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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 11 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

Revisions to economic data are widespread and normal. But occasionally the revisions are so big that they upend our shared understanding of what's going on. The problem isn't new, but it's getting worse. Timely data is typically based on surveys, and even companies can't be bothered to fill in surveys any more. Early reporting of figures that are later revised away can send investors in entirely the wrong direction. It can embed an understanding of the economy that takes a long time to be corrected. At worst it can lead to the misallocation of capital and influence government policy or interest rates. - James Mackintosh, "Economic Data Lead Markets and Governments Astray", Wall Street Journal, September 8, 2023.

North Korea-linked hackers have stolen hundreds of millions of crypto to fund the regime's nuclear weapons programs, research shows. "In recent years, there has been a marked rise in the size and scale of cyber-attacks against cryptocurrency-related businesses by North Korea", said TRM Labs in a June discussion with North Korea experts. - Sheila Chiang, "North Korean Hackers Have Allegedly Stolen Hundreds of Millions in Crypto to Fund Nuclear Programs", www.cnbc.com, September 6, 2006.

A deeply divided Congress returned Tuesday from a monthlong summer vacation with the clock ticking to pass spending legislation to avoid a government shutdown and boost U.S. emergency response funding following multiple natural disasters. The U.S. government will shut down at midnight on Sept. 30 if Congress fails to pass spending legislation. - Spencer Kimball, "Congress Returns with the Clock Ticking to Avert Government Shutdown, Fund U.S. Disaster Response", www.cnbc.com. September 5, 2023.

The unusual phenomenon of seven planets either being retrograde or just changing direction continues to disrupt financial markets and produce unclear thoughts about the future of world economies. It is a very choppy, uncertain field of play right now, and it may continue to frustrate both traders and investors alike until at least September 15 when the Trickster - Mercury retrograde - will end its current cycle and turn direct. This would normally be a cause for relief of the uncertainty, except there is another U.S. debt ceiling impasse looming ahead on September 30 that could once again shut down the government, just in time for the Sun/Mars conjunction in November that has a high correlation to severe selloffs in world equity markets within eight degrees of its exactness (October-December). With Mars now in Libra through October 11, investors may ignore this threat until the last minute, thinking once again that lawmakers will find a way to avoid hysteria. I am not sure they will succeed this time, not before November.

World financial markets seemed very chaotic and random during the past few weeks, but they actually moved very much in synch with the retrograde Venus cycle (July 22-September 3). That is, many global stock indices made their yearly highs within a week of Venus turning retrograde. Most then fell hard into August 17-23 as the retrograde brigade started. Most markets had a secondary rally into September 1-4 as Venus turned direct, then started another selloff into the end of last week as Jupiter turned direct (September 4) and was also the benefactor of a trine from the Sun on September 8. Normally one would expect the rally to have continued into the Jupiter highlighted period of September 4-8. But then again, Mercury is retrograde (August 23-September 15) and the Trickster often does just the opposite of what one expects during its "prime time" shenanigan days in the spotlight.

So now the question is whether the Venus direct highs of September 1-4 were secondary but primary cycle highs that will be followed by a multi-month sell off. Or were they just the first leg up in a new bull run, and the decline into late last week was only a corrective low and the new bull run will now resume ? We may not have that answer until the spotlight on the Trickster is turned off at the end of this week.

The choppiness and uncertainty corresponding to the abundance of retrograde planets is noticeable in other markets too. Gold and Silver made important cycle highs on July 20 as Venus trend retrograde and important lows around August 15-17 as the retrograde shower - along with a storm of Uranus signatures - began. But like stocks, Gold and Silver also could only muster a secondary high into Venus direct, and started falling once again into the latter part of last week. Was the September 1 high only a corrective rally ? Or was the decline late last week just a corrective type in a new bull run ? Only the Trickster knows. But we should all know shortly, for the Trickster's battery is about to run out of juice.

