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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 12 - 2011

Raymond A. Merriman©

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year, and many of these publishers are also offering pre-publication specials as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

We will start printing comments here from readers of last year's book. The Third is : R. F., Vice President at one of America's largest investment banks. "I never go to the office without it - wish there was a bound edition to buy". Chuck S, Money Manager, Casper, WY.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

It started off rather peaceful and orderly. Stock markets around the world were rising modestly, along with Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil. Many stock indices were testing their highs of late October, our last three-star critical reversal zone (October 28). The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for example, had peaked at 12,284 on October 27. After falling to 11,231 right on our two-star critical reversal date of November 25, it then soared to a secondary high of 12,257 last Wednesday, December 7, right on the next three-star critical reversal date of December 7-8, just enough for position traders of our daily program who were advised to "exit all longs at 12,250 or higher".

But then he spoke. No, it wasn't Barack Obama or Ben Bernanke, who are usually the ones whose comments move stock markets around the world. It was the new European economic king maker - Mario Draghi - the new head of the European Central Bank. And all he did was to speak the truth, thereby dispelling the fantasy of the ECB's role-to-be in diffusing the debt crisis of the euro zone. He wasn't going to follow the same path of quantitative easing as the USA Fed had done, as investors had hoped. No, investors went further than "hoped", they took the optimism of Sagittarius one step further. They had "assumed" he would copy Bernanke and the USA monetary chieftains. But unlike our fire sign theatre duo of Obama and Bernanke (they are Leo and Sagittarius respectively, two fire signs), Draghi is from the more practical and earthbound world of Virgo, where things only work when you follow the rules - precisely and exactly.

So what did Draghi do that was so practical and yet so disappointing to those who wanted him to be Santa Clause ? He lowered interest rates to avert a recession. But he didn't agree to have the ECB buy the bonds of struggling nations, ala QE1 and 2 (quantitative easing) and Operation Twist so many assumed he would do. According to the Wall Street Journal, he "... also poured cold water on proposals to allow Europe's national central banks to channel money to governments via third parties such as the International Monetary Fund or Europe's bailout funds. He stresses that the ECB abides by the ‘spirit’ of its founding charter that prohibits the central bank from financing governments". Holy cow ! Where did this voice of reason come from ?.

Well, immediately after he spoke, stocks and precious metals sold off sharply. That's what you get for telling the truth, for acting with a sense of reason and respect for the founding fathers. The stock markets of the world, which had been up a healthy amount just prior to his comments - just before markets opened - turned south. The DJIA closed down almost 200 points. But, typical of Mercury retrograde and Uranus about to change directions, these markets flipped-flopped the very next day (Friday), and the DJIA was back up over 200 points intraday. Gold, which was up to 1760 near the time of Draghi's ECB clarification of intent, plummeted to 1707 shortly after. Unlike stocks, though, Gold didn't recover so much the next day. Well after all, he is a central banker, not a gold bug. His domain is paper currency, and his mission is to save the euro currency, and a strong Gold market is not the beneficiary of that approach - if successful. Draghi, as a man of power and influence, may be a drag on Gold.

Was that the unexpected surprise we were looking for to rock the market? Or is there more to come? By Monday, we will know.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There are two planets that end their retrograde motions this week, and each pertain to sudden gyrations in financial markets. The first is Mercury, which has been retrograde in the expansive and hopeful sign of Sagittarius, November 24 through December 13. The second is Uranus, which ends its multi-month retrograde motion on Saturday, December 10, the same day that high-energy but slightly schizoid lunar eclipse in Gemini-Sagittarius takes place. It is also the day of the highly anticipated summit between euro zone leaders. Thus the period of December 10, +/- three trading days could be very wild.

In astrology jargon, this will highlight the principles of Mercury, Uranus and the full moon. Mercury is the trader. He gets in quickly and takes his profit quickly and looks to the next opportunity. He is more of a scalper than a position trader, but a trader nonetheless. His strength is his quickness is spotting a short-term opportunity, and capturing it. Uranus is a little like Mercury on steroids as the main character in an Xbox video game. Or maybe he is just the player with his hands on the joy stick that can't stay still. He is nervous. He is quick and clever, as he spots something more substantial than a slight disconnect in market prices. He spots (or creates) the start of an earthquake, a tsunami, a situation where everything falls apart or comes together suddenly and coincides with huge price moves. And of course a full moon - especially one that is also a mutable sign lunar eclipse - is simply high energy combined with a little chaos and a lot of contradiction. Put it all together and you get what you have today as the summit begins : a lot of noise, catchy sound bites and exaggerated warnings¸ and a mess of contradictions.

