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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 27 - 2023
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

This year's printed version of Forecast 2024 will also be available in these other languages, as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese      

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note 1 : The purpose of this column is to provide educational insights into the tenets of geocosmic studies as they correspond to economic, political, and socio-psychological matters, as one of several tools that in turn may assist in the practice of financial market timing. This column is not intended, nor should it be used, as an advisory service for trading financial markets, without use of other financial market analysis tools. MMA subscription reports provide that type of advisory service, with specific recommendations for trading.

Review and Preview :

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Friday, as the major averages notched a four-week winning streak. The moves come as Treasury yields this week hit multi-month lows on hope inflation is cooling and the Federal Reserve may be done raising rates. The benchmark rate was up 6 basis points at around 4.476% on Friday. - Hakyung Kim, Fred Imbert, "Dow Closes 100 Points Higher Friday as Major Averages Rise for a 4th Straight Week", www.cnbc.com, November 24, 2023.

In the shortened holiday week, U.S. stock indices continued an impressive rally that began from their 50-week cycle low on October 27. Multi-week or multi-month highs were also notched in other world stock indices, except in Australia, the UK, and Hong Kong. Perhaps the most impressive stock market was Japan, where the Nikkei soared to its highest level since its all-time high in late 1989 and early 1990.

Bitcoin was a star again, crossing the 38,000 mark on Friday for the first time in 18 months. It then promptly gave back nearly $1000 an hour later. Gold and Silver also enjoyed healthy rallies. Silver rose to its highest mark since early September. Gold, however, was not able to make a new monthly high, creating a potential case of intermarket bearish divergence. Crude Oil had an inside week as it continues to trade near five-month lows. That may change December 6-17 when Neptune turns direct and will form a square aspect with the Sun. Neptune and Pisces co-rule Crude Oil in our work.

Short-Term Geocosmics and longer-term thoughts :

"An irony of any period of technological change is that economic success does not depend on technology. Economic growth depends on how the technology is used, which means that people are what matters. The mantra for corporate and economic strength in a rapidly changing world is "right person, right job, right time". This rise in prejudice politics undermines economic growth. If the right person for a job is deemed to come from the wrong social group and denied employment, their skills are lost to the economy. That economic underperformance can, of course, fuel further prejudice and economic nationalism. - Dr. Paul Donovan, "The Threat of Prejudice Politics", UBS Weekly, November 27, 2023.

In case you're worried that you are too old to pursue your dreams. Frank Lloyd Wright completed 1/3 of his life's work between the ages of 82-90. Wright's career spanned an impressive seven decades, a time period over which he developed his distinctive point of view and style. Wright saw architects as the poets of their time - an artistic historian of sorts. He believed in creating structures that lived in harmony with the natural world, a point of view which he called "organic architecture". - "Forever Modern", https//www.optima.inc.

The Sun is now in the optimistic (and sometimes overly optimistic) sign of Sagittarius as of November 22. As expected, equity prices moved higher. Mercury and Mars are also in Sagittarius, supporting the bullish influence of global and U.S. equity markets. But that will begin to shift when Mercury ingresses into the more skeptical sign of Capricorn, December 1-23. Along the way, Mercury will turn retrograde on December 13, lasting through January 1, which indicates end-of-the-year trading may be "tricky". That's why we call Mercury retrograde the "trickster". Prices will often move below support or above resistance, only to reverse right after giving a false buy or sell signal.

At the moment, the Sun and Mars in early Sagittarius are forming a square aspect to Saturn in early Pisces, November 23-25. These are moderately strong aspects, and given that the U.S. stock market typically runs up into the Thanksgiving holiday, a corrective retracement of the rally over the past four weeks would not be out of line. Plus, it is two weeks now since the Sun and Mars were in opposition to Uranus on November 11-13, which coincided with the upside breakout in U.S. equity indices on November 14. Typically, upside breakouts under a strong Uranus period will pause after 2-3 weeks.

