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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 5 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

(Thank you Stars - Katie Melua) - Receive this column by mail.

The printed version of Forecast 2012 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2012, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : This is written Friday night here in Hong Kong, which is Friday morning in the USA. When I wake up tomorrow (Saturday), the markets will have closed in the USA, but I begin an all-day workshop here in HK. Thus this week's report will not have the benefit of being written after the weekly close in the USA. It will therefore be a shortened report.

Next week's report may have the same limitations due to time changes and lecture schedule in Belgrade, Serbia. However we intend to keep up with our daily and weekly subscription reports during this period.

The Market Week in Review :                 Main currencies online

The three U.S. stock markets that we track all made new three-year highs last week. However this phenomenon still has not been repeated in many other stocks markets of the world, including here in China and Hong Kong. And we are now nearing the critical March 7 period when Jupiter leaves that sector of the heavens where its mean position indicates the possibility of a long-term cycle crest. A new high beyond this week implies a pattern more similar to the mid 1960's and the late 1920's may be in force. In those cases, long-term cycle highs coincided with Jupiter moving well past the early degrees of Taurus and into the next sign of Gemini, as discussed in last week's column. We will repeat that section of the column (Longer-Term Thoughts) in this week, for it is most relevant now.

Of great interest to us last week was the sudden decline in precious metals. On Wednesday, February 29, Gold made a cycle high at 1792.70, up nearly $270/ounce from the low of December 29. By the end of the day, it had plunged over $100/ounce following comments by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. My email box was flooded with emails as I awoke Thursday morning, for it occurred during the night here in Hong Kong. Everyone asked the same thing : "Is it over for precious metals ? " My reply in all cases was the same: "I think this is a gift from heaven".

Gold fell to 1688. The low in late December, when we issued our special alert to subscribers, was 1523. As long as that holds, these studies indicate a possible move to 2400—2750 for the crest of the new 3-year cycle in the next three years.

As market timers, our focus is on identifying moments of great risk-reward ratios for trading and investments. We do this through the application of cycle studies and geocosmic signatures (Financial Astrology), combined with technical analysis. So, if the risk is down to 1523 and reward potential is say to 2500, and prices are currently around 1700, what should we be doing as specialists in risk-reward set ups ? Should we be looking for technical signals to buy or to sell as we are now in a geocosmic critical reversal period and the early stages of new long-term cycle (3-year cycle) ? If you understand what I suggesting here, then you have a sense of why I look at this as "a gift from heaven".

Three days before last Wednesday's sharp decline, Silver had issued a very strong technical topping signal that pointed to a 10% decline within the next 7 trading days. This signal was described at length in our book titled "The Sun, The Moon, and the Silver Market, Secrets of a Silver Trader" : see top of that sheet. This topping signal was reported to our daily and weekly subscribers last week before the decline happened. Then on Wednesday, February 29, Silver declined 9.99%, very close to the 10% decline this signal suggested would happened quickly. Not bad. It was also a solar-lunar reversal day, as indicated by the weighted value averages displayed every day for the DJIA and Silver on our web site.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There are three major time bands of geocosmic signatures coming up this month. The first is occurring this weekend, as described in last week's column. The first is the Sun's 25-month opposition to Mars, taking place on Saturday, March 3. The second takes place the very next day - Sunday, March 4 - when Venus makes its opposition to Saturn. Both are strong Level 1 signatures. According to the studies published in Volume 3 of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing", Level One signatures have the highest correlation to the completion of primary cycles in U.S. stock markets. In other words, a primary cycle trough or crest is due nearby to this period.

The next time band of geocosmic signatures comes up March 12-14, followed by March 24-29. This latter one is also important because it represents the time when the transiting Sun will translate the Uranus-Pluto square. It is yet another preview of what to expect from June 2012-March 2015, when the Uranus-Pluto square will be exact, during that time it will make seven passages, which is a lot.

Longer Term Thoughts :

(repeat from last week, due to seminar obligations in Hong Kong this week)

There are still two weeks left for Jupiter to remain in 0-7º Taurus, a zodiacal time frame that correlates to long-term cycle crests when averaged out over the past 140 years. However, after studying individual cases of Jupiter in this sector of the sky prior to the past 25 years, it became apparent that there were exceptions. And what is most interesting is that the most notable exceptions occurred when hard aspects between Uranus and Pluto were nearby. That only happens four times during the 112-142 year cycle of these two powerhouses.

In the study of astrology, hard aspects are defined as the time of a conjunction, waxing square, opposition, and waning square between two planets. Uranus and Pluto started their cycle with the conjunction of 1965-1966. The waxing square (first quarter cycle phase) between them will commence on June 24, 2012, and last through March 17, 2015. During that time they will make seven exact square aspects. That is a lot ! The previous hard aspect (before the conjunction) was the waning square, which took place five times between April 21, 1932 and January 18, 1934, the height of the "Great Depression".

The 1932-34 instance was preceded by the then all-time stock market high on September 2, 1929. This was a case where the market's advance did not stop within 7º of the Aries-Taurus cusp, or border. The stock market exploded upwards until Jupiter reached 14º of Gemini nearly a year later.

