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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 22- 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that stresses in the banking sector could mean that interest rates won't have to be as high to control inflation. - Jeff Cox, Fed Chair Powell Says Rates May Not Have to Rise as Much as Expected to Curb Inflation, www.cnbc.com, May 19, 2023.
The bigger they are, the harder they fall. Old saying from either boxing lore and/or the Bible.
Is there any adage more appropriate that describes the current T-square of Jupiter (the "biggest") to Pluto (the "fall" or "collapse") and Mars (the "trigger" or "the punch")? In politics, it could mean exactly what it says. In terms of markets, it could also mean, "The higher they go, the harder they fall".
Since we are talking about financial markets here, we note several global stock indices have blasted off to new multi-month and even multi-year highs last week, which certainly fits the Mars/Jupiter square from early Leo to early Taurus. Will they now fall as hard as they have rallied since their breakouts that began around the time of the Sun/Uranus conjunction on May 9 (Uranus pertains to breaking out above long-term resistance or below long-term support) ?.
Most notable is probably the breakout in the Japanese Nikkei stock index, which soared to 30,924 last week, its highest level since 1990, and a "breakout" above the double tops at 30,714 and 30,795 in February and September 2021 under the Saturn/Uranus waning square. But maybe it was the German DAX, which actually did rally to a new all-time on Friday, reaching 16,331, slightly above its prior all-time high of 16,290 achieved on November 18, 2021, under the same Saturn/Uranus waning square.
In the Americas, it was a tale of two markets. The NASDAQ soared to a new yearly high, and the S&P to its highest mark in 9 months. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was closer to its 7-week low early last week before recovering somewhat into Friday, but again down on the day and well off its cycle high of May 1 when the Trickster was near its retrograde midpoint.
Nearly all of the world's stock indices rallied nicely into the end of last week, except the Hang Seng in Hong Kong, which instead did indeed fall to its lowest mark in eight weeks on Friday.
There were other notable activities in financial markets last week under this developing fixed T-square of Mars/Jupiter/Uranus, May 16-23. Gold, for instance, dropped to a 7-week low of 1954.40 on Thursday, May 18, as Jupiter squared Pluto. Silver fell to 23.48 on the same day, well off its yearly high of 26.43 on May 5. By the next day (Friday), each was undergoing a smart rally. Crude Oil was also up nicely last week to a high of 73.58. As recently as May 4, it was making a new yearly low at 63.64. This is an important market right now because Jupiter is involved, making a square to both Mars and Pluto May 18-23. Bitcoin, on the other hand, had an inside week to the prior week's range. Still, it is holding above 25,000 in this reversal zone, which is a positive for bulls (so far).
Going back to our original quote that opened this week's column : The higher they (markets) go, the harder they fall. There are other pearls of wisdom, too, such as, once resistance breaks, it becomes support. Thus, we have parameters as to whether this will be a big reversal zone in which lofty markets will suddenly collapse or a continued upside breakout.
The breakouts today are marked by the Sun/Uranus conjunction of May 9. Usually, when a market breaks out under that aspect, it will continue higher for up to 14 trading days afterwards before a serious pullback. That time band extends out to May 26. In other words, if this is a case of "the higher they go, the harder they will fall", the reversal would most likely occur any time before May 29 (May 26 is a Friday). Another market maxim is that market behaviors are governed by fear and greed (Saturn and Jupiter). Jupiter is running the tables right now. The Sun will square Saturn on May 29. But I have always questioned that maxim, for I think greed is also a characteristic of fear.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :
White House and House Republican negotiators trying to resolve an impasse over raising the debt ceiling broke off talks, tempering hopes of quickly reaching a deal ahead of a government default as soon as next month. Negotiators said the breakdown in talks centered around how deeply to cut the government budget, with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) saying Friday that spending levels were a major sticking point as Republicans pressed for deeper reductions than Democrats appeared poised to accept. - Siobhan Hughes, David Harrison, and Natalie Andrews, 'We're at a Very Bad Moment' : Negotiators Pause Debt-Ceiling Talks", Wall Street Journal Online, May 19, 2023.