Looking further ahead, we note a series of strong geocosmic signatures related to market reversals arriving December 6 (Neptune direct) through December 21 (Venus opposition to Uranus). This might be a most volatile time with larger than normal price swings, especially given that it will also occur nearby to Mercury turning retrograde (the "trickster"), which also tends to coincide with large price swings.

On a socio-cultural issue, the current aspects of Saturn can bring to light issues of discrimination, especially regarding age. Saturn rules both discrimination and age-related matters. In my earlier social activism days of the 1960s, we used to have a saying, "Never trust anyone over 30". Now, the saying goes, "Never trust anyone under 30". Both cases are a sign of age discrimination, for age - like height, skin color, and sexual gender at birth - are things that cannot be changed (although that reality may be negotiated in the latter case). To devalue someone based on any of these characteristics is discriminatory and will likely have less of a place in social-cultural mores as Pluto moves more fully into the sign of Aquarius (2023-2043) and especially when Uranus trines Pluto in air signs, 2025-2028.

For now, though, it would be wise (and healthy for society and world economies) of the world (and America) to evolve through the focus on diversity as something that separates and divides us according to age, skin color, or sexual gender, to the larger picture of unity where the focus is on deeper qualities that we share in common, unite us, and are necessary for our survival and peace. Think in terms of "diversity within unity" rather than "unity within diversity". Or diversity as a subset of unity, rather than diversity as the "whole" and unity as a "part". Older and younger people are subject to discrimination in the workplace (hiring), education (admissions), social groupings, etc., just because of their age, which has adverse consequences not only socially but also economically for communities and nations in the long run.

In the words of legendary baseball pitcher Satchel Page, who refused to give his age because he thought major league teams would not sign him, especially during the time that MLB was just beginning to cross its color barrier (he had to fight through two levels of discrimination), "Age is a question of mind over matter. If you don't mind, it don't matter". It is said that he pitched until he was 59 years old. If you have passion for what you do and take care of your health, there is no reason why you can't achieve great things well into life, just as Satchel Page and Frank Lloyd Wright did.

Longer-Term thoughts Q & A With Ray :

Q :What is your process or favoritism when charting futures? Specifically, as it relates to trendlines.

For example, a continuous contract chart, normal or adjusted, rarely ever matches the front contracts trendlines... i.e... channels and etc. With that being said, have you found that one or the other gives more reliability over the other, over the years? J. O., trader

A : That's a good point and a reason why I use "cash charts" whenever possible, such as DJIA, or Euro. Trendlines are not my most favorite charting technique for this reason on daily charts, but they still work quite well on monthly charts and often weekly charts, too.

If there are three points on a trendline and at least one contains a primary cycle (approximately 18-week cycle, low to low), I do consider it important. Otherwise, the chart patterns I prefer most for decision-making are double tops and bottoms, especially when the second low or high is accompanied by a case of bullish or bearish divergence with a related market (intermarket divergence, where one market makes a higher high or lower low and the other does not) ) or an oscillator (i.e., the price makes new low and secondary bottom but the oscillator is higher, or vice-versa for high). I also pay attention to whenever a secondary low or high forms 4-9 trading days later and doesn't take out the previous high or low but comes close. When that's a low, it's also called a "Lendahl Wiggle". These are my favorite chart setups when primary cycle lows or highs are due. But the expert on a variety of chart patterns is Gianni Di Poce, who teaches a class on that in Course 6 of the MMTA program.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             Note 1 : Great News! Thanks to the genius of Thomas Miller, an Abridged Edition of Forecast 2024 will be available as an Audiobook this year - maybe as early as next week! ! This shortened MP4 audio edition, narrated by Thomas Miller, will include all chapters except the financial markets and the calendar/ephemeris pages in the back of the annual book. The abridged edition will include the first nine chapters on the Mundane Astrological outlook for the year (and the next eight years) based on the long-term planetary cycles and their historical themes over the past several centuries. This will include "The New Aira", The "Aries Vortex", Cycles of War and Renaissance, Living in "The New Aira", The World and National Economy, and The U.S. Presidential Election in 2024. Original and special studies conducted on the history of the major aspects in 2024 related to the election outcome are given. The audiobook will also include the retrograde time bands of Mercury, and Mars and their importance in 2024.

