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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 12 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

(Thank you Stars - Katie Melua) - Receive this column by mail.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : This is written Friday afternoon here in Belgrade, Serbia, which is shortly after equity markets open in the USA. Thus this week's report will not have the benefit of being written after the weekly close in the USA. Also, due to speaking and travel schedule, it will be another shortened report.

Next week's report may have the similar limitations due to the time difference. However we intend to keep up with our daily and weekly subscription reports during this period, as well as the monthly MMA Cycles Report, which may come out a day later than usual this week.

The Market Week in Review :

Friday's USA jobs report showed an increase of 227,000 new jobs, while unemployment remained steady at 8.3%. One day earlier, the bailout of Greece received positive news as 95% of investors involved agreed to accept the 75% haircut in return (swap) for new Greek debt. The markets loved it, for the prior two days there were doubts that led to a sudden and sharp 200 point decline on Tuesday of the DJIA. By Friday's payroll report, they were right back up, with the NASDAQ Composite testing the 3000 mark again, its highest level in 12 years. As of this writing USA cash and future equities are still maintaining their multi-year cycle highs of February 29-March 2, although in some, that could still change by early next week. But this could also be what is known as a "double topping" formation. According to studies published in Volume One of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing : Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes", This is a common chart pattern at primary and longer-term cycle crests. But is this a long-term cycle crest ? It's still possible due to the Jupiter effect described over the past several months, and re-examined in this week's shortened report. We could know the answer shortly.

Gold and Silver continued to struggle last week, with Gold falling as low as 1663 and Silver down to 3249 on Tuesday. But this is entirely normal behavior at this point within their primary cycle. If it continues lower after next week, there may be cause for concern and a special update for subscribers. I still view this recent decline as a "Gift from heaven".

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There will be more "Gifts from heaven" this week.

A rare and fascinating geocosmic pattern will unfold in the skies, March 12-14. It is known as a "Grand Trine" in the study of astrology, which means that there are at least three planets forming an equilateral triangle to one another, in which each part is 120° degrees distance from the other. Since it is happening in earth signs (Taurus, Virgo, and Capricorn), it is known as an "Earth Grand Trine".

Earth signs, in this case, represent financial and mundane political matters. In astrology, it is said that those born with an earth grand trine (or a grand trine in the earth houses, which are second, sixth, and tenth houses) are said to be financially blessed, with opportunities to do extremely well in life. Therefore this current pattern involves the world's financial structure, and the "gift from heaven" associated with it is being addressed specifically to the government of Greece.

In this particular instance, the pattern commences with the trine between Jupiter (in Taurus) to Pluto (in Capricorn) on Monday, March 12. The next day, Venus (in Taurus) will also make a trine aspect to Pluto. And on Wednesday, March 14, Venus will form a conjunction with Jupiter in Taurus, as well as a trine to both Mars in Virgo and Pluto in Capricorn. Mars will trine Jupiter this day as well. It's all about money (Venus and Taurus) and debt restructuring (Pluto). One can see how this would lend support to the Greek debt restructuring, where Greece agrees to pay about 25 cents on the dollar to those bondholders who lent it money, in exchange for a new deal. In typical Venus-Jupiter fashion, the financial community will initially celebrate yet another successful round of "kicking the can down the road", with the hope that more time will somehow yield another solution to the same problem that no one has thought of yet. But with Saturn to enter Scorpio in October 2012 for nearly three years, the "Time of Reckoning" is fast approaching. It is the realization that there are no magical or miraculous solutions, only practical decisions and sacrifices, which of course will be disappointing to political leaders whose messages are always based upon promises of the magical and miraculous - if you elect "me".