In terms of markets, it all comes down to the currencies and in particular, the U.S. Dollar. The Dollar has been rising steadily since Venus turned retrograde, while the Euro has fallen steadily from its peak of July 18, just before Venus turned retrograde. That run may be about to end now that Venus is turning direct. If so, we could see a shift in many financial markets as the U.S. Dollar reverses and starts a decline. Venus, after all, is one of the co-rulers of currencies. It is no wonder that the currency markets are the place to watch closely under Venus retrograde.

Currencies peaked as Venus turned retrograde and went straight down until late last week when she turned direct. The world of finances may be returning back to a semblance of order. Of course, the dysfunctional nature of U.S. politics can still serve as a disruptor to that order as we approach the powerful geocosmic signatures of October and particularly November.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

"After reading de Tocqueville's book on the French Revolution, the emperor's brother, Grand Duke Konstantine, remarked, 'If we do not carry out a peaceful and complete revolution with our own hands, it will inevitably happen without us and against us.' " - Quote from John Mauldin, "Nobel Sacrifices", September 2, 2023.

Mars is in Libra now, August 27-October 11. This is like war (Mars) and peace (Libra), aggression and diplomacy, rash decision-making versus indecisiveness. Markets usually like this combination because there is much talk about the need to do something, but actually doing very little as the urgency of the moment gets lost over the delay of time. Everybody sees the need for action, but there is no consensus of what that action should be. But still, markets usually go up as long as there is hope. The hope is dashed if nothing gets done, however, by the time Mars enters Scorpio. And then there is hell to pay by those who stood in the way of progress when it had the chance to advance. As Grand Duke Konstantine, remarked in the quote above, '. If we do not carry out a peaceful and complete revolution with our own hands, it will inevitably happen without us and against us.'

Shorter-term, Mercury turns direct September 15, followed by Venus square Jupiter September 17 and the Sun/Neptune opposition of September 19. These signatures are likely to coincide with a change of trend in Crude Oil. But they do not lend much clarity in terms of politics. There could be hot rumors afloat - maybe even a scandal - so traders need to be aware of the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" (or vice-versa) mentality. But it's really during October and November when the geocosmic patterns have the most intense narratives ready to release. And in that time frame, Gold is usually quite active (and bullish). We will be covering this correlation closely in our monthly, weekly, and daily reports.

Longer-Term thoughts Personal stories :

The popular Italian city of Venice has approved guidelines Tuesday for charging daily visitors a $5.50 entrance fee next year. "The aim is to disincentivize daily tourism in certain periods, in line with the fragility and uniqueness of the city,'' the news agency quoted Venice as saying in a statement.  - Greg Norman, "Venice, International Travel Hotspot, to Charge Daily Tourists a Fee Next Year", www.foxbusiness.com, September 6, 2023.

Some people never find it, some only pretend. But I just want to live, Happily ever after, now and then" - Jimmy Buffett , "Growing Older but Not Up". Coconut Telegraph, 1981.

I had an interesting summer. It was actually a "wake up call" for me personally. About a month ago, I wrote about being sick - really sick. Like COVID sick. It lasted all of four days. But that wasn't the problem. It was a series of issues that were more ergonomic (muscular/skeletal problems from sitting too long in front of the computer). One thing would get cured and then another would start, beginning in mid-May and finally ending in late August. That's a long time to be struggling. I'm good now (thank you for all of your well wishes!).

But here's the thing that woke me up : my astro twin is Jimmy Buffet, one of the best-selling musicians of all-time (tropical island and rock genre). Now I've never been a big fan of Jimmy Buffet (I am not of the Margaritaville clan). But I watched him over the last several decades because, well, I am an astrologer and I figured whatever happened with him could happen similarly to me. Our cycles of growth and success in business were close in time, though his was on quite a larger scale. Like, he was Jupiter and I was Mercury. So when I read he passed away last week, and I had just come out of my summer of intense health challenges. I thought, maybe it's time for me to step back a bit and enjoy this lifetime and the people in it before it passes by.

