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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 5 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

We will start printing comments here from readers of last year's book. The Third is : R. F., Vice President at one of America's largest investment banks. "I never go to the office without it - wish there was a bound edition to buy". Chuck S, Money Manager, Casper, WY.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

The highly anticipated Sagittarius rally in equity markets finally materialized last week. And in typical Sagittarian fashion, it was not a modest rally. It was huge, and it happened all over the world. You have to love Sagittarius when he behaves that way. It is like Santa Claus finally showed up, albeit a little late. Well, maybe he was under a Saturn transit the prior week.

Most equity markets bottomed on November 25, the prior Friday, and also an exact critical reversal date based on the market timing principles of Financial Astrology. From that low, world equity markets soared immediately as the new week began. In Europe, the Netherlands AEX index rallied from a low 268.75 on November 25 to a high of 303.82 one week later on December 2, a gain of 13%. In that same one-week interval, the German DAX rallied from 5366 to 6165 (+14.9%), the London FTSE from 5075 to 5595 (+10.2%), and the Zurich SMI index from 5307 on November 23 to 5766 (+10%). The Moscow MICEX index rallied from 1383 to 1523 (+10%). The gains in Europe were a result of a deal emerging on the Euro debt crisis involving the European Central Bank and the euro-zone governments. Investors have been looking for something more definitive like this for some time. And yet, it still isn't really definitive. Maybe it will become more definitive when these leaders meet at the December 9 euro-zone summit in Brussels. It is interesting that this meeting will take place within hours of a lunar eclipse and Uranus changing directions on December 10. More on this later.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the gains were more modest. The Australian All Ordinaries, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and Tokyo's Nikkei indices all rallied 6.3-9.6% from November 25 through December 2, This pattern was not repeated in China's Shanghai index, which made a triple bottom to its yearly low, as it fell to 2319 on November 30.

In the USA, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bottomed at 11,231 last Friday, November 25, for the worst Thanksgiving trading week in 70 years. But on Monday, November 28, it was up nearly 290 points, and Wednesday was up nearly 500 more points. By Friday, the DJIA was as high as 12,146, a gain of over 900 points from the dismal performance of the prior week, before giving back 100 of those points by Friday's close. Now that sounds more like the Sagittarius we know and love! The NASDAQ Composite soared from a low of 2441 on November 25 to a high of 2659 one week later on December 2, a gain of 9%. Brazil's Bovespa and Argentina's Merval indices both rallied 8.1% from their lows of the previous week.

Gold and Silver also showed renewed signs of life. After falling to a low of 1667 on November 21, Gold rallied smartly to 1767 on Friday, December 2. Silver also performed in a manner fitting to Sagittarius, rising from a low of 3065 to 3374 during the same interval. Although these are all positive signs, they are still below their lows of the first half of this primary cycle (1804 in Gold, 3570 in Silver). When they get above those levels, it reaffirms the bull market and then its "off to the races", which is one of Sagittarius' favorite pastimes, for the symbol of Sagittarius is the centaur, half-man, half-horse. Until then, it is only half-man.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

We have been discussing the nature of Sagittarius the past two weeks, for the Sun is in this sign of optimism and exaggeration from November 22 through December 22. But there is so much more going on in the heavens these days that lend to this idea of "wild times". For one, Mercury is now retrograde, also in Sagittarius, November 24 through December 13. The weekend (December 2-5) is the middle of this retrograde zone. This is a time when markets can encounter a sudden change in direction, especially if they didn't reverse around the time of the retrograde. In this case, stock markets did reverse within one day of the retrograde date, so it need not reverse here (although it could for 1-4 days). Mercury retrograde is important to Financial Astrologers, for it denotes a time when economic reports and political announcements are often in contradiction to one another. Investors become confused by the mixed messages. That's why it would be wise not to take the optimistic messages about the euro-zone meetings and policy considerations too seriously just yet. There will be more to the story than was implied last week.

But that's not all. As if the Sun in Sagittarius and Mercury retrograde in Sagittarius isn't enough to stir the markets, there is more wildness to come at the end of this week. On Saturday, December 10 (just after the euro-zone leaders meet), there is a lunar eclipse in Gemini-Sagittarius. And on the same day, the master of the unexpected and surprise - Uranus - turns stationary direct. This is not only wild and volatile, it can also be highly disruptive and unstable. Since it involves Uranus, it will be hard to predict the exact circumstances, except that they will not come out as expected. At best, these are new and brilliant ideas, but chances are that opposing forces advise caution rather than speediness of action, for fear of making a mistake. This might not be a bad idea, for with Mercury retrograde, misunderstandings and miscalculations are the norm. On the other hand, it may represent a missed opportunity to start something that has promise, only because there is resistance to the very change that everyone says is needed.

The likely result is more finger pointing and blame, and the opportunity to move forward is indeed missed - or dismissed as too radical - once again. It is more fun to just go to the races, except in this case the race may be into the abyss of debt that grows bigger and bigger, more and more ominous, as we head into the Uranus-Pluto waxing square of June 2012. The Uranus station on December 10 should give us a shock as to what 2012-2015 will look like - again. We keep seeing these signs, like the downgrade of the USA credit standing last August when Mars made a T-square to the Uranus-Pluto square. Here is another chance to see if political leaders can come up with something truly brilliant, or instead cause another earthquake of confidence in the entire political, financial system by their failure to agree to anything sensible.

