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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 4 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Hiring cooled this summer and unemployment rose in August, signs the labor market is moderating in the face of high interest rates. U.S. employers added 187,000 jobs last month, while payrolls in June and July were revised down a combined 110,000. The monthly gain in August was well less than the average pace over the prior year, and far below the roughly 400,000 average monthly gain in 2022. The unemployment rate was 3.8% last month, up from 3.5% in July. Gwynn Guilford, "Job Gains Eased in Summer Months, Unemployment Increased in August", Wall Street Journal, September 1, 2023.

Imagine the planets as ships at sea. Imagine their movement through the heavens, as seen from earth (geocentric), as waves on the sea. There are eight planets in our solar system, as seen from Earth (not counting the Earth). At various times, each planet will appear to be going backwards through the heavens, which is known as its retrograde cycle. Six of the planets go retrograde at least once during the year. Venus and Mars will do so once every 19 or 26 months, respectively, while Mercury will go retrograde every 88 days or 3-4 times/year. It is not uncommon to see 1-3 planets retrograde at one time. Four is not too unusual. Five or more is considered a lot. Between August 28 through September 3, six planets will be retrograde. On September 3, Venus will turn direct, dropping it back to five. However, the next day, September 4, Jupiter will turn retrograde, making it six planets retrograde once again until September 15, when Mercury turns direct.

Now think of retrograde planets as increasing the size, rhythm, and direction of the waves. This becomes especially turbulent when several planets change direction in a short span of time. It's like different waves coming from new directions with varying intensity very quickly. The result is choppiness. Sometimes, the ship is lifted very high; other times, it falls precipitously downward. The ship must constantly adjust its course to avoid being overwhelmed by the changing size and direction of the waves.

Now, imagine that financial markets are like ships at sea. When so many planets are retrograde, markets become very choppy, and traders have to constantly adjust their outlooks on new waves (information, data, changes of policy) coming at them in order to stay afloat. This is the imagery of the financial markets in the past week and probably until September 15, when so many planets are retrograde and changing directions. You can navigate - trade - but you need to be constantly alert to sudden changes in the waves that can affect the stability of your position. It is one reason why we do not advise initiating new position trades unless you are able to be extremely attentive and stand the turbulence.

The imagery of a ship being tossed back and forth in turbulent waters was most noticeable in Bitcoin last week. It made what appeared to be a primary cycle trough at 25,350 on August 23 when Mercury (the Trickster) turned retrograde. Last week, it soared to a high of 28,142 on August 28 as Uranus turned retrograde, its highest price in 12 days. By Friday, September 1, it fell to 25,269, a new 11-week low slightly below the low of August 23. Then, it abruptly reversed again. This is classic Trickster performance in front of its higher and even more volatile octave Uranus, which was also turning retrograde. A sharp rally and apparent reversal, followed by a sudden fake out and turn down. The turbulence in Bitcoin may not be over yet, but the fact that it is giving bullish triggers (even if fake-outs) this late in its primary cycle could be a positive sign. We will discuss further in this week's weekly subscription reports with our outlook and strategies for next week.

With global stock markets, the turbulence was more of a strong updraft wave, lifting all markets upwards from their lows of August 18-25, which fits the reversal nature of all these powerful geocosmic signatures in effect then and even through September 8. We expected a primary cycle bottom at that time and/or a secondary low 4-9 days later, and we got both right into our August 25-28 three-star CRD (critical reversal date). The outlook on stock markets is clearer now, especially as Mars has also now entered Libra (August 27-October 11). Again, I will cover that in this weekend's subscription reports.

Gold and Silver also enjoyed nice rallies last week. But whether they are the start of a new primary cycle or just a healthy correction in a bearish primary cycle is still debatable. Crude Oil, on the other hand, appears to be resuming its bullish trend, as discussed in the August 20 webinar for Chinese traders, which also covered their stock and currency markets, plus Bitcoin, U.S. stocks, and precious metals.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

Tolstoy's Napoleon is a puffed up poseur, not so much confident and bold as "intoxicated by the crimes he has committed so successfully". "Only what took place within his own mind interested him. Nothing outside himself had any significance for him, because everything in the world, it seemed to him, depended entirely on his will". When you allow a past work of art to enter your mind and imagination you are embarked on a kind of reclamation project, a rescue mission. As you read, Nicholas and Sonya are alive, but Tolstoy himself is still alive. He isn't gone, his mind is still producing, he continues in human consciousness. You are continuing something. - Peggy Noonan, "My Summer with Leo Tolstoy", Wall Street Journal, September 2, 2023.

