcomed!!  Doing these research projects and really dissecting the cotton market during this course has allowed me to trade cotton very successfully over the last year.  It is extremely rewarding to do the work and then to watch it unfold according to plan".  - Wyatt F, Wisconsin, MMTA2 graduate, Owner of large family farm operation, and now as MMA analyst.

" Thank you for all your help through MMTA2, it was one of the best things I have ever done". - Renato R, Australia, MMTA graduate.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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