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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 9 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The Forecast 2014 Book is available for the IPhone 4 and IPad through Itunes. Look up Forecast 2011 on the IBookstore. The remaining printed copies are currently $55.00, but will be marked down to $40.00 beginning May 1, then $35.00 June 1, and finally to $30.00 on July 1, should any copies still be available.

It's out !!! The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The hardcover printed version of Forecast 2011 is out in Chinese, Swiss, Dutch, Japanese, Spanish, and Russian versions. We are pleased to announce that that this year's book may be purchased at these websites and in these languages :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian       Spanish

For an updated review on the highlights of the Forecast 2010 Book, visit :
http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/scorecard-for-forecasts-2010. It's even more impressive than first thought.

The Market Week in Review :

This is a column about Financial Astrology. Due to a computer crash Friday morning on my trip to Ljubljana, Slovenia, I don't have access to charts and all the data I require to write the weekly column. So this week's report will contain some information about markets, and a lot more information about astrology. By the way, for those of you who are astrologers, transiting Uranus was exactly square to my Capricorn Sun as this occurred. Uranus rules computers and sudden disruptions in one's life. This is a big disruption. I can't wait for the next two passages.

Let's first of all talk about my interesting life as a Financial Astrologer, in light of what has happened this week. I remember nearly ten years ago, leaving the United States for a lecture tour in Europe. I left on September 10, 2001, and arrived in Amsterdam early the morning of September 11. My hostess, Dutch astrologer Joyce Hoen, whisked me from Schipol Airport in Amsterdam to her lodge somewhere in Belgium. As always, I immediately went to bed upon arriving after the overnight flight. Around 3:00 PM, Joyce woke me up, saying, "Raymond. Something is happening in your country that you should get up and see". I went to the living room and watched a plane crash into the World Trade Center. In fact, it was the second plane that I was watching crash into twin towers in live time, for it was around 9:00 AM in the USA.

Having been suddenly awakened after an overnight trip, I of course thought this was part of my dream state. I was in a daze and thought : "This cannot be real". But it was. As it turned out, I began to experience a heartfelt sympathy from strangers everywhere I went in Europe that week, unlike anything I had ever experienced before. People would come up to me on the street, in restaurants, in stores, and express how sorry they were for what happened, and how much they loved and admired Americans. I felt a connection to people that I never felt before, or since.

Now flash forward to last week, May 1 and 2. Again, I leave for Europe, via Amsterdam. I arrive Monday morning May 2, and almost immediately I learn that Osama Bin Laden, the architect of the attack on the World Trade Center, has been found and killed. But the reaction this time is very different. In general, people here seem pleased that this chapter of the story has been settled. But there is not this outpouring of love and admiration of courage. There is no sympathy or congratulations. It is business as usual. Something is very different now than it was immediately after September 11, 2001. Maybe it has to do with difference in the role of victim versus conquering hero. It gives me pause to think about what has happened between the shock of 9-11, under the Saturn-Pluto opposition, and the resolution to the cause of that part of the problem on May 1, 2011, with Uranus in Aries. Maybe people don't really see it as closure to a problem, but instead just another step in the process of many steps involving world unrest today.

And how did markets react last week to these events ? Stocks declined, commodities collapsed, and the Dollar rose. The big story of the week was Silver, which went from a 31-year high of 49.82/ounce on April 25, our three-star critical reversal date, to about 33.00/ounce on Friday, May 6. Most of that decline happened in just one week as Silver was trading over 49.00 last Friday, May 29. Both weekly and daily subscribers were advised that if Silver could not get above 50.00 this past week, watch out below as a stampede to exit would commence. For those who went short, profits were phenomenal. When you consider every one dollar move in a 5000 ounce Comex Silver contract is $5000, you can see the downside of this move alone captured approximately $80,000/contract. This fits the mantra for short-term traders: maximum profit potential with minimum time exposure. The move down was just as impressive in Crude Oil, where the June contract fell from a new multi-year high of 114.83 on Monday, May 2, to a weekly low of 94.63 on Friday, May 6. Let's see how long it takes prices at the gas pumps to drop the drop the same 17.5% that Crude Oil futures dropped in just four days.

Which brings me to another large distinction between Americans and Europeans. When I left the states last Sunday, gas prices were about $4.25/gallon and everyone was predicting $5 - 6 gas by summer. People were outraged in the states by this huge run up. I noticed that it last cost me over $60.00 to fill my car with a full tank of premium unleaded. I have the same car here in Europe, same size gas tank. When I filled it up to drive to Frankfurt airport on Thursday, the cost was just under 100 euro. Adjusted for U.S. Dollars, that would be about $145.00 for a full tank. In other words, the cost of gas in Germany is close to $10.00/gallon. And although the Europeans complain, it is nothing close to reaching the level of outrage present in the United States. It just tells you something about our cultures. And I won't even get into the tax difference between the USA and Switzerland, where everyone is employed (well, unemployment is around 4%, which is considered full employment), construction is going on everywhere I look, and people are thriving and confident. There is no debt limit crisis fast approaching. What is the difference ? Maybe it is their 21% personal income tax rate that allows for such a successful and fully employed society. And at the same time, Switzerland provides great social programs for its citizens. The idea that you need to raise income taxes to solve the federal deficit just doesn't ring true here. But the idea of getting to a fully employed society does ring true. And what makes small business employers hire or not hire ? It is not the complex rocket science that politicians exhort.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Heliocentric Mercury exited Sagittarius on the new moon of Tuesday, May 3. Gold made its new all-time high of 1577.80 on May 2, while heliocentric Mercury was still in Sagittarius. By Thursday, May 5, it was down to 1462.50. In fact, just as suspected, commodities and foreign currencies fell hard against the Dollar. As our column of last week stated, "It's all related to heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius' explosiveness, and the Jupiter-Uranus transit in Aries. That's a lot of fire power fueling this bullet train of assets. But helio Mercury in Sagittarius ends this week, just as Jupiter and Mars start entering that zodiac sector when the top to those assets is due to culminate. In other words, we are nearing the end of the line. It would be wise to prepare to switch to another line before all the oxen get on board and tip the balance of this train".

