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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
January 31 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Forecast 2014 Book is available for the IPhone 4 and IPad through Itunes. Look up Forecast 2011 on the IBookstore and look forward to a link coming soon on our web site.

It's out !!! The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The hardcover printed version of Forecast 2011 is out in Chinese, Swiss, Dutch, Japanese, Spanish, and Russian versions. We are pleased to announce that that this year's book may be purchased at these websites and in these languages :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Spanish

For an updated review on the highlights of the Forecast 2010 Book, visit :
http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/scorecard-for-forecasts-2010. It's even more impressive than first thought.

The Market Week in Review :

You can tell the Sun is in Aquarius now because financial markets are all over the place. Aquarius is ruled by Uranus, the planet of non-conformity, chaos, and rebelliousness against the norm. Financial markets were anything but normal or conforming last week, with many breaking below support or above resistance. Some stock indices made new yearly highs while others made new multi-month lows. As one looks at the stock indices of the entire world, last week was chaotic. Commodities were not much better, with Wheat back to its yearly highs, and Gold and Silver falling to multi-month lows.

In the Pacific Rim and Asia, the most noteworthy stock index was India's NIFTY. On Friday, January 28, it fell to its lowest level since August 2010. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong was down all week as well. By comparison, the Japanese Nikkei and Australian All Ordinaries stock indices had "inside weeks". That is, their weekly range was below the prior week's high and above their prior week's low.

Now compare this to Europe's equity markets last week. Here, the Netherlands AEX and German DAX continued to rally to their highest levels in over two years on Thursday, January 27. But neither the London FTSE nor the Swiss SMI stock index did the same. They rallied into Thursday, but only modestly, and well below their highs of even the week before.

In the Americas, the Dow Jones Industrial Average poked above 12,000 intraday on the each of the last three days last week for the first time in nearly three years. But it couldn't close above 12,000. By Friday, it was testing 11,800 . The NASDAQ Composite, by comparison, couldn't exceed its high of the prior week, and also fell hard on Friday. In Argentina, the Merval index soared to another new all-time high late last week. But Brazil's Bovespa declined all week.

Financial Astrologers may have also noticed that the most erratic (but typical) Sun-in-Aquarius behavior was reserved for the precious metals' sector. Gold tumbled to the 1300 area early Friday. That was its lowest level since late August 2010. By the end of the day, it was testing 1350, a huge turn around. This behavior is as much related to the Sun in Aquarius as it is to heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius, which is in effect January 25-February 4. Silver likewise plummeted all week, falling to 2630 early Friday morning, January 28. That was its lowest level since mid-November. But later in the day, it was back up above 2800. Could this be the start of another test of the all-time highs ? The next two weeks may be critical in this determination.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

One of the more important geocosmic signatures in effect right now is Heliocentric Mercury transiting through Sagittarius (January 25-February 4). This transit has a very high correlation to strong rallies of at least 3-9 trading days in currencies (against the U.S. Dollar) and precious metals. Sometimes the low begins as much as 1-2 weeks before the ingress into Sagittarius, and sometimes it starts right at the beginning. In the current case, the rally in currencies started January 10, when the Euro currency made its primary cycle trough (below 1.2900) and the Swiss Franc a major cycle low. They then started a rally that really escalated last week. The Euro currency traded above 1.3750 on Thursday. Gold and Silver, on the other hand, declined sharply from their highs the first trading day of this year, to a low on Friday, January 28. These markets did not follow their normal course, which is to rally during the first three days of heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius, and not fall to new lows then. But by Friday morning the low of the week was in, and both metals turned around sharply, as would normally be expected during this transit.

This week we also see the start of a rather heavily populated time band of geocosmic signatures. On February 2, Venus will make a waning square (270 degrees distance) to Uranus. Since Uranus rules Aquarius, and is the lord of chaos and non-conformity, the sharp and sudden turns in financial markets are likely to continue. That same day is a new moon in Aquarius, which also coincides with sharp price movements, especially in precious metals.

As if that is not enough, the Sun and Mars come into conjunction on Friday, February 4.The importance of these two fiery gods was described last week as follows, "In a study I presented at one of the Astro Economic conferences in Chicago several years ago, I demonstrated that this conjunction - with an orb of 1-4 weeks - had the highest correlation to 10% or greater moves in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. That is, the stock market would make a high or low that was at least 10% from a prior high or low, and then commence a 10+% counter trend reversal during the orb of influence associated with this planetary conjunction... The Sun-Mars conjunction suggests that a top could be forming in this period from which prices will now drop 10%, before resuming the next leg up to new highs".

