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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 16 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Note : Due to Saturday speeches in Japan the next two weeks, this column may not be available until Sunday over this period.

The Market Week in Review :

             Last week's column stated, "We are now leaving the time band of the harmonious Jupiter transits, in effect April 4-9... the final Jupiter transit (Sun trine Jupiter) unfolds Monday, thus completing the classically benefic "grand trine" pattern with Saturn in fire signs (Aries, Leo, and Sagittarius)." Many stock markets of the world did indeed top out on Monday, April 9. The column also stated, "On Wednesday, Venus (planet of love and money) will leave its ruling sign of Taurus for the more unpredictable sign of Gemini, where it will remain until May 8. One might consider that Venus in Taurus was very bullish for stocks (Venus rules stocks). Gemini is much more erratic in its correlation to things of financial value, so perhaps the stock markets act a little more volatile now." Indeed stock prices were more volatile last week, with the U.S. stock market selling off sharply into Thursday morning, but then recovering almost all it lost by the next day.

The erratic quality of Venus in Gemini is showing up in many stock indices around the world. After rallying into the Jupiter transits of April 4-9, most indices sold off into early Thursday morning, and then started another rally. Some in dices made new all-time or multi-year highs on Friday, like The German DAX, London FTSE, Australian All Ordinaries, and Bovespa of Brazil. But others in the same region failed to confirm. Not only that, but Japanese Nikkei Index actually continues to fall from Monday into Friday's close. All indices are registering bearish oscillator divergence too as we end the week, which is a technical sign of a decline to begin soon. But how soon? With the powerful Jupiter-Uranus square not up until May 10, it is possible that equity prices defy these bearish technical signs until then. Or they could surprise everyone and succumb immediately, falling hard into that aspect yet. It is something we have to monitor every day now, for the geocosmic signatures of April 19-May 13 are amongst the most unpredictable of all, capable of sudden whipsaws and very large price swings.

Once again, Gold and Silver also rallied smartly last week. Both continued posting their highest level since March 1. Crude Oil declined to 61.35 on Tuesday, but then recovered over $3.00/barrel by Friday. But the bigger story was the Euro currency which soared above 1.3500. It is nearing its all-time high of 1.3667 of December 31, 2004.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             The strongest signature in effect this week will be Saturn turning stationary direct on April 19, thus ending four months of its retrograde motion. This is a Level 1 (strongest) signature with a 70% historical correlation to primary or greater cycles within 9 trading days (and usually only 2-7 trading days). But more importantly, this begins a time frame extending through May 13 that contains several powerful geocosmic signatures (Level 1 aspects), culminating with the extremely important Jupiter-Uranus waning square of May 10. In my opinion (and not a "humble opinion"), Jupiter-Uranus signatures are the strongest of all geocosmic pairings to sharp reversals in U.S. stocks. This is the second of three passages of this aspect this year (the first was on January 22). You may remember last year when these two planets formed the second of their three waning trines on May 5. Within one week the DJIA, Euro, and precious metals all made spectacular crests - and then fell hard in just as spectacular a fashion into mid-May. This time the price swings could even more spectacular because 1) the square is a stronger aspect than the trine, and 2) the square occurs in mutable signs, which are considered more volatile than the water signs they were in during 2006.

             We will get a glimpse of this powerful dynamic between April 23-30, when both Mars and Venus will transit in hard aspect to the Jupiter-Uranus square. You may recall that nearby to the first passage (January 22), crude oil made its probable 4-year cycle trough, T-Notes made their low of the year, and currencies made a half-primary cycle trough. All these markets rallied smartly right afterwards. The message? Fasten your seat belts. To borrow a phrase from the Disney World theme park, we are about to begin "Mr. Toad's Wild Ride." I would anticipate a few triple digit days in the DJIA during the next 4 weeks, with a possibility of a record (or near-record) loss or gain in one of those days.


Long-Term Thoughts :

             The religious holidays are now over, so we will get back to our critical analysis of mundane events within the context of long-term geocosmic signatures.

            As stated before, the most dominant of the long-term planetary cycle in effect this year is the Saturn-Neptune opposition. This is the halfway point of the 36-year orbital cycle of these two planets, whose historical theme has to do with ethical lapses by leaders in the all facets of life. We saw it last week in the firestorm that erupted over comments by popular radio and TV talk show host Don Imus, for his demeaning comments about the Rutgers girls' basketball team. And in typical Saturn-Neptune fashion, a witch hunt immediately erupted, and Imus was quickly fired (well, not quickly enough for some people).

