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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 13 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.
Review and Preview :
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he and his colleagues remain steadfast in getting policy in line with their 2% inflation goal, but "we are not confident that we have achieved such a stance". - Jeff Cox, "Powell Says Fed is 'Not Confident' It Has Done Enough to Bring Inflation Down", www.cnbc.com, November 9, 2023.
Global stock indices continued their impressive rallies following their multi-month lows of October 23-30 in most cases. It may be related to the Sun/Mars conjunction of November 18. As discussed in several reports, global stock markets tend to fall at least 8% from their previous high when this aspect is within 8 degrees. That orb began about the time the Sun entered Scorpio on October 23.
In Europe, the Netherlands AEX index bottomed on October 23 at its lowest level in over six months. By Thursday, November 9, it rallied to its highest mark in eight weeks. The German DAX bottomed on October 27, also at its lowest price since March. By Thursday, November 9, it had rallied to a new 4-week high. The Zurich SMI Index bottomed on October 23 at its yearly low. But by Thursday, November 9, it was making a three-week high. The movement in the London FTSE was similar, with a low on October 27, but its rally was over by November 3.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the Australian ASX made its yearly low on October 30 but then managed a 3-week corrective rally so far into November 9. China and Hong Kong suffered a greater stock market collapse into their yearly lows of October 23 and 24, respectively. Since then, their rallies have only been corrective, with the high so far for each November 6-9. India's NIFTY also bottomed on October 26, its lowest price since June, followed by a corrective rally into November 8. The more impressive performance in this region was Japan's Nikkei Index, which rallied to its highest mark in 6 weeks, which followed only a modest corrective decline that ended with a double bottom on October 20 and 31.
In the Americas, all markets performed very well following their multi-month lows of October 26-31. All rallied to new highs on Friday, November 10. For Brazil's Bovespa, this was its highest mark in 13 weeks. For the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P, these were their highest levels in 7-8 weeks.
The cryptos were also on fire. Bitcoin tested 38,000 for the first time since May 2022. Ethereum was also strong, posting its highest price since April 2023.
The script was different in precious metals and Crude Oil. After rallying nearly $200 from its low on October 6 to its high three weeks later, Gold gave back over $80 into Friday's close. Silver's selloff was not nearly so dramatic (less than $1.00 from its high of October 20), but it was weak, nonetheless. Crude Oil dropped below $75.00 last week for the first time since July 20. It is peculiar how equity markets cheered the Fed's announcement of no rate hikes for the moment, but still possible for the future, whereas metals and Crude Oil seemed more focused on the Fed's qualifier that inflation is not yet under control and more rate hikes could still be in the cards. The stars suggest otherwise: no rate hikes are likely while Jupiter is in Taurus, which will remain the case until May 2024. After that, when Jupiter ingresses into Gemini, I think we will see new movement in the employment reports and interest rates.
Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :
Today, the business of politics is about monetizing anger and getting paid for it. And business has never been better. - Senator Joe Manchin, "Why I Won't Be Seeking Re-Election to the Senate: Both Parties Have Come Under the Domination of the Extremes. I Want to Find a Better Way", Wall Street Journal, November 10, 2023.
Let's talk markets first, then politics.
There are a number of potent geocosmic factors in play next week that could reverse stock markets - especially if they are NOT at the beginning of new primary or even longer-term cycles, which they appear to be at the moment. First, both the Sun and Mars will be in opposition to Uranus November 11-13. On Friday, November 17, Mars will trine Neptune. Each of these has a 70% or greater historical correlation to sharp reversals within 4 trading days. Since the market is rallying, we can anticipate this will be a crest, and the overlap is Monday-Thursday.
Additionally, Mars will transit 23° Scorpio on November 14-15, which will form a T-square with the Mercury/Pluto fixed square in the NYSE chart (May 17, 1792). It will be in opposition to the NYSE Sun on November 21. Those aspects imply a sharp decline is possible for the U.S. stock market. Funding to keep the government of the U.S. open is also set to expire on November 17. Last week's market rally suggests that investors think the shutdown will be averted. But with these potentially combative aspects in effect, it may be, at best, another close call that could at least cause a brief, sharp pullback.
