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The best market timing for Silver

October 3 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

The new moon in Libra last week felt like the scales on steroids. Libra is supposed to be the sign of balance, as signified by its symbol, the scales. The Lady of Justice has two weights, one in each hand, and is trying to find the optimal balance with each. But last week's market activity shows what happens when Uranus and Pluto barge into her space, causing disruption and fears about banking meltdowns. Bank of America didn't help out any by announcing it would now start charging a $5.00 monthly fee just for the use of the debit cards it issues to its own customers, a new policy that other banks will consider in light of the lost revenues they will bear from the onerous Dodd-Frank Banking Regulatory reform act that actually ended up doing very little of the banking reform it promised. It is now one of the major campaign issues that will define the Presidential Election of 2012. The Republicans want to repeal it, and even the Democrats are angry that banks are finding ways to pass on their new regulatory costs to consumers, rather than balancing those costs against their huge profits and cash reserves attained by hoarding cash following their government-taxpayer bailouts from the crisis of 2008-2009. Weren't they supposed to lend that money out to help the ailing home owners and small businesses ?.

But back to the markets... the scales of Libra are having a hard time finding their balance, even following the new moon of last Tuesday, September 27. But that new moon formed a difficult T-square to Uranus (planet of instability and invention), and Pluto (planet of debt, deficits, and fear of defaults as well as reforms). And it's not just the USA and Europe that has the world concerned right now. China is contracting, as evidenced by its stock markets falling to their lowest levels in over a year. China's Shanghai Index fell to 2348 on Friday, September 30, a level not seen since July 2010. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong fell to 16,999, the first time it has been below 17,000 since May 2009 ! India's Nifty stock index fell below 4800 last week, testing its lows of November 2009. In Japan, the Nikkei stock index fell to 8359, a re-test of its yearly low at 8227 registered back on March 15 as that country was devastated by one of history's most destructive earthquakes, a deadly tsunami, and nuclear plant meltdowns. Still, it held above those lows and actually closed on a bullish signal at the end of last week. It just goes to show the extremes the Lady of Justice will go through to find enough news to encourage the optimists - the bulls - even when other equity markets in the region are falling apart.

But she doesn't limit her efforts for fairness and balance to only Asia and the Pacific Rim. She creates intermarket divergences in other regions of the world as well. In Europe, for instance, the Netherlands AEX fell to 256.30 last Friday, September 23, just one trading day before our three-star critical reversal date of Monday, September 26, when other markets (but not all) also made important lows. That was the lowest level in the AEX in over two years. But none of the other markets we track in Europe made such new lows, although the German DAX fell to 4973 at the same time, slightly higher than its 4965 low of September 12. In contradiction to this bearish pattern, the Swiss SMI stock index soared to its highest level last Thursday, September 29, since the world stock market collapse in July. It was up to 5637, more than 13% above its lows of August 9 at 4967. Suddenly Swiss stocks look attractive, when the rest of Europe is reeling.

In the Americas, only Argentina's Merval Index fell to new monthly lows last week. This is significant when you consider that this country's leading index had been making new all-time highs just 9 months ago and testing them again in July. But by Friday, the Merval had fallen to a new yearly low. Brazil's Bovespa also fell throughout the week, down to the 52,000 area on Friday. But this is still well above its lows of August 8 that were below 48,000. After bottoming at 10,597 last Thursday, September 22, the Dow Jones Industrial Average roared back to 11,369 on Tuesday's new moon. But that was it. But Friday's close it was back near 10,900. The pattern was similar in the NASDAQ Composite. The difference was that on the low of the Composite the prior week at 2420, it was well above its low of 2331 on August 9. The September 23 low in DJIA on the other hand was lower than August 9 (10,604), for yet another case of intermarket bullish divergence during the critical reversal zone of September 26, +/- 3 trading days.

Our September 26 three-star critical reversal date was highlighted in other financial markets too, most notably the precious metals. Silver just crashed over the weekend, falling to a new multi-month low of 2615 exactly on September 26. At the same time Gold fell to 1535, which is a drop of nearly 400 since its all-time high of 1923.70 three weeks ago. The Forecast 2011 Book forecasted that Gold would suffer a 34-month cycle low within three months of August 2011, in which price could fall $140-480. Not a bad call. Crude Oil also fell well below 80.00/barrel last week (the low was 77.11). Just two weeks ago it was trading above 90.00.

