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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 19 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The Federal Reserve did not change interest rates (it was not a skip, according to Fed Chair Powell). The press conference presumably did intend to sound hawkish, and presumably did not intend to sound economically incoherent. The fabled "dot plots" signaled two rate hikes - given how these are prepared ; they are unlikely to be a coordinated Fed message. Powell said pausing allowed the Fed to get more information before making decisions. At a time when data is less reliable, pausing to reflect should be a way of life for policy makers, not a revelation at the eleventh hour.­ Dr. Paul Donovan, "Not the Fed's Finest Hour", UBS Morning Audio Comment, June 15, 2023.

In English, redux describes things that have been brought back-metaphorically, that is. For example, if the relationship between two nations resembles that of the United States and the Soviet Union in the late 20th century, one might call the situation a "Cold War redux". Dictionary, www.merriman-webster.com.

Things are looking up for global equity markets after their strong showing last week. Some, like the German DAX, soared to a new all-time high on Friday. Others, like the Indian NIFTY index, are testing their all-time highs. The Japanese Nikkei exploded to multi-decade highs, while other indices look poised to do the same shortly.

However, this week finds the powerful ringed planet, Saturn, turning retrograde at the same time it forms a favorable sextile aspect with Jupiter, the largest planet in the solar system. Could it be that the elusive sound of a gong everyone is looking for to announce the top of the global economy and stock markets is nearby ? It's always a possibility, and the sentiment is surely bullish, so very few are expecting it. But these are the conditions under which tops form, and the cosmic signatures (mid-June through late July) give the "gong show redux" added gravitas.

In other markets the Dollar is back above the 140 mark against the Yen, but strangely enough the Euro is testing its yearly high against the U.S. Dollar. It's not the Dollar that is the leader, but rather it is the buffer between other currencies, some of which are rising and others falling. This is causing a mixed impact on Gold and Silver. Gold fell to a new cycle low in the August contract when it fell to 1936 on Thursday before rising again to 1980 the very next day. Silver did not make a new cycle low on Thursday's decline back to 23.27, but by Friday, it too was up nicely to a high of 24.29. Bitcoin, like Gold, also fell to a new cycle low on Thursday, and then bounced back smartly by over $1700 by Friday.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer term thoughts :

Congress may have ducked a federal default by voting to lift the debt ceiling two weeks ago. But the real challenge may come in September... McCarthy has made it clear that he won't allow lawmakers to cram together a potpourri of appropriations bills into an omnibus behemoth and pass that to avert a shutdown. He wants the House to consider each of the 12 spending bills one by one. This is why it could be a monster to fund the government this fall and avert a shutdown by September 30, the end of the federal fiscal year. - Chad Pergram, "Congress Marches Toward September Budget Showdown to Avert Government Shutdown", www.foxbusiness.com. June 15, 2023.

Poverty, according to (Adam) Smith, wasn't preordained, and above all, he didn't trust government. He points out that only economic growth can raise living standards. Continuous economic growth is the only way to raise wages, and a stagnant economy leads to falling wages. Elsewhere he writes that famines are the result of government price controls. While Karl Marx claimed nearly a century later that capitalism would lead to growing impoverishment for workers, Smith predicted that economic growth would lead to an increase in living standards. - Rainer Zitelmann, "Adam Smith's Solution to Poverty", Wall Street Journal, June 16, 2023.

Pluto retrograded back into Capricorn last week, and it will remain there until January 23. Thus, many of the themes involving debt, deficits, taxes, and the power of governments over people that were present from January 2008 through March 2023, are due to return. This is apt to be especially critical for the United States, whose natal (founding) Moon/Pluto conjunction in Capricorn will be ignited once again. In truth, it never ceased, and won't cease for at least two years because that is how long Pluto's incubation period requires to manifest the consequences of decisions made under its transiting aspect to a natal planet.

Shorter-term, there are three periods that stand out in June-July 2023. The first is right now as Saturn turns retrograde, and is in a favorable sextile with Jupiter as noted earlier. Additionally, the Sun squares Neptune this weekend, creating a powerful geocosmic reversal zone. Second, financial astrologer Rob Robinson reminds us via the ISAR financial chat room that transiting Mars and Uranus will square one another in late June, touching off the NYSE Mercury/Pluto square at the same time. Neptune just happens to turn retrograde then too, which is one of the very strongest correlations to primary cycles in the DJIA. Third, Venus turns retrograde on July 22, another powerful reversal signature that was present at the low of the dot-com bubble (NASDAQ) stock market crash in October 2002 (the NASDAQ had lost 80% of its value by then) and the Great Recession low of March 6-9, 2009. It also unfolded within two weeks of the all-time high in the DJIA on January 5, 2022.

Thus, the entire period from now through the end of July is vulnerable to a cosmic version of "For Whom the Bell (gong) Tolls". Listen carefully because it may happen when no one is listening. Neptune highlighted prefers silence, when activities are nearly invisible and unnoticed. The Sun squares Neptune this weekend, Neptune turns retrograde on June 30, and Jupiter will make a semi-square to Neptune on July 22. But it may not be that quiet in late July, for the almost-too-loud Mars/Saturn and Sun/Pluto oppositions will also be thunderous July 20-21. That's a combination that probably can't avoid being heard or seen. That's a cannon blast from deep within the earth's surface or well below its waterline. Investors (and refugees) could be in a rush to get their life vest on at some point in June or July, for anytime we see Jupiter in hard aspect with Neptune, it may coincide with a climate of irrational exuberance (euphoria) or hysteria. The latter follows the former.