Now, as far as politics go, what we see this week may be a preview of what we will see next year in terms of government dysfunction and combative rhetoric and blame. One only needs to look at the charts of Donald Trump and Joe Biden, the leading candidates for the run next year that no one wants. Well, the majority of U.S. voters do not want to see a rematch between these two veterans (putting it mildly). It opens the door for third-party (maybe fourth and fifth, too) candidates. No one is talking about it, but Robert Kennedy Jr. now has 22% percent of voter support as of November 1, according to www.Politico.com. He also has a 36% plurality of independents, according to a recent Quinnipiac University survey.
Another concern that I discuss in the forthcoming Forecast 2024 Book is that Donald Trump will have transiting Jupiter on his Sun-Uranus-Lunar North Node stellium on Election Day, which is a cosmic indicator for victory. But will he be allowed to run ? At the same time (all through 2024), he also has his progressed Mars at 14° Libra on his natal Chiron (wounded), which also happens to fall on the U.S. natal Saturn. They are coming after him, and with Saturn (the government in charge), there is a good chance they will hold him accountable. At least one verdict may not be in his favor. But the U.S. progressed Mars is 17° Libra, on his natal Jupiter. His supporters are not going to sit back. They are going to react.
There is a lot more to this drama taking place as Neptune comes right to the cusp of Aries in the summer of 2024 - in fact, it turns retrograde at 29° 55' Pisces on July 2, the day I use for the birth of the United States when the vote for independence was completed in 1776. And you know what happened the last time Neptune came to the cusp of Aries in April 1861.
I think the drama could all be avoided if both Trump and Biden chose to spend their golden years out of public office, far removed from the stress of politics that neither needs in terms of their personal well-being. And by doing so allow the country to move forward and avert an otherwise imminent stress. With Neptune being highlighted, it's OK to wish, isn't it ? Maybe prayer would be more constructive. Maybe a spiritual practice even more so.
Longer-Term thoughts Q & A With Ray :
Q : I get lost in the astrological relationships you are citing in the weekly free reports and when I read the FORECAST books as well...thus, in the past, I have been effectively skipping those sections to get to the meat of your messages, and they have been outstanding. I would be the first subscriber, if you had a non-astrological summary narrative of each report that you offer... As always, thank you for all you do and I am again looking forward to the 2024 FORECAST. John H, subscriber
A : Thanks, John. I appreciate your kind words and support. Offering another report that eliminated astro jargon may not be received so well, as half of our subscribers do know astrology, and that is our unique niche (expertise) in the field of market timing. But actually, our daily report does what you suggest - very little astro jargon and very clear buy and sell zones to initiate and exit positions. Our weekly analysis has more commentary using astro jargon in one paragraph for each market but also gives clear buy and sell zones for traders in the strategies section. But the longer-term reports, like the monthly reports and especially the Forecast Book, provide discussions on the correlation of planetary cycles with market cycles, which many readers who understand the astrological language do like to see. Yet, there, too, we summarize each market with signals as clearly as we possibly can, but also knowing that the longer-term the view is, the less specific we can be, as technical, cyclical, and chart patterns change during the course of a year, and even during the course of a month. Hence, we can't be nearly as specific with our strategies here as we are in the daily and weekly reports. Thank you, John, for your question, and I hope this explains why we do what we do.