Offering the Forecast 2024 Audiobook at a very affordable price is something new for MMA, and an excellent choice for those who enjoy listening to books while driving, walking, or working out. The narrator, Thomas Miller, is a well-known astrologer and podcast host of "Fun Astrology" (but it is also serious astrology, at https ://funastrology.com ). Thomas has an excellent voice from years in radio broadcasting. The cost of the Forecast 2024 Audiobook is $29.99. If you already pre-ordered the print or eBook edition of Forecast 2024 , check your inbox, as you will receive a special coupon code to SAVE $10 on the Forecast 2024 Audiobook . The audiobook will be ready before the print edition (before December 15). For more information or ordering, please click here.

             Note 2 : THE ANNUAL FORECAST 2024 BOOK IS COMING DECEMBER 15 !!! Pre-publication orders can be secured by clicking here. This will be the 48 th year of publishing this popular annual astrological almanac by Raymond Merriman. Approximately 200 pages, the yearly Forecast Book projects the major social, political mundane, and economic issues of the next year as seen through the lens of rhythmic and planetary cycle studies. This is critical at this time because we are approaching the Aries Vortex in 2025-2026, which itself is the middle of the "New Aira" period of 2020-2032. In addition to analysis of mundane cycles, this book then goes into depth on the market and planetary cycles in effect related to the Stock Market, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin. Currencies, Crude Oil, Treasuries and Interest rates, and Grain markets. The back section contains an ephemeris and geocosmic calendar outlining planetary aspects and lunar ingresses in effect every day of every month from January 2024 through March 2025.

The retail price of Forecast 2024 Print increases is $66, and the eBook is $55. The print edition is limited to a print of 20% of all pre-orders received by December 1. When they sell point, they are gone. There are no reprints. This book has sold out in six of the last eight years, so order now and make sure you receive your copy of Forecast 2024 .

MMA will also offer a special "bundle"discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2024. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition, and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially if overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via The Forecast 2024 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the eBook on December 15 th, and your Print copy will be mailed mid-December.

This year's printed and eBook versions will also be available in these languages :

German : www.mma-europe.ch or email at info@mma-europe.ch

Japanese : https ://www.toushinippou.co.jp

Chinese Chinese : www.nodoor.com

For more information on this year's Forecast Book, please view our recent YouTube Video Interview with Ray and Alie at the Merriman Market Analyst YouTube channel , or by clicking here.

We created an updated list of our most common Forecast FAQs to help this Forecast season.

             Note 3 : SPECIAL "INTRODUCTION TO OPTIONS" WORKSHOP, December 10. On September 30 and October 7, veteran options trader and MMTA student Derek Panaia gave a presentation to MMTA students on how to use options and option spreads to trade big moves in Gold as suggested by MMA market timing methods. The strategies presented during these two presentations resulted in gains exceeding 500% in less than 2 weeks. By popular demand, the students have requested a full three-hour Zoom workshop on his methods, and MMA will sponsor this workshop on Sunday, December 10, open to all readers of MMA reports and this column. In this workshop, Derek will discuss the nature of options, terminology, and calculations of Delta and other Greeks to determine the best value options to trade at the given time. He will also cover simple option strategies with limited risks, like bull and bear spreads when large price moves are anticipated. His strategy to buy Gold calls and bull option spreads in early October has already resulted in exceptional profits for MMTA students. He will revisit this trade and discuss new strategies in other markets that look attractive for options trading in early December. The cost will be $195.00 if registered before December 1, and $250 afterwards. Registration for this workshop is now open. Click here for more information and registration.

