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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 14 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

We will start printing comments here from readers of last year's book. The Third is : R. F., Vice President at one of America's largest investment banks. "I never go to the office without it - wish there was a bound edition to buy". Chuck S, Money Manager, Casper, WY.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

Neptune was certainly prominent last week as expected. It was in opposition to Mars last Monday and then it went stationary direct on Wednesday, As stated in last week's column, "It (Neptune) is also the planet of rumors, distraction, and deception. It will be interesting to see how Herman Cain handles allegations of sexual harassment under this dynamic. It will be interesting to see if Governors Perry or Romney will flip-flop, or fall deeper into conflicts on any more issues this week... Sincerity will be at a premium this week, and those who stumble in this area of behavior may look really bad.... Politically-speaking, some candidates may start to drown".

Here is what happened. Prior to the Republican presidential debate last Wednesday, two more women alleged sexual harassment by candidate Herman Cain - and still no proof. Mitt Romney was highlighted for yet another flip-flop. In fact, Friday's Wall Street Journal had a front page story about his policy shifts in 2005. At the debate, Rick Perry had a brain freeze and lost his train of thought in the middle of a response, which made him look really bad. He probably lost his chance to be nominated. Figuratively-speaking, his campaign is drowning.

It was all Neptune, god of rumors, flip-flops, and brain freezes. But the most striking of all was a false S&P report that France's credit rating had been downgraded, throwing a huge loss on its Treasury markets. This report was denied immediately afterwards, but damage was done. Also stunning were the resignations of the prime ministers of Greece and Italy, as the Euro zone starts its own version of the "Arab spring", but in a more Neptunian fashion than Libya and Egypt, which were more in line with Uranus in Aries - a sign placement that won't end until 2018.

But it wasn't just Neptune in action last week. The dark cloud hanging over everything we do today is the approaching Uranus-Pluto waxing square. Everything is headed into that "form - shifting" vortex, especially those things which relate to the 4 D's: debt, deficits, downgrade, and default. Last week Jefferson County, Alabama filed for the largest municipal bankruptcy in the history of the United States over a failed sewage deal. Many leaders will be forced to step down due to their inability to handle their nation's finances well, grant freedoms and opportunities being demanded by the masses, or else they risk being removed more forcefully under a revolutionary obsession to "tear down and get rid of the rot".

Yet financial markets didn't do too badly. Well, actually they had the one horrendous down day last Wednesday, November 9, as Neptune turned direct. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 400 points and the Euro currency suffered a massive pullback of nearly 400 points from its high on Wednesday to its low on Thursday's full moon. But aside from that, equity markets, precious metals, and energy markets did fairly well. Crude Oil is now testing 100.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The markets were a little ragged last week as expected under the Neptune transits. And although stock markets fell hard from Tuesday's high into Wednesday's low, that decline held slightly above the lows of the prior week. They were right back up to their weekly highs again by Friday in the DJIA. Last week's column stated, "If the markets aren't down too severely by then (the full moon on Thursday), I see light coming through the clouds, and the fog begins to dissipate". The week ended on a sunny note, up 170 points for the week in the DJIA.

This week commences a series of successive yet important geocosmic signatures that last right into December 29. It is the longest time band of the year in which no two signatures are more than 6 calendar days apart, which is important in our work of identifying critical reversal zones, as defined in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles". The first aspect will be Mars in a waxing trine to Jupiter on November 16. Normally this would be expected to have bullish implications for equity markets, especially given that Jupiter is still in that very important 0-7° of Taurus zodiac sector. As stated many times before, we expect a secondary top in the 4-year cycle to peak then (October 7, 2011-March 7, 2012). This is already coming about as the DJIA is now in the process of challenging its yearly high of 12,876 formed on May 2, which was first time it entered this zodiac zone that has this high correlation to the tops of bull market 9 (i.e. within 7° of the Aries-Taurus border), and from which bear markets then commence.

Longer Term Thoughts :

In honor of all the Neptune transits in force in the past week and the correlation of Neptune to hopes, wishes, altruism, utopia, and fantasy, let's resume our make-believe discussion between President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke on how the USA might really get a handle on its ballooning debt crisis.