As far as markets are concerned, this could be a powerful reversal. But it could also be a huge breakout of support or resistance instead. With Uranus, the only thing you know for sure is that you don't know anything for sure, and that almost anything can and will happen - especially that which you do not expect. How do you trade it ? Wait for the big pop, the big bang, and then try to pick the top or bottom of that move, for just as certain as it will explode in one direction or another, it could then reverse and go the opposite way. That is what Mercury says. It's what he does best. It's all a trick, and if you want a reward, you have to know that it is a trick, or seems like a trick, but don't get tricked out. Mercury is the trickster, and he's retrograde which is, well, very tricky anyway. Uranus and the lunar eclipse just means the game and the reward have greater stakes than usual, unless it really is an earthquake or terrorist act.

Uranus rules computers and Mercury rules communications, and with the lunar eclipse this can coincide with a cyber-attack and plenty of disruptions in your digital world of communications. It is also a period in which brilliant and innovative ideas may be on display - and then immediately shot down by forces who allege they are too radical, which means they are good, but threatening to someone's position and power. That which had so much hope may suddenly collapse in a grandiose display of refusal to go along with the plan. There is no agreement, and hence there is no plan that will be acted upon for the moment - at least not until some egos come back to earth and practice some degree of selfless sensibility and concern for the whole planet instead of their own individual universe in which they - and they alone - are the center. It will be interesting to see who plays the role of this trickster on the world stage this week. But as last weeks made clear, and in the words of The Who, "Don't get fooled again".

Longer Term Thoughts :

Last week I spoke about "The real transference of power however involves the individual". I would like to elaborate a little on this idea this week.

In 1965-66, Uranus formed its 112-142 year conjunction. In 2012-2015 it will come to its first quarter cycle phase, the waxing square. The seeds that were planted in 1965-66, +/- 3 years, are coming to fruition within three years of 2012-2015. More specifically, those who were born in that era of the 1960's are coming into their personal power, and together, that generation is coming into its collective power. It is now their time of empowerment, and now it will be this generation that will tip the scale as to what is about to transpire politically and economically. The power of this 60s generation will transform and heal the great rift that now exists in the world, or they will utilize this power in a destructive manner. They will determine the election results of 2012 in the USA, and how they react to that election will determine whether this country heals or escalates conflict. Their collective intention is more powerful than most people realize at this moment, because most people don't understand the cycles of astrology, and in particular the fact that the Uranus-Pluto cycle - started in the 1960's - is now entering its critical first quarter [phase known as a waxing square. This will be one of the most crucial transformation periods of a generation, and it is likely to reshape the world we live in for several years, even decades. So what will they chose collectively ? Destruction, or transformation and healing ? I don't know. But this is Sagittarius season, so you know what I hope.

But then again, I have Neptune rising, and even though I am double Capricorn, I am always hopeful and idealistic when it comes to humanity and our destiny. But let me share with you a personal transit tale, since the best way to learn astrology is experientially - stepping outside of yourself and seeing what is happening in your life as you travel through various transiting and progressed aspects to your natal chart. I wrote at great length last summer about being under a transiting Uranus square, and how life suddenly changes in ways you simply cannot expect.

The prior week, the day immediately after I finished writing Forecast 2012, I lost a great chunk of vision. Just like that, I couldn't see "normally" any more. I saw two of everything, and the one image began widening its distance from the first as I tried to focus. "Oh oh. This would not be good for driving", I said to myself as I followed the car in front of me who was veering to the left. Except he wasn't. "Damn! What is happening to me?" I asked. Everything was shape shifting, which was interesting because I was working on that very concept to describe the Uranus - Pluto waxing square coming up, and how it would affect world leaders and the world economy, especially currencies. But for me, it was really happening. Or was it ?.

I couldn't drive. I couldn't read, except at a computer screen distance. I was locked into the world of the computer screen. Double vision began to give way to 3-D depth images. Well, this is interesting I thought. I can only see a computer screen, and it was that very computer screen that I had been locked into the past 40 days for 6-12 hours per day, writing this year's book. I damaged the nerve in my left eye. And now that was the only world I could see in. I am living the very images I wrote about.

So, that's another Uranus storey. After writing this book for 36 years, I never expected this. I did expect my reality to change. I expected my life style to change. But not like this. So, I am grateful for astrology for preparing me for the unexpected. And here is the good news, also consistent with Uranus and Sagittarius. My vision will come back in about 90 days. How fascinating is that! Why? Because whenever I see someone entering into a new and exciting relationship under a Uranus transit, my advice to them is always : better wait 90 days before you get too intimate. Under Uranus, nothing new lasts more than 90 days, unless you nurture it properly. If you rush and react to the "chemistry", it will be extraordinary at first, but then it fizzles out and you say to yourself, "What the hell did I just do ?" Pick up the shattered pieces and record the lesson to memory for the future. It will happen again.