The 1965-66 instance coincided with the first time the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched 1000 in January-February 1966, right in the midst of the Uranus-Pluto conjunction passages. But once again, Jupiter had already passed through early Taurus over a year before that. It topped out when Jupiter had retrograded back to 23º Gemini. The DJIA didn't touch 1000 again for 7 years. There might be something to the idea that stock prices explode higher after Jupiter leaves early Taurus, if a Uranus-Pluto hard aspect is nearby. But in both cases, and so many other cases, the stock market still fell hard into a long-term cycle low after Jupiter entered Leo. This time, that will occur after July 2014.

What is the lesson in this exercise, applied to the current situation ? Generally speaking, the stock market is due to make an important long-term cycle crest between now and June 2013. More specifically, if it continues higher after March 2012 (and probably after March 7, 2012), it may continue to explode higher until Jupiter reaches mid-Gemini, sometime between August 2012 and June 2013. This matter is covered in greater detail in last week's Forecast 2012 webinar, which is now available for viewing in its entirety as an on-line broadcast, through March 20 (see announcements below).

Perhaps the more important question is : why might the stock market rally strongly past March 2012 ? It's an election year, so just put the pieces together. Who wins and who loses with a robust stock market ? The answer provides one of the reasons why I think the incumbent is likely to win again, and why this time the Jupiter in early Taurus may not work. However, there is still time for it to work, and not only is the stock market in the last phase of 4-year cycle, but it is also in the last phase of the primary cycle (15-23 week cycle in the S&P averages). Remember : in last phase of bull markets, the market will exhibit its most bearish characteristics. The steepest decline always takes place in the last phase of a bull market cycle. And when these last phases also contain strong rallies, the decline is even steeper. The higher prices go in the last phase of a cycle, the harder they fall when the bubble pops. It is often a case of suddenly realizing that the emperor has no clothes.

To be continued... (next week)

.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             There is a good article in Forbes magazine on Financial Astrology. I am part of this excellent report. Check it out.

             The "Forecast 2012" webcast of Sunday, February 19, 19 went extremely well. Perhaps it was our best webcast ever, according to feedback received. The entire broadcast is available as a historical archive until March 20. That is, you can view the presentation in its entirety - with slides, video, and questions and answers - as often as you want until March 20. The cost to get into the archive is $45.00 (no postage). If you would like a DVD or CD of the presentation for your library, they too are now available for $59.95 and $45.00 respectively, plus postage. Or go to our home page and scroll down to the announcement. For those ordering CD's, a PDF file of the charts will be emailed along with the order. "I just wanted to say that Ray's presentation was EXCELLENT!  Great presentation and the WEBINAR was outstanding.  Once again...THANK YOU !" Matt M., trader, Boulder, CO. on making reservations.

             NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD !!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012", held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English.
The following presentations are included on this CD :  

1) 2012 End Time of Dawning  by Irma Schogt (20 minutes) ;

2) Happy New Year  by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board) ;

3) 2012 = The Center of the Storm  by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology);

4) Forecast for 2012  by Raymond Merriman (1 hour).

Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go there, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

             MMA's" Forecast 2012 Book" The printed version of Forecast 2012 went out Wednesday and Thursday, December 14-15. Domestic purchasers should receive it now. Overseas people need to allow 5-8 business days. It's 200 pages - out largest ever - and packed full of information about the economy, USA Presidential election, social and economic trends, and of course, financial markets with their all-important three-star critical reversal dates (the one and two-star reversal dates are covered in the MMA Cycles Report, as well as weekly reports). The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. For further information, please go to the front page of our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             Our E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is now out as well in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00, or $35.00, depending on whether you also ordered the printed version too. The second is through Apple ITunes, which covers I Phone 4 and 5, and the I Pad. This format only costs $39.99, and is available in nine countries. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back.

If you have ordered the E-Book version of Forecast 2012 from us, and have not yet received it, let us know at once, at ordersmma@msn.com. If you have already ordered the hard copy, you may then add the EBook version for $35.00. If you wish to order the"bundle" of both at $90.00 plus postage, please go to bottom of page and then click"bundle" on the order form for an additional $35.00.

The E-Book version of Forecast 2012 on the I Pad, or I Phone, is now up and ready to download as of Thursday, December 15. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to ITunes, and then"Library", then"Store", then in the field titled"Search", type in"Forecast 2012" or"Raymond Merriman" (without quotation marks). We are still waiting approval from Amazon.com Kindle.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel at http://www.youtube.com/RaymondMerriman. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             Our new 2013 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks".I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to"tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret"soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is"the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             March 1 and 3, 2012 : Hong Kong, China".Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1 and a full day intensive on"Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3 .

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email info@keplerunited.org

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on"Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

             May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             June 23 : Amsterdam : A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Price of Gold" Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year : the first Uranus-Pluto square! :).

             August 2-6, 2012 : Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

             September 14-15 : San Diego, CA. Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of"Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available :"The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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