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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 7 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

We will start printing comments here from readers of last year's book. The Third is : R. F., Vice President at one of America's largest investment banks. "I never go to the office without it - wish there was a bound edition to buy". Chuck S, Money Manager, Casper, WY.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

Last week's column - written shortly after many of the world's stock markets had risen to their highest level in month - ended with, " Still, this is Halloween and a geocosmic critical reversal zone and prices have had a great Jupiterian lift for the past three weeks, so I don't expect the market to go straight up ... We may just be at the top of another peak on this roller coaster ride, readying for the next dizzying dive down before another peak that follows. It is, after all, the season of tricks and treats. The last three weeks have been the treats. But here comes another trick". We had the tricks last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for example, was down 276 points on Monday, down another 297 points on Tuesday, then up 178 on Wednesday, followed by another 208-point rally on Thursday. And that was before the unemployment and payroll reports on Friday, which itself caused quite a bit of intraday fluctuation.

The low of the week in equities occurred on Tuesday, which was just about a perfect fit for the transit of Mars making a T-square to the Mercury-Pluto opposition in the chart of the New York Stock Exchange (May 17, 1792, known as the "Buttonwood char".). It was also the 500-1000 point drop of at least 3 days from the 12,284 top of last Thursday that daily subscribers were advised to look for, to cover their shorts and reverse to the long side. This was also based on the idea that the Sun-Jupiter opposition occurred on October 28, and was historically one of the strongest geocosmic signatures correlating to big reversals in U.S. stocks. Everything fit just right according to geocosmic signatures, solar-lunar phases (which were also in a reversal bands), and technical studies as described in Volume 5 of our Stock Market Timing series of books.

The extreme flip-flops of the stock market coincided with the flip-flops of European government and banking leaders regarding their debt issues. Last week the markets cheered that they had all come to a very large and welcomed agreement. But then the new week began with something like a hangover from a pre-mature celebration. Where were the details ? And then Greek Prime Minister Papendreou suddenly announced Greece voters will have to decide whether or not they want to accept the bailout and the pain of austerity that goes along with it because, after all, Athens was burning in protest over these sacrifices. But then everyone got upset with him for not showing leadership. What is a man to do ? So he rescinded his decision to give the voters the choice and its back on again. On again, off again... just like the stock markets.

The only market that likes this kind of uncertainty is Gold and Silver. They plummeted too at first, with Gold falling all the way back to the low 1680's, right into our weekly support price zone. It held that level on Tuesday, November 1, and by Thursday it was testing 1770, its highest level since September 23. The only problem was that Silver did not make a new multi-week high at the same time, and so now we have a case of intermarket bearish divergence between the two metals, with Silver having made its multi-week high on last Friday's critical reversal date. They need some more insanity and dysfunctionality from the banking and political community to break that bearish set up. In the meantime, Crude Oil quietly moved to its highest level in three months, testing the 95.00 mark again.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The low in the stock markets was November 1. The very next day, after the DJIA fell 650 points from the high of October 27 (just three trading days earlier), equity markets around the world reversed back up again. This was right in line with the geocosmic setup described in last week's column, which stated, "Yet there are reasons based on Financial Astrology that suggest prices will go higher before taking out those lows of three weeks ago. Geocentric Mercury and Venus start their multi-week treks through the land of Zeus (Sagittarius) on November 2. And Jupiter is still within the 0-7° sector of Taurus, the region which we have continually identified in this column as coinciding with long-term stock market peaks, as shown by studies going back to the 1870's".

I don't know if it will be straight up from here. Next week's market climate from the study of geocosmics looks a little ragged, Maybe "foggy". and "uncertain", are better terms, given that Neptune will be so prominent. If there is one planet that is not sure where it is headed, that would be Neptune, god of the underwater, mist, and fog. It is also the planet of rumors, distraction, and deception. It will be interesting to see how Herman Cain handles allegations of sexual harassment under this dynamic. It will be interesting to see if Governors Perry or Romney will flip-flop, or fall deeper into conflicts on any more issues this week. It will be interesting to see if President Obama can come up with anything more stupefying than his statement to the global economic summit in Cannes on Friday that he is not concerned in the least about the election in 2012 right now. Sincerity will be at a premium this week, and those who stumble in this area of behavior may look really bad.

On Monday, Mars will be in opposition to Neptune, and on Wednesday, Neptune will end its retrograde motion, turn direct, and start heading back to the Land of Oz, known as Pisces. Oh yes, it will be a Neptune week all right. Better do a reality check before you believe anything you hear. Better do fact checks before you open your mouth and try to state a fact that is not factual. Climate-wise, this could correlate with floods. Politically-speaking, some candidates may start to drown. In terms of financial markets, there may not be a clear direction before Thursday's full moon. If the markets aren't down too severely by then, I see light coming through the clouds, and the fog begins to dissipate. But before then, can the Crimson Tide beat the Tigers this Saturday ? Crimson Tide is a good name for Mars square Neptune. For those who aren't fans, its number 1 versus number 2 in college football this Saturday night.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"It's strange. So strange. You've got to pick up every stitch, Beatniks are out to make it rich, Oh no, must be the season of the witch". - "Season of the Witch". song by several artists.