             Note 4 : Special Offer this season !!! MMA's newest monthly report, "MMA Monthly Grains Report" by Grains Analyst Wyatt Fellows. The cost of this subscription is normally $325, but on sale now for only $300 for a 1-Year subscription. If ordered together with the Forecast 2024 Book , there will be two further 10% discounts making the cost of the report only $270 for a 1-Year Subscription! This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Grain Report just started in January 2023 and has been extremely accurate. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and need an accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

MMA offers discounts to our Forecast Fan Club Members and our Active Subscriber Club members. Check out our page on Forecast Club Levels to learn more about these discounts.

             Note 5 : THE MMA WEEKLY YouTube show Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead, with Gianni Di Poce, is now conducted on Wednesday evenings !. Each 5-15 minute FREE episode reviews the market activity of the past week and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the next week and beyond. You may subscribe to MMA's YouTube Channel today at no cost and get alerted when a new weekly episode is released! Tune in on Wednesday evenings to hear Gianni and his guests update financial markets on YouTube!

             Note 6 : THE October ISSUE OF THE  MMA Monthly Cycles Report Plus+ , edited by Pouyan Zolfagharnia, was released last week. This market letter has become a very popular addition to the MMA Cycles Report (less technical, more visual with horoscopes of current importance, high-quality analysis and update on MMA Cycles Report markets). The mid-month addendum to the MMA Cycles report has stunning graphics and charts (people love it!) and is very readable. It contains more illustrations and references to geocosmics than most MMA Cycles reports and is only available for subscription to those who also subscribe to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report. If you wish to try this month's addendum, along with the latest issue of the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, sign up online at the link above. The cost for a monthly copy of both reports is $55. That will give you both the most recent June copy of the MMA Cycles Report and the June MMA Cycles Report Plus+ addendum coming out this week. Please note that subscriptions rates for this report will increase as of January 1, 2024. Sign up now and save big bucks! For further information and ordering instructions, please click here.

             Note 7 : The monthly MMA ETF Report was released last week.
Many have asked about a monthly report on Bitcoin, and the Monthly ETF Report does this via BITO, the ETF on Bitcoin. Written by MMA market analyst Gianni Di Poce, the ETF is a monthly newsletter that everyone trading ETFs is encouraged to read, especially those that seek less risky trading venues than futures. This report covers 8 ETFs on a monthly basis for readers. The ETFs include : SPY (S&P 500), GDX (gold miners), BITO (Bitcoin), TLT (+20-year Treasuries), USO (Crude Oil), XLV (healthcare), XLK (technology), and XHB (homebuilders). This is a report that was requested by popular demand and Gianni's insights and strategies are excellent. For further information, click here.

             Note 8 : The MMA Grain Cycles report by MMTA Graduate Wyatt Fellows was issued last week. This is an exceptional report by a top MMTA graduate who is also the owner of a large family farm operation. Wyatt knows the farming business and grain markets from both a cyclical and fundamental point of view. This report is an in-depth look at long-and short-term cycles in Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Cotton. The MMA Cycles Grain Report has been extremely accurate in its first editions that began in January. If you trade grains or are in the farming business and wish for accurate timing and understanding of when to hedge your crop, this report is not to be missed! To order, click here.

             Note 9 : MMA'S FREE WEEKLY COLUMN IS NOW ON SPOTIFY, APPLE, AND AMAZON PODCAST! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays ! Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. New Podcast episodes will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Checkout out our Podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Apple Music. It makes for great listening!.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles : The monthly edition of the MMA Montly Cycles Report (ICR) and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports was released last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
One month trial subscriptions are available for this service for $35.00, which includes the current issue.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a one month trial basis for only $35.00.

