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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
JUNE 25 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

             Last week's column asked: "Will the symmetry complete itself with another crest within days of June 25? This should be an interesting week, given that 3 of the four factors have now culminated as symmetry would suggest, with the fourth due in one week." The symmetry referred to was the transiting Sun making a translation to the Jupiter-Uranus square (June 4-11) followed by the Saturn-Neptune opposition of June 25. When these two geocosmic patterns occurred in reverse order back on February 28 and March 5-9, stock markets around the world first made new multi-year highs just a couple of days before February 28 then sold off sharply into March 5-9. This time we speculated the opposite would happen: stock indices would sell off into June 4-11 and then rally to another high within a couple of days of Monday, June 25. That is exactly what happened.

            In Europe, all the indices we track sold off into a low that formed on June 8. All rallied strongly form that low into last week, with the Netherlands AEX and German DAX making new multi-year highs on Wednesday, June 20. The London FTSE made a new multi-year high last Monday. The Swiss Stock Index was weakest of all. It too rallied to a crest last Monday, but it was considerably below its all-time high of 9548 realized back on June 4.

            In the Pacific Rim, the decline into the June 4-11 translation period was realized in the Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong, which then reversed and soared to a new all-time high on Friday, June 22. The All Ordinaries of Australia and Nikkei index of Japan made their lows on June 13, a couple of days past the June 4-11 period. But both rallied strongly into Wednesday, June 20, falling just short of their recent all-time or multi-year highs made earlier this year.

            In the Americas, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bottomed at 13,251 on June 8, and followed with a rally to 13,674 last Wednesday, June 20, just slightly off its all-time high of June 1 at 13,692. The NASDAQ Composite also ended a sell-off on June 8 at 2535, then rallied sharply to a new 6-year high last Wednesday, June 20, at 2634. In Brazil, the Bovespa also bottomed on June 8 at 50,884, then soared to anew all-time high of 55,003 last Wednesday, just three trading days before the Saturn-Neptune opposition of this coming Monday. The Argentina Merval Index rallied to 2249 last Wednesday, just a coupe, of points beneath its all-time high of 2256 realized back on June 1.

            But as we enter Monday's third and final passage of the Saturn-Neptune opposition, we see most stock indices falling, some sharply, off their highs just realized this past week. And from a technical point of view, almost everyone is exhibiting bearish divergence on their oscillators (new highs or nearly new highs, but much weaker momentum indicators). What does this mean? Well, under normal circumstances, it would mean the market has now topped out, and a very significant decline has begun. But with Mercury retrograde and Saturn in opposition to Neptune, we know these are not "normal" circumstances. Mercury retrograde implies markets are prone to false breakouts and false technical buy and sell signals. And Saturn-Neptune signatures can indicate covert activities affecting market prices, such as rumors and intentionally misleading political or economic news releases. Or worse.

            In other markets, Crude Oil soared to its highest level in 9 months, testing the 70.00 mark late last week. Corn and Soybeans made new multi-month highs on Monday, with Corn going exactly to our price target of 426 as reported on both our daily and weekly subscription reports. It then sold off sharply, closing the week at 367, indicating the high for this season may be in. The Dollar soared to its highest level in over 4 years against the Japanese Yen, but continued its decline against European currencies as Japan's central bank did not budge on its very low interest rates, thus continuing to offer the equivalent of "almost free money" to those who can apply the "carry trade" to their advantage in trading between U.S. stocks and the Japanese currency against the U.S. Dollar. At some point, when everyone learns how to take advantage of this opportune window ("fixed game"), it will close and stock markets around the world will come crashing down, probably along with the U.S. Dollar. In the meantime, Gold and Silver ended rallies on Wednesday as well, and then sold off into Friday, as the later days of the heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius draw to an end. The first days of that transit (June 15-26) are usually bullish, with the last few days usually bearish, and this time was no exception.