Longer-Term thoughts :

O.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : MMTA3 Course Three: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles in Financial Markets will begin on Saturday, June 24 at 12PM EDT. This online course will be conducted over six Saturday sessions lasting about 2.5 hours each, via Zoom. Instructors will be Raymond Merriman and Gianni Di Poce.

This 6-week course will cover the role of Transiting Aspects and Ingresses to trading cycles (primary, half-primary, major, and shorter trading cycles) in financial markets. With this course, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the crest and troughs of the primary cycle and its phases and how to determine CRDs (Critical Reversal Dates). Strategies will be discussed for trading them based on cycle studies as well as geocosmic correlations to strength and consistency of the reversals historically. Every class will include a discussion of how these cycles and geocosmics pertain to the current and next week's various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro currency, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent trading opportunities are most likely to take place.

Although this course is part of the overall MMTA graduate program, it may be taken as a solo course for up to ten non-MMTA3 students who wish to learn this material as well.

The cost for this course is $2500 and includes a 90-page workbook, access to all live classes, video recordings of the classes, and slides of the class presentations. For further information on this course, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 2 : RECORDINGS OF THE 2023 MMA INVESTMENT RETREAT on "GEOCOSMIC CORRELATIONS TO LONG-TERM INVESTMENT CYCLES " are now available! The 4-day investment retreat took place June 1-4 at the Michigan State University Management Education Center in Troy, Michigan. Instructors and presenters included Ray Merriman, Gianni Di Poce, Kat Powell, and Rita Perea.

This 4-day intensive described the role of Outer-Planet Aspects and Ingresses to long-term financial market cycles. With this course, one will learn to identify time bands that historically have coincided with the most favorable long-term investment opportunities as well as time bands that have correlated with long-term market peaks or selling opportunities. Outlooks were given for long-term cycles in various markets (such as stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Euro currency, and Bitcoin), with the goal of identifying when the next excellent investment and trading opportunities are most likely to take place.

The cost for these recordings is $2750 and includes all 20 of the video recordings, a 120-page workbook and slides of the class presentations. For further information on this unique and special event, contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or by email at customerservice@mmacycles.com.

             Note 3 : Forecast 2024 is completed in both the print and ebook (English) versions. If you live in the U.S. you should have received it by now. If you live overseas, the actual delivery depends on your postal service .

The price for the printed edition of Forecast 2024 is $66 as long as supplies last. We are down to the last 1-1/2 boxes. Last year's book sold out, so order now before they are gone. There will be no additional printings. The price for the eBook edition will remain $55, and will continue to be available even if the printed edition sells out.

For a review of the Forecast 2022 Book so far, please visit our  Scorecard. It is impressive!.

Offer to consider : With printers dealing with supply problems in getting paper, we cannot guarantee the printed edition of this year's book will be completed on time for delivery by December 25. The book will be written and turned in on time, as usual, and the eBook will be ready on or around December 15. Purchasers of the printed edition may wish to also order the eBook this year to make sure they at least get the text in time. Therefore, we also offer a "bundle" purchasing plan where those who order the printed edition can also order the eBook for only $20.00. That way, you will be assured of receiving the text for reading over the holidays in case the printed edition of the book is not able for delivery prior to December 15 as planned.

We will again publish an individual book dedicated to the yearly trends for the twelve individual signs. The book, Trends for the Twelve Signs 2023, will be written by Antonia Langsdorf-Merriman and Raymond Merriman. Antonia has written an annual Sun Sign book in German for the past several years, based on interviews conducted with Raymond beforehand. Click here to order from Amazon.
We will follow a format this year where Langsdorf will cover the health and relationships outlook and Merriman will cover the business, career, and overall psychological outlook of each sign for the year. The cost of this book will be $25, with a further discount if ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book.

We offer discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com            

             Note 4 : The monthly MMA ETF Report was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.

             Note 5 : THE APRIL ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was issued last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning AI graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 6 : Now you can listen to a podcast or broadcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller. The Free Weekly Forecast Podcast is now available on Saturday. Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify to listen to all our episodes. New episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Spotify and on YouTube. It makes for great listening!

             Note 7 : SUBSCRIBE TO MMA'S WEEKLY YouTube show, Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! To view this week's MMA YouTube episode, click here.

             Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).

We are also pleased to report that starting with this month's issue of the MMA Cycles Report on November 8-9, we have added the Copper market , written by MMTA graduate and portfolio manager Matthieu Kaiser of Paris, France. We are very excited about this addition, as Matthieu has conducted exceptional research studies identifying long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term cycles in the Copper market. Many consider the Copper market to be a leading indicator of the world economy and stock markets. Stay tuned for the first edition of this new market !

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             July 16 - 12.00 PM EDT : The Annual Mid-Year Market Update Webinar with Raymond Merriman and Team. Save the Date! Starts at 12PM EDT, which is 5:00 PM GMT, 6:00 PM CET. It will be very early in the morning in Australia, Beijing and Tokyo. In the comfort of your own home or office, you can tune into MMA's annual Mid-Year Financial Markets Update Webinar. This broadcast will address themes from this year's Forecast 2024 Book , with updates on the U.S. stock market, Gold, and Bitcoin by Ray; Crude Oil, T-Notes and Euro by Gianni Di Poce; Copper by Matthieu Kaiser; and Soybeans by Wyatt Fellows. Cost is $55 and includes access to the live presentation via Zoom, the slides of the presentation, plus the video recording of the live event 24 hours after the presentation. Questions that are submitted one week before the event will be answered if they are deemed of interest to the overall audience. Again, if you are unable to attend live, the video recording will be available the following day.  To register, click here.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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