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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
MAY 14 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

The Market Week in Review :

             Did I mention that the Jupiter-Uranus signature tends to be erratic and highly unpredictable with regard to market movements?

             It is said that trading markets is the quickest way to develop humility - if you want to survive. It is the ultimate teacher not only of humbleness, but also of the need to be flexible in your mindset. If you aren't, then you are as good as dead. There is no room for error or arrogance, especially when you trade in markets during periods of Mercury retrograde or strong aspects to Uranus.

             This past week, Jupiter underwent its second (of three) waning square passage to Uranus, usually the strongest of the three passages. To say that stock markets were erratic, and technical studies were unreliable, would be an understatement. In the U.S.A. for instance, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to a new all-time high on Wednesday, May 9, as the Sun squared Saturn. This is considered a hard aspect in astrology, and one in which most students of astrology would think would dampen the market. But instead, stocks closed strong that day, with a series of bullish technical “buy” signals. But then the next day, the DJIA fell 147 points (triple digits, as expected), negating all those bullish signals and instead turning bearish with a slew of new sell signals. But then on Friday, the market was up 109 points, negating the prior day's technical sell signal, and turning bullish again in a technical sense.

             So what do we learn from this - besides a slew of “life lessons?” We learn that squares are not always lows. The market made a new all-time high on May 9 under the Sun-Saturn square, and one day before the exact hit of the Jupiter-Uranus square. It also happened in the middle of the Moon's three-day transit through Aquarius. Aquarius is the domain ruled by Uranus, which is part of the Jupiter-Uranus square, and therefore highlights this lunar cycle. It coincided with the all-time high (as it stands today) in the DJIA. It also coincided with a couple of other correlations derived from The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 4: Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Reversals. Many long-term cycle crests unfold when the Moon is in an air sign. And a good number of highs in stock indices also form as the Moon enters the beginning of the zodiac (i.e. when the Moon nears 0 Aries). The Moon will enter 0 Aries this weekend. Will the market continued its torrid pace to more new all-time highs, negating one sell signal after another, as it has done all this year with Jupiter in Sagittarius? Or will the completion of the Jupiter-Uranus square passage, and the movement of the Moon into the new zodiac, signal a change in trend this coming week? I know the answer, based on probabilities derived from past occurrences of these signatures. I just wish I knew if I was asking the right question.

             The U.S. stock market was not only market that experienced a sudden change of direction, and negation of bullish and/or bearish signals last week. On Thursday, the Japanese Nikkei rallied to 17,827, its highest level in several weeks, and technically an upside “break-out” to new cycle highs. But on Friday, it gapped down, wiping out the prior day's technically bullish close. The July Corn contract fell to 354 on Thursday, a new multi-month low, suggesting a big sell-off was in force. But on Friday, it surprised everyone by closing up over 15 cents (that's a big move for Corn), thereby negating the prior day's bearish signal. Gold and Silver were looking quite bullish as last week's trading began, with Gold threatening to take out 700.00. By Thursday, that bullishness had completely evaporated as prices fell to 666, its lowest level in over a month, and now approaching a critical trend line that has supported this bull market.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             We are starting to see the triple digit up and down days suggested previously as pertaining to the Jupiter-Uranus square aspect of May 10-11. But the majority of these days were up as we headed into that aspect. We now have to wonder what happens as we separate from this signature of “euphoria, exaggeration, optimism, and also panic and hysteria.” Do we see spillover to new highs for then next few days? It is possible, as that is what happened last year following the second passage of a Jupiter-Uranus signature. The stock market continued higher for one more week before commencing a decline of about 1000 points over the following 4 weeks. Gold and Silver were even more extreme. They continued making 20+-year highs also for an additional week, before falling over 30% for the next 4 weeks in the case of Silver.