So there is yet another peak in the hopes and wishes of a financial solution involving the world debt crisis. The key word is "peak", for from here the trajectory starts to become more and more starkly realistic. We are headed to the Uranus-Pluto waxing square in June, which will continue to be the dominant geocosmic pattern (and theme) through March 2015. There are probably few, if any, cosmic opportunities showing the potential for an agreement like the one that Greece just struck. In other words, this may be the end of the last big and generous bailouts. "You are on your own, now. Either clean up your house or tear it down and rebuild another", will be the mantra from here on out. Either that or get ready for the most massive printing of fiat money imaginable, possibly leading the world into a bout of inflation unlike anything seen since the late 1970's.

As if this scenario isn't complicated enough, these agreements are about to be enacted as Mercury turns retrograde, also on Monday, March 12. As Financial Astrologers know, this indicates a rather unreliable period in terms of technical signals being generated. Sentiment that appears to be bullish turns out to instead be bearish market-wise, and vice-versa. But not necessarily for long. Many markets may see-saw back and forth every four days or so it seems. Or if a new trend appears to begin at this time, it is suddenly disrupted right around the middle of the retrograde period (about 9-11 days into it). The uncertainty is usually a result of mixed economic and political signals. For instance, payroll numbers may indicate the economy is recovering, but new tax policies may be under consideration that would imply an impediment to future growth in employment numbers.

Another area is the march towards the Republican presidential nomination. The last time Mercury turned retrograde, Newt Gingrich, the Gemini (ruled by Mercury) reversed his fortunes and came out of nowhere to take the lead over front runners Mitt Romney and Herman Cain (Romney the Pisces and Cain the Sagittarian, the two signs where Mercury is debilitated). Once again, Romney has the lead and Gingrich is in the back of the pack. If Romney hopes to wrap up the nomination, he needs to get through this period and pay attention to Gingrich - again. You may remember that when Mercury went direct that last time on December 10, everybody through Gingrich had the nomination wrapped up. But this column warned that he was about to peak (as a Gemini-ruled Mercury Sun sign) and head south in his approval ratings, which is exactly what happened. Watch for something similar these next three weeks in the field of politics, and maybe it doesn't pertain to the USA. Maybe it pertains to France, Iran, and other nations involved in forthcoming elections.

But back to the decision processes of today that are unfolding as Mercury goes retrograde in Aries (war talk) and Pisces (peace talk) through April 4. Any promises or threats made today are not likely to be carried out, at least not without some word twisting to redefine the meaning of the words originally spoken. This will be the season of double talk, denial, and re-translation into an entirely new meaning than the one first spoken. Prepare yourself for an assault on your common sense and the assumption that "you don't know what you are talking about" when really, "you don't know what I am talking about, and neither do I, but I won't admit it").

How will this affect financial markets? One would think that the peak of the grand trine (March 12-14) will be close to a peak in equity markets. But the full brunt of these signatures may not be evident until March 25-29, when the Sun joins Uranus, and both square Pluto.

Longer Term Thoughts :

Jupiter was in 7º Taurus from February 29 through March 7. As discussed at length in this column over the past year, 7º Taurus is a zodiacal time limit that correlates to long-term cycle crests in U.S. stocks when averaged out over the past 140 years. However, there have been exceptions to this mean average study, most notably at the all-time highs in September 1929 and February 1966, when Jupiter was in 14-23° Gemini. That is interesting, because those two times were the only times in the last century that were nearby to the only two times that Uranus and Pluto were in hard aspect to one another, as they will be this time.

What does this mean ? As I see it, the stock market either tops out right now (say no later than this month), or it continues to be bullish into at least August-November 2012 (or even March-May 2013). If stock prices make new cycle highs after March 2012, then the mean average study fails and we switch to the alternate Uranus-Pluto bullish scenario. In either case, the market is still prone to fall hard until Jupiter enters Leo, historically-speaking.

But the past two weeks exhibited some interesting behaviors in equity price movements. The DJIA made its new three-year high on February 29, within less than one hour of the moment that Jupiter entered 7° Taurus, according to the observations of subscriber Robert Bennett. The NASDAQ continued making higher highs on March 2, without being accompanied by either the DJIA or S&P averages.

