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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 17 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Forecast 2014 Book is available for the IPhone 4 and IPad through Itunes. Look up Forecast 2011 on the IBookstore and look forward to a link coming soon on our web site.

It's out !!! The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The hardcover printed version of Forecast 2011 is out in Chinese, Swiss, Dutch, Japanese, Spanish, and Russian versions. We are pleased to announce that that this year's book may be purchased at these websites and in these languages :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Spanish

For an updated review on the highlights of the Forecast 2010 Book, visit :
http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/scorecard-for-forecasts-2010. It's even more impressive than first thought.

The Market Week in Review :

Greetings from Zurich, Switzerland, where I will be giving my annual workshop on financial markets. I look forward to greeting several readers and subscribers who will be in attendance. Due to this evening's part of the speaking engagement, this week's column will be short, and delivered before the close on Friday of the American and European markets.

Many of the world's stock indices continued their rallies into late last week, with several making new 2-year highs. The one notable exception was India, where instead of a new high, the NIFTY index fell to its lowest level since September. In fact, in most Asian and Pacific Rim countries, the markets rallied, but not to new two-year highs. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng rallied to its highest level in two months. In Japan and Australia, the Nikkei and All Ordinaries rose to their highest levels in 8 and 9 months respectively.

Europe and the Americas were even more bullish. The Moscow MICEX, Netherlands AEX, German DAX, and London FTSE all soared to new 2-year highs. The Zurich SMI index, however, did not surpass its highs of November. In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to its highest level since September 2008 and the NASDAQ Composite to its highest level since December 2007. Brazil's Bovespa also rallied, but could not take out its high of November 2010, and the Merval seems to be temporarily resting below its all-time high of January 6. Some of last week's highs were made on Wednesday, January 13, after which each paused, giving rise to concerns that a more serious decline is readying. But in the USA, the indices continued higher late on Friday.

As investors consider the greater upside potential of equities over precious metals in this "Asset Inflation Express", Gold and Silver continue to struggle since their recent highs. Gold finds resistance between 1390 and 1400, following its all-time of 1432.50 during the three-star critical reversal zone of December 7. Silver's 30-year high was posted on January 3, just one day before the final passage of the Jupiter-Uranus conjunction, when it topped out at 3120. But since then it has fallen the low 2800's, and finds difficulty getting back above 3000. We note that Gold and Silver are exhibiting a case of intermarket bearish divergence with their recent highs, both within important geocosmic critical reversal zones. Of great concern to technical chartists is the fact that the XAU Gold and Silver mining index broke below an upward trendline, suggesting that a cycle greater than the primary cycle has topped out. We will discuss that in this week's MMA Cycles Report, which will also include a special long-term cycles' analysis of the stock market.

Besides stocks, another market that is taking off to the upside is grains, especially Corn and Soybeans. Corn exploded to its highest level since July 2008, and Soybeans followed suit, trading above 1400 for the first time since September 2008. Yet it is my opinion that farmers should lock in these high prices for the next season, as the geocosmic signatures suggest (to me) an excellent growing season and bumper crop for the summer and fall of 2011. Of course, a falling U.S. Dollar may negate the idea of lower grain prices due to abundance of supply.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The 11-day time band surrounding the 14-year Jupiter-Uranus conjunction of January 4 continues into January 19 (this week's full moon). This is a time when stock markets could make important highs or lows, and then reverse substantially, as stated last week. The DJIA and several European markets have indeed been making new highs as of last week, so there is a possibility of a decline now. Perhaps it started with the sextile of Mars and Jupiter last Wednesday for some. Or perhaps it begins with the full moon and the sextile of Sun and Moon on January 19.

But last week's report also stated, "On the other hand, Venus has just ingressed from Scorpio into Sagittarius on January 7, where it will remain until February 4. Since Venus rules net worth and assets like stocks, and since Sagittarius is expansive, this dynamic would lend itself to even higher equity prices. That doesn't mean there won't be corrective declines along the way, but it suggests the trend will be more up than down. That could be supported by Mars and the Sun forming a harmonious sextile to Jupiter on January 13 and 19 respectively".