             As we now move past Jupiter and Uranus, we start our approach to the third and final Saturn-Neptune signature of June 25. As stated last week, and still applicable to this week, “But it is not just Jupiter and Uranus one has to be concerned about this week. In addition, the Sun will now start its translation to the forthcoming Saturn-Neptune opposition. It will form a T-square to “the other” significant geocosmic signature of this year, when it first forms the waning square to Saturn on Wednesday, May 9, and then the waxing square to Neptune on next Saturday, May 12. This Jupiter-Uranus “freight train” of a rally could spill over into this translation period before a sobering reality sets in the following week. Such a rude awakening may be further set off with Mars forming a waxing square to Pluto the day after (May 13). This later is a signature of threats again to human lives, especially through acts of terrorism.”

             The other major geocosmic signature to happen this week will be Mars entering Aries, May 15 through June 24. Mars rules Aries. Both pertain to assertiveness and starting new things, new directions, and quite possibly new trends. This ingress has a strong correlation to the culmination of cycles in interest-rate related markets, like Treasury Bonds and Notes, for it aspects the Sun-Pluto opposition in the Federal Reserve Board chart at 0-1 degrees of Cancer-Capricorn
.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             Moving from the Jupiter-Uranus dynamic to the Saturn-Neptune dynamic may not be as exciting and euphoric. The concept of “euphoria” and “confidence” belongs to the realm of Jupiter. There is a saying that markets are ruled by “fear and greed.” Well, Jupiter is the “greed” element, and Saturn is the “fear.” It would seem that from now through June, we will see the investment climate move from greed to fear, as we move from Jupiter's influence to Saturn's, both in terms of stock markets and world affairs.

             As Saturn also rules accountability, we now see this dynamic starting to evolve in terms of the demands by U.S. Congress to tie further funding for the Iraqi War to “benchmarks of progress” by Iraqis to defending themselves. But what is really ironic is an Associated Press article in Friday's papers, stating that “More than half the members of Iraq 's parliament signed proposed legislation Thursday demanding a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S.-led troops and a freeze on the number of foreign forces in the nation.” Now let me see if I have this right: the majority of U.S. Congress members want a timetable to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq . And the majority of members of Iraqi's parliament want a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq . So... what's the problem? And then this article in Wednesday's Wall Street Journal reports: “Meanwhile, the Army notified 35,000 soldiers they could be called up.” So the “troop surge” has grown from the original call for 20,000 more troops late last year, to 21,000 earlier this year, to 21,500 a few weeks after that, to possibly 35,000 more now. Is this a sign of desperation? It is a sign of transiting Saturn in opposition to Neptune , and a commander in chief who's progressed Mars (combat) is moving towards his natal Jupiter (expansion). I'm not saying the troop surge isn't a good idea (I don't know). I am just saying that things aren't proceeding according to what was projected before. It is another example of another error in information - intentional or unintentional, I do not know. And with Saturn in opposition to Neptune , we may never know the truth until it's over, for this is an aspect of doing much behind the scenes. In the meantime, the Congressional investigations continue to mount, also consistent with this aspect. So what is this aspect good for? Distinguishing between reality and fantasy, between what is possible versus what is an illusion. It requires honest and accurate appraisal of the situation. Otherwise, disillusionment leads to disappointment, both in terms of geopolitical affairs and financial markets.

Announcements :

            On May 25-27, I will be in Belgrade, Serbia, leading a workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology," the title of a school of thought I developed - and book I wrote from 1971-1977, and republished in 1991.For  more information, please contact keplerskola@ptt.yu .

            On June 2, I will be part of an all-day seminar in Amsterdam, where I will present my findings related to short-term trading of the Silver market, as written in "The Sun, Moon, and Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader." For info, call 31-294-417892, or go to www.markettiming.nl, or email info@markettiming.nl .

            I am in discussion with the Adams Mark Hotel in Denver about hosting the next full MMA Market Timing workshop the weekend of July 13-15. Hold those dates on your calendar if you are interested in learning this form of market timing and analysis. Denver is "Rocky Mountain high-beautiful." Prior to that, I will be conducting a one-day market timing seminar in Amsterdam, June 2. For details, contact info@markettiming.nl .

            The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report came out last week, and not the MMA Cycles Report, as originally scheduled, due to holidays in Japan this week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast for 2007
: There are about 50 copies left of Forecast for 2007 book. I expect they will sell out by the middle of the year. If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.
This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” came out last week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.



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