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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 23 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Note : Due to Saturday speeches in Japan the next two weeks, this column may not be available until Sunday over this period.

The Market Week in Review :

             The U.S. and other world stock indices continued to soar last week on news of better than expected corporate earnings. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up a whopping 350 points, closing at a record high of 12,962. Astrologically, there are several factors that correlate with such a move. For one, Venus in Gemini may be a factor. As stated before, "On Wednesday (April 11), Venus (planet of love and money) will leave its ruling sign of Taurus for the more unpredictable sign of Gemini, where it will remain until May 8. Gemini is much more erratic in its correlation to things of financial value, so perhaps the stock markets act a little more volatile now." Indeed we are seeing sharp price swings, and they are usually up after 1-3 days of decline.

             More important, however, is the presence of Jupiter in its ruling sign of Sagittarius, approaching its second (of three) passages in a waning square to Uranus. The 12-year cycle of Jupiter in Sagittarius has a history of strong bull markets in equities, and this year is no exception (so far). But the square to Uranus is a concern. As stated in last week's column, :"But more importantly, this (April 19) begins a time frame extending through May 13 that contains several powerful geocosmic signatures (Level 1 aspects), culminating with the extremely important Jupiter-Uranus waning square of May 10. In my opinion (and not a "humble opinion"), Jupiter-Uranus signatures are the strongest of all geocosmic pairings to sharp reversals in U.S. stocks. This is the second of three passages of this aspect this year (the first was on January 22). You may remember last year when these two planets formed the second of their three waning trines on May 5. Within one week the DJIA, Euro, and precious metals all made spectacular crests - and then fell hard in just as spectacular a fashion into mid-May. This time the price swings could even more spectacular because 1) the square is a stronger aspect than the trine, and 2) the square occurs in mutable signs, which are considered more volatile than the water signs they were in during 2006."

             In earlier columns, I had mentioned the possibility of several triple-digit daily moves (both up and down) in the DJIA as we traverse this April 19-May 13 time frame. On April 20, just one day in to this time band, the DJIA was up over 153 points.

             As impressive as the stock market rally was last week, it paled in comparison to what happened in Wheat prices. After bottoming at 426 on April 2, the July contract soared to 525 intraday on Friday, an appreciation of nearly 25% in a little over two weeks. The severe drought in Australia is the primary culprit, another example of Saturn in its 36-year opposition to Neptune. Saturn is "lack of" matters pertaining to the planets it aspects. Neptune is rain. Somewhere in the world there was likely to be drought that would have an affect upon food prices. In this case, it is Australia, and the market is Wheat. Perhaps shortly after this transit ends June 25, the rains will return to this region.

             In other markets, Gold was up and Silver was down last week, while the Euro continue its rally, coming ever closer to its all-time high of 1.3667 on December 30, 2004. The Dollar, on the hand, fell to a new multi-year low.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             This should be a very interesting week. Both Venus and Mars will transit ion hard aspect to the approaching Jupiter-Uranus square, forming a powerful T-square April 23-30.

             The line up begins this Monday, April 23, as Venus forms a waxing square to Mars. In classical astrology, this pairing has a theme of "disagreements." It is an "attraction," as Venus and Mars together are romantic and passionate about their intentions. But the square suggests they cannot come together on important issues of value, thus resulting is a dispute. In markets, it pertains to sugar, soybeans and currency prices. Three days later, Venus will for the same square relationship to Uranus, which can symbolize separations and divorces due the value conflicts and disputes alluded to under the square of Venus to Mars. This too correlates with changes in grain prices, sugar, but also stock indices.

             On Saturday, April 28, Mars will conjunct Uranus (and the North Node of the Moon is nearby too), while Venus is in opposition to Jupiter. The Mars-Uranus is a powerful Level 1 signature, with a 75% historical correlation to primary or greater cycles in U.S. stocks within 10 trading days, as reported in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles." It also symbolizes earthquakes, fires, damaging winds, and the threat of terrorism or assaults that endanger human lives.

             This T-square then ends with Mars forming its waxing square to Jupiter on Monday, April 30. This is a signature of "over-reaching" and "exaggeration," or going too far on some matter. Mars can be anger and war-like activity. With Jupiter, there tends to be a lack of boundaries. In other words, if someone is offended or upset, they may be unable to control their rage. In markets, the direction of prices may exceed the normal support and resistance boundaries, as either irrational exuberance takes prices to new highs, or panic sets in and prices fall way beyond what anyone expected (except us).

             The key to understand here is that Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus are all involved in powerful aspects top one an other. Whenever these three planets are involved in configurations to one another, the potential for very wild price swings is extremely high. That is why I think triple digit up and down days lie ahead in the DJIA. In fact, I would not be surprised if sometime in the next three weeks (and especially next 10 days), we see a record, or near record, down day (and perhaps up day as well). Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus together know no boundaries, especially in the mutable signs of Pisces and Sagittarius. These are not signatures of restraint and caution. As stated last week, "Fasten your seat belts. To borrow a phrase from the Disney World theme park, we are about to begin Mr. Toad's Wild Ride."

Long-Term Thoughts :

             Mars, Jupiter and Uranus may also explain the recent outbreak of crazed killings in the world. In astrology, Uranus can pertain to the principle of alienation and detachment from society. Mars rules anger, and Jupiter pertains to excesses and the "over doing" of things. Together, these dynamics may send a psychologically unstable individual over the edge. Thus it is important to realize that this period (mid-April through mid-May) may be a particularly dangerous and unstable time. As much as possible, avoid being in a situations where anger may quickly spill over into violent actions. But every astrological dynamic also has a potential positive antidote. In this case, the dynamic can also lead to new and inspiring ideas towards a brighter future. So it will be interesting to watch how world leaders react in the next couple weeks. Will they come up with brilliant new ideas about solving the problems of the world? Or will they continue to spin these events as if they are positive developments that support their previous decisions, and/or resort to sudden and unwise reactions to enter into new combat, and thus endanger the lives of others? Certainly the "terrorists" of the world are embarking upon a path of increasing violence. But is there any possibility that a leader will step forward with a bold plan that can successfully (and honestly) address this issue, in a manner that does not put additional human lives in danger? Is that even possible? Look for the next week, and even next three weeks, to bring these matters to the forefront of public awareness. Unfortunately, these signatures suggest war efforts could expand, not recede. The "surge" may be fully underway, and it does not appear to be smooth, and thus could be followed by even more criticism and protest.

Announcements :

            I will be speaking in Tokyo and Osaka, Japan the next two weeks (April 21 and 28). The topic will be my outlook on the Japanese Nikkei, Dollar-Yen, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Crude Oil, Gold, and Grains. For further information, please contact tn@tkc.att.ne.jp . On May 25-27, I will be in Belgrade, Serbia, leading a workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology," the title of a school of thought I developed - and book I wrote from 1971-1977, and republished in 1991.For  more information, please contact keplerskola@ptt.yu . On June 2, I will be part of an all-day seminar in Amsterdam, where I will present my findings related to short-term trading of the Silver market, as written in "The Sun, Moon, and Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader." For info, call 31-294-417892, or go to www.markettiming.nl , or email info@markettiming.nl .

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007
: There are about 50 copies left of Forecast for 2007 book. I expect they will sell out by the middle of the year. If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.



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