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The best market timing for Silver
MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 22 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             Due to travels in Europe and the all-day Saturday Symposium in Cologne, Germany January 20, this report will be written before markets close on Friday. Even so, it is proving to be an interesting week, as we are in the midst of the first significant time band of important multiple geocosmic signatures for this New Year, January 8-22. And within this time band, the most important signature is the Jupiter-Uranus square of Monday, January 22. Historically this aspect has a 71% correlation to the culmination of 50-week or greater cycles in U.S. stock indices, within an orb of 15 trading days, according to the studies reported in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles.

            Many of the world's equity markets were strong again last week - but not all. In Europe, the Swiss Stock index soared to yet another new all-time high as of Thursday, reaching 9151. Both the Netherlands AEX and German DAX indices also made new multi-year highs last week, with the DAX hitting 6748 on January 16 and the AEX up to 508 as of January 18. But the London FTSE failed to surpass its recent high of 6322 recorded on January 3, for yet another potential case of Intermarket bearish divergence within a critical reversal zone (January 15-22).

            In the Pacific Rim, the All Ordinaries index of Australia soared to another new all-time on Thursday, reaching 5678. The Japanese Nikkei also attained a new 8-month high on Thursday at 17,409. This is important resistance, because of a long-term monthly trend line that shows much resistance at 17,300-17,600. If it can close above that trend line area, it could commence a very explosive upside breakout. But in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng has so far failed to exceed its all-time high of 20,554 back on January 3. It did manage to rally back to 20,297 on Thursday, so perhaps it will make a newer high yet before the geocosmic critical reversal period ends next week. If not, we will have a case of Intermarket bearish divergence for this region too.

            The countries of America also show signs of Intermarket bearish divergence in this critical reversal zone. The Dow Jones Industrial Average made another new all-time high on January 17 at 12,614. The NASDAQ Composite also made a new 6-year high last Tuesday, right in the middle of this geocosmic cluster, at 2508. However, that is still more than 50% off the all-time high of 5132 recorded back on March 10, 2000. Once that high was posted last Tuesday, the Composite fell quite hard as of Thursday. This fits last week' comments, stating, “.but that (rally) could change as we get closer and closer to the powerful Jupiter-Uranus waning square of January 22. With Uranus, one would expect the upward surge - and reversal - to be led by the tech stocks (NASDAQ Composite.” In South America, neither the Bovespa nor Merval indices of Brazil and Argentina were able to make new highs last week. In fact, they continue falling rather hard from their all-time highs posted in the first two trading days of this New Year.

            The big story last week was again in Crude Oil, which broke below the important 50.00/barrel level for a brief time on Thursday (it dropped to 49.90).  We are within 9 trading days of that important Jupiter-Uranus square that we discussed previously as another time when Crude Oil could be forming a long-term cycle low. Gold and Silver had wide price swings the first four days of last week, but no confirmation of its trend. But the foreign currencies and Treasuries (T-Notes) did give signs of a bottom, close to January 16, which was the date that Mars ingressed into Capricorn, conjuncting the Sun of the Federal Reserve Board chart, and opposing it natal Pluto. And once again Corn prices soared to another new 10-year high, touching $4.20/bushel last week.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             There is one very important geocosmic date this week: Monday, January 22. That is the date when Jupiter will form its first of three waning squares for the year to Uranus, and at the same time, Venus will form an opposition to Saturn. Both of these are considered Level 1 signatures, the strongest correlation (71%) to primary of greater cycles in U.S. stock indices, within 9 trading days in the case of Jupiter-Uranus, and 12 trading days in the case of Venus-Saturn. It is obvious that if a primary or greater cycle is forming now, it will be a crest.

            Other than that, there are some interesting ingresses that occur on Friday, January 26. Geocentric Venus moves into Pisces, while heliocentric (as seen from Sun) Venus ands Mercury both move into Aries. This combination usually has relevance to reversals in some currency prices, like the Yen to the Dollar or Euro. ?

Long-Term Thoughts :

             As stated earlier, this week will witness the first of three passages of the Jupiter-Uranus waning square. The next two will unfold on May 10 and October 9. This is a 14-year planetary signature. The last time it occurred was in a one-passage event on September 16, 1993, which was just three days after a 50-week cycle trough in the DJIA.  That was also the year of the "Great Flood," when the Mississippi River overflowed and destroyed much of the grain crops in the USA. I found out this week that the Rhine River also flooded that year in Cologne, Germany.