Uranus rules tornadoes and earthquakes. In retrospect, it was like the Lady of Justice was trying to keep her scales balances in the midst of a tornado and earthquake. I think her hat probably blew off. But being the Lady that she is, she will recover gracefully and resume her pose, at least until Scorpio comes along next and stings her again.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Maybe things will get calmer next week, as Venus (ruler of Libra) continues her sojourn through Libra until October 9. Usually that passage is favorable for stocks (and not so favorable for precious metals). But the week is unlikely to start out very calm, given the way the U.S. stock markets sold off into the close, and more so given that Mars will form a square Jupiter at the start of the week on Monday. Remember : periods in which Mars, Jupiter and/or Uranus are in aspect to one another tend to coincide with large price swings. We are in one of those periods now. Another point to remember is that new and full moons when the Sun is in Libra can coincide with very important reversals. The high of the past week was on Tuesday, September 27, the exact day of the new moon. The full moon follows on October 11, just before the extremely volatile period of heliocentric Mercury transiting through Sagittarius takes place (October 15-27). And interestingly enough, that ends just as the super-volatile yearly opposition of the Sun and Jupiter takes place on October 28.

If these markets don't find some ground to stand on by the middle of this week, it could be a rough ride through the end of the month. But Jupiter forms a trine to Pluto then too, so reforms are coming. Let's hope these reforms produce better outcomes for consumers than the "unintended consequences" of the banking reforms now being realized through the efforts of the Dodd-Frank bill passed last year. Wasn't that act passed during a Mercury retrograde period ? Weren't all the problematic federal acts of the last year passed during a Mercury retrograde time band ? I don't think it is a cosmic coincidence that next year's election will also take place just as Mercury begins its retrograde motion too.

Longer Term Thoughts :

I know the news of late sounds very depressing, and we have to try hard to find reasons for hope (well, I am Mercury in Sagittarius character, so I have a job to do along these lines). But the news is always depressing and disturbing when longer-term cycle lows are forming. This time is no exception. A long-term cycle low, known as the 15.5-month cycle bottom, is due within three months of October 2011. And like all long-term cycles, once that low is in, a 2-5 month rally is likely to commence. So rather than focus on all the doom and gloom that permeates the news stations, internet blogs, newspapers, and bar room conversations, I would like to suggest that we look at this period as a buying opportunity. People are indeed depressed and bordering on panic, and that's why they sell. But the human psychology of times like this is that they sell very near to the bottom. Everyone knows this, but everyone forgets this when it is actually happening. And it is my job to remind you when you forget what you know - if I remember.

In the study of Financial Astrology, I would like to remind everyone that we are about to enter the October 7-March 7 time band, a period when Jupiter retrogrades back to the 0-7º Taurus sector of the zodiac. It begins this week. As stated last week, "I expect the stock market to make yet another impressive rally during that time, in which prices rise at least 10% (better if 20%) from the low that is forming shortly, ideally by the end of October if not even right here". "Right here" could have been last Monday, but by Friday, that idea wasn't so clear.

And it is not just in stocks that we should be looking for opportunities. I just put out a special report on Gold and Silver to our subscribers, because those markets are also due to make long-term bottoms shortly. If you are interested, just sign up for any subscription report and request a copy of this special update on precious metals (sorry - sometimes Mercury in Sagittarius can't resist an opportunity to solicit). But it is well worth it, as long as I am not under a hard Neptune transit - and I am not, nor will I be for several years. I am still enjoying my hard Uranus and Pluto transits ! At least they are real. Maybe too real at times. Like the Lady of Justice, I too feel that these market tornadoes require a special balancing act. But I think, I know which way the wind is blowing. And for most of last week, our trading clients did very well with stocks, precious metals, and Treasuries, catching the weekly highs and lows.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             It's that time of the year again ! As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 15, 2011. The special rate for ordering before October 15 is $45.00 plus postage. After that it will increase to $55.00, its normal price. The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than half over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 Book at the special pre-publication rate now in effect through October 15. Save Big Bucks and Order Now!!!. For translations, see in the upper part of that sheet.

             If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In fact, since September 2011, both the daily and weekly reports have been extremely accurate and profitable for both position traders and short-term aggressive traders. Position traders in stocks indices, for instance, were put long back in November 2010 when the DJIA traded slightly below 11,000. They have remained long through the entire rally since then (over 1200 points, and over 12%). These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : " I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report.  I can't imagine now managing my investments without them ".

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis

is out as of last week ! Man, am I happy! It is a surreal feeling to complete a book of this size (over 300 pages), and it's a surreal feeling to see it out in print, at last. It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

Upcoming Events :

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData. Details to be announced shortly at

             January 18, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             February 23 and 25 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, February 23, and a workshop on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, February 25.

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

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