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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 10 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

Once again the stock markets of the world went just about perfect for the script laid out in last week's "Short-Term Geocosmics" section. Equity markets started off ugly last week as expected. By Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down to the 10,400 area, well below its low of August 9 (10,604) and September 22 (10,597). The S&P and NASDAQ were also busting down to new yearly lows, as were the stock indices in Hong Kong, and Argentina. But then something happened late in the trading session on Tuesday. The DJIA suddenly reversed up 400 points. News reports first said it was a short-covering rally. No doubt. But there was more to it than meets the eye. Well, actually it does meet the eye, but most eyes don't look up that high. As stated in last week's column, "... the (new) week is unlikely to start out very calm, given the way the U.S. stock markets sold off into the close, and more so given that Mars will form a square Jupiter at the start of the week on Monday. Remember : periods in which Mars, Jupiter and/or Uranus are in aspect to one another tend to coincide with large price swings. We are in one of those periods now". Going from nearly 11,000 at the start of Monday down to 10,404 Tuesday, then closing that same day above 10,800 qualifies for a large price swing. By Friday, the DJIA was trading above 11,200 before settling back a bit on the close, consistent with Friday's lunar reversal set up.

Following the Mars-square-Jupiter lows of Tuesday, almost all of the stock indices around the world rallied sharply into Friday. Some markets, like the SMI index of Zurich, rallied to its highest level in two months. On the low of last Tuesday, there were numerous cases of intermarket bullish divergence in several regions. For example, in the Americas, the new yearly lows in the DJIA, S&P, NASDAQ Composite, and Merval of Argentina were not matched by new yearly lows in Brazil's Bovespa index. The later held above its low of August 9. In the Pacific Rim and Asia, the new low in the Hang Seng of Hong Kong was not matched by new lows in Japan, India, or Australia (China was closed all week). In Europe, last week's low did not take out the lows of September, let along August.

Crude Oil also fell in sympathy with stocks to a new cycle low last Tuesday, which makes even more sense because the Mars-Jupiter signature is more pertinent to Crude Oil than equity markets in the study of Financial Astrology. The Euro currency also fell on Tuesday, October 4, to its lowest level since January. Gold and Silver, on the other hand, also plummeted into another low on Tuesday, but both remained well above their lows of our September 26 three-star critical reversal date. It could have been the successful retest of those prior lows, but we need more time and/or more upside movement to confirm.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Now what ? That's always the question, isn't it? Were the reversal and intermarket bullish signals of October 4 enough to confirm the end to the 5-month bear market? No, it's not enough yet, but it's a good start. This week's full moon could yield another important clue. As stated last week, " Another point to remember is that new and full moons when the Sun is in Libra can coincide with very important reversals. The high of the past week was on Tuesday, September 27, the exact day of the new moon. The full moon follows on October 11, just before the extremely volatile period of heliocentric Mercury transiting through Sagittarius takes place (October 15-27). And interestingly enough, that ends just as the super-volatile yearly opposition of the Sun and Jupiter takes place on October 28". We still await technical verification that the 15.5-month cycle low in USA stocks is in. If it is, then the market could move very sharply higher into the end of the month. If not, we still have another plunge ahead. But in either case, an important low is to be followed by a 10-20% rally, lasting 2-5 months, based on the return of Jupiter to 0-7° of Taurus, October 7 - March 7. The only question for investors is : do you want to risk getting in too early, ahead of a possible 10% more to the downside, or get in too late, well after the bottom has already formed? Although that is the "only question," it is the same question that traders face every day before they enter a trade. It's the constant interplay for market participants between Saturn (fear) and Jupiter (greed). Last week and the rest of this month is all about Jupiter. And if Jupiter turns negative - if greed rules the emotions and the market heads down - it quickly turns to hysteria and panic. Of course, this becomes "fear squared", which gets into the subject of the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square.

Longer Term Thoughts :

The extreme and increasing volatility in financial markets is symptomatic of (and a correlate to) an even bigger drama going on the heavens right now. This is known as the approaching square of Uranus and Pluto, a cosmic event that happens about every 126 years. It's quarter cycle phases are also very important. These two planets began their long-term cycle with the conjunction in 1965-66, when both planets were also in opposition to Saturn. This is the first quarter cycle of the new longer-term cycle. The previous quarter cycle occurred in 1931. You don't have to search your history books to figure out what happened in 1931 or 1965-66 to societies around the world, their economies and financial markets. Fundamental, structural changes on many levels of the human experience were enacted.

Now we are going through it again, as outlined in every Forecast Book since 1994. Each book stated that the period of 2008-2015 would be very much similar to 1928-1934. In many ways, it would also repeat the themes of the mid-1960's, since all quarter cycles relate to the dynamics that were underway at the time of the conjunction.

So let us consider for a moment what types of human activities were highlighted within two years of the conjunction between Uranus and Pluto that took place in 1965-1966 (say 1963-1968), with emphasis upon the parts of human activity that are ruled by these two planets according to the principles of the oldest known study to Man. Uranus rules the masses, the "world-view" if you will. It is the dynamic associated with changes - sudden changes - often involving the masses or large groups of people. Uranus is new, the future, and is said to have no regard for tradition and authority. It desires freedom, liberation, and equality for all. It is also the planet that is "disconnected" from others. It is an alien, a stranger, a non-conformist. It is revolutionary and rules youth movements. Uranus doesn't grow old, but it can become estranged.

