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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
JULY 23 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

             The big news this past week was the Dow Jones Industrial Average passing the 14,000 mark for the first time ever - a new all-time high. However, the joy was short-lived as the index fell over 200 points to below 13,800 intraday on Friday, before closing the week at 13,851. Multi-year or all-time highs were also noted in the other indices in the Americas, like the NASDAQ Composite and Bovespa index of Brazil. A new all-time high was also achieved in the Hang Seng of Hong Kong on Friday. But that was it. No other index that we track was able to exceed their recent multi-year or all-time highs during last week's trading. All of the European indices failed, and so did the Nikkei and Australia's All Ordinaries. Furthermore, many of these indices also exhibited a turn down in their overbought momentum indicators, suggesting that the highs are in, or will be shortly. If new highs are now made, they will likely unfold under lower readings from these indicators, which would create a case of bearish oscillator divergence. Already we are seeing intermarket bearish divergences between the indices of the world, where several failed to make new highs, while only a few did.

            Another big story occurred in crude oil, which soared to 76.143 intraday on Friday, coming very close to its all-time high of 78.40 achieved over a year ago. Also prominent was the Euro currency, which did manage a slightly higher all-time high last week. In sympathy with the new high in the Euro currency was a strong up week for Gold. On Friday it reached 687, its highest level since early May. Silver reached 1350, its highest level of this month. But all of this was suggested last week by the new yearly high in the XAU Gold and Silver Mining Index.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             We are now entering the time band of the Venus retrograde influence. On July 27, Venus will reverse its apparent direction through the heavens from 2 degrees of Virgo. It will remain in retrograde through September 8. Within 12 trading days of Venus turning retrograde, the U.S. stock market has had a 78% correlation to primary or greater cycles from which prices reversed substantially. But it is not only equities that are affected by this geocosmic event. All markets can experience major turns around this time, for Venus rules values and assets of all kinds. Specifically we associate Venus with money, or currency values. And, as many readers know, currency values are influenced by changes in interest rates, which themselves are a response to perceived or real changes in monetary policy by central banks of the world. A look at currency charts will reveal that as we enter this Venus retrograde period, the Euro is making new all-time highs against the U.S. Dollar, and the Dollar itself is nearly lows of a long-term nature. The Venus retrograde suggests that these currencies could soon experience a multi-week contra trend move. I will speak more to this matter in the Long-Term section.

             On a more personal level, Venus also rules relationships, partnerships, and matters of the heart. Old lovers return. Or new love interests enter one's life that resurrects issues and patterns of the past that are still not yet mastered. If your love life has been going well with a significant other, be aware. It could reverse and head south now. On the other hand, if a relationship has been experiencing difficulties as of late, it is now possible that any misunderstandings can be corrected, and the relationship can now get back on track. On another level yet, Venus rules purchases and changes in one appearance. Venus retrograde is not a time when one is advised to make large purchases or changes in personal appearance. You may find you wish you could return the purchase, or undo the change in appearance.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             Change. That is a keyword that we usually associate with Uranus. But as you saw in the earlier part of this week's column, it also pertains to the period of time when a planet turns retrograde, at least in matters to do with that planet. In the case of Venus turning retrograde for the next 6-7 weeks, we anticipate changes in regards to matters of money (and love). Typically this is a period when central banks of the world realize that a change in their monetary policy is necessary, and so they switch their bias from accommodative (low or stable interest rates) to restrictive (higher rates), or vice-versa. These decisions are oftentimes based on the perception of inflation trends. If it is believed that prices are rising, or about to rise due to unexpectedly positive economic growth, central banks will oftentimes start to take steps to slow down that trend by raising those interest rates that are within their power.

             Right now there is concern about inflation in many of the capitalistic economies, like the United States. Of interest to astrologers regarding this matter, may be an examination of the chart of the Federal Reserve Board Chair Ben Bernanke, who was born December 13, 1953, time unknown, but thought to be around noon. Unfortunately I do not have my databank source available with me as I write this, so I cannot cite the source of this data, nor the city of the birth, but I believe it was somewhere in the southeast USA. In any event, He most likely has the Moon around 20 degrees of Pisces, in a T-square to the Sun-Jupiter opposition at 21 Sagittarius and Gemini respectively. This is important, because in spring of 2008, transiting Uranus will set off this T-square as it conjuncts Mr. Bernanke's natal Moon. Both Jupiter and Sagittarius rule expansion, and hence inflation. Although Mr. Bernanke has recently expressed concern about inflation, many people have expressed concern that the FED's emphasis on "core inflation" - that which excludes energy and food costs - is not realistic. With Crude Oil back near all-time highs, and both Wheat and Soybeans at their highest levels in several years, consumers are feeling the stress of these high prices, even though "core inflation" seems tame. One has to wonder if the prospect of sharply rising prices might catch Mr. Bernanke unprepared, and force him to soon raise interest rates, amidst criticism that he waited too long to stem the tide. If so, the transit of Uranus over these key natal points may indicate a period of sudden reversals not just in Mr. Bernanke's status, but also in financial stability of the United States, and possibly that of many capitalistic economies of the world. It is not only Uranus that will touch of this T-square of this most important central banker, but during this same time (spring 2008-spring 2009), Saturn will be in Virgo, opposite Uranus, and thus creating a grand square to these critical points of Mr. Bernanke's chart - just about at the time of the USA 2008 presidential election.

             Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

             I will be presenting an all-day workshop on Financial Astrology at the DAV (German Astrological) Congress in Karlsruhe, Germany, October 5. I am looking for a translator for this workshop. If anyone would be interested in attending in return for translating this workshop from my English presentation into German, plus a new copy of the German edition of “Merriman on Market Analysis: The Basics” when it comes out about that time, please contact me at mmacycles@msn.com. The emphasis will be upon stock indices (DJIA and DAX), and Gold and possibly Euro versus US Dollar.

             The SOS Stock Market Cycles Report and the SOS Global Stock Markets Report will come out this week. These reports come out every 6-8 weeks to subscribers of these reports. This report is in two parts. The first report - SOS Stock Market Cycles - focuses purely upon the long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, followed by discussions on both intermediate and short-term cycles. It is the big picture ahead.
The second part is the SOS Global Stock Markets Report. This covers the German DAX, London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information


              The Forecast book for 2007
: The Forecasts for 2007 book is now available for $30.00. The year is now half over, and the time when we release the remaining copies of the current Forecast Book at a steep discount. The normal price until now has been $45.00, but from June 15, 2007, the remaining copies will be sold at $30.00 while they last. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. Although 2007 is only approximately half over, many of the critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive. As of early June, 5 of the 6 reversal dates in T-Notes have coincided with cycle reversals within only two trading days or less, including the yearly high of March 5. All seven of the reversal dates given for the stock market have resulted in tradable turns in the S&P futures within only one trading day. The first two trading dates in Gold and Silver were non-events, but the next four were right on, including the yearly low in Silver on March 5. But the currencies were perhaps the most impressive with all 8 reversal dates coinciding with turns in the either the Swiss Franc or Euro, with seven occurring within just 1 day or exactly on the date given, including the yearly high in the Euro on April 27. The grains were very impressive with accurate dates given in 7 of the 8 instances. The yearly highs and lows (as of June 15 were all nearby to these dates. And finally Crude Oil. The yearly low was on January 18. The first reversal date given in the Forecast Book for Crude Oil was January 19. The high so far was on March 27, one day after the given March 26 reversal date. In fact, 6 of the 7 dates given for reversals in the crude oil market were within one trading day of actual reversals in price. The year is only half over. There are still plenty of reversal dates coming up in all these markets. Order now, while supplies last, and find out when the next reversal date is in the markets you like to trade!

If you wish one of the remaining copies of this very valuable reference book (especially for traders), you can still order a copy via our web site.

This year's book is a little larger than previous year's (8 pages longer), but as always, it shapes up to be another exciting year. All years of this decade are significant due to the “Triple Saturn” oppositions which started in 2001. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, the annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Special sections included on The United States and its President, Interest Rates, Stock Markets, Precious Metals, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets in 2007. If you wish to order a copy online of this year's book, or call us at 1-800-MMA-3349.

When they are gone, they are gone. Despite the fact that we increase our printing orders every year, we have still sold out two of the past three years. So order now and make sure you get a copy - if you wish one.

For more information.

             The Forecast for 2007 CD is now available! This 2-set CD was created from the speech given January 6, 2007 in Birmingham , Michigan . It is about 2.5 hours long, and covers both the long-term political and cultural cycles we are currently in, as well as those that pertain specifically to 2007. Special areas of discussion include the Crude Oil and the coming energy transformation, the long and short-term economic cycles, the USA and its President, and of course, financial market cycles of stocks, interest rates, housing, and precious metals. The cost is $45.00 plus postage for the CD set. To order, please write to odersmma@msn.com, or call us at 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034.             

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

             The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will come out this week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports. The “MMA Cycles Report” (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

             I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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Copyright © 2007
MMACYCLES@msn.com

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