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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 10 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
This year's printed version of Forecast 2015 will also available in five other languages, as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Russian
Italiano
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2015, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.
Please note : MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is due out December 15. It will be available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format. Order now at www.mmacycles.com.
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Review and Preview :
The month of November is packed with a combination of very powerful geocosmic signatures and fundamental events. November 4 witnessed the mid-term elections in the United States, in which the Republicans scored a resounding victory over the Democrats to take control of both the House and Senate chambers. This could very well assure further gridlock in Washington D.C., which appears to be bullish for the U.S. stock market, as forecasted in last week's column. Three days later, the important November 7 Labor Department report on jobs showed that payrolls increased by 214,000 workers, while unemployment fell to 5.8%. However, the actual labor participation rate remains at an anemic 62.8%, still on its lows for the past several decades. That means the real unemployment is around 12%, which is one reason why the Democrats were trounced so badly in last week's mid-term elections. People want work, and they want a full-time, 40 hour/week job with a decent pay. The average median household annual income is still $4000 less than it was in 2000.
Next week will witness one the strongest combinations of geocosmic signatures all year, when Mars will conjoin Pluto and both will form a square to Uranus (November 10-12). One day later, November 13, the Sun will square Jupiter. As discussed in last week's column, "Whenever Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus are all involved in aspects in a short amount of time, larger than usual price swings are often evident. Expect another impressive fireworks display in financial markets". This is followed by the end of Neptune's retrograde motion. On Saturday, November 15, Neptune turns direct. That's important. In "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to trading Cycles", our studies showed that this signature had a 41% correlation to 50-week or greater cycles in U.S. stocks within only 5 trading days. I think that cycle just unfolded with the low of October 15-17 in most world indices. Nevertheless, it could coincide with a reversal that leads to the first correction in this new 50-week cycle.
Looking at the last week, we note that many of the world's stock indices continued their torrid rise to new multi-year or even all-time highs. However, many other indices failed to take out their highs of September. Thus, there are a slew of potential intermarket bearish divergence cases as we enter the heavy geocosmic time band starting next week.
In the USA, all the major indices we track are making new all-time or multi-year highs, including the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ Composite. This is not the case, however, in South America, where last week's rallies fell well short of their September highs.
In Europe, Zurich's SMI index soared to a new multi-year high on Friday, November 7. But that was the only index in that region to do so.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, India's Sensex raced to a new all-time high last week, and Japan's Nikkei soared to its highest level since October 2007. China's Shanghai Index rallied to its highest level since March 16, and Russia's MICEX index is re-testing its highs of July 8. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index and Australia's All Ordinaries index remain well below their highs of September.
In the precious metals sector, Gold fell to a new 4.5-year low of 1130.50 last week, into our price target zone where traders of MMA's weekly Gold and Silver Report were advised to cover shorts (from the 1250 area two weeks ago) and go long. Gold closed the week around 1177.50. Silver fell to 15.04 on early Friday, but closed the week around 15.75. Crude Oil also made a multi-year low last week when it fell to 75.84 on November 4. It closed the week above 78.50. In currency markets, the Euro fell to 1.2357 on Friday, its lowest level since August 2012. It looks like it wants to re-test the double bottom of 2010 an 2012 around the 1.2000 area again, or maybe lower. The question is whether that will drag the precious metals and other commodities down too, as has been the case for the past several months. It is an issue we will be covering in the Forecast 2015 Book.
The future price action of Gold may also be affected greatly by Switzerland's November 30 vote on "Save Our Swiss Gold". Most polls currently show this referendum will be defeated. However, this may be a season of upsets and many new trends, as we are about to enter the last few months of the powerful Uranus-Pluto waxing square, a major aspect that started in June 2012 and will end in March 2015. The last two passages are essentially in effect November 2014-March 2015. This promises to be a shift of the pendulum politically, economically, and in terms of financial market trends.
Best Trades of the Past Week :
This section of the weekly column will resume after the Forecast 2015 Book is completed. I need all the time I can muster to finish this year's book, as we enter the "Post-Cardinal Climax Era". So many possibilities. so many opportunities. .
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts :
"Before the end of the year, we're going to take whatever lawful actions that I can take that I believe will improve the functioning of our immigration system". - President Barack Obama, front page of the Wall Street Journal, November 7, 2014.
"When you play with matches, you take the risk of burning yourself, and he's going to burn himself if he continues to go down this path". - House Speaker John Boehner, front page of the Wall Street Journal, November 7, 2014.
"It was terrible. There is no way to sugarcoat it", said strategist Steve Elmendorf, a veteran of democratic presidential and congressional campaigns. "Anyone who says we don't have to rethink things should be fired". - "Democrats Sift the Wreckage for Lessons", Janet Hook and Beth Reinhard, Wall Street Journal, November 7, 2014.
"The new Republican bunch isn't like the 2010-style firebrands ; they are, for the most part, principled yet pragmatic". Kimberley Strassel, "The Senate's Talent Infusion", the Wall Street Journal, November 7, 2014.
It is going to be a challenge for each party to achieve their goals these next two years. There is hope that constructive, long-term politics can be enacted in the next two years, as discussed in the last two issues of this column, just by virtue of the fact that the Mercury retrograde cycle will start moving from air signs to air-earth signs. As suggested then, air signs represent brilliant new ideas, but they may not be practical or even tested. However, earth signs are practical and pragmatic, and when combined with air signs, they offer the combination of brilliant new ideas with mature, pragmatic applications to current-day problems. According to the Wall Street Journal, "pragmatism" won on Election Day. Now if the two parties can fulfill their will of the American voter, which was to compromise and get something done, it can be the start of a new and less divisive era.