Comment : If you are interested in taking the first steps into learning the geocosmic principles in regard to financial markets, then you may wish to start with the beginning primer, Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies by Raymond Merriman. This is available on the MMA website for $16.00.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
Note 1 : THE ANNUAL FORECAST 2024 BOOK IS COMING DECEMBER 15 !!! Pre-publication orders can be secured by clicking here. This will be the 48 th year of publishing this popular annual astrological almanac by Raymond Merriman. Approximately 200 pages, the yearly Forecast Book projects the major social, political mundane, and economic issues of the next year as seen through the lens of rhythmic and planetary cycle studies. This is critical at this time because we are approaching the Aries Vortex in 2025-2026, which itself is the middle of the "New Aira" period of 2020-2032. In addition to analysis of mundane cycles, this book then goes into depth on the market and planetary cycles in effect related to the Stock Market, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin. Currencies, Crude Oil, Treasuries and Interest rates, and Grain markets. The back section contains an ephemeris and geocosmic calendar outlining planetary aspects and lunar ingresses in effect every day of every month from January 2024 through March 2025.
The retail price of Forecast 2024 Print increases is $66, and the eBook is $55. The print edition is limited to a print of 20% of all pre-orders received by December 1. When they sell point, they are gone. There are no reprints. This book has sold out in six of the last eight years, so order now and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2024 .MMA will also offer a special "bundle"discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.
This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages :
German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch
Japanese : https://www.toushinippou.co.jp
Chinese : www.nodoor.com
For more information on this year's Forecast Book, please view our recent YouTube Video Interview with Ray and Alie at the Merriman Market Analyst YouTube channel , or by clicking here.
We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.
Note 2 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, "MMA Monthly Grains Report" by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.
Note 3 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!
Note 4 : THE October ISSUE OF THE MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ , edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was released last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the June MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Please note that subscriptions rates for this report will increase as of January 1, 2024. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.
Note 5 : The monthly MMA ETF Report
will be released this week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include : SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.
Note 6 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.
Note 6 : MMA'S FREE WEEKLY COLUMN IS NOW ON SPOTIFY, APPLE, AND AMAZON PODCAST! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays ! Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. New Podcast episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Apple Music. It makes for great listening!.
Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.
MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above
Upcoming Events :
December 10, 2023 : SPECIAL WEBINAR ON OPTIONS STRATEGIES USING MMA MARKET TIMING TECHNIQUES. This three-hour Zoom workshop will be led by veteran options trader and MMTA student Derak Pania, who made an splendid presentation to the class just before the Gold move that began October 6. Derek will discuss the nature of options (terminology, calculations of Delta and other Greek studies to determine the best value options to trade at the given time, and option strategies like bull and bear spreads. His strategy to buy Gold calls and bull option spreads in early October has already resulted in exceptional profits for MMTA students. He will revisit this trade and discuss new strategies in other markets that look attractive for options trading in early December. The cost will be $195.00 if registered before December 1, and $250 afterwards. Registration for this workshop will open next week at www.mmacycles.com > Shop > Webinars a
January 12, 2024. "Trends for 2024", sponsored by AstroData of Zurich, Switzerland. Speakers to be announced shortly, but will include Ray Merriman giving his outlook on 2024. This event is in German, and Merriman's presentation will be translated from English to German. For further information, contact www.AstroData.com
February 18, 2024, MMA's Annual Forecast 2024 World Webinar. Details and Reservations will be opened after January 1.
April 20, 2024 : "FORECASTS 2024 AND THE APPROCHING ARIES VORTEX," Nova Southwestern University, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, with Ray Merriman. An in-person event and workshop, 10:30 AM - 5:00 PM with a 90-minute lunch break. Cost $95.00. This event will not be broadcast via Zoom, but recordings will be made available for sale a few days afterwards. For further information and registration, please click here.
September 19-22, 2024 : SAVE THE DATES!!! This will be the next MMA Investment Retreat! Negotiations are currently underway to bring this exciting gathering to a destination location in Europe for the first time since 2015. Once the agreement with the hotel is finalized, we will make a formal announcement, but for now. SAVE THE DATES! You won't want to miss this chance to meet with the top MMA Analysts (and others to be invited) live and hear their strategies for long-term investments and wealth building ideas using MMA market timing methods. There is nothing quite like a life altering MMA Investment Retreat!
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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