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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
April 30 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             Last week was to offer a glimpse of the forthcoming Jupiter-Uranus square of May 11. It was the week that transiting Venus created a T-square to both Jupiter and Uranus. If that was a harbinger of what it is to come, then matters do not look too good for precious metals. They sold off sharply for most of the week, especially in the case of Silver. This was surprising, for the Euro currency made a new all-time high, and aren't the metals supposed to move in the same direction as the currencies (and opposite the Dollar)? Crude Oil also performed quite well, rising to its highest level in a few weeks. And aren't metals supposed to move in the same direction as crude oil too? In typical Uranus fashion, inter-related markets didn't do what they were supposed to do, according to their usual (and historical) relationship to one another.

             Even the stock markets of the world behaved a bit bizarre. Yes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose all week to one new all-time high after another. And the NASDAQ Composite posted a new six-year high of 2563 on Friday. In South America, Brazil's Bovespa index soared to a new all-time of 49,856 last Thursday, challenging the unheard of 50,000 mark. But in Argentina, the Merval stock index could not exceed the highs of the either of the past two weeks.

             But in Europe and the Pacific Rim, there were more notable divergences. The Swiss stock index and the German DAX made a new all-time and multi-year high respectively last Thursday, April 26. But these new cycle highs were not matched in either the London FTSE or the Netherlands AEX indices. In the Pacific Rim, no index made new highs last week. The Australian All Ordinaries came close to matching its all-time high of 6240 on April 18, but fell a little short of exceeding it last week. The same was true in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng stock index could not top the 20,868 mark of April 18. And in Japan, the tone was more negative as it fell most of the week instead of rising, dropping back to 17,221 last Wednesday for a possible major cycle trough (and not a crest, lime other indices) .

             If last week taught us anything about Astrology, it was that Uranus is indeed a planet whose influence rules the unexpected, and therefore transits to it result in activities that are quite unpredictable. That's nothing new to astrologers.


Short-Term Geocosmics :

             Last week witnessed Venus in aspect to the forthcoming Jupiter-Uranus square. Now we start the new week with Mars doing the same. Mars conjuncts Uranus on Saturday, April 28, and then it squares Jupiter on Monday, April 30. Usually Mars has a stronger effect on markets than Venus. But given that this configuration takes place partly over a weekend, and then at the start of a long holiday week in the Far East (Japan anyway), one wonders if will have its normal "big price range" effect in most markets. It seems to have already started with precious metals, where July Silver fell to a low of 1330 on Thursday, off a whole dollar from its recent high of 1430 on April 16. In fact, on Thursday it was down a whopping 44 cents. Gold was down nearly $10.00/ounce the same day, the first time it had dropped that much in several weeks. With Mars making hard aspects early this week, there is a possibility that the precious metals may continue making these large price moves. It is also possible that other markets may join the party now, like stocks. And if not now (perhaps due to the weekend and the early May holidays in many parts of the world), then perhaps as we get closer to the center of all this action: the May 10 square of Jupiter and Uranus. Keep in mind that Uranus also rules earthquakes and tornadoes.

             This will be the second passage of the Jupiter-Uranus square, due to the retrograde of Jupiter. The first passage was January 22, which coincided with the 4-year cycle trough in Crude Oil and the yearly high in Dollar-Yen, and a primary cycle trough in Treasuries, all within one week. Could something big like that culminate again within one week of May 10? Sure it could, especially when you consider that this is the second (or retrograde) passage of this aspect. The last time we had a second (or retrograde) passage of an aspect between Jupiter and Uranus was May 5, 2006. Within one week, the DJIA topped out and commenced a 1000+ point decline into mid-June. Gold and Silver also experienced 25-year highs within a week a May 5, 2006. But by mid-June, just four weeks later, Gold had fallen almost $200.00, whereas Silver dropped almost 40%. With Jupiter and Uranus, price swings may be very large - much greater than anyone expects. After all, Jupiter rules exaggeration, and Uranus rules the unexpected.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             The square between Jupiter and Uranus represents one of two dominant planetary-pair signatures in effect this year. The other is Saturn and Neptune in opposition (halfway point of their 36-year cycle), which is coming up for a third and final passage on June 25. In fact, as the quarter phase of the Jupiter-Uranus cycle takes place on May 10, the Sun will begin forming its T-Square translation to the approaching Saturn-Neptune opposition, May 9-12. As if that isn't enough, Mars will square Pluto just before it enters Aries, on May 13 and 15 respectively. From now through May 15 is a "geocosmic dynamite zone."

