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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 26 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             Stock indices around the world rebounded sharply last week, off their double bottom lows of March 5 and March 14

             In Europe, the Netherlands AEX soared to a new five-year high, reaching 515.33 on Friday, up nearly 10% since the lows of March 5. But that was the only index to post new multi-year highs. The German DAX rose to 6902 on Friday, still off from its multi-year high of 7040 back on February 26. The London FTSE rallied to 6350, also down slightly over 100 points from its multi year high of 6451 on February 19. And the Swiss Stock Index only managed to rise to 9107, far off its 9376 high of February 19.

             In the Pacific Rim, no indices made new highs for this year. The Australian All ordinaries rose to 5947, still off considerably from its all-time high of 6024 achieved back on February 23. The Japanese Nikkei soared to 17,537, up considerably from the 16,532 low of March 5, but also still down considerably from its 6-year high of 18,300, recorded on February 26. The Hang Seng, however, trailed the most. Last week's rally saw prices get to 19,813 on Thursday, but this is still well below the all-time high of 20,950 reached on January 24.

             In the America's, Brazil's Bovespa was strong. On Friday it hit 45,949, up nearly 12% from the lows of March 5, but still down a bit from the all-time high of 46,752. The Merval of Argentina got to 2084 on Friday, but this is still well off the all-time high of 2225 of February 22. In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bounced back smartly too, getting to 12,511 on Friday, a nice recovery from its 11,939 low of March 5, but still off from its all-time high of 12,795 on February 20. The NASDAQ Composite rallied to 2459 on Friday, which is still considerably off the multi-year high of 2531 back on February 22.

             For traders looking for volatility, you have certainly had it now in the past 4 weeks, with many markets making all time highs in February, then falling sharply into the lunar eclipse conjunct Uranus on March 3-5, followed by the re-test March 14, followed by another vertical rally since then. It is all consistent with the movement of Mercury retrograde (February 13-March 8) and heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (March 19-30). As stated in last week's column, “At the same time, heliocentric (as seen from Sun) Mercury enters Sagittarius (March 19-30), which is usually a time of dramatic price behavior too in most markets. Some markets (like metals and currencies) will rally strongly at first, and then plummet just as sharply before it is over.” That was certainly true with precious metals and currencies, which caught fire on Tuesday, and rallied sharply into Thursday. But just as fast as they went up, they may be readying to come down, which is the other side of helio Mercury in Sagittarius. It rises sharply the first 3-5 days, and then comes down hard the second 3-5 days. Crude Oil didn't miss the astrological configuration either. After bottoming at 56.10 on March 20 (Tuesday), black gold soared to a new high for this year, reaching 62.65 on Friday, a rise of 11.6% in just three days, and consistent with our continued call of new all-time highs in the next year related to Uranus in the middle degrees of Pisces.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             The geocosmic fireworks continue this week, and into early April. First, heliocentric Mercury finishes off its sojourn in Sagittarius on March 30. This begins the second half of that 11 day transit, and if history is any guide, whatever went up in the first half, comes down in the second. Additionally, as stated last week, ". transiting Mars will begin its translation over the Saturn-Neptune opposition and Jupiter-Saturn trine, March 22-25. This suggests a repeat of themes that were present around February 28 (the stock market began its plunge on February 27). This also pertains to Crude Oil, which has been falling steadily since it passed 62.00 on February 27. It was down below 59.00 intraday on Friday, sol we look for another reversal here to start in the next week." Well, Crude has already obliged. And now let's see if metals and stocks do the same. It seems that Gold and Silver may have already begun their reversal as of Friday.

