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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 12 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             After completing the most severe decline in several weeks, many commodities and stock indices of the world began rebounding after posting lows last Monday, exactly on our March 5 critical reversal date. This is right in line with what would be expected on a critical reversal date.

             In Europe, the German DAX index fell to 6437 on March 5, a decline of 8.5% from its multi-year high of 7040 recorded on February 26, just one week earlier. A slightly less decline were noted in the Netherlands AEX and Swiss stock market indices, which topped out two weeks ago at 512.47 and 9376.70 respectively, then bottomed last Monday at 469.85 and 8609.40. The decline in the London FTSE was even slightly more benign, as it fell from 6451 on February 19 to 5989 on March 5, a loss of just slightly more than 7%.

             In The Pacific Rim, the recent decline was even less in the Australian All Ords, which fell 6.55% from an all-time high of 6024 on February 23 to the 5630 low Tuesday morning, March 6. But the declines were more spectacular in both Japan and Hong Kong. In one week, the Japanese Nikkei index fell from 18,300, a 6-year high recorded on Monday, February 26, to the low of 16,533 one week later on March 5, a loss of 9.65%. The Hang Seng fell from its all-time high of 20,971 back on January 24 to 18,659 last Monday, a loss of about 11%.

             In the America's, the most tame decline was actually in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which lost only 5.9% from its all-time high of 12,786 on February 20, to the low of 12,039 last Monday, March 5. Still, that represents the first multi-week decline since last July and the first decline of more than 3% since that time too! The NASDAQ Composite fell 7.5% from its multi-year high of February 22 through the 2340 low of last Monday. But in South America, the declines were most severe, with the Bovespa of Brazil falling 12% from its all-time high of 46,752 on February 22 to last Monday's low of 41,117. The Merval index of Argentina was even more dramatic, falling from an all-time high of 2225.56 on February 22 to a low of 1905.92 on March 5, a loss of 14.36% in just 7 trading days!

             But of all the markets we track, Silver fell the most. After testing the 15.00 mark on February 26, just one week later it fell to 1250 in the May contract. Gold fell from a test of $700.00 to a low of slightly under 640.00 during the same interval in the nearby contract, but that decline was only slightly more than 8%.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             The lunar eclipse conjunct Uranus, of March 3-5, is now over. And so is Mercury retrograde, which was in effect February 13-March 8. What an experience this retrograde period was! It did what most retrograde Mercury periods do, only in excess. As stated before, “First it (Mercury retrograde) fakes everyone out on its rallies to the upside. Then it fakes everyone out on the severity of its decline. The result is that everyone now has a contrary opinion about where this market is going, when it truth, no one has a clue - again, typical of not only Mercury retrograde, but in Pisces at that ... ”

             Clearer thinking should start to return in the next week, as we now head to the solar eclipse period of March 19. However, there are other important signatures that start unfolding at the end of this week, March 16, which are part of a geocosmic cluster extending through March 25.

             The first of these is a big one, Jupiter in waning trine to Saturn on Friday March 16, just a couple of hours before Venus forms a waxing trine to Pluto, which itself is just one day before Venus leaves Aries for its own sign of Taurus, March 17-April 11. One would think these would bode well for stock indices, and perhaps this period might see more gains than losses. But there are certainly other signatures as part of this cluster that suggests it is not necessarily a confident period for investors. For instance, the solar eclipse of March 19 forms an exact square to Pluto, planet of terrorist threats and worries about debt and taxes. At the same time, Uranus will be in conjunction to the North Node of the Moon, indicating still a period of unexpected events, possible hysteria, and even the threat of high winds, earthquakes, and electrical blackouts or computer failures. Then Mars comes into play, touching off the Saturn-Neptune opposition by “translation.” That is, Mars forms an opposition to Saturn on March 22 and a conjunction to Neptune on March 25. This would bring up themes that were present nearby to the Saturn-Neptune opposition of February 28. That of course was just a day before the financial markets of the world began their recent collapse (February 27), which included stocks and precious metals. Could we see a similar pattern, whereby stocks and/or precious metals end their recovery around that time, then collapse once again? Of course we could. That's one of the ways astrology works. The Mars-Saturn opposition also has correspondence to military combat and geopolitical stresses. We can anticipate that many world leaders are again struggling with conflicts that threaten peace and cooperation. In fact, acts of betrayal and deception may be quite evident as spring gets underway, casting a cloud of danger over key parts of the world.

