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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 2 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated on Friday as investors followed the latest news about a potential government shutdown and ended what has been a tough month for stocks. - Alex Harring, Sarah Min, and Pia Singh, "S&P 500 and Nasdaq Wrap Worst Month in 2023", www.cnbc.com, September 29, 2023.
This was the week that Venus made its third and final square to Uranus (Friday, September 29). One of the outcomes of a hard aspect between Venus and Uranus can be either a breakout of multi-month support/resistance, or a reversal. In this passage, it is coinciding with breakouts so far. Last week witnessed several global stock indices break one support after another. The same happened with Gold, which fell to a low of 1862.30 on Friday, its lowest price since early March.
In terms of the stock market, this column and the MMA subscription reports forecasted that once this current primary cycle tops out, the largest decline of the year would likely commence. So far the sharpest decline of the year in the DJIA has been nearly 3000 points from the high of January 14 (34,342) to March 15 (31,429). The reason for our forecast was based on the idea that this is the third primary cycle since the longer-term cycle trough of October 13, 2022 and third primary cycles often correlate with 50-week cycle lows. This is also the time band of the "Pre-Presidential Election-Year Cycle Trough" that we introduced to readers of our annual Forecast Books several years ago, where the market exhibits a pronounced decline into September-March the year before the U.S. election.
Additionally, there is a Sun/Mars conjunction approaching on November 18. As discussed in our last MMA Cycles Reports, this aspect has a strong correlation to 8% or greater declines in many global stock indices when it is within 8° of exactness. It is within 15° now and so far the decline has been 6.6%. It will enter this degree range in about 3 weeks and last well into December. In other words, the decline now underway isn't likely to end very soon. However, the good news is that once it does end, the strongest rally in over a year is likely to commence.
There is a similar pattern setting up in the Gold market. I discussed this setup in our "X" (formerly Twitter) feed last week. If you don't follow us on Twitter, I suggest you do so, because that is where I discuss many ideas in real time as I see markets behave. Soon, these alerts may be offered as a special subscription service via 'X' as they arise, and not only when a report is scheduled to be released. You can locate us on 'X' at Merriman Market Analyst@mmacycles.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :
The breakouts associated with the Venus/Uranus square generally end within two weeks. This fits well with the fact that there are no other major aspects unfolding until the week beginning October 9, when Mars will square Pluto, which can be an intense, war-like, threatening dynamic. That might be especially intense this time because Pluto will also turn direct the next day (October 10), while Venus is also in opposition to Saturn. Just as important, Mars will enter Scorpio on October 12, lasting through November 24, likely an equally intense period since Scorpio is the natural home to both Mars and Pluto.
Pluto and Scorpio share many psychological characteristics (intensity, relentlessness, exposures and revelations, urge to transform and change, and it can lead to violence). Additionally, both relate to the 4 D's of the financial world: debt, deficits, downgrades, and defaults. Taxes are also included in its arsenal of possible changes in laws related to the economy.
Pluto and Scorpio give no ground based on the mercy principle. It's all or nothing. You are either all in or out. This will be a period when one needs to be strong and focused. Complacency or inattention can lead to losses, whereas focus and concentration can lead to great gains. Make the choice and go for it.
Longer-Term thoughts :
Joe Biden is old, but policy is his problem. I believe the majority of Americans don't like current Democratic policies on major issues. They don't like the party's position on crime, which comes down to the idea that crime is bad but we can't just arrest people and throw them in prison if they're convicted, it's more societally nuanced than that. - Peggy Noonan, "Biden's Trend Line Points Downward : Voters Don't Miss Trump, but They Miss 2019, and They Worry About Crime, Immigration and Inflation", Wall Street Journal, September 30, 2023.
Donald Trump has portrayed every campaign of his short political career in one of two ways : He either won, or the election was stolen. - Scott Patterson, "For Trump, 'Stop the Steal' Campaign Never Gets Old", Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2023.
I am in Los Angeles, California, this week and I am stunned over the rapid increase of violence and theft in both residences and businesses here. My son had a friend whose aunt and uncle own a home in a supposedly safe section Los Angeles (Brentwood). Their movements were being tracked by a group of people. When they went out on errands recently, the group broke into their home, burglarized it in daylight in a short time, destroyed many items, and then sped off with many valuables. It was all recoded on a home security system. Nothing was done. I was told this is a common occurrence now in L.A.
The travails of San Francisco and Oakland's crime spree has been well publicized, too. Looters break into a retail business and take whatever they want, destroying property and products along the way with no consequences afterwards, unless the owner beats them with a stick - and then the owner has to pay the consequences for defending his/her property or that of their boss.