If you have written me and I haven't responded, please understand why. I try to save my eyes to work on the computer now only when I have a report to write. I will be absent from emails a lot for the next 3 months. I will take off from all work efforts December 21-January 1, for only rest will help restore the strain I heaped onto my eyes in order to complete Forecast 2012 on time (well, in the words of one of our Italian translators, it is "a masterpiece.... but not worth your eye sight! " I hope he is right). As inevitably the case under a hard Uranus aspect, I am kicking myself saying, "What a fool I am for not listening to my inner voice". But as an optimist, I am also saying, "You know what ? I am grateful for the opportunity to develop my inner sight to go along with that inner voice that I don't listen to enough. I "know" where I am even if I can't see where I am going. And I still know which way the wind blows.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             The launch for our own E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book has now taken place.If you have ordered the E-Book version, and have not yet received it, let us know at once. The printed book edition will go out this Wednesday, December 14, according to our printer. The cost for each version is $55.00. The cost for this version is also $55.00. However, many of you have asked about getting both versions in a "bundle" deal. We are pleased to announce that we will offer such a "bundle deal" at $90.00 plus postage if you order both the hard printed copy and the E-Book. If you have already ordered the hard copy, you may then add the EBook version for $35.00. But you will have to call or email us in that case, since we won't be listing the EBook separately for this price on our web site. Call 1-248-626-3034 or email us to add the EBook version of Forecast 201 to your previous order. If you wish to order the "bundle" of both at $90.00 plus postage, please go to bottom of that page, and then click "bundle" on the order form for an additional $35.00.

             Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             MMA's "Forecast 2012 Book" is now at the printer and will be ready for distribution December 12-15 to those who pre-order it by December 10. This year's rate will remain at the same rate it has been for past two years, $55.00 (plus postage, unless ordering the EBook version). The annual Forecasts Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2011 is only a little more than 75% over, several forecasts made in the 2011 book have already unfolded. For a list of some of these forecasts, please go to the front page of our web site and scroll down to "Scorecard for 2011 Forecasts." There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012 and assure your book is delivered via the first mailing of December 15. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             An E-Book version will also be ready for distribution soon an I Pad, I Phone, and Amazon.com Kindle in about two weeks. This version will not contain the advertisements or the planetary ephemeris or calendar for 2012, as will be the case in the print bound edition and our own EBook version. The cost will be $45.00 via these two mediums. Just as soon as these versions are approved, we will post instructions on how to order them directly through Apple and Amazon, probably around December 15.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more informatio call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers : "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks. "I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to "tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret "soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is "the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions - the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site , or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             December 18, 2011 : "Webcast" for Forecast 2012" has been cancelled due to eye problems. It is expected to be rescheduled sometime between January 25-February 20. An announcement will be made following the completion of the healing effort.

             January 6-7, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData.

1°)
 January 6 lecture on "Uranus Square Pluto : Consequences of the Debt Crisis for Financial Markets". A look at the historical correlation of Uranus-Pluto in hard aspect to world economics, debt, and financial markets. Is this the turning point, or bottom of the debt crisis ? Or is it the point where the consequence of not resolving the debt results in a collapse of the financial system, and the need
to completely rebuild it ? And what might that look like if that is the case ?

2°)
 January 7 workshop on " Financial Astrology and Perspectives for 2012 " : This workshop will be in three parts. The first will give an overview of the correlation of cycle studies to geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology). The second will discuss the projection of these studies onto today's financial, markets, including precious metals, equity markets, and currency prices - where are we in the cycle and where are we headed. The third part will be question, answer and discussion. Each participant will be allowed to ask one question. Mr. Merriman will give his answer to it, and then facilitate a limited group discussion on the question, as time allows. The intent will be to make sure everyone has a clear outlook on the prospects for each market in 2012.

Workshop on Financial Astrology: Looking at Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Details to be announced shortly at www.mma-europe.ch, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Chilenholzstr. 8, 8907 Wettswil, Switzerland, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch.

             January 21, 2012 : Amsterdam, Netherlands "Forecast 2012". The date is not yet finalized, but will be shortly, and it will be around this date.

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

               May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             Summer 2012 : San Diego, CA. Topics and date To Be Determined.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing " has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/PubliMERRI/Espagnol/Annee2012/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available : "The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers ". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds " in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies "Big Range Days " - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that "extra edge ". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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