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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
NOVEMBER 5 - 2007

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Market Week in Review :

            The Federal Reserve lowered its FED funds rate by a quarter percentage point on Halloween, October 31, as Neptune turned stationary direct. In response, the U.S. stock market soared to its highest level in two weeks, and other indices around the world also rose substantially. That was the "treat." But by the next day, investors saw it totally differently as Mercury then changed directions, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell a whopping 362 points. That was the "trick" of Halloween. The official FED comments after the interest rate reduction said that this may be the last rate cut for a while, as they are worried about inflationary pressures. This warning also worried investors suddenly.

            But this complete flip-flop from bullish on Wednesday to bearish on Thursday also demonstrates the usefulness of Financial Astrology. Last week's column stated, "But the retrograde and direct shifting of planets is indicative of surprises in mundane events as well as economic data reports. For instance, in this coming week, Neptune turns direct on Wednesday (October 31) and Mercury follows with the same pattern the next day, November 1. Since Mercury relates to mental processes and the disbursement of information (like news), and Neptune's nature is to hide, retreat, or camouflage, we might anticipate a lot of misinformation to be released. It can be a very confusing time for investors." The misinformation, or misleading part of last week's announcement, may be the FED's claim to be concerned about inflation, and that this might be the last interest rate cut for awhile. Don't bet on it. This Federal Reserve team has talked about the threat of inflation ever since it assumed its term. Yet it hasn't done one thing about it. Every action by this FED has added to the inflationary prospect, and no action to date has indicated it has done - or will do - anything to seriously address that growing threat, even as Crude Oil now approaches our $100.00/barrel target given two years ago, and as Gold climbs back above $800.00/ounce for only the second time in history (the last was in early 1980).

            In addition to the soaring prices in Crude Oil and Gold, the Dollar continues to fall to record lows against the Euro currency, and multi-decade lows against the Canadian and Australian Dollar. This too is inflationary, especially in the United States, but supports our premise given several years ago that currencies of commodity driven economies (like Australia and Canada) would fare well under the waning phase of the Saturn-Pluto cycle (2001-2020). Many of the equity indexes of the world performed quite well into - and shortly after - the FED fund rate cut. But then they all fell rather hard the next day as the week drew to a close. Have the markets now reversed to begin a new trend? I doubt it just yet. I think many financial markets will be very choppy the next six weeks, as signified by these stationary changes of direction through most of November, but also because Jupiter is coming to its 13-year conjunction with Pluto on December 11. I do believe there will be a change of trend during this period, but I think we are still in the rocky segment first, when it movers sharply in both directions.

Short-Term Geocosmics :

             The time band continues to be in effect of so many important geocosmic signatures to one another between October 25 and November 30. Near the middle of this cluster, Mars will turn retrograde on November 14, something it does every 25-26 months. As stated last issue, "Not only that, but it occurs at 12 degrees of Cancer, right near the natal Sun of George W. Bush and the United States. Mars, as long-time readers know, is the planet of war and aggression. But when it is activated near a retrograde phase, it can lead to serious and unexpected problems for the aggressor. It is usually a very critical error in judgment to initiate aggressive and/or military activities around this time. And yet the (urge) to do so is great, for certain parties feel their warnings have been ignored, and thus frustration can grow to untenable levels, leading to ill-advised and even regrettable actions." But Mars retrograde can also have a powerful impact on some financial markets. We note that the all-time speculative high of $850.00/ounce in Gold occurred in mid-January 1980, just a couple of days past a Mars retrograde. Interesting enough, Saturn was in Virgo then too, a position it occupies for about two years in its 29-year orbit around the Sun. Saturn just ingressed into Virgo in early September 2007, where it will remain through fall of 2009. And interesting also is that Gold is back above $800 for the first time since then. Same planets, same signs (for Saturn), same Gold prices. How is that for synchronicity ?.

            This week also contains two Level 1 signatures - those that have the highest correlation to primary or greater cycles in U.S. stock markets, as demonstrated in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles." On Tuesday, November 6, Venus will form a waning square to Pluto, which has a whopping 81% correlation to primary cycles within 12 trading days. This signature can also correlate with more bad news about sub-prime debts. The next day the Sun forms a waning trine to Uranus, which has a very high 74% correlation to primary cycles within a range of 11 trading days.

            The next day is also important (November 8), for Venus begins its 27-day ingress through Libra. Since Venus rules Libra and has pertinence to all things involving wealth (like stocks), one might anticipate this being bullish for equities. It also has a strong correlation to a low in Silver prices. But with Jupiter's conjunction to Pluto looming ahead on December 11, it will be interesting to see if those historical Venus-in-Libra correlations will hold this time.

Long-Term Thoughts :

             The last time Jupiter and Pluto formed a conjunction was December 2, 1994. Readers may remember that as the time when Orange County, California, defaulted on its municipal bond obligation. Today we find many municipalities may be in financial trouble, brought on by the problems with sub-prime mortgage lenders, leading to many home foreclosures. Without property taxes coming in from those newly foreclosed homes, one wonders what impact that will have on the bonds of many municipalities as we draw to an end in 2007 ? .