It's Scorpio-time now - season of the witch. And it is especially strange through the eyes of this Financial and Mundane Astrologer. Everywhere I look I see Uranus-Pluto principles at work. And if you know anything about astrology, you know that when Uranus is present, it's strange. Uranus is also group - or mass - consciousness, tapping into new ideas and ideals on the quest for freedom and independence, a purer state of equality for everyone, regardless of race or religious-spiritual-philosophical beliefs. This mass consciousness finds expression through joining like-minded, like-principled people. It becomes a movement, soon to be a protest movement and if not careful, suddenly form-shifting into a mob (it is "the season of the witch".) that unleashes destruction in its path. But of course this is not the intent of those who connect with one another on this ideological plane - this quest for ultimate freedom, independence, and equality.

Let me offer a viewpoint that may be controversial (yes, I have Uranus culminating in my chart and so what is life without a little controversy or scandal ???). The quest for freedom and independence is intimately tied to one's financial path. That is perhaps why Uranus is so important in not just the study of Mundane Astrology, but Financial Astrology too. When Uranus is strong, earthquakes and winds may shake the planet, but huge price movements in financial markets become the equivalent of financial earthquakes and tornadoes. Prices either fall or rise higher or lower - much higher or lower - than anyone expects, for Uranus is the unexpected and it has no interest in obeying support or resistance zones. It just wants to explode right through them - especially when in contact with Pluto, the real "witch" of any season.

Now Pluto is also a money planet in the study of Financial Astrology. Specifically it relates to debt - the owing of something of value for something of value already purchased. The only problem is - when Pluto is strong - you don't have the money for that thing of value you just ordered. You can't borrow anymore either, because your credit is maxed out. What to do ?.

Well, if you are the Federal Reserve Board, you can just print money (at virtually no cost) and use that to buy government bonds (i.e. lend the government the money it needs in exchange for their promise to pay it all back with interest). That's not a bad deal if you can get away with it. In Europe, for instance, you can't - or at least it seemed like you couldn't the prior week when the leaders of the European Union announced that they had convinced their largest banks to take a 50% "haircut". on the Greek debt, which was about 130 Billion €. That's not bad either if you can convince the banks to forgive that much of the loans they gave you. Apparently they did, until Greece then upped the ante and said they would vote on whether or not to accept the bailout monies being forced upon them. The Greeks might rather default and take their chances on what "the void" looks like, rather than go through the certainty of pain that the austerity measures of Europe's banks, nations, and IMF want of Greece's flesh. And then that idea of a referendum vote was aborted just one day later. I tell you, it's Uranus-Pluto going berserk all over the world.

Now imagine the United States government reaching a similar plan with its central bank, the Federal Reserve Board. "Big Ben". says B.O., "I want you to take a 50% haircut on that money we borrowed from you that you created out of thin air". What would happen ? Well, first of all, the nation's debt would decrease by 50% of the amount of Treasuries that the Fed has on its books, which might be a few trillion $. Now that would be a shock of the magnitude of Uranus square Pluto too. But as the Occupy Wall Street protest movement continues to grow and eventually mature, it may not be that far off the mark. You may remember this column forecasted a couple of months ago that this movement would likely be infiltrated by sub-groups that start to attract or display violence. We saw that happened last week, and as also forecasted, a conflict would begin to emerge between those purists within the group who want no violence and the sub-groups that have another agenda, other grievances. It was evident last week in Oakland, California. But if the purists can maintain control, the next step is to identify more clearly the objectives of transformation which their movement can inspire. We know it has to do with the disparity of money/income/debt between "the people" and banks, large corporations, and government, But beneath all that are the dynamics of Uranus and Pluto - the urge for independence and freedom, and especially freedom from debt.

Scorpio (October 22-November 21) may be the "season of the witch". But with Uranus and Pluto coming into waxing square, we are already entering the "era of the witch". Let's hope she can spin some real magic and help transform this race to the void. Otherwise we will remain stuck in the Twilight Zone. It's either come together and reverse this trend, or continue to divide and fall harder, and then start all over. That's Uranus and Pluto. That's our future.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             It's that time of the year again ! MMA's annual Forecast Book is now being written. The Forecast 2011 Book will be completed in early December and sent out to those who pre-order it by December 15.This year's rate will remain at the same rate it has been for past two years, $55.00 (plus postage, unless ordering the EBook version. The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to the front page of our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 and assure your order goes out in the first mailing of December 15. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more informatio call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks. "I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- The U.S. version covers the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012 " A "Virtual On-line Discussion and Forecasts for 2012 with Ray Merriman!" will take place on Sunday, December 18, 2011, starting at 1:54 PM EST. The cost for this live webcast is $45.00. For information to be a part of this event, go to our got to website at www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log in will be sent upon making reservations.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.

1°)
 January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?

2°)
 January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.

Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch.

             January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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