Short-Term Geocosmics :

             Mercury is currently in its retrograde period (June 15-July 9). As stated last week, "This is typically a time of conflicting political and economic news events. Mercury retrograde is known to astrologers as a time when misunderstandings and poor communications. But communications apply to computers too... It is not uncommon to experience computer or telecommunication problems during these periods." I hope somebody forewarned the people at United Airlines of this last week. Their computers went down in a big way, causing massive delays in flights.

             Mercury retrograde is probably not the most important signature taking place right now. We already discussed the Saturn-Neptune opposition of this Monday at length, but Uranus is turning retrograde this weekend (June 23) and has an even more powerful correspondence to reversals in stock indices. With Uranus, we have to consider the themes of unexpected surprises and sudden reversals in financial markets that catch both traders and investors off guard. It is not a good time to be complacent, and unfortunately, most invertors been just that as of late. They may now been in for a very rude and unprepared awakening. Nothing is working as it "should." Uranus also rules computers, so we may not have seen the end of these problems with the turmoil over at United Airlines or other companies dealing in travel. It also rules earthquakes and strong winds, so Mother Nature may also hit us with a big surprise in the next few days.


Long-Term Thoughts :

             The final passage of the 10-month Saturn-Neptune opposition ends this Monday, June 25. I think the barrage of moral and ethical issues - and their lapses on the part of business and governmental leaders - has left most people weary. It's correspondence with both "too much rain" and "not enough rain" (drought) has left many farmers of the world very weary. These trends should now draw to a close. Weather patterns will soon return to normal, probably after the Uranus-turning-retrograde period ends in a week or so. And politicians the world over will make renewed vows to correct the ethical abuses that have seriously harmed the public's trust in them and the business community. But damage has been done, and the trends initiated over the past few months and even years (since Saturn was in opposition to Pluto) that led to this massive distrust of leaders and polarization of groups (i.e. political parties), will probably take years to repair. It is exactly in this sort of climate that a third political party could form in the United States, in time for the 2008 Presidential election. And it is interesting that as we approach the final passage of the Saturn-Neptune opposition, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg leaves the Republican Party - after already having left the Democratic Party - to become an Independent. This may be a man worth watching closely in the months ahead. His actions seem to be in tune with the drama unfolding in the heavens, namely the Saturn-Uranus opposition of 2008-2010.

             Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing.

Announcements :

          The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report and the SOS Global Stock Markets Report came out last week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast book for 2007
: The Forecasts for 2007 book is now available for $30.00. The year is now half over, and the time when we release the remaining copies of the current Forecast Book at a steep discount. The normal price until now has been $45.00, but from June 15, 2007, the remaining copies will be sold at $30.00 while they last. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. Although 2007 is only approximately half over, many of the critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive. As of early June, 5 of the 6 reversal dates in T-Notes have coincided with cycle reversals within only two trading days or less, including the yearly high of March 5. All seven of the reversal dates given for the stock market have resulted in tradable turns in the S&P futures within only one trading day. The first two trading dates in Gold and Silver were non-events, but the next four were right on, including the yearly low in Silver on March 5. But the currencies were perhaps the most impressive with all 8 reversal dates coinciding with turns in the either the Swiss Franc or Euro, with seven occurring within just 1 day or exactly on the date given, including the yearly high in the Euro on April 27. The grains were very impressive with accurate dates given in 7 of the 8 instances. The yearly highs and lows (as of June 15 were all nearby to these dates. And finally Crude Oil. The yearly low was on January 18. The first reversal date given in the Forecast Book for Crude Oil was January 19. The high so far was on March 27, one day after the given March 26 reversal date. In fact, 6 of the 7 dates given for reversals in the crude oil market were within one trading day of actual reversals in price. The year is only half over. There are still plenty of reversal dates coming up in all thesemarkets. Order now, while supplies last, and find out when the next reversal date is in the markets you like to trade!

If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.

This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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