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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 31 - 2011
Raymond A. Merriman©
The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor.
We will start printing comments here from readers of last year's book. The second is "After reading the annual Forecasts and subscribing to MMA Cycles for the past ten years, I can say that Ray Merriman's forecasts are uncannily accurate and indispensable for the preservation of wealth. Nothing else I've seen compares. It is without a doubt the best perspective on the big picture, not just bits and pieces of the picture". W.W., Investor and Teacher, Indiana
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
The Market Week in Review :
In the grand tradition of Sagittarius and Jupiter, it was a very big week for financial markets, and especially stock indices around the world. Jupiter rules Sagittarius and both represent the principles of exaggeration, excess, and large price moves, especially if aspects involving Mars and Uranus are nearby. That was the case indeed last week, as heliocentric Mercury completed its 12-day transit of Sagittarius on October 26, Mars was squared by Venus on October 26, and Jupiter was involved in both a powerful opposition to the Sun and trine to Pluto on October 28. Next week will witness Venus making a waning trine aspect to Uranus on November 3. All the ingredients were there for a huge feast, and on Thursday, the political and banking leaders of Europe served up the main course : a very generous dose of more financial bailout monies for Greece and a bigger reserve in preparation for additional bailouts that may be necessary shortly for Spain and Italy. Investors celebrated by opening their pocketbooks and buying everything in sight except the U.S. Dollar and Treasuries. Stock markets, precious metals, crude oil and other currencies soared to multi-week and even multi-month highs. In fact, October is now on track to be the biggest monthly point gainer in the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Let's look at the past month and see what has happened in world stock indices. In Europe, the Netherlands AEX rallied to 318.02 on Friday, October 28, its highest level since the first week of August. That represents a gain of 24% from its 2-year low of 256.36 registered on September 23. The German DAX raced to its highest level since early August too, reaching 6430 on Friday, a gain of nearly 30% from its 2-year lows of September 12 and 23. The SMI index of Zurich has now rallied 24% since its yearly lows of August 9, and the London FTSE nearly 20% from the same mark. By the standard of 20% gains, most of Europe's indices are now officially in new bull markets following their yearly lows in August or September. They have turned completely around that quickly.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the turnaround has not been nearly as dramatic. Australia's All Ordinaries index has now appreciated 14.5% since its yearly lows of August 9. The Nifty Index of India appreciated nearly the same amount between its high of last week and its low of October 4, which was a double bottom to its lowest level since February 2010. The Japanese Nikkei appreciated nearly 9% from its secondary low of the year at 8343 on October 4 to Friday's high of 9086. It was even more subdued in China where the Shanghai Index only had a modest rally off its 2-year low of 2307 on October 24. By Friday, it had risen only to 2483, a gain of just 7.6%. The most spectacular advance in this region occurred in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng soared from a 2-year low of 16,170 on October 4 to 20,272 on Friday, October 28, a gain of 25%. However, keep in mind it had suffered a huge decline before that. It was at 24,488 in April and nearly 25,000 in November 2010.
In the Americas, the gains have been similar to that of Europe. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared above 12,000 again on the announcement of the European debt crisis plan. From a yearly low of 10,404 on October 4, the DJIA rallied up to 12,238 on Thursday for a three-week gain of 17.6% The NASDAQ Composite advanced to 2753 from 2298 during the same three-week period, an appreciation of almost 20%. But this was nothing compared to what happened in Argentina's Merval index, which just exploded 36% off the yearly lows of 2274 on October 4 to 3094 on Thursday, October 27. The Bovespa index of Brazil also registered an impressive gain of 25% since its yearly low of 47,793 on August 8 to its high of 59,901, also on Thursday October 27. These types of gains are truly consistent with the grand nature of Jupiter and Sagittarius, the land where nothing small or insignificant is acknowledged to exist.