Long-Term Thoughts :

            We are in the midst of two long-term planetary cycles unfolding in the last few days and next to come, with Mars in translation to both. The first of these was the Saturn-Neptune opposition of February 28, and the second is the Jupiter-Saturn trine of March 16. And actually, once could say that Jupiter's transit breaks up the Saturn-Neptune opposition with two benign aspects : the trine, of course, to Saturn, and the sextile to Neptune, although it never quite makes this last aspect due to Jupiter's stationary movement right now. Still, this involvement with Jupiter in harmonious aspect to both Saturn and Neptune suggests that the full extent of the long-term opposition may be minimized in its force. Yes, we did see a rather sharp decline in stocks and precious metals when the opposition hit two weeks ago. But most of the damage was completed in just 4 days, and these markets then began to recover.

            The same may be true with the political situation suggested by these same planets. Previously I had stated that the Saturn-Neptune opposition had a historical theme of presenting ethical and image problems for leaders of the world, especially in the United States. George W. Bush certainly had an abundance of scandals rock his administration under the first two passages of this aspect (the third will be completed on June 25). And in the past, I have alluded to the idea that under this aspect, such scandals and ethical lapses could even lead to calls for his impeachment. Although this is still possible, the odds of it happening have been reduced considerably now. What is the point? His popularity is extremely low, consistent with this Saturn-Neptune opposition falling on his Venus. Saturn is conjunct his natal Venus, and that is a signature that can coincide with a period of unpopularity, and wondering, “What happened to all the love (or support) I use to have?”

            No doubt there will be a series of investigations into his past decisions, just to remind the public of possible abuses of power that occurred. But politicians are ... politicians, which means they will likely choose courses of action that will serve their needs for staying in positions of power, rather than uncovering the truth and executing punitive actions that may actually work against their goals of staying in power. Removing George Bush from office - even if becomes apparent that he exercised powers beyond his rank, or covered up his decisions or reasons for his decisions - does not help an incumbent in the next election. Keeping an unpopular president in office when he is so unpopular, does help the “other party” to win the next election. Bill Clinton's impeachment proceedings were important to altering the balance of power, because Bill Clinton was popular. Once the impeachment proceedings were underway and Clinton was found to have lied to the public, his popularity sunk like a rock, it was no longer important for the opposition party to remove him from office. It was better to let him remain as President, just to remind the public of who betrayed them, and his association with the Democratic party. That is the favor that is most likely to be returned in 2008 to the Republicans.

            The dynamics are different now, even though we once again have a Saturn-Neptune hard aspect, just like we did in 1998-99 when Clinton was impeached. About the only thing that would lead to an impeachment now is if Mr. Bush starts to regain national support, a change that doesn't seem too probable with Saturn on his Venus - and in his first house - for the near future. So for the Democrats, it is no longer so important to impeach George W. Bush. What is important is to keep him - and his command of the Iraq War - unpopular and contained. So, don't expect any bipartisan cooperation for the next 20 months, but instead a host of investigations that reinforces the public's negative opinion on almost everything that has been done regarding this war.

Announcements :

            My next conference appearance will be at “The Blast,” an astrology conference in Sedona, Arizona, taking place March 28-April 2. This conference will feature many of the newest “young” astrologers, along with a couple of “young elders” like Rob Hand, Dennis Harness, Gloria Star, Robert Blaschke and myself. Coordinated by Moses Siregar, this conference will also be the site for the ISAR (International Society for Astrological Research) annual meeting, of which I have serve as President since 2002. The public is welcomed to attend, and meet the wonderful people who direct this organization. For more information on this unique and very affordable seminar, please go to
http://theblastastrologyconference.com.

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            If you are interested in receiving our free 2007 catalogue of products and services, please let us know. Go to our web site (front page) and click the link to make the request, or send email, with your postal address, to ordersmma@msn.com . The catalogue will be coming out in about 2 weeks.             

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report will come out this week, March 13 and 14. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007 books are now out (English and German editions)! If you ordered an English copy and have not received it by the end of this coming week, let us know. If you have ordered the German edition and have not received your copy by the first week of January, let us know.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out next Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

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