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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 2 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             This Week's report will be abbreviated due to the fact that I am currently participating in an astrological conference called The “Blast”, taking place in Sedona, Arizona. It is a most interesting conference, with a large degree of “young astrologers” making presentations. So I am honored to be on this faculty, and to witness the future of astrology.  And what I have observed so far is that future of astrology looks bright. This next generation appears much more rigorous with research and intellectually stimulated than previous generations, while at the same time very respectful of the work that prior generations have put forth.

             Stock markets had a slightly bearish bent last week after posting highs the prior Friday, or Monday of last week, March 26. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, topped out on Friday, March 23, at 12,511, and then declined most of this past week, with an intraday low of 12,242 on Friday. It closed the week at 12,354, down about 127 points from the prior week, which is bearish, but certainly not as bearish as many may have expected. It is still well above the 11,939 low of March 14, but also well below the all-time high of 12,795 accomplished on February 20. In Japan, the Nikkei topped out on Monday at 17,558. It then fell all the way back top 17,036 on Thursday before closing the week at 17,287. This too is well above the 16,532 low of March 5, but also well below the yearly highs of 18,300 formed in the last week of February.

             In contract, Gold and Silver were slightly bullish last week. Gold posted its highest level since March 1, when it was last above 680. On Wednesday, March 28, it got to 676.50 before shedding 15 dollars intraday the next day (June contract). It closed the week at 669, up about 5.50 from the prior week. The Euro was also slightly stronger, with the June contract reaching its yearly high during the day on Friday at 1.3442. It closed at 1.3394, up .60 for the week. But the bigger story was in Crude Oil, which soared to 66.70 intraday on Friday, a big breakout above the previous high for the year around 63.00, following the capture of British navy personnel who, allegedly, were "caught" in Iranian waters, a claim that is hotly disputed by British authorities. In the meantime, Iran holds hostage 15 British military personnel.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             The fact that stock indices did not "crash" last week, while Crude Oil soared amidst a rash of negative news events, is not so surprising. As stated the prior two weeks, " ... transiting Mars will begin its translation over the Saturn-Neptune opposition and Jupiter-Saturn trine, March 22-25. This suggests a repeat of themes that were present around February 28 (the stock market began its plunge on February 27). This also pertains to Crude Oil, which has been falling steadily since it passed 62.00 on February 27. It was down below 59.00 intraday on Friday, so we look for another reversal here to start in the next week." Later on, last week's report also stated, "Our ideas that the stock market would rally from that double bottom low of March 5 and 14 into March 21-26, as spelled out to subscribers of our reports, has come true. But the extent of the rally is right up to important resistance now. Could it turn abruptly back now? Well, according to my understanding of geocosmics, the answer is yes. But there are other geocosmic signatures and mundane factors coming up April 5-9 (Jupiter retrograde and Sun trine Jupiter) that make me reticent to get aggressively bearish again just yet. Those can be bullish signatures too, just as Mars sextile to Jupiter on Friday was. Plus that week proceeds the Easter holiday, which gives traders along vacation. My experience is that is dangerous to get too aggressive a stock market that precedes a major holiday.. I am inclined to think that the markets may be more benign on any downturns the following week due to the Easter holidays and the Jupiter transits."

             This coming week will observe the stationary retrograde of Jupiter on April 5, followed by the trine of Sun and Jupiter on April 9. In most instances, these would be considered "harmonious" signatures, and would tend to prop stock prices up, especially as they unfold into the days leading into the major Easter holiday week. Actually, for Easter, the Sun will form a grand trine with Saturn and Jupiter (April 8-9). I don't think it would be worse for traders to take aggressively bearish positions until this configuration ends.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             It is a holiday week coming up, and a religious one at that, so I don't want to spend much time relating the negative events of the Saturn-Neptune opposition that continued in the news last week, both with respect to the continuing ethical challenges of the United States Congress and White House, nor the dispute over the British naval presence in (or not in) Iranian waters. The truth is, with Saturn and Neptune in opposition, deceit and lies are abundant, and no one can be sure who is telling the truth or not. The only thing you can be sure of is that someone is lying. These are not signatures of ignorance and unintentional violations of trust. They are usually intended to cause harm and embarrassment to others.

             At the same time, we can look forward to the grand trine between the Sun, Jupiter, and Saturn next weekend, right during the Easter holiday. Perhaps leaders of the world will rise themselves to respond to the dynamic of "good will and trust" that this configuration can correspond to. Maybe, for this special day of the year, leaders can give "peace a chance." It's possible. And there is nothing wrong with hope. After all, no healing can take place without hope, even on the world stage.

             Enjoy your holiday next weekend. The cosmic is aligned to bring you great joy and happiness, if you simply allow it. Being with those you love, and sharing activities that bring you mutual pleasure and joy, is the theme of this grand trine, so make the most of it and plan something special -with people who are special - in your life.

Announcements :

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            If you are interested in receiving our free 2007 catalogue of products and services, please let us know. Go to our web site (front page) and click the link to make the request, or send email, with your postal address, to ordersmma@msn.com . The catalogue will be coming out in about 2 weeks.             

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week, March 13 and 14. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007
: There are about 50 copies left of Forecast for 2007 book. I expect they will sell out by the middle of the year. If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” came out last Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.



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