Beyond that, we note that Jupiter re-enters Aries on January 22, where it will remain through June 4. Although historically there is a decline while Jupiter is in Aries, there also tends to be crest near the start of that ingress, and then another near the end as well. The decline in between tends to be a corrective type, and not the end of the bull market.

Could it be different this time ? Of course, that is always possible. Given that the debt ceiling limit in the United States is being approached, and given that many in Congress are threatening not to approve a hike of it without a spending cut at the same time, there is a looming possibility of a U.S.A. default on its debt. The debt ceiling needs to be approved by late March, when Jupiter will be in opposition to Saturn. Oppositions are exactly what they sound like - a time when two sides oppose one another, and the differences need to be reconciled.

Jupiter and Saturn are classical archetypical opposites anyway. Jupiter always wants to expand and tends to go beyond reasonable limits, while Saturn always wants to contract, minimize, and enforce the reasonable limits. So here we have the leadership of the Democratic Party (including the White House) wanting to continue programs of expansion that costs more money than the government can afford, versus the Republicans who will want to hold back spending and curtail programs that could benefit people until it can afford them. Think of Democrats as Jupiter at this time and Republicans as Saturn. With Saturn in Libra, its exaltation and the sign of compromise, I expect the opposing sides will work something out. But typical of Saturn, it may be at the very last minute and after a great deal of worry and criticism leveled by each party against the other.

But once the agreement is forged, and the threat of default is again kicked down the road (to the time when Uranus and Pluto will square one another, 2012-2015), the stock markets could easily skyrocket again into late May, early June, when Jupiter ends its tour through Aries.

Long-Term Thoughts :

".

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             It's out!!! ! The "Forecasts for 2011 Webcast" with Raymond Merriman that took place on Sunday, January 9, 2011 will be available by DVD or CD around January 20. It is available now via "Streaming Review" for 27 days, or through MP3 purchase. It was a good presentation, filled with many investment ideas with timing insights. The cost for the MP3 or Streaming Review is $45.00 (no postage). The cost of the CD is $45.00, + postage. The cost of the DVD is $59.99 + postage. The market charts used in the presentation will be emailed to you separately in a PDF format. To purchase your copy of this Forecast 2011 webcast, just register at the MMA Website, or drop us an email ( ordersmma@msn.com ) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report - will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers. The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers. On Tuesday night, we issue the MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report and the MMA Europe Cycles report. The Japanese report covers the Nikkei stock index, Dollar-Yen currency, and JGB government bonds. The MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices.
This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The new MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only. These reports are included in the Japanese, German, and Dutch translated MMA Cycles Report respectively.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             January 14-16, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland. "Forecasts 2011" symposia featuring top mundane and financial astrologers, plus one day workshop on Financial Market Timing with Ray Merriman. The Friday evening symposium begins at 7:00 PM, and features Claude Weiss, Alexandra Klinghammer, Dr. Christoph Schubert-Weller, Verena Bachmann, Monica Kissling, and Raymond Merriman. The cost is 80 CHF prior to December 17, afterwards 95 CHF. Merriman's talk will be in English (with German translation), the others in German. The Saturday workshop on "Financial Market Timing and Financial Astrology" will take place from 10:00 AM-5:00 PM at the Hotel Senator.
The cost is 290 CHF prior to December 17, and 330 CHF afterwards (includes lunch). The workshop will be in English. For more details ; or you may email to the conference registrar. For English description and schedule (Pdf file).

             February 6, 2011 : Lansing, MI".Forecasts for 2011" with Raymond Merriman, sponsored by the Learning Center. Contact 517-664-2665 for information.

             March 2011 : Miami (tentative). More later, when we confirm.

             March 10 — 12, 2011 : Mexico City, Mexico. Speech on Forecasts 2011, and workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology : The Journey of the Soul Through States of Consciousness". For information, please contact acuario888@gmail.com.

             April 28 and 30, 2011 : Kansas City, Mo".Forecasts for 2011" and "Financial Astrology Workshop" with Raymond Merriman. Sponsored by AOA. Details soon.

             May 2011 : Ljubljana, Slovenia and Belgrade, Serbia. Details to be announced soon.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : " I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report.  I can't imagine now managing my investments without them".

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. This first edition in Spanish will be in print in 10 days. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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