Yet these large price movements were not limited to stock indices. Silver, for example, took off to 3570, up over 35% from a low of 2615 just one month ago. In that same time, Gold has appreciated over $200/ounce, from a low of 1535 on September 26 to over 1750 late last week. Crude Oil has also soared over 25%, from just under $75.00/barrel three weeks ago (October 4) to nearly $95.00 late last week. The Euro currency is back above 1.4000 to the U.S. Dollar, which also fell to a new all-time low against the Japanese Yen on Friday, October 28.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
The huge Jupiterian price moves should not have been a surprise to Financial Astrologers. As stated in last week's column, "Did you hang on to your seats last week as advised ? Then don't let go, because there are more thrills in store for this week and into Halloween, the following week. Heliocentric Mercury is well into Sagittarius now. But that will end (October 15-27). However, that will not end the volatility and big price swings because the "big dadd". of them all - the Sun in opposition to the biggest planet in the solar system (Jupiter) - occurs October 28. Interestingly enough, Jupiter will also form a long-term trine aspect (120 degree arc) to Pluto, the longest orbiting (dwarf) planet of this solar system. That's a lot of "big stuf". coming up! And just in time too for some big announcements, such as the European leaders announcing their long awaited plan to solve their too long-standing debt crisis. The hope is that this will be a real constructive reform plan, as Jupiter in trine to Pluto would suggest".
The European banking and political community did indeed deliver the type of Jupiterian reform the market wanted to see. And in response, money managers bought everything in sight as if Christmas and the holiday season had arrived early. This is the way it goes when Zeus (Jupiter) rules from his own home in Sagittarian-land.
But now what ? That is always the question, isn't it? Thank God for astrology, the cosmic instruction manual. Heliocentric Mercury leaves Sagittarius for the more somber and serious Capricorn. Jupiter begins to separate away from its generous trine to the reform-minded Pluto. And the biggest aspects of them all - the Sun in opposition to Jupiter - ends its waxing phase between these two fiery planets and begins their half-year waning phase. If we just examine this aspect alone - the Sun-Jupiter opposition - from the studies presented in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles", we will note that in 50% of historical cases cited, a 50-week or greater cycle has unfolded within 10 trading days. That's huge for a geocosmic correlation to a long-term stock market cycle ! And in 75% of instances observed, a primary or greater cycle has unfolded within 10 trading days. But we just saw those cycles - and the even longer-term 15.5-month cycle - completed on October 4, 19 trading days ago. Since that time stock prices have risen - and risen in the grand fashion of Sagittarius and Jupiter, which means they haven't just risen, but have exploded like a pointed straight up. So if this signature is going to be valid as a leading reversal indicator this time, it won't be from a low. Prices in many markets are already up 15-25% and more as it takes place.
Yet there are reasons based on Financial Astrology that suggest prices will go higher before taking out those lows of three weeks ago. Geocentric Mercury and Venus start their multi-week treks through the land of Zeus (Sagittarius) on November 2. And Jupiter is still within the 0-7° sector of Taurus, the region which we have continually identified in this column as coinciding with long-term stock market peaks, as shown by studies going back to the1870's. That sector is highlighted from October 7, 2011 through March 7, 2012. We expect another long-term cycle high then, just as we observed (and forecasted as long ago as November 2010) for May 2-July 22, 2011, which still stands as the three-year high in U.S. stocks. But that is being challenged now as Jupiter returns to early Taurus, just as we said it would. When will this crest finally be attained ? Well, my guess is that we have to get closer to the point when Jupiter turns stationary direct at 0° Taurus, which takes place December 25, 2011. Still, this is Halloween and a geocosmic critical reversal zone and prices have had a great Jupiterian lift for the past three weeks, so I don't expect the market to go straight up into the holiday season. We may just be at the top of another peak on this roller coaster ride, readying for the next dizzying dive down before another peak that follows. It is, after all, the season of tricks and treats. The last three weeks have been the treats. But here comes another trick.
Longer Term Thoughts :
To be continued... (next week)
It's that time of the year again ! MMA's annual Forecast Book is now being written. The Forecast 2011 Book will be completed in early December and sent out to those who pre-order it by December 15.This year's rate will remain at the same rate it has been for past two years, $55.00 (plus postage, unless ordering the EBook version. The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to the front page of our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 and assure your order goes out in the first mailing of December 15. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks. "I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there.
The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report
went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
Upcoming Events :
December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012 " A "Virtual On-line Discussion and Forecasts for 2012 with Ray Merriman!" will take place on Sunday, December 18, 2011, starting at 1:54 PM EST. The cost for this live webcast is $45.00. For information to be a part of this event, go to our got to website at www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log in will be sent upon making reservations.
January 6-7, 2012 :
Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.
1°) January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?
2°) January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.
Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email email@example.com.
January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.
March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .
March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.
April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact email@example.com.
May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.
Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.
We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at email@example.com. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.