So, I was thinking astrologically : what is correlation to this trend of violence and destruction/robbery of businesses and residences of major cities in California, New York, Illinois, and elsewhere ? I was wondering how California's Governor Newsom can be a serious candidate for Presidency if the basic responsibility of a state or national leader is the protection of its citizens ? In that responsibility, he and other leaders seem to be failing. And when will this trend of violence and disregard for another's property end ? I have some thoughts to share on this national phenomenon.
First, how does this show up in astrological charts ? I think it shows in the founding chart of the U.S., which is not only still undergoing its Pluto return (violence and crime wave), but also in the July 2, 1776 chart that I prefer, Pluto is still within orb of influence to its founding Moon in Capricorn that conjuncts natal Pluto. The Moon is the home, the small businesses, the personal property of citizens. In Capricorn, these violations can connote fear for one's safety, which in turn produces anxiety and stress. Pluto as a transit also has an incubation effect. The problems are established as the aspect begins, but they don't reach their height as serious issues requiring dramatic reform until 1-3 years later. The aspect is exact in 2021-2023, but the manifestation of the events (crimes) may not peak until 2024-2026. Then, solutions that work to reduce this trend significantly may be introduced and put into action.
What indicates a possible solution to this trend of destruction and theft ? I think it will be the "Aries Vortex" (thanks to astro researcher Daniel Gordon for helping to come up with a term to describe this forthcoming astrological pattern). This is when Uranus trines Pluto, and the midpoint will be at 0° Aries, which is also where the Saturn/Neptune conjunction takes place in 2025-2026. Uranus in trine to a planet represents innovative solutions to problems. Pluto pertains to the problem of crime, such as burglaries and destruction of property. So this issue will likely be addressed with a greater sense of urgency then, to protect American citizens and make cities and their business community safer in 2025-2026.
Saturn/Neptune can also represent efforts to enact harsher laws, increase security forces, and actively create an environment of safety, which is something Neptune dearly wants (peace, not fear and anxiety). Saturn/Neptune can also suggest an increase of new jails, prisons, and security forces under the banner of increasing safety. But if not monitored well by people of trust, it can also indicate corruption and theft of funds raised that were designed to address the crime wave. Hopefully, given the cosmic potency of the "Aries Vortex", the choice will be to solve the problem, rather than to use the problem as an excuse to embezzle or misuse the funds for other illegal activities. Politically-speaking, I believe this will be a major issue in the 2024 election : which candidate can best make people feel safe again in their cities ?.
I'm going for the positive solution because the Saturn/Neptune conjunction also makes a favorable sextile to the Uranus/Pluto trine in 2025-2026. I think leaders will take crime seriously and implement new, innovative efforts to reduce crime in large American cities. Once that happens, I also think a positive trend in national economics and the small business sector can begin. Cities will be reborn and people will feel safe visiting and supporting their local businesses. Until then, many may seem like ghost towns as businesses leave and people have nowhere to purchase goods conveniently and safely as they used to.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : The "Annual MMA Forecast 2024 Pre-Publication Sale" is underway.
The sale will run through October 31 and will include our once-a-year sale discounts on both the annual Forecast Book and MMA Subscription Reports . You may pre-order Forecast 2024 Print at the discounted rate of $55, or the eBook at $45. And the best deal on MMA Subscription Reports is also offered at this time! Save 10% off any subscription ($275+) with purchase of Forecast 2024.
After the pre-order event ends on November 1st, the retail price of Forecast 2024 Print increases to $66 and the eBook increases to $55.
Want to save even more on Forecast 2024 ? sign up for any subscription report between now and September 15 th to be upgraded to our Active Subscriber Club. Club members receive a discount code to pre-order Forecast 2024 eBook for only $35 and print edition for $42 !.
MMA will also offer a special "bundle" discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.
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We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.
The Forecast 2023 Scorecard of the Forecast 2023 Book can now be viewed by clicking here.
Note 2 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, "MMA Monthly Grains Report" by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
Note 3 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!
Note 4 : THE SEPTEMBER ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ , edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, will be issued this week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the June MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Please note that subscriptions rates for this report will increase as of January 1, 2024. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 5 : The monthly MMA ETF Report
was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include: SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 6 : Now you can listen to a podcast or broadcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller. The Free Weekly Forecast Podcast is now available on Saturday.
Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify to listen to all our episodes. New episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on
Apple, Spotify, MMA- Merriman Market Analyst Podcast and on YouTube, Merriman Market Analyst. It makes for great listening!
Note 7 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
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February 18, 2024, MMA's Annual Forecast 2024 World Webinar. Details and Reservations will be opened after January 1
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when" to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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