Now let's consider Pluto, the planet of reformation. It looks at something and if it decides it is not right it sets about to correct it - by almost any means possible. Sometimes making something right means you have to tear it down first and then rebuild it. Uranus is like a tornado or storm that comes suddenly out of nowhere. Pluto is like the storm that looms big in the distance and rolls in slowly. You know it is coming and there is little you can do to avoid it. You just bunker down and hope to survive its fury. Pluto rules death, death and taxes. You know they are all coming and all you can do is make sure all your affairs are in order before they hit. Or, if you are intelligent enough, you actually make changes where possible and reverse the momentum by changing the actions that may have caused it in the first place before it is too late. Regarding debt, you either reverse your policies or you go bankrupt, or into default if you are a nation. The debt becomes so enormous that you can never get out from under it. All you can do is surrender, and promise to start over - or else give up your life and/or its freedoms.

So Uranus and Pluto pertain to the debt explosion we are now going through, and which this column identified long ago would likely happen from 2008-2015. But it is more than that. It also contains the seeds for a revolution of some sort, and social transformation on a huge global level, and especially for the United States of America, since the Uranus-Pluto square makes a grand square to the USA's natal Sun-Saturn square.

The "Occupy Wall Street" protest movement now sweeping the country is a perfect example of Uranus (masses, young people) demanding fundamental changes in government, banks, and businesses. The movement hasn't really defined its goals clearly, but it is not so difficult to see where this going, given the principles of astrology, especially Financial or Mundane Astrology. We had a similar phenomenon arise in the mid 1960's. It started out as a peaceful "flower child" movement where the youth "turned off, tuned in, and dropped out" in protest against the values of the previous generation - the one Tom Brokaw keeps referring to as "The Greatest Generation". That would a subject of great disagreement if you asked those Baby Boomers at that time (and maybe even today). But the 1960's "peaceful revolution" soon turned violent when political activists entered that massive group gathering and successfully steered it into an anti-war, anti-government movement. It soon evolved and expanded further into violent race riots. There were three hugely important assassinations that occurred during that period too: John F. Kennedy, Martin Luther King, and Robert Kennedy. The movement was so powerful that it 1) caused the sitting president to drop out of the 1968 presidential election, and 2) led to violent confrontations between police and demonstrators at the 1968 Democratic presidential convention in Chicago.

I bring this up because 2012-2015 will be the first quarter cycle of that Uranus-Pluto cycle that occurred in 1965-1966. The seeds that were planted in the mid-1960's are starting to blossom now (I am not sure "blossom" is the right word). The bottom line is that this period - now through 2015 really - can be "humanity's finest moment," when it fundamentally changes the dynamics and policies that have led to this horrendous world-wide debt explosion. It can be humanity's finest moment if it can rise above the hatred of racial prejudices and social inequalities.

As one looks at the race for the USA presidency in 2012, it is disturbeing to observe these divisive polarities as well as the Republican mantra that their most important duty is simply to defeat Barack Obama. Really? That's the most important duty of conservatives and Republicans? Let me suggest that they also consider the ramifications of simply defeating Barack Obama within the context of Uranus and Pluto in square aspect, as well as the ramifications if he wins with this type of prioritization of goals. If Barack Obama is re-elected in this type of hostile "mass polarity" climate, the probability is great that 1) he could be impeached if at the same time Republicans gain control of both the House and the Senate, as early polls suggest will happen, or 2) there could be revolution within the country (within manyh countries, including an overthrowof the government. If Obama is not elected, there will still be danger of revolution in the USA and perhaps its government, but it will likely be brought about by massive race riots. The same is true if he is elected and impeached.

As historic as 2008 was because it resulted in the election of the first African-American president ever in the USA, the study of astrology suggests that the election of 2012 will be just as historic and important. But it is not the election itself that fascinates me so much. It is what happens as a result of it aftewards. Either humanity - and especially America - steps up and exhibit its finest moment ever and transforms this hostile economic and social climate into something to be proud of, or else it sinks to its lowest level and falls into an abyss that is nothing short of tragic, both economically and socially.

Watch the protest movement of "Occupy Wall Street". Watch who infiltrates this movement and tries to steer it into a political activist movement with the potential to unleash a very violent force. Maybe it becomes the left's own Tea Party movement. If Obama wants to be a hero and increase his approval ratings, perhaps he choose to send in the Marines or Army to stand between the New York police force and the protestors the moment the police start to turn violent. He can create the narrative whereby he protects the protestors' right to assemble and free speech (he is all about creating narratives before action). You think we live in interesting times ? It's about to ratchet up another notch. Let's hope our leaders step up and make this our generation's finest moment. It is possible if they lead in that direction, rather than divisive and polarizing directions currently underway.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             It's that time of the year again ! As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 15, 2011. The special rate for ordering before October 15 is $45.00 plus postage. After that it will increase to $55.00, its normal price. The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than half over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 Book at the special pre-publication rate now in effect through October 15. Save Big Bucks and Order Now!!!. For translations, see in the upper part of that sheet.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more informatio call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out ! Man, am I happy! It is a surreal feeling to complete a book of this size (over 300 pages), and it's a surreal feeling to see it out in print, at last. It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

Upcoming Events :

             December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012 " A "Virtual On-line Discussion and Forecasts for 2012 with Ray Merriman!" will take place on Sunday, December 18, 2011, starting at 1:54 PM EST. The cost for this live webcast is $45.00. For information to be a part of this event, go to our got to website at www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log in will be sent upon making reservations.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.

1°)
 January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?

2°)
 January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.

Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch.

             January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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