Former Wyoming GOP Sen. Alan Simpson used to call Republicans "the stupid party". But Sen. Simpson wasn't done. Democrats, he said, were "the evil party". Which would you rather be right now, the stupid party or the evil party? My money says the evil party will find a way out of the Biden-Trump dilemma. Put it this way: The party that nominates someone other than these two will win the decisive votes of independents, and the election. Once Democrats conclude the Republican Party has arrived at a point of no return on a Trump candidacy, it will be time for another Clyburn moment. - Daniel Henninger, "The Stupid Party Versus the Evil Party: One of the Two Parties Has No Intention of Losing: Guess Which One?" Wall Street Journal, September 1, 2023.

"Never mind. Gods play tricks on us, if there are gods. Gods or no gods, do not matter. That is what makes life what it is. Perhaps I will win, perhaps not. Karma. In this life, in this world of tears, you need a sense of humor, no?" James Clavell, "Gai-Jin", Delacorte Press, June 1993.

These are complicated times, reflected by the complex planetary arrangements currently underway. Jupiter and Uranus are within orb of conjunction in Taurus, and stock markets are rising. But Uranus just turned retrograde, and Jupiter will do the same on Monday. Together, they make a wide grand trine to Pluto in Capricorn and Mercury in Virgo, but both of them are also now retrograde (and Sunday-Monday is also the day that Venus turns direct and Mercury is at the midpoint of its retrograde cycle). A grand trine in earth signs is symbolic of wealth or the potential to earn it. But retrogrades can also indicate turning away from the opportunity to advance in a material sense and choose another path as a maverick.

As investors look at the landscape of financial market opportunities today, they see a myriad of positives, but they can also see how things can turn terribly downward too. Inflation is coming down. But is the downturn really going to last? Or is the quest (greed) by companies to make greater profits through inflation going to bankrupt the common person? On a political level, most people in the U.S. want someone other than Trump or Biden to be the next president. But will the political parties allow anyone else to run as their candidates besides these two? It's complicated. Perhaps it is stupid. Perhaps it is evil. Perhaps we just need to see it as entertainment, to find humor in it, and have faith that it is all karma and part of a divine plan that will somehow work itself out. You may need a strong Neptune or Pisces placement in your chart to do that.

In the immediate future, we note that Mars is now in Libra, usually a time for stock markets to rally. But after that, Mars ingresses into Scorpio from October 12-November 24. In Scorpio, Mars will be conjoined by the Sun on November 18. Several years ago, I did a study on 10% or greater moves in the DJIA in an effort to find out which of the faster-moving transits are most often present. With an orb of 8 degrees, it was the Sun/Mars conjunction. This one will be especially pronounced because, during this 8-degree range, the Sun/Mars conjunction will also be in opposition to both Jupiter and Uranus (early November). These are all powerful Level 1 signatures. The implication? The sharpest decline of the year in U.S. equity prices is likely into - or immediately following - this period. It will be just in time for the "Pre-Presidential Election Year Trough" that is also due September-March preceding the U.S. presidential election.

You know, life is complicated, and the heavens are complex right now. But it is exciting, especially when you have the benefit of the oldest study known to humankind available to use as a reference, as a guide, to help you through these portals of uncertainty. If historical data indicates there is a higher-than-usual probability for a steep decline approaching, you can make a plan to buy when that happens. After all, one of the greatest gifts available to us as part of the same human race is the gift of being able to plan - even when Mercury and Uranus are turning retrograde. However, it is wise to know the difference between a plan and an expectation. Under Mercury and Uranus, you can plan, but be flexible and willing to make adjustments as needed to maximize the potential of the plan. This is an aspect that can usher in a series of sudden inspirations. But sometimes, they come from sudden events that did not unfold quite as one expected. The plan is still good if you can use the turn as an opening for inspiration.

Longer-Term thoughts :

T.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The "Annual MMA Forecast 2024 Pre-Publication Sale" has now started.

The sale will run through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book and  MMA Subscription Reports . You may pre-order Forecast 2024 Print at the discounted rate of $55, or the eBook at $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription Reports is also offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2024.

After the pre-order event ends on November 1st, the retail price of Forecast 2024 Print increases to $66 and the eBook increases to $55.

Want to save even more on Forecast 2024? sign up for any subscription report between now and September 15 th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2024 eBook for only $35 and print edition for $42 !.

MMA will also offer a special "bundle" discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.

Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, "MMA Monthly Grains Report" by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com 

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

The Forecast 2024 Scorecard of the Forecast 2024 Book can now be viewed by clicking here .

             Note 2 :

             Note 3 : .

             Note 4 : The monthly MMA ETF Report was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.

             Note 5 : THE APRIL ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was issued last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning AI graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 6 : Now you can listen to a podcast or broadcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller. The Free Weekly Forecast Podcast is now available on Saturday.
Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify to listen to all our episodes. New episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, MMA- Merriman Market Analyst Podcast  and on YouTube, Merriman Market Analyst. It makes for great listening!

             Note 7 : SUBSCRIBE TO MMA'S WEEKLY YouTube show, Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews market activity of the past week and offer a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! To view this week's MMA YouTube episode, click here.

             Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             A

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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