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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 15- 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Banks are in trouble because of rising interest rates. Rates have climbed because inflation is high. And inflation is too high because demand is hot. One way to cool demand would be for the federal government to cut spending which happens to be what Republicans, who control the House, are demanding in return for raising the federal government's $31.4 trillion borrowing limit . - Greg Ip, "A Debt Deal Can Help Fix Inflation, Too", Wall Street Journal, May 5, 2023.
"On the other hand, what will happen if the government's debt continues to increase at the pace it is on ? How long before the nation's credit is downgraded and then it goes into default? . The other transiting outer planet involves Saturn entering Pisces, which will also form harmonious aspects to (Venus and Jupiter) in the U.S. founding chart, May 10, 2023, through January 22, 2024. Thus, a long-term plan to deal with the nation's fragile economy can lead to positive results and the accomplishment of goals. Maybe it deals with the nation's debt and the reversal of its deficit spending activities. It will be all about exhibiting the favorable qualities of Saturn, which is best when oriented to the long term, as in investment of time and resources". Forecast 2024 Book, the chapter on "The U.S.A", written in October 2022 (www.mmacycles.com).
This final week of Mercury retrograde (aka "The Trickster") proved to be a real annoyance for traders, especially on the heels of the Sun/Uranus conjunction of May 9. In classic form related to these two disruptors, several financial markets negated a slew of technical buy and sell signals, while displaying distorted cyclical time bands for "normal" highs and lows.
The Sun/Uranus conjunction of Tuesday, May 9, corresponded to new cycle highs in many global stock markets within two days. This was to be expected as any major aspect involving Uranus has the potential to time "breakouts". But with Mercury also retrograde (April 21-May 14), several of those "breakouts" turned out to be "fake outs" as they reversed right back down again.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, China's SSE Composite provided the perfect example with a new yearly high right on May 9 under the Sun/Uranus conjunction. The SSE made a double top to its prior 33-month cycle high of 3424 of July 5, 2022, thus fulfilling our call that this high would at least be re-tested again following its low in the index of October 31 at 2885. The SSE turned sharply lower the rest of the week. India's NIFTY Index topped out on Thursday, May 11, whereas Japan's Nikkei index made a new yearly high right into the end of the week.
In Europe, Zurich's SMI was the stellar performer last week, making new highs for this year under a double top chart formation on May 8 and 12. The German DAX was relatively strong, too, hovering around the 16,000 mark until May 10 before starting to fall. The AEX of the Netherlands rallied but remained well off its yearly high. The London FTSE, on the other hand, topped out May 2 under the Mercury retrograde midpoint and was down to a new multi-week low on Thursday, May 11.
The most contradictory stock market performance was in the U.S. After making new cycle highs on May 1, just as the Mercury retrograde midpoint was getting underway, both the DJIA and S&P fell hard into May 4-5, then spent all of the last week trading within the prior week's range with a tilt more to the downside. The NASDAQ, on the other hand, soared to its highest mark since August 2022 on Friday, May 12. So, is this critical reversal period from a high in the NASDAQ or a low in the S&P and DJIA ?. The Trickster didn't make the analysis easier. But then again, that's why this planet's retrograde cycle is known as the Trickster. If you look here, it's bullish. If you look over there, it's bearish.
The precious metals markets behaved very much in accordance with the chaotic Mercury retrograde and Sun/Uranus conjunction. Silver was especially active, with a secondary high made on May 10, one day after the Sun/Uranus conjunction, at 26.20, followed by a collapse down to 23.91 on Friday, May 12. This fits more in line with the powerful planetary aspects of May 9-23. Bitcoin followed a similar path.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :
"If you believe in his policies, what he's advertising as his policies, he's the last person who could actually execute them and achieve them", Mr. Barr told the City Club of Cleveland. Mr. Barr should know, having worked for President Trump for 22 months. "He does not have the discipline. He does not have the ability for strategic thinking and linear thinking, or setting priorities or how to get things done in the system", Mr. Barr continued. "It's a horror show, you know, when he's left to his own devices. And so you may want his policies, but Trump will not deliver Trump policies. He will deliver chaos, and if anything lead to a backlash that will set his policies much further back than they otherwise would be". - Review and Outlook, "Bill Barr's Warning on Trump", Wall Street Journal, May 8, 2023.