I remember the great astrologer Chakrapani Ullal telling me upon our first meeting: "You will not die in your sleep". I was devastated. What ? "No", he said, "You will die while working". Oh hallelujah, I thought. That's wonderful! But now I am not so sure. By the way, another interesting sidenote to my first consult with Chakrapani happened when he asked me what I do. I told him I study astrology and financial markets, that I was a financial market timer. He asked me if I knew. he tried to think of the person's name. maybe it was Merri. "Wait a minute", he said. Are you ?.... " And we both had a good laugh as he realized I was the financial market timer/astrologer he was going to refer me to.

Back to my incredible summer, which, as always, I spent in Europe with my lovely wife Antonia Langsdorf. So, last week Antonia and I took a trip. We had the pleasure of meeting and dining with three of the most impressive mundane astrologers in the world (and our dear friends), Christoph Schubert-Weller and Christof Niederwieser of Germany, and Claude Weiss of Zurich. It was very special to each of us.

On the fourth day we boarded a plane to Venice, Italy, for three days. On our first night there, as we were checking into this fabulous hotel, Antonia's luggage was stolen. Right there is this luxury hotel! I won't go into all the details, but Antonia had a second I-phone in that stolen luggage with a tracking device. With the aid of four polizia, we ran through the dark streets of Venice into a very seedy section where there was a compound of actors with costumes in the hallway straight out of Tom Cruise movie "Eyes Wide Shut". You know, the "Beek-man". It was eerie, but the tracking devise said the luggage was right in this area. The polizia asked us to move to a safer section of this dark and dreary compound while they investigated. A half-hour later they came out and asked us to identify this bag of jewelry, which contained most of Antonia's jewelry. It was there! The luggage had been found! Moral of the story: put a tracking devise in all of your luggage, especially if travelling to Italy. Deeper moral: track your own life and the things that you value in this life. As far as Venice itself, it was very crowded. Too many tourists! And yes, I know, I was one of them. But it made it hard to enjoy. I preferred meeting and dining with the great astrologers of the prior week.

Well, that's my story for this week. I don't know how long I will live in this physical temple I have nurtured all these years. But I do know that now I will try to make sure I don't pass to the cloud while working. And if I do, I hope it will be upon the completion of whatever book I am writing. I wouldn't want to stop the story halfway through. And I don't want to stop this story before experiencing the "Aries Vortex" of 2023-2026. It's feels like my duty - dharma - to help get us there first, with understanding and gratitude about how the cycles of human activity do indeed correlate with the cycles of the cosmos. You now have the subtext of the Forecast 2024 Book I am starting to write.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : The "Annual MMA Forecast 2024 Pre-Publication Sale" has now started.

The sale will run through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual  Forecast Book and  MMA Subscription Reports . You may pre-order Forecast 2024 Print at the discounted rate of $55, or the eBook at $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription Reports is also offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2024.

After the pre-order event ends on November 1st, the retail price of Forecast 2024 Print increases to $66 and the eBook increases to $55.

Want to save even more on Forecast 2024 ? sign up for any subscription report between now and September 15 th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2024 eBook for only $35 and print edition for $42 !.

MMA will also offer a special "bundle" discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.

Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, "MMA Monthly Grains Report" by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages:

German: www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese: https://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese :www.nodoor.com 

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

The Forecast 2023 Scorecard of the Forecast 2023 Book can now be viewed by clicking here.

             Note 2 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!

             Note 3 : .

             Note 4 : The monthly MMA ETF Report was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.

             Note 5 : THE APRIL ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+, edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was issued last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning AI graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the MMA Cycles Report addendum coming out this week. For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 6 : Now you can listen to a podcast or broadcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller. The Free Weekly Forecast Podcast is now available on Saturday.
Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify to listen to all our episodes. New episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, MMA- Merriman Market Analyst Podcast  and on YouTube, Merriman Market Analyst. It makes for great listening!

             Note 7 : .

             Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.. For an additional $20, you can also receive the next issue, due in two weeks, of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, which has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets).

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             A New events coming up will be posted shortly, probably right after Mercury turns direct.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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