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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 17- 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Is inflation over ? That was the temporary market sigh of relief you heard Wednesday morning as the feds reported that the consumer price index for March rose a mere 0.1%. But prices are still rising at a 5% 12-month rate, which will not strike most Americans as a triumph. This is the real inflation story. A price level that rises 5% instead of 9.1% isn't deflation. It is disinflation, which means prices are still rising, only not as fast as they were. The overall standard of living is lower and Americans are still paying more for nearly everything. - Wall Street Journal Editorial Board, "On Inflation, the Price is Still Wrong", April 12, 2023.
Americans pulled back on spending at retail stores in March as demand cooled sharply in the face of banking turmoil, persistent inflation and high interest rates. Retail sales, a measure of how much consumers spent on a number of everyday goods, including cars tumbled 1% in March, the Commerce Department said Friday. That is well below the 0.4% decline projected by Refinitiv economists and a marked drop from February, when sales fell 0.2%. It is the biggest decline since December. - Megan Henney, "Retail Sales Tumble More Than Expected", www.foxbusiness.com, April 14, 2023.
Global stock indices continued their rallies off the primary cycle lows of March 13-20 into the very end of last week before this powerful geocosmic reversal zone of April 11-21 struck, fueled by Venus square Saturn and the disappointing (Saturn) retail sales (Venus) report.
The Asian and Pacific Rim markets were closed by the time the U.S. retail sales report was announced. Hence, most ended on a very positive note for the week, with multi-week highs realized. None of the indices in this region made new yearly highs, but China's Shanghai Composite came close with Friday's high of 3340, just slightly below the high of 3342 on March 7. Each recorded their highest levels last week since the lows of March 14-20.
In Europe, the German DAX soared to a new yearly high of 15,841 on Friday, well above its prior yearly high of 15,706 on March 7. The other indexes also rallied nicely into Friday, although none made new highs for this year yet, for a developing case of intermarket bearish divergence into a geocosmic critical reversal date (CRD) time band.
The picture was even clearer in the U.S., where the DJIA ran up to 34,082 on Friday, its highest mark in 8 weeks, but still below its previous primary cycle crest of 34,712 on December 13. It then promptly sold off over 300 points, consistent with the Moon in Aquarius (high) and Venus square Saturn in the middle of a CRD (reversal). However, it did recover half of that by the close. The S&P nearby futures also rallied to a new cycle high of 4189 on Friday, but that was still below the recent high of 4208.50 made on February 2. The NASDAQ nearby futures told a very different story as they peaked the previous week, on April 4, at 13,348. Last week, however, was mostly down, with a low of 12,923 on Thursday, April 13. Is it possible that the NASDAQ made a trading cycle low late last week while the other indices all made new cycle highs ? With the Trickster, Mercury retrograde, readying to enter the fray next week, anything is possible, and the more bizarre, unexpected, and discordant, the more the Trickster likes it.
Gold and Silver also exhibited noteworthy performances last week, with both rising sharply into Friday for new cycle highs. Gold exploded to 2063.40 on April 13, very close to its all-time high of 2089, which formed in August 2020. However, on Friday it tumbled sharply back to 2006. Silver also rallied sharply to a new cycle high of 26.23 intraday on Friday, but right afterwards, it plunged nearly one dollar lower. That's a big reversal intraday.