February 4 is also the day that heliocentric Mercury moves from the highly energetic sign of Sagittarius, to the much more sobering sign of Capricorn. Whereas price movements of currencies and precious metals' tend to be large and mostly up in Sagittarius, the opposite is usually the case when it is Capricorn (February 4-15). February 4 is also important because the Labor Department will release its monthly payroll and unemployment numbers. That alone can move markets sharply, especially when taking place in Aquarius.

But there is more. Geocentric Venus makes its ingress from Sagittarius into Capricorn too on February 4. Previously we discussed the possibility that Venus in Sagittarius (January 7-Ferbruaty 4) would see more days of rising stock prices than falling, with a potential short-term top during that period. That has been the case this time once again.

Fasten your seat belts. This week is poised to be another week of explosive market behavior, and perhaps coinciding with explosive geopolitical or natural activity as well. It could even continue into the full moon of February 18, just before the Sun moves from Aquarius into Pisces.

Long-Term Thoughts :

In the study of astrology, planets beyond the orbit of Mars are referred to as "outer planets". Their orbits around the Sun last anywhere from approximately 12 years in the case of Jupiter, to 248 years in the case of Pluto. Whenever an outer planet changes from one sign of the zodiac to another, it is referred to as an "ingress" of that planet. And you can quickly dismissed the recent notion that there are 13 signs to the zodiac. If they wish to include a 13 th constellation, then why not include the other 50+ constellations ? The astrology we practice is not constellational-based. It is seasonally based, and the zodiac refers more to seasons than constellations. At one point in time about 2000 years ago, they matched up. But with the tilt of the earth at the rate of one degree every 72 years, that time has long passed, and won't return again for over 20,000 years.

But back to the point... This past week, Jupiter ingressed into Aries. That is, it exited Pisces, and entered the zodiac sign of Aries. Normally an ingress of Jupiter into a new sign of the zodiac will last about one year. Due to its retrograde motion, Jupiter first entered Aries on June 6, 2010. It retrograded back into Pisces on September 9, where it remained until last weekend, January 22, at which time it ingressed back into Aries. It will continue its passage all the way through Aries now until June 4, when it will makes its ingress into Taurus.

Thus it can be said that Jupiter will now be in Aries, January 22-June 4. This represents a new collective psychological dynamic that combines the principals of Jupiter (expansion, optimism, exaggeration, hopefulness, confidence, and over-reaching) with Aries (competitive, combative, assertive, aggressive, and impatient). Thus this portends a period of many promises of an overly large and exaggerated nature, with more than the usual amount of desire to succeed and prosper - at any cost. This will likely be a time when the future looks brighter than it has for several years. In response, investors are more likely to re-enter the stock markets, driving prices higher, as has been the case since the first passage of Jupiter into Aries back in early June 2010.

A look at the stock markets of the world will show clearly that most bottomed in late May 2010. The USA stock markets continued falling to a slightly lower low in the first week of July. This phenomenon of some stock indices bottoming at one time, and other indices bottoming a few weeks or months later, is known as "bullish intermarket divergence". It is one of the most valuable tools for identifying a trend reversal, when combined with Financial Astrology indications of a trend reversal. At the 4-year bottom in March 2003, as the U.S. commenced its invasion of Iraq, the stock markets of Europe bottomed, but the USA markets did not. They bottomed five months earlier, in October 2002. This was yet another example of bullish intermarket divergence, but this time the order of lows was reversed between the USA and other world markets. The USA bottomed first in 2002-2003, but Europe bottomed first in the lows of May through July 2010.

The point of all this is that we are now entering into a new collective psychology. Jupiter in Aries represents greater confidence in the future, and a greater competitiveness for profits. It is also the basis for the forecast that stock markets around the world would top out sometime between January and June 2011. When Jupiter ingresses into Taurus on June 4, 2011, it will mark yet another change in collective psychology. It won't be as aggressive and optimistic, though the profits generated by Jupiter in Aries may remain stable through the most of the time Jupiter is in Taurus (June 4, 2011-June 11, 2012). However, since the stock market usually leads the economy by 3-9 months, this does not mean stock prices will remain bullish throughout Jupiter in Taurus. It will likely top out before Jupiter leaves Taurus, and maybe nearby to the time it leaves Aries.