So, after asking the Federal Reserve Bank to take a 50% "haircut" on the U.S. Treasuries it holds - similar to what European leaders asked of its largest banks in order to tackle their monstrous debt crisis - Big Ben replies to B.O.: "Mr. President, I will raise you one higher. We will forgive the USA all of the $3T (or more) USA debt we have on our books if, in exchange, you and Congress agree to do what I have been requesting for the past two years. That is, be more responsible on your fiscal policy. Specifically, create a budget - your first budget since taking office nearly three years ago ! Not only that, but create a balanced budget. Otherwise you will just fall into the same trap and things will be worse in just three years. At the rate of $1T + budget deficits each year since you've been in office, the $3T loan we forgive will mean nothing in less than three years. The country's debt will be right back to where it is today. On the other hand, if we forgive the $3T we lent you from money we created out (and charged you for), and at the same time you actually show fiscal responsibility and produce a balanced budget, then we can reverse this trend and start a new healthy momentum that will lead the USA - and the world - into a much more positive financial direction. We can solve this debt crisis right now".

"But Ben", say B.O., "I can't do that unless I can raise the taxes on those millionaires and billionaires that make $250K per year. And the Republicans won't let me do it ! How can I create a balanced budget if I can't raise revenues by taxing the rich ?".

Big Ben thinks about this for about 5 seconds, because it is not a particularly hard question to answer when you understand finances. "Sir", says Ben, "First of all you really must learn to count. After all, numbers mean something. An income of $250K does not a billionaire - let alone a millionaire - make. When you mangle numbers like that, it destroys your credibility as a serious negotiator. Second of all, you don't negotiate by making non-negotiable demands. You make an offer that actually takes into account what the other side wants. You want to tax rich, and the rich don't want to pay taxes to a government that it sees as wasteful and fiscally irresponsible. Offer these high income earners a deal. They want a government that is financially responsible. You want taxes to help solve the debt crisis. Offer them this : if I (the President and Congress) promise to create a balanced budget, and the Federal Reserve Board agrees to forgive the USA debt it holds on its books, would you (the high income earners of say $200K or more) agree to a modest income tax hike as I suggest ? And use the word 'suggest', and don't 'demand', or 'threaten to veto if you don't give me what I want.' Stay away from those intractable statements when you negotiate, B.O. That's how Clinton and Reagan got things done. They negotiated. They made deals that gave the other side something it wanted. The thing is, I believe the American taxpayer would be willing to pay their 'fair share' if they believed you were committed to financial sensibility and not spend more for programs than you cannot afford. Everyone wants to help this country. But you have to demonstrate that you and Congress are also willing to get America back on a sound financial path - which this deal would do. Get your finances straightened out, get the support of the American people behind you by believing you are sincere in wanting to solve this problem, and then see what you can afford. Don't go on these over-the-top spending sprees until you know where you stand. And don't continue with this ridiculous mantra that we have to spend more (and tax more) in order to cut our deficit. You know, put the horse in front of the cart, not the other way around".

Of course there is an underlying geocosmic reason why the Fed chair might want this to happen. With Uranus and Pluto coming into their waxing square in 2012-2015, history shows that mass protests against both governments and banks occur, and in many cases these protest movements have turned from demands for more equality and opportunities into mobs and riots that unleashed destruction. Banks have been burnt down and bankers have been executed under similar aspects in the past. Big Ben is no fool and he knows his history, and most likely he wants the central bank of the United States to survive. But he can see the writing on the walls and where these protests of today are headed, and it doesn't look good for banks. The Fed is going to have a hard time surviving this decade if the class warfare rhetoric leads to social uprisings, as bankers (a profession ruled by Pluto) are increasingly cast into the drama as a huge part of the problem.

Could this idea work ? Why not ? As the deli girl said to me last week when I tried to buy some sliced organic turkey and she wanted to know what my number was, "Answer me that!".

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             It's that time of the year again ! MMA's annual Forecast Book is now being written. The Forecast 2011 Book will be completed in early December and sent out to those who pre-order it by December 15.This year's rate will remain at the same rate it has been for past two years, $55.00 (plus postage, unless ordering the EBook version. The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to the front page of our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 and assure your order goes out in the first mailing of December 15. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more informatio call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks. "I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012 " A "Virtual On-line Discussion and Forecasts for 2012 with Ray Merriman!" will take place on Sunday, December 18, 2011, starting at 1:54 PM EST. The cost for this live webcast is $45.00. For information to be a part of this event, go to our got to website at www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log in will be sent upon making reservations.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.

1°)
 January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?

2°)
 January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.

Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch.

             January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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