Hunter Biden and his relatives traded profitably off the Biden name with transactions that suggest the main family business is influence peddling. The 36-page report shows Biden family members and business associates created nearly 20 separate entities shortly before and during Joe Biden's Vice Presidency. The entities transferred cash from foreign entities. Bank records show that more than $10 million was delivered to Biden family members, associates and companies from these foreign entities, and in curious ways. - Review and Outlook, "The Biden Family Business", Wall Street Journal, May 10, 2023.
Is this really the choice Americans are going to have for the U.S. presidential election in 2024 ?.
We are entering the middle of the most intense geocosmic gathering of the year. The core of this incredible cosmic makeup is Jupiter in a waning square to Pluto, the only major aspect involving the outermost planets this year. Although this 13-year transit takes place on May 18, it has a 4-month orb corresponding to financial crises in about half of its historical cases. It's possible the correlation already occurred with the multiple bank failures of March and April. But it is also possible there is another financial crisis surrounding the unwillingness of either political party to budge on raising the nation's debt ceiling as funds are due to run out very shortly. Without a compromise or surrender, the U.S. is in jeopardy of defaulting on its debts, which would certainly roil global financial markets. Jupiter square Pluto highlights this possibility. But there are other contributing cosmic factors involved which make this political game of chicken (machoism) so combustible.
First, let us consider the Sun/Uranus conjunction that took place last week in the money sign of Taurus. The Sun conjoining Uranus is not a harbinger of compromise or bending, for this combines the principles of pride (Sun) with intellectual brilliance and/or arrogance (Uranus), as in "I am right, so why should I compromise ? " Note that Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren are both born under this aspect. Possibly brilliant but uncompromising.
Next, understand that Mars, the planet of machismo, will enter the prideful sign of Leo on May 20. There are more cases of Mars in Leo in the chart of presidents than any other sign placement of Mars. Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have Mars in Leo and both seem to relish a good fight.
Next, we find that the over-confident Mars in Leo will be in opposition to Pluto (debt, credit downgrade, default) in Aquarius (more of the "I am right, you are wrong" attitude) on May 21, followed by both making a T-square with Jupiter (exaggeration and more machoism) in Taurus ("it's all about money") on May 23. And putting all of this together, one might be able to understand why this debt-ceiling standoff may not end pleasantly or quickly, for whenever Mars and Jupiter are involved (and Pluto won't rescue), the possibility of a financial panic is increased. These are wild planetary stimulants laced with bravado and threats if one side doesn't get its way, or in this case, if both sides refuse to budge and compromise. And it may not pertain to only financial markets, for with Mars in Leo and in a hard aspect to Pluto, a threat to human lives may also erupt, as in wars or fires/heat waves destroying crops. Innocent people need to be careful about entering combustible situations.
Yet help is on the way once we get past this month's cosmic volcano zone. Next month finds, Jupiter moving into a harmonious sextile to Saturn on June 19, while Pluto moves back into Capricorn (and out of Aquarius) on June 11. Even in a favorable aspect, Saturn can still coincide with delays and frustrations, as both sides want to make sure their points are covered correctly. But at least realities will likely dictate the need to compromise and find common ground. Machoism, bravado, taunts, insults, and threats (all part of the Mars-Jupiter-Pluto arsenal) aren't going to work this month. Maturity and moderation are the pathways to success, and fortunately, the planets will arrive there by mid-June. In the meantime, hopefully, Congress and the White House, in cooperation with the Treasury, can manage the budget frugally and not lead the nation into default. There is no justification to score political points at the expense of horrific financial consequences just for trying to prove the other side wrong.
It may be wise to be defensive regarding stocks and other assets until these geocosmic signatures pass.