Longer Term Thoughts :

I just finished the Forecast 2012 Book. You can get a preview of this year's book at http://www.youtube.com/RaymondMerriman. The thing is, we have been in this Twilight Zone of a reality since the Cardinal Climax began in 2008. It lasts until 2015. But the last three years (2012-2015) contains the 126-year Uranus-Pluto first quarter cycle, also known as a waxing square. And that's what we consider a "big one". When you look back in history, I think you will see similarities between today and the end of the Italian Renaissance when the Medici banking empire collapsed. You will see similarities to 1848-1877, when the California Gold Rush, Civil War, Emancipation, and the longest economic Depression in the USA history occurred (1872-1878, the last waxing square between Uranus and Pluto), even while stock markets made new all-time highs in the beginning of it. You will see similarities to 1932-1934, which was the last square between Uranus and Pluto (waning). And finally there are similarities to 1965-1966, which was the conjunction that began the current Uranus-Pluto cycle, so the themes of that period are being manifested again during this first quarter phase cycle of 2012-2015. These are not periods of calm and ease. They are turbulent, both socially and politically, but also in terms of mother nature (Uranus rules earthquakes, Pluto rules destruction, and together they relate to the possibility of terrorism and weapons of mass destruction, especially with Uranus in Aries in 2011-2018).

It all sounds so dangerous and ugly, and ... well... it has been, hasn't it? Do you know anyone who isn't suffering in either love, health, or lack of work these days? But these are also very exciting times because you know - you really know - that history is being made right now, that something very significant is happening and which will result in a transformation of human activity that is very large in scope. There is a massive transference of power taking place, and it is not just between nations. It is within the human spirit. The urge is to be free (especially financially free) of dependency upon others, upon political leaders and processes led by people who claim to have the interest of the populace in mind but who really care most about protecting their own turf. This urge for freedom is increasing at a speed not seen since the mid-1960s.

The real transference of power however involves the individual, who through the internet and social media, is becoming ever more connected with the rest of the world. The evolution of humanity is towards becoming more and more connected with one another, and in this process, the individual's thirst for freedom is only going to grow. Yes, it may tear structures down in the process, and it may be uncomfortable for many who hold onto the past and their claim to political territory. But it will lead to something profound. It will not end with chaos, although there will probably be a sense of that as inevitable we continue through this close-to-the edge abyss.

What is inevitable is that we are constructing the "information superhighway" as a means of connection. It's nice that politicians want to rebuild the infrastructure of highways and bridges that in a former age allowed us to connect with one another like never before. But that is an age that is already transforming into this new era and new urge to connect. Once we exit this Twilight Zone of 2008-2015, and as we get closer and closer to the Saturn-Pluto conjunction of January 2020 (not far from the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction of December 2020, and in proximity to the 2020 presidential election), true political leadership will likely manifest, as I understand the stars. Until then, we have to just be very careful to whom we hand the keys of power to. It isn't so much that humanity needs a bold and exciting leader who is willing to take great risks with our Treasuries and collective psyche, and in the process antagonize great polarities between people. What we need between now and 2020 is someone who is an able and competent manager of these dynamics.

Will we get it in the USA with the 2012 election? I don't know. But this is the season of Sagittarius, and hope springs eternal. It helps also that the stock market is rising now. Let's see if we can continue this trend past next week's lunar eclipse and Uranus station.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             The launch for our own E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book will take place Friday, December 9 at 1:00 PM, EST. If you have ordered the E-Book version, you will be sent a special download code and password this week, and then you will be able to enjoy your E-Book version as early as 1:00 PM, December 9 (English only). The cost for this version is also $55.00. However, many of you have asked about getting both versions in a "bundle" deal. We are pleased to announce that we will offer such a "bundle deal" at $90.00 plus postage if you order both the hard printed copy and the E-Book. If you have already ordered the hard copy, you may then add the EBook version for $35.00. But you will have to call or email us in that case, since we won't be listing the EBook separately for this price on our web site. Call 1-248-626-3034 or email us to add the EBook version of Forecast 201 to your previous order. If you wish to order the "bundle" of both at $90.00 plus postage, please go to bottom of that page, and then click "bundle" on the order form for an additional $35.00.

             Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             MMA's "Forecast 2012 Book" is now at the printer and will be ready for distribution December 12-15 to those who pre-order it by December 10. This year's rate will remain at the same rate it has been for past two years, $55.00 (plus postage, unless ordering the EBook version). The annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to the front page of our web site and scroll down to "Scorecard for 2011 Forecasts." There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 and assure your book is delivered via the first mailing of December 15. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             An E-Book version will also be ready for distribution soon an I Pad, I Phone, and Amazon.com Kindle in about two weeks. This version will not contain the advertisements or the planetary ephemeris or calendar for 2012, as will be the case in the print bound edition and our own EBook version. The cost will be $45.00 via these two mediums. Just as soon as these versions are approved, we will post instructions on how to order them directly through Apple and Amazon, probably around December 15.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more informatio call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks. "I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012 " A "Virtual On-line Discussion and Forecasts for 2012 with Ray Merriman!" will take place on Sunday, December 18, 2011, starting at 1:54 PM EST. The cost for this live webcast is $45.00. For information to be a part of this event, go to our got to website at www.mmacycles.com, under EVENTS, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log in will be sent upon making reservations.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.

1°)
 January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?

2°)
 January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.

Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch.

             January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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