            This signature represents a major theme for the year, for it was present in a T-square to the Moon in Gemini as the New Year began three weeks ago. Jupiter is in its ruling sign of Sagittarius, which - by itself - is considered very favorable, even lucky. It is a principle suggesting optimism, hope, and confidence. Indeed, if we look back at the twelve-year intervals when this occurs, we will see that equity markets have been far more often bullish than bearish (1995 and 1983 as recent examples). But Uranus is in a square aspect to Jupiter this time, and the nature of Uranus is not follow tradition, but rather to break away from that which is expected. Uranus represents surprises, and the unexpected. In terms of markets, it can coincide with either breakouts of support or resistance areas, or sudden and dramatic reversals.

            In aspect to one another, Jupiter and Uranus can represent unexpected reversals of a large price swing. Jupiter tends to exaggerate. Uranus tends to be without respect for tradition or levels of support-resistance. These are not principles of markets that will trend smoothly in anyone direction. Thus there is still reason to think that the U.S. (and other) stock markets could experience a very sudden 20+% decline out of the blue, sometime this year. Everyone is focused on the economy and claims that it is strong, so there is no sign of such a decline on the horizon. But as students of market history, we know that declines are not always led by economic fundamentals. To the contrary, sudden reversals in stocks indices lead to changes of trend in the economic fundamentals. When the great stock market crashes of 1987 and 1929 happened, it wasn't because of problems in the economy. The problems were within the mechanics of the markets themselves. Speculators were overleveraged in “good” economic times. When they failed to make their margins, then problems extended to the lending institutions, and then chaos began to happen.

            I bring this up, because in spite of the favorable presence of Jupiter in Sagittarius, its square to Uranus is a signature when chaos can suddenly break out, and without much warning. And if it happens, the exaggerative nature of Jupiter-Uranus can turn a little dangerous and ugly, especially given that this aspect is happening within the greater 36-year cycle of Saturn in opposition to Neptune, an aspect that can indicate depression. If the market were subject to a psychological evaluation this year, I would say it could exhibit qualities of manic (Jupiter-Uranus) and depression (Saturn and Neptune). It could be a year of many gains and new all-time highs. But it can also be a year that witnesses a sudden 2-8 month decline in which prices drop over 20% to the four-year cycle troughs. The time band for that 3-5 year cycle trough is still in effect in 2007, as measured from the last 4-year cycle trough of October 10, 2002 in the USA, or March 12, 2003 in Europe, or even April 2003 in some Asian countries. Perhaps it starts - and/or ends - nearby to one of these Jupiter-Uranus squares of 2007. .

Announcements :

              To all of our European readers, and especially German-speaking audience, please note that I will be giving a talk in Koln, Germany, titled: “Forecasts for 2007: A Mundane Astrological and Financial Markets Overview.” It will take place January 20, 2007, 10:00 AM - 6:00 PM, at the one-day symposium, sponsored by DAV (largest German Astrology organization) and MMA-Europe, at the Maritim Cologne Hotel. The title of the symposium is “Signs for the Future: An Astrological Look at World, Economic, and Individual Conditions for 2007 and Beyond.” Guest speakers include Claude Weiss (Switzerland), Christoph Schubert-Weller (Germany), Antonia Langsdorf (Germany), Alexandra Klinghammer (Switzerland), and Raymond Merriman (USA). Cost is 75 Euro for pre-registration. For further information, contact 49-221-6800050, or go to http://www.mma-europe.de. Or email info@mma-europe.de.             

             If you are interested in receiving our free 2007 catalogue of products and services, please let us know. Go to our web site (front page) and click the link to make the request, or send email, with your postal address, to ordersmma@msn.com . The catalogue will be coming out in about 2 weeks.             

             The Forecast for 2007 books are now out (English and German editions)! If you ordered an English copy and have not received it by the end of this coming week, let us know. If you have ordered the German edition and have not received your copy by the first week of January, let us know.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is is due to be received from the printer during the week of January 22. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line .

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

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