Longer-Term thoughts :
O.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : Only two more weeks JUNE 1-4 : THE 2023 MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT AND MMTA3 COURSE TWO: "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES". The 4-day investment retreat is taking place at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan, and is also offered virtually via Zoom. Instructors and presenters will include Ray Merriman, Gianni Di Poce, Kat Powell, and Rita Perea.
This 4-day intensive will introduce the participant to the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this understanding, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. These studies are based on actual research on the performance of financial markets going back to the 17 th century. Once these studies and methods are disclosed, the instructors will then illustrate how they apply them to current market conditions. Outlooks will be given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment or selling opportunities are most likely to take place. Additionally, MMTA Graduate Rita Perea will give a presentation on "The Role of Psychology in Financial Market Trading: Maximizing the Key Mindset Traits of Successful Traders and Investors".
You do not need to be a student of the two-year MMTA3 program to join! "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Investment Cycles" is a standalone course designed for investors, but there will also be discussions on the near-term climate for traders as well. This event is an excellent opportunity to interact with MMA President Raymond Merriman and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce, and several other like-minded students of financial market timing methods over an extended 4-day period. There is nothing like the in-person interactions that occur at an MMA Investment Retreat!
The cost is $2750, or $2500 if reserved before May 11 (that is Thursday of this week). Cost includes a 120-page workbook, all class recordings, and slides of the class presentations. Note that this retreat is also in conjunction with Course Two of MMTA3, and non-student participants will get credit for Course Two if they decide to attend MMTA in the future. SIGN UP THIS WEEK AND SAVE BIG BUCKS! For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com. For more information, click here.
Note 2 : .
Note 3 : Forecast 2024 is completed in both the print and ebook (English) versions. If you live in the U.S. you should have received it by now. If you live overseas, the actual delivery depends on your postal service .
The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2024 is $66 as long as supplies last. We are down to the last 1-1/2 boxes. Last year's book sold out, so order now before they are gone. There will be no additional printings. The price for the eBook edition will remain $55, and will continue to be available even if the printed edition sells out.
For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard. It is impressive!.
Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.
We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand.
Click here to order from Amazon.
We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book.
We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:
German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese :www.nodoor.com
Note 4 : The monthly MMA ETF Report
was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 5 : THE APRIL ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was issued last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning AI graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 6 :
Note 7 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.
Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will be released this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).
We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
May 20, 11:00 AM : "Eye of the Geocosmic Storm: What's Next for Financial Markets". MMA Analyst and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce will be giving a lecture with Astrology University on Saturday, May 20 at 2pm ET: Eye of the Geocosmic Storm: What's Next for Financial Markets? We are in the final stages of the most intense astrological signatures of the year. Will markets boom or is gloom on the horizon? Special attention will be paid to stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, Cryptocurrencies, and real estate. The T-square between Jupiter-Mars-Pluto will also be of major focus, along with Venus retrograde later this year. The cost is $30. To sign up, click here.
June 1-4 : MMA Investment Retreat, "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES". A 4-day, in-person and/or virtual retreat taking place at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan.
This 4-day intensive will introduce the participant to the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this understanding, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. These studies are based on actual research on the performance of financial markets (like the U.S. and British stock market) going back to the 17 th century. Once these studies and methods are disclosed, the instructors will then illustrate how they apply them to current market conditions. Outlooks will be given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment or selling opportunities are most likely to take place.
You do not need to be a student of the two-year MMTA3 program to join ! "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Investment Cycles" is a standalone course designed for investors. This event is an excellent opportunity to interact with MMA President Raymond Merriman and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce, and several other like-minded students of financial market timing over an extended 4-day period. There is nothing like the in-person interactions that occur at an MMA Investment Retreat.
Cost is $2750, or $2500 if reserved before May 12. Cost includes a 120-page workbook, all class recordings, and slides of the class presentations. Note that this retreat is also in conjunction with Course 2 of MMTA, and participants will get credit for Course 2 if they decide to attend MMTA now or in the future. For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com. A website link will be provided for registering for this retreat in the next week on our website at www.mmacycles.com.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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