By oxen, I was referring to the cosmic shift of planets from Aries to Taurus. The Sun moved from Aries to Taurus on April 20. Mars will do the same on May 11. On May 15, Mercury and Venus will do likewise. Only Jupiter and Uranus will be left. The weight is definitely shifting from the aggressive and speculative fire sign of Aries to the more practical and cautious earth sign of Taurus.

But we also mentioned before that May would be the best month for world leaders to come to agreements on their national problems. The demise of Bin Laden and his terrorist leadership may be one aspect of this planetary suggestion. But more can come. All it takes is a little effort and time to meet, discuss, and try to find solutions to reduce both spending and debt. Now is the time. Hopefully our leaders will not wait until June gets underway, when the energies will change again, and the geocosmic opportunity for an agreement may give way to more polarization and bickering. Of course, in June-July, the debt ceiling will be reached if nothing is done.

Long-Term Thoughts :

Due to computer crash, there will be no "Longer-Term Thoughts" section this week.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

Order form for 2011

             Special Offer !!! Good while supplies last! New subscribers to any MMA subscription services will receive FREE one copy of the "English version only" of the Forecasts 2011 Book (postage cost not included). This offer is available to all MMA subscription reports, except 2-issue trials of the MMA Cycles Report. This offer ends when the remaining copies are sold out, and it does not apply to the foreign translated versions unless announced on their respective websites. To get your free copy of Forecasts 2011 with a subscription to an MMA reports, simply go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services. When you place order, mention "special offer" under the comments section of your order. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In fact, since September 2011, both the daily and weekly reports have been extremely accurate and profitable for both position traders and short-term aggressive traders. Position traders in stocks indices, for instance, were put long back in November 2010 when the DJIA traded slightly below 11,000. They have remained long through the entire rally since then (over 1200 points, and over 12%). These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : " I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report.  I can't imagine now managing my investments without them ".

             It's out!!! ! The "Forecasts for 2011 Webcast " with Raymond Merriman that took place on Sunday, January 9, 2011 is available by DVD or CD. It is available now via "Streaming Review " for 27 days, or through MP3 purchase. It was a good presentation, filled with many investment ideas with timing insights. The cost for the MP3 or Streaming Review is $45.00 (no postage). The cost of the CD is $45.00, + postage. The cost of the DVD is $59.99 + postage. The market charts used in the presentation will be emailed to you separately in a PDF format. To purchase your copy of this Forecast 2011 webcast, just register at the MMA Website, or drop us an email ( ordersmma@msn.com ) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034. And remember : if you sign up for this report now, you will receive a free copy of the English version of the Forecast 2011 Book while supplies last !

             The final Volume 5 of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing" series is nearly finished. This will complete a project started in 1996. The previous 4 volumes have been on "when" to buy and sell, or how to forecast a future cycle low or high. This last volume addresses the subject of "where" to buy and sell, or "forecasting price targets". It is the missing link. It details the mathematical formulas and technical studies used to enhance timing of entry and exit in any market, but especially stock indices. The book is expected to be out in September 2011. If you have one of the first four volumes, or if you subscribe to any MMA subscription report, you will be receiving a special pre-publication offer this week (or call us to place your order if you want to make sure you are on the list). We should point out that Volumes 2 and 3 will probably be sold out before this new volume comes out. There are less than 15 copies of each available. We will allow them to remain out of print for awhile before reprinting. If you have purchased one of the volumes, or if you are a subscriber to our market reports, and do not receive a letter from us next week, then please call us for the special pre-publication offer that will be in effect only until July 1. At that time we will announce a different pre-publication price to the public.

Upcoming Events :

             August 13, 2011 : San Francisco, CA. Financial Market Timing seminar, featuring Raymond Merriman and other market timers. Details to be announced shortly at www.tsaasf.org. Immediately afterwards will be a special meeting with MMA subscribers who are present.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. "Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Mid-September 2012 : The first annual "MMA International Cycles Summit on World Economy, Politics, and Financial Markets". Location will be near Florence, Italy in a 12 th Century Medieval Castle that has a rich tradition for hosting other world summits over the past several centuries, including Napoleon, several cardinals and popes, and leaders of the third Reich in World War II (well, it is an interesting past history, to say the least - and they have the ghosts to prove it). Details will be announced soon.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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