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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
JULY 2 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

Note: There will be no column next week due to fact that I will take a vacation during the Independence Day holiday period. The next column will appear for the week of July 16. For those in the United States, enjoy your forthcoming holiday!

The Market Week in Review :

             This a holiday week in the United States (Independence Day, July 4), and Mercury is retrograde. The combination implies a lightly-traded but unpredictable week ahead. Holiday markets are usually more bullish than bearish, but with Mercury retrograde, price movements tend to reverse every 1-4 days. However, right in the middle of the retrograde period (usually about the 8th trading day), some markets make a bigger than anticipated reversal of what appears to be a short-term trend. That is what happened in many stock indices last week. They were down from shortly after the time Mercury went retrograde on June 15 until last Wednesday, the 8th trading day. Then they abruptly started to rally again. The same thing happened with precious metals. Crude Oil, however, was the star last week, moving above 70.00/barrel for the first time in 9 months. With Uranus still in the middle degrees of Pisces, the possibility of 100.00/barrel remains in effect. Uranus coincides with multi-year highs or lows in signs of commodities or stock sectors ruled by the sign it is in. Pisces rules crude oil. The high usually occurs while Uranus is in the middle degrees, and then the bottom falls out as prices oftentimes decline 50-80% off those highs before it leaves the sign. Uranus remains in middle Pisces into 2008.

            In other markets, Silver prices dropped significantly last week as the final Saturn-Neptune opposition unfolded. Prices then rallied smartly in to the "Sagittarius Factor" lunar cycle, Wednesday-Friday, a bullish phenomenon discussed in one of the chapters of our recently released-book on short term trading of Silver.

            Because this is Mercury retrograde, and a holiday week, there is not likely to be a favorable trading week. Mercury retrograde coincides with unpredictable market behavior, as prices tend to swing back and forth every 1-4 days, with little respect for technical buy or sell signals, or support-resistance. In fact, they are more likely to exhibit "fake out" patterns than anything else. The same tends to happen in holiday markets. Nevertheless, it is interesting that the market behavior of the past two weeks was remarkably right in line with what geocosmic signatures suggested, even with Mercury retrograde. Once you adapt to the "Mercury retrograde rules" and think very short-term, the odds seem to shift in your favor.


Short-Term Geocosmics :

             We note that Apple released its new Iphone this past week, under the Mercury and Uranus retrogrades. Mercury rules telephones, and Uranus rules telecommunications. Under the dual retrograde, we wonder how long it will take before a recall is announced. It doesn't appear that Apple used the services of an astrologer to launch this new product.

             We also note that Venus now makes a translation to the recent Saturn-Neptune opposition, June 30-July 1. Venus conjuncts Saturn and opposes Neptune. If it were not for the fact that this is a holiday week, we would consider that a strong signature of a possible reversal, especially of any market that has been declining into it. Soybeans, which is ruled by Venus, was a great example of this late last week. After decline sharply for a few days, it exploded back up on Friday to test their multi-year highs.

             Our focus will now shift to the Mercury direct period of July 10, which may be more significant for equity markets. However, all these signatures may pale to the Venus retrograde station that takes place July 27. That happens to be one of the most powerful correlates to reversals in many stock and financial and commodity markets within about 10 trading days, as demonstrated in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles," as well as "The Gold Book: Geocosmic Correlations to Gold Price Cycles."


Long-Term Thoughts :

             The 36-year Saturn-Neptune opposition cycle is now over as of June 25. However, the consequences (and penalties) for many of the actions initiated during this period will probably be forthcoming for the next 1-2 years. It is not uncommon for the full effects - and consequences - to be realized after the aspect has left, for typical of this aspect, the complete details are not always known until investigations afterward reveal patterns of deception and cover-ups. As an example, one need only look back to the last instance in 1971-72 and the Watergate burglaries that occurred then, but the full scope of the cover-up wasn't fully realized until 1-2 years later. That's when the whole Nixon administration came tumbling down, and Nixon was compelled to become the first U.S.A. president to resign from office.

             Could something like that happen again? Possibly. Once again we see the two Democratically-controlled branches of Congress initiating a whole slew of investigations into the past activities of the President and his White House staff, and again at the end of a very unpopular war. And the nature of the investigations has a great to do with Saturn-Neptune themes: spy programs, warrantless domestic eavesdropping, dismissal of U.S. attorneys under questionable political motives, concerns about the president's constitutional authority in deciding specific matters, the question as to whether the Vice-President is really subject to rules of the executive branch (and if not, should his office be funded accordingly). Neptune rules confusion too, and that was very evident in last week's news as the Senate failed to pass a long awaited immigration bill. According to Friday's Wall Street Journal, "The battle (and failure on immigration) stamps Bush as a lame duck." But, as stated in this column recently, Bush is already perceived by many European leaders (such as Italy) as irrelevant any longer. In a survey conducted of 45,239 adults in 47 countries, a survey released by the Pew Research this past week found that anti-American feelings have swelled throughout the world since 2002. According to the report, the poll showed that President Bush "is less trusted on foreign policy than Russian President Vladimir Putin by allies Britain, Germany and Canada" (Free Press News Services, June 28).

             Saturn rules government (and people in authority) and Neptune rules trust. Together they can (and usually do) combine to foster a psychological environment of distrust, suspicion, and disappointment. It is a time when cynicism abounds, coincident with denials of responsibility or unwillingness to cooperate in efforts to find the truth. Evidence disappears - conveniently (as in the case of some White House emails related to these investigations). It is a time that requires openness and assurances of worthiness to be trusted on the part of elected or appointed leaders. But if that is not forthcoming, then the public typically wants punishment for those leaders. And as history has shown, it usually takes 1-2 years afterwards before the evidence of any wrongdoing begins to be revealed. It usually takes 1-2 year afterwards before the stock market falls too, for in spite of all the suspicion and conspiracy theories present (which may turn out to be real in the end), equity markets still tend to climb a "wall of worry," which is a perfect Saturn-Neptune symbol. There can be declines, even very sharp ones, but a prolonged bear market is usually well after the Saturn-Neptune aspect has passed.

             Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

          The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report and the SOS Global Stock Markets Report came out last week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast book for 2007
: The Forecasts for 2007 book is now available for $30.00. The year is now half over, and the time when we release the remaining copies of the current Forecast Book at a steep discount. The normal price until now has been $45.00, but from June 15, 2007, the remaining copies will be sold at $30.00 while they last. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. Although 2007 is only approximately half over, many of the critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive. As of early June, 5 of the 6 reversal dates in T-Notes have coincided with cycle reversals within only two trading days or less, including the yearly high of March 5. All seven of the reversal dates given for the stock market have resulted in tradable turns in the S&P futures within only one trading day. The first two trading dates in Gold and Silver were non-events, but the next four were right on, including the yearly low in Silver on March 5. But the currencies were perhaps the most impressive with all 8 reversal dates coinciding with turns in the either the Swiss Franc or Euro, with seven occurring within just 1 day or exactly on the date given, including the yearly high in the Euro on April 27. The grains were very impressive with accurate dates given in 7 of the 8 instances. The yearly highs and lows (as of June 15 were all nearby to these dates. And finally Crude Oil. The yearly low was on January 18. The first reversal date given in the Forecast Book for Crude Oil was January 19. The high so far was on March 27, one day after the given March 26 reversal date. In fact, 6 of the 7 dates given for reversals in the crude oil market were within one trading day of actual reversals in price. The year is only half over. There are still plenty of reversal dates coming up in all thesemarkets. Order now, while supplies last, and find out when the next reversal date is in the markets you like to trade!

If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.

This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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