Astrology (and the astrologer) is a choice-giver, not the choice-maker . - Dennis Harness, Psychologist and Astrologer, Sedona, Arizona.
The markets did not collapse under the Mars-Jupiter-Pluto fixed T-square that is now underway (May 16-23). In fact, several global stock indices soared higher as news of a possible breakthrough in the debt ceiling negotiations was cited last week (before Friday's statement to the contrary after the market close). However, as mentioned last week, there is not likely to be an agreement while this aspect is underway. After all, fixed T-squares are not indicators of compromise and agreement. On the contrary, they usually indicate stubbornness and reluctance to budge much at all. Parties tend to remain firm in their positions. It is as if "being right" is more important than doing what is best for most people concerned (Aquarius). With Mars about to enter Leo, square to Jupiter, there is also a more than usual amount of egoism and machoism involved. "Being right" is sometimes mistaken for "being tough, being strong". In many cases, it is just being immature, primal, and even greedy (which, as mentioned before, is a mask for being fearful - fearful of being seen as weak).
In any event, these psychological dramas at the highest political levels are being acted out as a critical deadline fast approaches that can lead to negative consequences in spite of Jupiter's usually positive nature. It can still lead to panic, especially as we are right in the midst of this May 16-23 cosmic crunch time, otherwise known as the 3-star critical reversal period. Everyone wants a resolution to this debt ceiling impasse (well, maybe not everyone). And I think it can still happen by the Jupiter/Saturn sextile (June 19). And when it does, markets will explode even further to the upside. But that doesn't mean there will not be a sudden plunge first as the two sides continue to fight with their feet in cement. For equity indices, this is still a case of the higher they go, the harder they fall. And with Mars involved, the plunge can be steep and quick, even at a record level.
At the same time, this matter points out one astrological truism : market behavior is not directly related to geocosmic factors. Geocosmic factors accurately describe the psychological climate unfolding, and by deduction (as well as historical rates of frequency), we project that psychological climate onto human activity and make an educated guess about how it will impact financial markets. Often we are correct. But there are other times when we have to realize that choice has the ultimate effect on the outcome. And the debt ceiling limit is still a matter of choice, and thus equity markets are rising because investors think government leaders will work this out.
As long as investors think it will be resolved, and as often as political leaders give soundbites that progress is being made, stock markets will rally. But if the debt ceiling limit isn't resolved before a default hits, then it's "the higher they go, the harder they fall".
This also applies to political leaders too, as in, "The bigger they are, the harder they fall". The Republicans seem to know this. A default is not going to hurt them as much as it will hurt the "big guy". The "big guy" needs to be careful about misjudging this situation, as if it is purely a matter requiring him to be strong, tough, and unbending. What is required is to find common ground and compromise. Yes, his supporters will say he is right. But the opposition and the independents will say otherwise once it begins to endanger their sense of security.
Longer-Term thoughts :
O.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : Only one more weeks JUNE 1-4 : THE 2023 MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT AND MMTA3 COURSE TWO: "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES". The 4-day investment retreat is taking place at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan, and is also offered virtually via Zoom. Instructors and presenters will include Ray Merriman, Gianni Di Poce, Kat Powell, and Rita Perea.
This 4-day intensive will introduce the participant to the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this understanding, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. These studies are based on actual research on the performance of financial markets going back to the 17 th century. Once these studies and methods are disclosed, the instructors will then illustrate how they apply them to current market conditions. Outlooks will be given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment or selling opportunities are most likely to take place. Additionally, MMTA Graduate Rita Perea will give a presentation on "The Role of Psychology in Financial Market Trading: Maximizing the Key Mindset Traits of Successful Traders and Investors".