             Shortly after the Jupiter-Pluto conjunction, Jupiter ingresses into Capricorn for 13 months. It will almost immediately conjunct the Federal Reserve Board Sun at 1 degree of Capricorn (founded December 23, 1913). When Jupiter forms a harmonious aspect to the FRB chart, the FED is usually accommodative with its interest rate and money supply policies. I can't believe it can be any more accommodative with money supply than it has been, with the no-longer-released M3 money supply figures growing at an estimated annual rate of 15% now. But if the sub-prime debt crisis continues to escalate, and if municipalities do declare a state of emergency in order to meet their own debt obligations, it is understandable how the Fed could be more accommodative. For despite its insistence that it really cares about inflation - an insistence given again last week as both Mercury and Neptune changed directions (a signature of "misinformation") - the Bernanke-led Federal Reserve and Paulsen-led U.S. Treasury will do whatever is necessary to prevent an economic or market crisis. Do you really think our fire-sign heroes will actually raise rates and put a damper on the good times ? Do you really think Bernanke the Sagittarian (or Paulsen the Aries) will really act restrictive in regards to monetary policy, even to curb inflation ? These are fire signs, not earth signs! And Jupiter rules Sagittarius, is still in Sagittarius its home, and will soon conjunct the FRB natal Sun in Capricorn. I don't think we are going to see higher rates this year. To the contrary, I think we will see lower rates yet. And another crisis in the sub-prime mortgage area, combined with a possible crisis in the municipal bond market, could be just the ticket needed to do what financial astrology implies the FED and Treasury will do - lower interest rates and inject more liquidity into the system. Or in other words, continue with its inflationary actions.

             Before leaving, you can thank the author and the writer by clicking on one of the pictures (advertisements) located on the right hand side.... it will cost you nothing... !!!

Announcements :

             Our MMA 2013 catalogue is now out and available to overseas clients on our web site at www.mmacycles.com , and then under MMA Catalogue, and then under MMA Catalogue (pdf). Or just click here. Due to high overseas postal costs, we will no longer send this catalogue out by postal mail except to clients in the U.S.A. So, if you are interested in this year's services and products, you can download it from our web site.

             We put out a special alert on the Euro currency last week to subscribers of both the MMA Cycles Report and our daily/weekly subscribers. If you subscribe to either of these reports and did not get this special alert, please let us know.

            The Forecast book for 2008 : is coming out December 15. Written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, it is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2007 is still unfolding, many of the Forecast outlined in this book have already come to pass, including :

- 1) real estate bubble ending ;
- 2) lack of bi-partisan support from Congress for President's military efforts and tax policies ;
- 3) President's lack of cooperation with Congress and the subsequent increase in investigations into his past decisions ;
- 4) President's efforts to increase military activity in Iraq, not decrease, despite special reports advising to the contrary ;
- 5) the economy is not collapsing in 2007 ;
- 6) higher Euro currency prices - at least test of its all-time high, before September 2007 ;
7) Soybeans bullish in 2007, possibly exceeding 900 ;
8) Crude Oil due to bottom early in year and soar to new all-time highs by 2008.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates for financial markets, which have been impressive in 2007. The cost of this year's book will remain at $45.00. Order before December 10 to be certain that your order goes out in the first delivery.

            The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site.

For more information, go to our website at http://www.mmacycles.com, and read the latest "News" items. This new report will be issued once/month, instead of the previous schedule of 8 times per year.

             The new SOS Global Market Cycles Report will come out this week, October 31 (October 30 for email subscribers). And it will be out one day later in German to our German SOS subscribers (please go to www.mma-europe.de to order the German version of SOS). This SOS report will now be issued monthly (12 times per year) starting the first week of December. This report will address the long- and intermediate-term cycles that affect all world markets, but specifically through the history of the U.S. stock market, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It is the "big picture" ahead. It will then give an overview (and projection) of the shorter cycles (primary and its phases) of the German DAX, Netherlands AEX, the Australian All Ordinaries, Hang Seng of Hong Kong, National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index. For ordering information.

             My next financial presentations will take place in all day workshops on January 19 and 26 in Cologne, Germany and Basel, Switzerland, respectively. For further information, please go to EVENTS on our web site at www.mmacycles.com . The German version of "Merriman on Market Cycles : The Basics" is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site at www.mma-europe.de.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies “Big Range Days” - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that “extra edge.” And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

            If you are an active short-term trader, you may wish to consider subscribing to our Weekly or even Daily Market Reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Bonds, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : "I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them."

            The “MMA Cycles Report” and “MMA Japan Markets Cycles Report” will came out last week. These reports come out every three weeks to subscribers of these reports, although it will change to a monthly issuance cycle next year, so that the "SOS Global Stock Market Cycles Report" can be increased to a monthly issuance cycle as well. The "MMA Cycles Report" (Monday night by email) is our market advisory report for traders of the U.S. stock indices, T-Notes, Gold, Silver, Euro, Swiss Franc, Grains, and Crude Oil. The “MMA Japan Cycles Report” covers the Nikkei, Dollar/Yen, and JGB Bonds, and comes out Tuesday afternoon. For more information

            I have had several calls regarding a “crisis investing” portfolio that I suggested could be developed with the help of a money manager who subscribes to my reports, and shares my views about the next few years. If you are interested, you can contact him at ted.fisher@comcast.net.
He will be more than happy to assist you.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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