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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
OCTOBER 29 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

            In typical Mercury retrograde fashion, equity markets around the world gave mixed messages last week. Some were down hard early last week and then recovered. Some were down hard Monday, made another plunge Wednesday and Thursday, and then recovered. Still others were strong all week and closed at new all-time highs. But Financial Astrologers - as well as traders - will be equally challenged in the weeks to come, because we about to enter yet another large time band in which an abundance of geocosmic signatures unfold close in time to one another. This promises to be yet another important turning point in both the world of financial markets as well as in geopolitical developments.

            Following the all-time and multi-year highs of October 11, (right on our last three-star critical reversal date), most equity markets of the world continued their sharp sell-off into Monday, October 22. Cyclical lows on that day were noted in all the European and American markets, plus the Asian and Pacific Rim markets with the exception of the Japanese Nikkei stock index, which continued lower into Thursday, October 25. Many of these markets made a secondary low on Wednesday or Thursday, before turning up sharply to end the week higher. This fits well with last week's comments, stating, "Perhaps we can relieve some of this concern by reminding readers that Mercury is retrograde, October 11 through November 1. It is typically a time of mixed messages from political leaders an economic data and it oftentimes results in such large price swings and fake outs, especially right around the 9 th calendar day and 9 th trading day, which is this weekend through the middle of next week. We also note that the all-time highs of the stock market occurred with the new moon in Libra. When the lunation in Libra coincides with a high, stock prices can fall sharply into the full moon two weeks later. The full moon occurs this Friday, October 26." The lows of all world markets were in by Thursday, October 25, which was right between the 9 th calendar day of Mercury retrograde and the full moon.

            In other markets, Crude Oil and the Euro currency continued their torrid advance to new all-time highs. Gold also advanced strongly to its highest levels since the all-time highs of January 1980. There seems to be no end in sight to these "blow-offs." But soon Mars will turn retrograde, so those in Europe looking to take advantage of the big spread between the Euro currency and the Dollar should consider locking in prices soon. It will be like getting a big discount on U.S. goods - like the annual Forecast Book or any MMA newsletters (OK, I am biased, but you get the idea). But, it does seem like the U.S. and its goods are now for sale. Yet the 26-month cycle low in these currencies is coming up soon, and with it I suspect a 10% rally in the Dollar, within four months of this coming January. The reversal could start at any time, and Mars turning retrograde (November 14, +/- 2 weeks) is a good place to look for that to start.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

            Financial astrologers will be focusing their attention on several planetary changes of directions in the next few weeks. The astrology of the stock and financial markets is apt to be explosive not only as a result of all these planetary changes of direction, but also because they form so many hard mathematical aspects to one another between October 25 and November 30. There are no more than 6 calendar days separating any two consecutive geocosmic signatures during this period, making it an extremely vulnerable period to unexpected market swings.

            But the retrograde and direct shifting of planets is indicative of surprises in mundane events as well as economic data reports. For instance, in this coming week, Neptune turns direct on Wednesday (October 31) and Mercury follows with the same pattern the next day, November 1. That means a Mercury-Neptune theme will be strong in the world for a few days surrounding these days. Since Mercury relates to mental processes and the disbursement of information (like news), and Neptune's nature is to hide, retreat, or camouflage, we might anticipate a lot if misinformation to be released. It can be a very confusing time for investors. It is interesting that the FED will make an interest rate announcement around this time. This is a period that highlights rumors, where the intention behind these rumors (or misinformation) is not clear. In fact, the intention may be to intentionally distort or deceive, in order to hide another agenda or reality altogether. Neptune also rules oil, gases, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and fluids of all kinds. It can correspond to changes in the crude oil market, oil spills, floods, or the advent of new viruses and diseases requiring new forms of treatment. Or possibly there is a problem with an existing form of treatment that is hushed.

            But the big geocosmic event coming up is Mars retrograde on November 14, which just happens to be right near the middle of this geocosmic cluster. Not only that, but it occurs at 12 degrees of Cancer, right near the natal Sun of George W. Bush and the United States. Mars, as long-time readers know, is the planet of war and aggression. But when it is activated near a retrograde phase, it can lead to serious and unexpected problems for the aggressor. It is usually a very critical error in judgment to initiate aggressive and/or military activities around this time. And yet the "urge" to do so is great, for certain parties feel their warnings have been ignored, and thus frustration can grow to untenable levels, leading to ill-advised and even regrettable actions. Such developments could turn financial markets right around.