On the other hand, if immigration is going to the dominant issue in the next two years, it will probably be a struggle - a divisive struggle. First of all, this election was more about jobs and executive overreach, according to most polls. Over 70% of voters do not approve of the direction the USA is headed, and most of that has to do with these two issues. Immigration is up there, but not to the level of economics and executive overreach, except to say that the process of immigration reform now is threatened with the prospect unilateral executive action, which many will view as a case of executive overreach.
There is another reason why immigration may be a thorny issue if it becomes the dominant concern right now. In the study of Mundane Astrology, matters to do with foreign affairs and immigration pertain to Jupiter and Sagittarius. Saturn pertains to obstacles, delays, and frustrations. You cannot force or rush matters when Saturn is active or you risk incurring great resistance and even failure. If you are patient and deliberate, and think policies out carefully, then Saturn rewards accordingly. You get a solid and workable result, an achievement that will last.
So here is the problem in 2015 (and 2016) : Saturn moves into Sagittarius (immigration and foreign affairs) on December 23, 2014, where it will mostly stay until December 2017. Not only that, but Jupiter (also immigration and foreign affairs) will form a square (difficult) aspect to Saturn, August 2015-May 2016. A clear, constructive, and consensual policy on immigration in the USA (or anywhere in the world) is not likely to go smoothly if the process is forced or rushed, which is likely to be the case unless the lawmakers are. pragmatic and patient. This does not mean they should avoid the issue, or not immediately start to work on it. They should. But their priority ought to be to achieve a policy that is functional and meets goals that are clearly defined, according to the nature of geocosmic signatures in effect in 2015-2016.
Right now, there is no consensus or clearly defined goals. There is just barking and political posturing, which is not what anyone wants. It is divisive and threatens to derail the whole effort. It threatens to arouse calls for impeachment, which would really complicate the country and the entire world. Nothing else would get done until after 2016.
As always, geocosmic signatures identify the choices before us. They do not say what the result will be. That depends upon how we - our world leaders and lawmakers - handle these choices. With Saturn involved, it doesn't pay to rush or force the issue. It pays to be careful and thoughtful. With the Mercury retrograde series of 2015 combining the principles of air and earth, it is possible to come up with a brilliant solution to this matter, and a practical and pragmatic way to apply it. That would be a positive choice of action under these signatures.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
".
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
The two talks I presented at the ISAR 2014 conference last week are now available for purchase in the CD or MP3 format. They include slides from the power point show. These are both very timely talks, with information that should be useful for several months. Each topic is $35.00, plus postage, if ordering via the CD format.
The first talk is titled "America at the Crossroads: Will It Survive, Perish, or Transform ?" This presentation examines the charts of the United States, its transits and progressions, the USA president, his transits and progressions, and Congress. It explains the transformation taking place in the USA under the 2008-2015 Cardinal Climax, and where the nation is headed, pending choices taking place right now. "America is in trouble. It is in danger of losing its identity, perhaps many of its treasured liberties, based on over 200 years of being the most exceptional experiment in democracy and capitalism the world has ever known".
The second talk now available on CD or MP3 is titled " A Cyclical and Geocosmic Analysis of Gold and the USA Stock Market". Both Gold and the USA stock market make historical tops and lows at rhythmic cyclical points now in force. These major turning points also coincide with long-term planetary aspects. This presentation reviews these studies, their historical correlations to one another, and what they say about the future direction of each market. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.
What's Next ??? Now that the 2008-2015 Cardinal Climax will wind down in early 2015, what is the next great challenge awaiting humanity ?.
It is that time of the year again! MMA's 2015 Forecast Book is due out December 15. It will be available in both paper and electronic editions. The cost is $55.00 plus postage. There is no postage for the electronic book format.
MMA's annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. No other book has informed and prepared readers for the Cardinal Climax period of 2008-2015 as precisely as Raymond Merriman's annual Forecast book. No other book has guided readers through this turbulent period since it began in 2008. In 2015, the saga of the Cardinal Climax reaches the conclusion of its central time band. This is a book, with an impressive background for insightful accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com.
MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes",You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
January 16, 2015 : Zurich, Switzerland "Trends for 2015". This will part of a congress on Forecasts for 2015, including Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling. Alexandra Klingenhammer, Verena Bachmann, and Christoph-Schubert-Weller.
January 17, 2015 : Zurich, Switzerland.
A special 5-hour workshop on "The Current Cyclical State of Financial Markets : Where Do We Go from Here ?"10:30 AM - 4:30 PM. Location will be the Congress House in Zurich. Sponsored by AstroData and MMA-Europe.
For further information, please go to there, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited !.
February 21, 2015 : Webinar by Raymond Merriman on "Preparing for the Post-Cardinal Climax - An Outlook of Financial Markets and World Economics". Cost is $45.00. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or sign up.
August 27-30, 2015 : "Preserving Wealth and Recognizing New Investment Opportunities". A special event and retreat for MMA subscribers only, at a destination to be revealed later. Attendance limited to 12 subscribers. Cost $4000. Contact MMA at 1-248-626-3034 or ordersmma@gmail.com for details or to sign up.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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