You do not need to be a student of the two-year MMTA3 program to join! "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Investment Cycles" is a standalone course designed for investors, but there will also be discussions on the near-term climate for traders as well. This event is an excellent opportunity to interact with MMA President Raymond Merriman and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce, and several other like-minded students of financial market timing methods over an extended 4-day period. There is nothing like the in-person interactions that occur at an MMA Investment Retreat!
The cost is $2750, or $2500 if reserved before May 11 (that is Thursday of this week). Cost includes a 120-page workbook, all class recordings, and slides of the class presentations. Note that this retreat is also in conjunction with Course Two of MMTA3, and non-student participants will get credit for Course Two if they decide to attend MMTA in the future. SIGN UP THIS WEEK AND SAVE BIG BUCKS! For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com. For more information, click here.
Note 2 : CHECK OUT the astrology podcast with Astrology University hosted on Wednesday, May 17 th featuring MMTA Director, Gianni Di Poce . It's free to listen to and covers Gemini season, the transits for the month, and other mundane matters. To listen to the Astrology University Podcast for Gemini Season, click here.
Note 3 : Forecast 2024 is completed in both the print and ebook (English) versions. If you live in the U.S. you should have received it by now. If you live overseas, the actual delivery depends on your postal service .
The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2024 is $66 as long as supplies last. We are down to the last 1-1/2 boxes. Last year's book sold out, so order now before they are gone. There will be no additional printings. The price for the eBook edition will remain $55, and will continue to be available even if the printed edition sells out.
For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our Scorecard. It is impressive!.
Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.
We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand.
Click here to order from Amazon.
We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book.
We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:
German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese :www.nodoor.com
Note 4 : The monthly MMA ETF Report
was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 5 : THE APRIL ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was issued last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning AI graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 6 :
Note 7 : TUNE INTO MMA's NEW WEEKLY YouTube Video on the geocosmic climate related to financial markets hosted by MMTA Educational Director Gianni di Poce. The video is recorded late Friday night and posted then or early Saturday, depending on the editing process. These 5-10 minute video presentations review the market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get announcements when each geocosmic market review is ready for viewing. To view this week's show, click here.
Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).
We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
May 20, 11:00 AM : Tomorrow : "Eye of the Geocosmic Storm: What's Next for Financial Markets". MMA Analyst and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce will be giving a lecture with Astrology University on Saturday, May 20 at 2pm ET: Eye of the Geocosmic Storm: What's Next for Financial Markets? We are in the final stages of the most intense astrological signatures of the year. Will markets boom or is gloom on the horizon? Special attention will be paid to stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, Cryptocurrencies, and real estate. The T-square between Jupiter-Mars-Pluto will also be of major focus, along with Venus retrograde later this year. The cost is $30. To sign up, click here.
June 1-4 : MMA Investment Retreat, "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES". A 4-day, in-person and/or virtual retreat taking place at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan.
This 4-day intensive will introduce the participant to the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this understanding, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. These studies are based on actual research on the performance of financial markets (like the U.S. and British stock market) going back to the 17 th century. Once these studies and methods are disclosed, the instructors will then illustrate how they apply them to current market conditions. Outlooks will be given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment or selling opportunities are most likely to take place.
You do not need to be a student of the two-year MMTA3 program to join ! "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Investment Cycles" is a standalone course designed for investors. This event is an excellent opportunity to interact with MMA President Raymond Merriman and MMTA Director Gianni Di Poce, and several other like-minded students of financial market timing over an extended 4-day period. There is nothing like the in-person interactions that occur at an MMA Investment Retreat.
Cost is $2750, or $2500 if reserved before May 12. Cost includes a 120-page workbook, all class recordings, and slides of the class presentations. Note that this retreat is also in conjunction with Course 2 of MMTA, and participants will get credit for Course 2 if they decide to attend MMTA now or in the future. For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com. A website link will be provided for registering for this retreat in the next week on our website at www.mmacycles.com.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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