Long-Term Thoughts :

            Speaking of Mars retrograde themes, we note the headlines in Friday's "Wall Street Journal," stating "The White House imposed sweeping new sanctions against Iran." The article goes on to state, "The moves are aimed at inducing change in Iran, but they raise concerns the administration is laying the groundwork for military action...." And in response to this decision Russian President (Putin) said, "I think running around like a lunatic - with a razor and waving a red banner - isn't the best way to solve this kind of problem. (Sanctions) worsen the situation, leading it to a dead end." Does it sound like Mars about to turn retrograde? And does the White House stance that this decision is not a forerunner to military action sound like Mercury and Neptune going stationary this week? Who or what can you believe under these signatures? Nothing. And oftentimes the words will be in direct opposition to the intention.

            Which brings us finally to Charlie Rangel, Chairman of the House Ways and Means committee, who just this week released his "Mother of all tax reforms" package. But consistent with Mercury and Neptune changing directions together, what Mr. Rangel is actually proposing is quite possibly the largest tax increase in history, according to Republican critics. On the bright side, the proposal does offer to cut corporate taxes from 35% to 30.5%, which helps make U.S. businesses more competitive in the world. Currently the U.S. "... now finds itself with nearly the highest (corporate tax) rate in the developed world," according to WSJ. On the other hand, Rangel wants to add a 4% tax surcharge to anyone making more than $200,000/year, raise the capital gains tax to 19.6% from 15%, and initiate higher taxes on small businesses. "Add it all up, and you get new taxes of $1 trillion or more," according to the WSJ. If the Wall Street editors are reading this right, then the tax package will become the "Mother of all tax increases."

            Yet all of this fits in perfectly well with the history of the Saturn - Pluto cycle, as discussed several times in our past columns. That is, from the conjunction to opposition (1982-2001), federal deficits are reduced as are taxes and interest rates, and the economy and stock markets soar. But from opposition to conjunction (2002-2020), the opposite happens. That is, federal deficits increase, interest rates and taxes go up, and the economy and stock markets stagnate. So far, taxes have not gone up and the stock markets have not stagnated, the one rather positive aspect of the Bush presidency. But all that could change as the third and final passage of the Saturn oppositions to planets beyond its orbit take place in this decade. That will be the Saturn-Uranus opposition of 2008-2010. After that, all the Saturn cycles to planets beyond its orbit will be in their waning phase through 2020. Expect economies and stock markets throughout the world to struggle for a good part of that period. But also expect some fantastic opportunities to be also available to those who are smart investors. Just follow the youth. They lead the way to future opportunities when Saturn and Uranus are in their 45-year opposition aspect, just like they did in the early 1920's and the mid-1960's.

            Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

            Our MMA 2013 catalogue is now out and available to overseas clients on our web site at www.mmacycles.com , and then under MMA Catalogue, and then under MMA Catalogue (pdf). Or just click here. Due to high overseas postal costs, we will no longer send this catalogue out by postal mail except to clients in the U.S.A. So, if you are interested in this year's services and products, you can download it from our web site.

            The Forecast book for 2008 : is coming out December 15. Written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, it is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2007 is still unfolding, many of the Forecast outlined in this book have already come to pass, including :

- 1) real estate bubble ending ;
- 2) lack of bi-partisan support from Congress for President's military efforts and tax policies ;
- 3) President's lack of cooperation with Congress and the subsequent increase in investigations into his past decisions ;
- 4) President's efforts to increase military activity in Iraq, not decrease, despite special reports advising to the contrary ;
- 5) the economy is not collapsing in 2007 ;
- 6) higher Euro currency prices - at least test of its all-time high, before September 2007 ;
7) Soybeans bullish in 2007, possibly exceeding 900 ;
8) Crude Oil due to bottom early in year and soar to new all-time highs by 2008.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets, which have been impressive in 2007. The cost of this year's book will remain at $45.00. Order before December 10 to be certain that your order goes out in the first delivery.

            The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site.

For more information, go to our website at http://www.mmacycles.com, and read the latest "News" items. This new report will be issued once/month, instead of the previous schedule of 8 times per year.

             The new SOS Global Market Cycles Report will come out this week, October 31 (October 30 for email subscribers). And it will be out one day later in German to our German SOS subscribers (please go to www.mma-europe.de to order the German version of SOS). This SOS report will now be issued monthly (12 times per year) starting the first week of December. This report will address the long- and intermediate-term cycles that affect all world markets, but specifically through the history of the U.S. stock market, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It is the "big picture" ahead. It will then give an overview (and projection) of the shorter cycles (primary and its phases) of the German DAX, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information.

            My next financial presentations will take place in all day workshops on January 19 and 26 in Cologne, Germany and Basel, Switzerland, respectively. For further information, please go to EVENTS on our web site at www.mmacycles.com . The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles : The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site at www.mma-europe.de.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

            If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : "I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them."

            The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will came out last week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports, although it will change to a monthly issuance cycle next year, so that the "SOS Global Stock Market Cycles Report" can be increased to a monthly issuance cycle as well. The "MMA Cycles Report" (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

            I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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