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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 26 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             Stock markets around the world continued to post new all-time or multi-year highs again last week. And precious metals were strong too, nearing the 20-year highs again that were attained last May.

             In Europe, the Swiss stock index continued its rally to new all-time highs, closing at 9258. The German DAX, London FTSE, and Netherlands AEX also made new multi-year highs, closing the week at 6992, 6401, and 510 respectively.

             In the Pacific Rim, Japan's Nikkei Index soared well above the long-term downward trendline at 17,600, closing the week at 18,188 in what is now a break-out to the upside. The All Ordinaries of Australia poked above 6000 for the first time ever, settling at 6009. Only the Hang Seng of Hong Kong failed to make a new high last week, closing at 20,711, about 200 points off its all-time high of a couple weeks ago.

             In the South America, both Brazil's Bovespa and Argentina's Merval indices made new all-time highs last week, with the former up to 46,752 and the later up to 2225 before settling back off those highs by Friday's close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also made a new all-time high at 12,795 last Tuesday, but then sold off a bit to close the week at 12,647. The NASDAQ Composite also posted a new multi-year high last week, surpassing 2530 for the first time since 2000.

             The precious metals markets were just as active, with June Gold rising to 698.50, a level not seen since the powerful run up of last spring. And July Silver soared to 1494 intraday on Friday, nearing the 1520 mark hit last May, which was its highest level since the early 1980's. Even Crude Oil got into the act, finishing the week at 60.95 for the April contract. The March Euro currency contract touched 1.3200 for the first time since early January. But perhaps just as impressive as all of these was the potent rally in  grain markets, which witnessed July Soybeans exceeding 800 and Corn prices breaking out to another new 10-year high, with the July contract now above 450.

             All in all, last week was powerfully bullish for nearly all financial and commodity markets, a phenomenon that may now be in jeopardy as we approach the lunar eclipse period of next weekend, in which the Sun will also conjunct Uranus, planet of sudden reversals.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             This week will witness the second of the three passes of the 36-year planetary pair cycle of the Saturn-Neptune opposition. The third and final passage will take place June 25, but it is usually the second passage that is the most powerful. Our understanding is that long-term planetary cycles correlate with long-term market cycles. But just as it takes several months for these planetary cycles to be completed, so too do long-term market cycles take several weeks and even months to be completed. The market cycles do not usually reverse exactly on the date of a long-term planetary cycle, but they usually complete their cycle between the first and last passage. So as we witness Saturn making its second of three oppositions to Neptune on February 28, it may correspond to a collective psychological peak of that dynamic, but it doesn't have to correspond to the end of this great bull market in stocks.

             However, there is another geocosmic signature coming up next weekend that may correspond to a sharp reversal in many of these markets. On March 3-4, there will be a total lunar eclipse in Pisces-Virgo, both mutable signs, which are the signs of volatility and change. On top of that, the very next day (March 5), the Sun will conjunct Uranus, the planet of volatility and sudden reversals. Sometime between the end of this week and the early part of the following week, we may see explosive news hitting the market place, or the world itself. An eclipse involving Uranus is symbolic of an earthquake, and in Pisces, of a tidal wave or even a Tsunami. It can correspond to strong winds, tornadoes, and electrical black outs. In the political realm, it can coincide with a sudden event that acts like a shock to the world. In financial markets, it can pertain to an unexpected economic report, or a sudden announcement of changes in interest rate policies. The thing is, with Uranus we never know exactly what the surprise will be. That's why it is the planet of surprises and the unexpected. Nothing goes quite as expected, so don't get too complacent or comfortable. And also keep in mind that this will all occur during the last days of a Mercury retrograde phenomenon, which is also a geocosmic signature of instability and unexpected or conflicting announcements.

            The bottom line is: fasten your seat belts. The ride is about to get very choppy, and maybe even a little dangerous. I would not be surprised if this becomes the peak of all that money coming into the retirement accounts, as discussed previously as the reason why this stock market has been so strong during the past few weeks, especially in the United States.

Long-Term Thoughts :

            I mentioned that the Saturn-Neptune opposition was entering its second of three passes this Wednesday. And in spite of the solid gains in many financial markets, the world news continues to be depressing along the lines of Saturn and Neptune principles. As stated before, this aspect is "ethically-challenged." It is time when rumors, lies and deceit are rampant, and it is difficult to trust what you hear and read. Friday's Wall Street Journal" has its World-Wide News headline stating "The U.N. said Iran thumbed its nose at orders to halt atom work." Another headline stated "Microsoft was ordered by a Federal jury to pay Alcatel-Lucent 1.52 billion for infringement on two patents related to MP3 technology." You would think with the stock market soaring as it has over the past seven months that the world would be expecting at least a draw down in the tensions to world wide security. But just the opposite is happening, and this too is consistent with the dynamic of Neptune. It is not only an "ethically-challenged" world we are living in today, but a "realistically-challenged" world, for Neptune is illusion, and Saturn is reality. The combination can be expressed as "denial" of reality, or even "manipulation of the facts" to produce a mirage, or to distract from the real issues. And with Neptune, the "herd" instinct can be very strong. In other words, the market is going up not because it should go up, but because everybody sees it is going up, and they don't want to miss it. Never mind that sub-prime lenders are taking a big hit, and with it the housing market bubble is bursting, which contains most of the wealth of most of the people in the United States. The fact is that most people and most corporations enjoyed a record profit year last year, and all that money earned - and set aside - in pension and retirement funds must find a home now. And so the market is going up, in spite of the disturbing geopolitical situation of the world today, because people see it going up, don't want to miss it, and they have the money to spend.

             But I continue to ask: what happens when this tax season ends? We may find out shortly as the eclipses and Uranus strike in about a week. .

Announcements :

            My next conference appearance will be at “The Blast,” an astrology conference in Sedona, Arizona, taking place March 28-April 2. This conference will feature many of the newest “young” astrologers, along with a couple of “young elders” like Rob Hand, Dennis Harness, Gloria Star, Robert Blaschke and myself. Coordinated by Moses Siregar, this conference will also be the site for the ISAR (International Society for Astrological Research) annual meeting, of which I have serve as President since 2002. The public is welcomed to attend, and meet the wonderful people who direct this organization. For more information on this unique and very affordable seminar, please go to
http://theblastastrologyconference.com.

            If you are interested in receiving our free 2007 catalogue of products and services, please let us know. Go to our web site (front page) and click the link to make the request, or send email, with your postal address, to ordersmma@msn.com . The catalogue will be coming out in about 2 weeks.             

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week, January 29 and 30. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007 books are now out (English and German editions)! If you ordered an English copy and have not received it by the end of this coming week, let us know. If you have ordered the German edition and have not received your copy by the first week of January, let us know.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is printed and we are just waiting for delivery as this is being written (Friday). This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line .

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out next Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

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