            But other Saturn-Neptune themes of distrust and "you can't believe what you read or hear" were once again very much in evidence last week for the beleaguered White House staff and President George W. Bush.  Friday's Wall Street Journal reported that "(Karl) Rove emails are lost and can't be recovered in the U.S. attorney case, the White House says." Does anyone believe this? That followed Wednesday's WSJ report that "Congress subpoenaed Gonzalez documents a week before the attorney general is to testify, worsening a showdown with the White House." On the same day, WSJ reported "House hearings will examine if the administration was deliberately misleading about the Lynch and Tillman cases to boost war support." The White House's credibility is again on the line, and again they appear to be not forthcoming with information that would boost their credibility as trustworthy leaders. And that is the major issue with Saturn-Neptune: trustworthiness. If not achieved, then the public will want that person (those persons) removed completely from any position of trust (i.e. Imus). Remember the last time these two planets were in opposition was 1971-72, during the Watergate burglaries that led to the shameful resignation of then President Richard Nixon, who like this administration, continues to deny and avoid accountability on sensitive issues with Congress. And until that changes, investigations will continue to mount thus further alienating the public's trust in this administration, and weaken its ability to govern, leading to more blame and finger-pointing for failure to get anything done.

            It doesn't end with these investigations. There are other issues of importance that are harming this President and his administration's image in the eyes of the public. Several weeks ago (early in the year) when the President announced he was going to expand the troops in Iraq (the "troop surge") as a temporary measure to gain control over the War in Iraq."  this column forecasted that it would not be temporary at all. Instead, a look at Mr. Bush's chart showed progressed Mars conjunct his natal Moon, and coming to a conjunction to his natal Jupiter over the next two years. Mars is war, and Jupiter is expansion - not reduction. This column forecasted that the war would expand right into the end of his presidency, perhaps even expanding into other areas by the end of 2008 (like Iran and/or Syria), despite claims to the contrary by the administration. On Thursday, the Wall Street Journal reported: "The Pentagon extended Iraq and Afghan tours of duty for all troops. all active-duty soldiers will now spend 15 instead of 12 months at a time in the war zone. re-enlistment bonuses rose to $1.03 billion last year from $174 million in 2003."

            Previously I had stated that the Democrats would probably not seek impeachment against George Bush, because with all the investigations, it serves their political fortunes better to leave him in office and continually remind the public of the alleged transgressions. But that could change if the Democrats cannot contain his 'war expansion" drives. The only way to stop him (in their opinion) may be to commence impeachment proceedings. My guess is that if this is to happen, it could begin by the end of June.

            The disappointment is not just limited to Democratic members of Congress. Former Ford executive and Chrysler chairman Lee Iacocca came out with a new book this week, titled Where Have All, the Leaders Gone? The words of the book are right out the Saturn-Neptune classical reference library. On the very first page he writes: "We've got a gang of clueless bozos steering our ship of state right over a cliff, we've got corporate gangsters stealing us blind and we can't even clean up after a hurricane much less build a hybrid car." Later on, according to excerpts published by Detroit Free Press Washington Bureau reporter Justin Hyde, Iacocca states, "George Bush doesn't have common sense. He just has a lot of sound bites." In the book Iacocca admits that he campaigned for George Bush in 2000 because he was a friend of his father.

           Bottom line: this Saturn-Neptune continues to have a dominant affect in the dynamics of world politics today, especially in the U.S.A. The degree of intensity related to these themes is not lessening at all, in fact they are increasing. As they do so, they spell ever greater problems for this administration. The solution? Act and be trustworthy, and avoid behavior that arouses suspicion of "covering things up." That only adds to the furor of a public that wants to see a hanging. Once again, this president appears to be heading in a direction of not just a "lame duck" (president serving his last two years in office), but perhaps becoming a "dead duck." In situations like this, dramatic events can happen, and they can lead to sharp reversals in equity prices around the world. How this affects the stock market may not be seen until the very end of this process. In past cases, equity prices rose despite the continued unpopularity of the President and allegations of ethical lapses by the leadership.

Announcements :

            I will be speaking in Tokyo and Osaka, Japan the next two weeks (April 21 and 28). The topic will be my outlook on the Japanese Nikkei, Dollar-Yen, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Crude Oil, Gold, and Grains. For further information, please contact tn@tkc.att.ne.jp . On May 25-27, I will be in Belgrade, Serbia, leading a workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology," the title of a school of thought I developed - and book I wrote from 1971-1977, and republished in 1991.For  more information, please contact keplerskola@ptt.yu . On June 2, I will be part of an all-day seminar in Amsterdam, where I will present my findings related to short-term trading of the Silver market, as written in "The Sun, Moon, and Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader." For info, call 31-294-417892, or go to www.markettiming.nl , or email info@markettiming.nl .

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007
: There are about 50 copies left of Forecast for 2007 book. I expect they will sell out by the middle of the year. If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.



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