Note : Every so often I need to remind readers that the purpose of this column is educational. It is to discuss the correlation of astrological factors with activity in financial markets and geopolitical, or current, events. This is the basis for Financial and Mundane Astrology. Its purpose is not to make specific recommendations on financial markets. For that purpose, we have specially designed subscription reports for investors, position traders, and aggressive, short-term traders. Those reports are issued monthly, weekly, and/or daily. They give specific recommendations in several financial markets. This column does not. It would be most unwise, and even financially dangerous, to make trading and even investment decisions on the basis of this educational column alone.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             It's out!!! ! The "Forecasts for 2011 Webcast" with Raymond Merriman that took place on Sunday, January 9, 2011 is available by DVD or CD. It is available now via "Streaming Review" for 27 days, or through MP3 purchase. It was a good presentation, filled with many investment ideas with timing insights. The cost for the MP3 or Streaming Review is $45.00 (no postage). The cost of the CD is $45.00, + postage. The cost of the DVD is $59.99 + postage. The market charts used in the presentation will be emailed to you separately in a PDF format. To purchase your copy of this Forecast 2011 webcast, just register at the MMA Website, or drop us an email ( ordersmma@msn.com ) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report - came out last week. If you are a subscriber, and did not receive it, please contact ordersmma@msn.com at once and let us know. The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers. On Tuesday night, we issue the MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report and the MMA Europe Cycles report. The Japanese report covers the Nikkei stock index, Dollar-Yen currency, and JGB government bonds. The MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices.
This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The new MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only. These reports are included in the Japanese, German, and Dutch translated MMA Cycles Report respectively.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             I had the pleasure of reading Manfred Zimmel's economic outlook for 2011 recently. I would highly recommend this fascinating overview through the eyes of another Financial Astrologer that I respect very much. Manfred can be a bit radical in the eyes of some, but he has been so right on the world economic scene so far ahead of everyone else, that he cannot be ignored. His record bears respect. And I greatly appreciate his discussion on inflation in this report. It is exceptional in my opinion. This report can be ordered at http://www.amanita.at/docs/open/newsletter-e.pdf.

             February 6, 2011 : Lansing, MI".Forecasts for 2011" with Raymond Merriman, sponsored by the Learning Center. Contact 517-664-2665 for information. I look forward to seeing many  readers of this column there.

             March 2011 : Miami (tentative). More later, when we confirm.

             March 10 — 12, 2011 : Mexico City, Mexico. Speech on Forecasts 2011, and workshop on "Evolutionary Astrology : The Journey of the Soul Through States of Consciousness". For information, please contact acuario888@gmail.com.

             April 28 and 30, 2011 : Kansas City, Mo ".Forecasts for 2011" and "Financial Astrology Workshop" with Raymond Merriman. For more information, please go to http://www.astrologykansascity-aoa.com, or contact allenblasco@yahoo.com, or call 816-774-4514. The workshop will cover projections for the U.S. stock market, precious metals, and other markets of interest to attendees. This will probably be the only Financial Astrology workshop in the United States this year. There will also be a special dinner party arranged for Friday evening, with Merriman, for those who attend the workshop (there will be a $55.00 fee for the dinner, but it will still be a special occasion to meet one another). You can also see the flyer for this weekend by going to www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS Details soon.

Our next private meeting with subscribers will take place after the all-day workshop in Kansas City, on Saturday, April 16. This is a very exciting gathering, for both myself (Merriman) and subscribers, as all kinds of interesting topics and ideas usually come up. Various market topics will be discussed and you may ask questions in this lively exchange. But you need to reserve a spot in this meeting with us ahead of time. There is no cost to subscribers, or $195.00 if not a subscriber to any daily or weekly report, or a one-year subscription to any MMA Cycles Report). To make your reservation for this special meeting, call us at 1-248-626-3034 or email Amber at ordersmma@msn.com.

 

             May 2011 : Ljubljana, Slovenia and Belgrade, Serbia. Details to be announced soon.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers : " I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report.  I can't imagine now managing my investments without them".

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. This first edition in Spanish will be in print in 10 days. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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