A similar pattern to stocks and metals was present in Crude Oil, the Euro currency, Bitcoin, and Ethereum. Bitcoin, for instance, surged to 31,064 on Friday, April 14, its highest mark since June 2022, and up over 100% from its low of 15,479 on November 29, only to fall over $1000 later in the day. Ethereum was just as impressive with its run up to 2130 on Friday, an appreciation of 99% from its low of 1071 on November 10, 2022, and 142% from its low of last year at 879 on June 18. I don't know of any advisory service that caught the move down into late last year (from the high to the low of 2021) and the move up since then as well as MMA's weekly and daily reports have. Bitcoin is responding very well to our combination of cyclical and geocosmic market timing studies. For that matter, so are Crude Oil and stocks.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :
An embarrassing leak of highly classified Pentagon documents has endangered intelligence methods, exposed American strategy, and undermined trust among U.S. allies... The trove of classified documents, which first appeared on the Discord social media site last month, revealed stunning details about U.S. spying on Russia's war efforts in Ukraine and secret information about Ukraine's combat power, according to NBC News reporting. -Natasha Turak and Dan Murphy, "America's Allies 'Can't Trust Us' after 'Disaster' Intelligence Leak, Former Intel Officers Say", www.cnbc.com, April 14, 2023.
As mentioned earlier, we are now headed into a weekend that is in the middle of this current geocosmic cluster. This represents the peak of cosmic energy, so a change in investor psychology is most probable during these periods, which means the potential for a trend reversal in many financial markets is higher than normal.
This week finds a solar eclipse in the last minutes of the last degree of Aries on April 19-20, with the Sun and Moon both in a square aspect to Pluto, which is in the first minutes of the first degree of Aquarius. With Pluto highlighted by a hard aspect with the solar eclipse, the attention will likely be on the "4 D's:" debt, deficits, downgrades, and defaults. Maybe companies' first quarter earnings reports are far less impressive than expected.
Additionally, with Pluto in such a hard aspect to a solar eclipse, there could be a bit of a dark mood regarding the future. First, a solar eclipse is when the Moon (the past) blocks out the Sun (the future), casting a shadow on the Earth. It is like the light has been turned off, and the room becomes dark. This implies the path that humanity has been taking towards its future is interrupted, and there may be a sense of losing one's way. There could be doubt or fear about what's next. With Pluto, the god of the underground, there is also a potential sense of foreboding as "secrets" are revealed or uncovered, perhaps through "leaks" such as happened last week regarding the Pentagon's classified information. There may be more damage than originally thought regarding these leaks or leaks in other areas that may be revealed. This is not a favorable time to share secrets, for to do so will likely make matters worse, not better. Confidentiality will be held in great value now, and loose lips will be punished.
The next day, April 21, Mercury will turn retrograde in mid-Taurus, the money sign, within two degrees of Uranus, the disruptor. Sharp and sudden price moves are possible here too. With Mercury retrograde, reversals from at least trading cycles are common within 4 trading days. However, Mercury retrograde is a Trickster, and if everyone sees and expects the same thing, the Trickster nearby to Uranus will likely operate in a contrarian fashion. Technical indicators of "buy" or "sell" signals are often false. It is not uncommon for prices to swing back and forth every 1-4 days. If they continue in one direction after the fourth day of the retrograde, then a reversal will tend to happen within one day of the retrograde midpoint, which will be May 2-3. On the positive side, Mercury retrograde may be favorable for intuition over logic and common sense.
One concern is that the next big reversal zone will be May 16-23, when Jupiter enters Taurus, Mars enters Leo, and Pluto is still in the first degree of Aquarius, forming a fixed T-square. This is a cosmic symbol of another possible financial crisis, and it occurs close to the time when the U.S. debt ceiling limit needs to be raised lest the U.S. face the prospect of a default. That, in turn, could cause a major worldwide panic, albeit a panic that may not last long since the Jupiter/Pluto square is only an intermediate-term planetary cycle and not a long-term one like the Saturn/Uranus waning square of 2021 through October 2022.
This is a time when investors would be well-advised to be cautious and defensive, possibly through the end of May. It may be fine for short-term trading or hedging core positions but challenging if you are trying to execute a longer-term strategy. Unexpected things come up, and it behooves one to be flexible and not force something (like a position trade or a business deal) before it is ready.