             In several of these previous columns, I have outlined the relationship of the Saturn-Neptune cycle to the problems confronting President George W. Bush and the leadership of the United States. I have focused on the fact that 1) he will expand the War in Iraq this year, and not offer to pullback, despite the will of the majority of Congress and the American people, and 2) that the more he continues to enlarge this war, the more the Democratic controlled Congress will make life miserable for him by calling forth more and more investigations into his past decisions that will hamper his ability to do anything in his last two years of office. There will not be any efforts towards bi-partisan cooperation, as promised by both Mr. Bush and leaders of the Democratic Party, following the mid-term elections of November 2006.

             I have been in Japan the past two weeks, and the news I read may be different than that provided in the United States. On Friday, April 27, the "International Herald Tribune," here in Tokyo, reported that "Democrats flex their muscle by ordering subpoenas: Bush administration is subject of inquiries." The article begins, "In a vivid display of their new power, Democrats across Capital Hill approved a flurry of subpoenas to fuel a series if investigations of the Bush administration." Don't say you didn't read it here first.

             But that's not all. As stated before, Saturn and Neptune also pertain to the "Don't believe what you hear or read" news either. This is a time when information is distorted and twisted to serve the needs of special interests, especially those in power. In "The Japan Times" newspaper, one of the leading headlines this week was, "Lynch, Tillman: US Army lied to create heroes..."  The article was a detailed account of how the Army fabricated the events surrounding the death of former football star Pat Tillman, and the capture of Jessica Lynch, to make them heroes, when in fact the actual events were nothing like the Army perpetrated. They weren't captured or killed doing anything heroic. In fact, Pat Tillman was apparently killed by another American solider in a case of "friendly fire." In another article that appears to be in stark contradiction to the will of the current administration in the U.S., "Mexico City votes to legalize early abortion." And this just one week after the U.S. Supreme court voted down certain abortion procedures, in a continuing move to overthrow the "Roe versus Wade" decision of the same Supreme Court 30 some years ago. It is just a few more months (December 2007) before Jupiter conjuncts Pluto, in close proximity (conjunction) to the Galactic Center. As pointed out in this year's Forecast Book, matters dealing with life and death - and in particular the pro-life versus pro-choice debate - are likely to reach a peak. Do not be surprised if "Roe versus Wade" is overturned soon.

             On the plus side (I think) comes the following headline related to the same approaching Jupiter-Pluto-Galactic Center conjunction: "Earth-like Planet  (Gliese 581) that could host life is found orbiting a nearby red dwarf." Thank God we may not be alone after all. Maybe there is Intelligence somewhere in the Universe (other than Earth, of course). Maybe they have markets too! I wonder if they trade human futures? And if so, are they bullish or bearish on the direction of Earth right now? .

Announcements :

            On May 25-27, I will be in Belgrade, Serbia, leading a workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology," the title of a school of thought I developed - and book I wrote from 1971-1977, and republished in 1991.For  more information, please contact keplerskola@ptt.yu .

On June 2, I will be part of an all-day seminar in Amsterdam, where I will present my findings related to short-term trading of the Silver market, as written in "The Sun, Moon, and Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader." For info, call 31-294-417892, or go to www.markettiming.nl , or email info@markettiming.nl .

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report will come out this week, April 30 and May 1, and not the MMA Cycles Report, as originally scheduled, due to holidays in Japan this week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007
: There are about 50 copies left of Forecast for 2007 book. I expect they will sell out by the middle of the year. If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The next “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” came out last Monday-Tuesday. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.



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