Could it be that 7° Taurus will once again correspond to the long-term cycle crest in U.S. stocks ? Sure, anything is possible and this has a mean average study of 140 years to support that possibility. But only time will tell - along with political policies that might be employed to juice up the market into an election, which just happens to coincide with Jupiter entering the Gemini sector of the zodiac that has also been observed to coincide with long-term market crests when it doesn't stop with its position in Taurus.

Is this year going to be like 1929 and 1966, in which case we have higher (much higher) to go ? Or will it be more like the election of 2008, in which case the top is probably happening now, and a meltdown will be in force as we enter the weeks immediately ahead of the election. Either case is supported by Financial Astrology at this time, but one of those possible scenarios would change if all stock indices make new yearly highs after March.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             The "Forecast 2012" webcast of Sunday, February 19, 19 went extremely well. Perhaps it was our best webcast ever, according to feedback received. The entire broadcast is available as a historical archive until March 20. That is, you can view the presentation in its entirety - with slides, video, and questions and answers - as often as you want until March 20. The cost to get into the archive is $45.00 (no postage). If you would like a DVD or CD of the presentation for your library, they too are now available for $59.95 and $45.00 respectively, plus postage. Or go to our home page and scroll down to the announcement. For those ordering CD's, a PDF file of the charts will be emailed along with the order. "I just wanted to say that Ray's presentation was EXCELLENT!  Great presentation and the WEBINAR was outstanding.  Once again...THANK YOU !" Matt M., trader, Boulder, CO. on making reservations.

             NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD !!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012", held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English.
The following presentations are included on this CD :  

1) 2012 End Time of Dawning  by Irma Schogt (20 minutes) ;

2) Happy New Year  by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board) ;

3) 2012 = The Center of the Storm  by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology);

4) Forecast for 2012  by Raymond Merriman (1 hour).

Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go there, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

             MMA's" Forecast 2012 Book" The printed version of Forecast 2014 went out Wednesday and Thursday, December 14-15. Domestic purchasers should receive it now. Overseas people need to allow 5-8 business days. It's 200 pages - out largest ever - and packed full of information about the economy, USA Presidential election, social and economic trends, and of course, financial markets with their all-important three-star critical reversal dates (the one and two-star reversal dates are covered in the MMA Cycles Report, as well as weekly reports). The annual Forecasts Book , written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. For further information, please go to the front page of our web site. There you can also place your order for the Forecast 2012. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             Our E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is now out as well in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00, or $35.00, depending on whether you also ordered the printed version too. The second is through Apple ITunes, which covers I Phone 4 and 5, and the I Pad. This format only costs $39.99, and is available in nine countries. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back.

If you have ordered the E-Book version of Forecast 2014 from us, and have not yet received it, let us know at once, at ordersmma@msn.com. If you have already ordered the hard copy, you may then add the EBook version for $35.00. If you wish to order the"bundle" of both at $90.00 plus postage, please go to bottom of page and then click"bundle" on the order form for an additional $35.00.

The E-Book version of Forecast 2014 on the I Pad, or I Phone, is now up and ready to download as of Thursday, December 15. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to ITunes, and then"Library", then"Store", then in the field titled"Search", type in"Forecast 2012" or"Raymond Merriman" (without quotation marks). We are still waiting approval from Amazon.com Kindle.

If you wish to hear more about this year's Forecast 2012 Book, please visit our YouTube channel at http://www.youtube.com/RaymondMerriman. There is a new video there highlighting three great market calls from last year's book, plus a preview of this year's book. It should be quite a year coming up!

             Our new 2013 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks".I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to"tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret"soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is"the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             March 9-11, 2012 : The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email info@keplerunited.org

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado".Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on"Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

             May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             June 23 : Amsterdam : A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Price of Gold" Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year : the first Uranus-Pluto square! :).

             August 2-6, 2012 : Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

             September 14-15 : San Diego, CA. Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of"Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available :"The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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