Longer-Term thoughts :
T.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : For readers of this column who are interested in the modern-day history of astrology and its transformation from a hobby to a professional career, you may be interested in the current issue of The Mountain Astrologer . The June-July issue includes Part 1 of "My 50 Years of Community Service in Astrology", which depicts the events and challenges many of today's professional astrologers encountered in this task, and in particular, my role in this evolution (which is not over). For information on TMA (the Mountain Astrologer), please go to https://mountainastrologer.com/zineshop/ and consider taking out a subscription to this month's TMA (The Mountain Astrologer). Let them know you are interested in this article and look forward to reading parts 2 and 3 of this saga! .
Note 2 : .
Note 3 : Forecast 2024 is completed in both the print and ebook (English) versions. If you live in the U.S. you should have received it by now. If you live overseas, the actual delivery depends on your postal service .
The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2024 is $66 as long as supplies last. We are down to the last 1-1/2 boxes. Last year's book sold out, so order now before they are gone. There will be no additional printings. The price for the eBook edition will remain $55, and will continue to be available even if the printed edition sells out.
For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard. It is impressive!.
Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.
We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand.
Click here to order from Amazon.
We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book.
We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:
German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese :www.nodoor.com
Each foreign translation of Forecast 2024 has a section on that nation's stock market that is not in the English or other nations' Forecast Book. Yet we are aware that some readers and investors may be interested in the stock markets of these other nations, but do not wish those editions in the other nation's language. Therefore, we make those stock market outlooks available in English as a separate service for $35.00 each. The overseas market reports for 2023 that are available separately in English include: Japan's Nikkei, China's Shanghai Composite, and the German DAX plus Zurich SMI indices . Each is available in PDF format. Each report is about 9-11 pages, with their monthly charts as of November 2022, and a list of their critical reversal dates for 2023.
We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.
Note 4 : Both the MMA ETF Report and Shanghai Stock Index report will
were released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that wish for less risky trading markets than futures. The insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 5 : Both the MMA ETF Report and MMA Grain Cycles reports were issued last week. Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Additionally, the new MMA Cycles Grain Report is awesome for traders and producers of grains. Written by top MMTA graduate Wyatt Fellows, owner of a large family farm operation, this report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. It has been extremely accurate in its first editions, and last week's report is also on the money to so far. Not to be missed! To order, click here
Note 6 : The March issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ written by Pouyan Zolfagarnia
was released last week.
It has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets) will be issued this week. The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has very attractive graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more references and illustrations to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. Cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55 . That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 7 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.
Note 8 : The first official release of the MMA Grain Cycles report was last week. The feedback on this new report has been phenomenal. The analyst is Wyatt Fellows, a top MMTA graduate and owner of a large farm operation in Wisconsin. The report covers Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton, from both a cyclical and geocosmic outlook, and also with attention to the fundamentals related to grains. Wyatt is an excellent analyst! He knows his business! To receive this report, click here and sign up now!.
Note 9 : .
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).
We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
June 1-4 : MMA Investment Retreat, "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES". A 4-day, in-person and/or virtual retreat taking place at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan.
This 4-day retreat will introduce the participant to the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this understanding, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. These studies are based on actual research on the performance of financial markets (like the U.S. and British stock market) going back to the 17 th century. Once these studies and methods are disclosed, the instructors will then illustrate how they apply them to current market conditions. Outlooks will be given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment or selling opportunities are most likely to take place.
You do not need to be a student of the two-year MMTA3 program to join ! "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Investment Cycles" is a standalone course designed for investors. This event is an excellent opportunity to interact with MMA President Raymond Merriman and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce, and several other like-minded students of financial market timing over an extended 4-day period. There is nothing like the in-person interactions that occur at an MMA Investment Retreat.
Cost is $2750, or $2500 if reserved before May 12. Cost includes a 120-page workbook, all class recordings, and slides of the class presentations. Note that this retreat is also in conjunction with Course 2 of MMTA, and participants will get credit for Course 2 if they decide to attend MMTA now or in the future. For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com. A website link will be provided for registering for this retreat in the next week on our website at www.mmacycles.com.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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