             MMA's annual Forecast Book : see above

Upcoming Events :

             December 10, 2023 : SPECIAL WEBINAR ON OPTIONS STRATEGIES USING MMA MARKET TIMING TECHNIQUES. This three-hour Zoom workshop will be led by veteran options trader and MMTA student Derak Pania, who made an splendid presentation to the class just before the Gold move that began October 6. Derek will discuss the nature of options (terminology, calculations of Delta and other Greek studies to determine the best value options to trade at the given time, and option strategies like bull and bear spreads. His strategy to buy Gold calls and bull option spreads in early October has already resulted in exceptional profits for MMTA students. He will revisit this trade and discuss new strategies in other markets that look attractive for options trading in early December. The cost will be $195.00 if registered before December 1, and $250 afterwards. Click here for more information and registration.

             January 12, 2024. "Trends for 2024", sponsored by AstroData of Zurich, Switzerland. Speakers to be announced shortly, but will include Ray Merriman giving his outlook on 2024. This event is in German, and Merriman's presentation will be translated from English to German. For further information, contact www.AstroData.com.

             February 18, 2024, MMA's Annual Forecast 2024 World Webinar. Details and Reservations will be opened after January 1.

             April 20, 2024 : "FORECASTS 2024 AND THE APPROCHING ARIES VORTEX," Nova Southwestern University, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, with Ray Merriman. An in-person event and workshop, 10 :30 AM - 5 :00 PM with a 90-minute lunch break. Cost $95.00. This event will not be broadcast via Zoom, but recordings will be made available for sale a few days afterwards. For further information and registration, please click here.

             September 19-22, 2024 : SAVE THE DATES!!! This will be the next MMA Investment Retreat! Negotiations are currently underway to bring this exciting gathering to a destination location in Europe for the first time since 2015. Once the agreement with the hotel is finalized, we will make a formal announcement, but for now. SAVE THE DATES! You won't want to miss this chance to meet with the top MMA Analysts (and others to be invited) live and hear their strategies for long-term investments and wealth building ideas using MMA market timing methods. There is nothing quite like a life altering MMA Investment Retreat!

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             It is with great pleasure that I announce the addition of Egon von Greyerz to MMA Investment Retreat faculty of presenters. I met Egon last week in Girona, Spain, at a special gathering attended by MMTA Graduates Nitin Bhandari (India), Philipp Beyer (Germany), Henry Canciglia (USA) and myself. Egon is an expert on Gold. He owns Matterhorn Asset Management, a Swiss Asset Management company specializing in wealth preservation, located in Zurich ( www.goldswitzerland.com). He was also the person who initiated the "..Save Our Swiss G"...Act in Switzerland late last year, which would have required the Swiss National Bank to back up their assets with 20% Gold holdings. The initiative failed, but his reasons for initiating this effort are still valid. Egon is very interested in MMA cycles' work, and will share his outlook on Gold and the world debt. This is a real treat!

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             The new book titled Solar-Lunar Keys to Gold Prices : Secrets of a Gold Trader, is now out. The long awaited sequel to the Secrets of a Silver Trader is due out in late October (maybe before)!!!
Now, GOLD as you have never seen it by night or day. The studies for the soon-to-be-released book are now completed and the results are now being used in the weekly and daily MMA subscription reports for short-term trading strategies in Gold. That's right... historically tested Solar-Lunar Correlations to trading reversals in the Gold Market - as only available from Raymond Merriman. The studies cover over 40 years of daily Gold, starting from December 31, 1974 through April 2015. The book will change how you approach trading Gold using these leading solar-lunar indicators, with very clear instructions as to "when"to expect 3%, 4%, or greater reversals in Gold prices and how to trade them. It will be a valuable guide for short-term traders of Gold, GLD, and other ETF's involving Gold prices. You may call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@gmail.com and place your pre-order now. It is also now available for purchase on the MMA web site at www.mmacycles.com. Order now and get the first printing of this new book on trading Gold!

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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