             There are a couple of other geocosmic signatures to watch for in the next 1-2 weeks. Our ideas that the stock market would rally from that double bottom low of March 5 and 14 into March 21-26, as spelled out to subscribers of our reports, has come true. But the extent of the rally is right up to important resistance now. Could it turn abruptly back now? Well, according to my understanding of geocosmics, the answer is yes. But there are other geocosmic signatures and mundane factors coming up April 5-9 (Jupiter retrograde and Sun trine Jupiter) that make me reticent to get aggressively bearish again just yet. Those can be bullish signatures too, just as Mars sextile to Jupiter on Friday was. Plus that week proceeds the Easter holiday, which gives traders along vacation. My experience is that is dangerous to get too aggressive a stock market that precedes a major holiday. If the market instead starts reversing down, in reflection of the Mars transit Saturn-Neptune and what that did to markets February 26-March 5, then yes, it is also possible that there could be a decline that picks up much intensity this week. But I am inclined to think that the markets may be more benign on any downturns the following week due to the Easter holidays and the Jupiter transits.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             The Saturn-Neptune opposition is being stimulated by the transit of Mars over Neptune, and in opposition to Saturn this past week, and even into Sunday. And all the seedy themes of deception, manipulation, and suspicion of "acting in bad faith" - typical negative manifestations of Saturn in opposition to Neptune - are coming to surface in full force in the United States. The Democratic controlled Congress is calling for subpoenas now related to the dismissal of several U.S. attorneys under Attorney General Alberto Gonzalez. Amongst those expected to be subpoenaed are Chief White House Advisor Karl Rove, who according to emails, apparently was quite involved in the decision. Now, if one is trying to counteract the negative effects of Saturn-Neptune (i.e. the perception of "covering up," or "avoiding accountability"), you don't respond to these requests by saying something like, "We will allow them to talk to these people, but not under oath, and not recorded." What? This type of response only plays in to the suspicion nature of these aspects, and leads one's opponents to believe even more fervently that there is a major lapse of ethics afoot in the government, and will only lead to more investigations of Mr. Bush and his White House aides.

             The Democrats have got it half right on how to win the 2008 election. They don't have to impeach President Bush. In fact, it is better that they do not, if their sole goal is to "win the election" (as opposed to doing what is truly best for the country). All they have to do is to continue calling for investigations in to questionable activities and decisions of the past 6 years. All they have to do is continually remind the public of how the multitude of questionable and unethical behavior has upset the trust Americans have placed in its Republican leaders.

             The other half of the equation to "easily walk away with a 2008 election victory" is to simply do fiscally what they promised to do in the 2006 mid-term elections. They criticized the White House and Republican Congress for failing to control their spending, an issue that historically has gotten the Democrats into all kinds of trouble, to the point that they still have to fight the label of being the "spend and tax" party. But in this regard, the Democrats have also failed miserably in their fiduciary duties and promises this past week, by applying over $20 billion of unrelated dollars to be spent on "pork" - programs totally unrelated to the funding of U.S. soldiers fighting the War on Terrorism. That's what the bill was about - to fund the soldiers or not. It has nothing to do with millions of dollars added to this bill to be spent on researching spinach and other foods! If the Democrats want to walk away with complete control of the White House and Congress in 2008, they can't succumb to these types of historical patterns that are so consistent with the Saturn-Neptune opposition (violations of trust). They too will lose all credibility, and thus make it a very close election. From now through 2010, nobody can expect to succeed if he/she isn't willing to behave with integrity, honesty, and trustworthiness. For once this Saturn-Neptune opposition is completed, we begin the biggest challenge of them all: the Saturn-Uranus opposition (2008-2010). The last time that happened was in 1965-1967. It wasn't just a war, then, that is so much like today's war. It was about distrust for the leadership of the country's top elected officials, and nearly led to revolution.

             We have a choice. And so do our elected officials. Do the right thing for the country you serve - the whole country, and not just for the person in your local district who benefits from you adding unnecessary "pork" to the spending of the citizens' tax dollars. Oh, wait a minute! I forgot. This is the year of the Pig in Chinese Astrology. Expect a lot more pork than usual.

Announcements :

            My next conference appearance will be at “The Blast,” an astrology conference in Sedona, Arizona, taking place March 28-April 2. This conference will feature many of the newest “young” astrologers, along with a couple of “young elders” like Rob Hand, Dennis Harness, Gloria Star, Robert Blaschke and myself. Coordinated by Moses Siregar, this conference will also be the site for the ISAR (International Society for Astrological Research) annual meeting, of which I have serve as President since 2002. The public is welcomed to attend, and meet the wonderful people who direct this organization. For more information on this unique and very affordable seminar, please go to
http://theblastastrologyconference.com.

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            If you are interested in receiving our free 2007 catalogue of products and services, please let us know. Go to our web site (front page) and click the link to make the request, or send email, with your postal address, to ordersmma@msn.com . The catalogue will be coming out in about 2 weeks.             

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week, March 13 and 14. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007 books are now out (English and German editions)! If you ordered an English copy and have not received it by the end of this coming week, let us know. If you have ordered the German edition and have not received your copy by the first week of January, let us know.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

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