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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 26 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

(Thank you Stars - Katie Melua) - Receive this column by mail.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

Stock indices around the world began to pull back last week after making cycle highs between March 14 and March 19. It is interesting that Jupiter was less than 2 degrees past the limit of 7º Taurus where stock markets have averaged their highs historically. It is also interesting to note that these recent highs occurred within 0-4 trading days of the grand trine in earth signs (March 12-14), a geocosmic pattern associated with wealth and success as reported herein over the past few weeks. So was that the long-term crest that this 140-year study of Jupiter averages to U.S. stock prices implied ?. It is possible, but too early to confirm. The alternate scenario of topping out when Jupiter gets to Gemini (June 2012-June 2013) is still a very real possibility too. Neither can be eliminated from consideration just yet.

Even though our short positions were stopped out the prior week when both the DJIA and S&P futures made new yearly highs, new short positions were established last Monday, March 19, at higher prices (only 12 points from the high of the week in the DJIA) on the intermarket bearish divergence set up. And those shorts were then covered on Friday as prices tested 13,000, so we caught the high and the low of the week in the DJIA for weekly traders. Last week my ego was bruised. This past week it was re-inflated. I don't know if that's good or bad. Probably "good" since you cannot trade successfully if your confidence is shot. But it is also not good if you become overconfident, because then you tend to make poor and costly decisions.

For the week, there were cases of intermarket bearish divergence all over the world. In the USA, the Dow Jones Industrial Average topped out at 13,289 on March 16, the prior week. That was its highest level since January 2008. The S&P nearby futures topped out last Monday, March 19, at 1408, its highest level since June 2008. And the NASDAQ futures topped out on March 21 at 2748, its highest level since November 2000 ! The all retreated into Friday for the weekly low, following that intermarket bearish divergence signal.

But as exciting as it has been in the USA with all these multi-year highs, the markets of Europe and the Far East all failed to make new yearly highs. In Europe, the London FTSE topped out on March 14 at 5907, its highest level since July 2011. But the Netherlands AEX, Zurich SMI, and German DAX indices topped out two days later on March 16. In each case, neither made new yearly highs. In each case, they declined all week. In Russia, the MICEX topped out at 1639 on March 15, its highest level since August 4, 2011. It too sold off all last week.

The pattern was similar in the Far East. The Japanese Nikkei soared to 10,172 last Monday, March 19, its highest level since July 8, 2011 at 10,207. It is virtually a double top to that previous primary cycle crest. But the pattern was even more bearish in Hong Kong's Hang Seng index, China's Shanghai index, and India's NIFTY index. All rallied for modest highs March 14-19, but in each case, those highs were not new cycle highs, let alone yearly highs. The pattern of lower highs continues in each, which is a characteristic of bear markets, not bull markets as we are experiencing in Europe and more so in the USA and Brazil. Argentina is behaving like the Far East with lower and lower highs, whereas Brazil is performing like the USA.

It's a crazy, mixed up world with lots of conflicting signals. But then again, what do you expect with Mercury retrograde and going into Pisces ? Can anything reflect "mixed up world" more than that in the field of Financial Astrology ? Only a few more weeks remain before the fogginess clears up. But I am not sure we will want to see what exists once the fog lifts. It's getting closer and closer to Uranus square Pluto, the first quarter cycle phase of this 112-142 year planetary pair cycle that began in 1965-1966.

And just when you thought Gold and Silver were ready to tank on the new moon of Thursday, March 22, it too suddenly reversed into Friday's close. Well, that perhaps was to be expected by Financial Astrologers, given that the reversal commenced with a new moon in early Aries, one day after the arrival of spring. It is the season and hence the reason for new beginnings and the start of new trends, despite what the technicals imply. Under Mercury retrograde, one has to be very careful giving too much importance to technical-based buy and sell signals, for they are unusually unreliable during Mercury retrograde. So is everything and everyone else.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Mercury is now in the middle of its retrograde motion, which lasts from March 12 through April 4. The midpoint is often a time when some markets may exhibit a sharp counter-trend reversal if they didn't reverse within a day or two of the retrograde date. We are seeing this in the precious metals, which had been declining since February 28-29. They didn't reverse that trend around March 12. They continued lower into March 22, which is near the middle of the current Mercury retrograde.

The forthcoming week will be interesting for other geocosmic reasons. The Sun will be in conjunction to Uranus in Aries on Saturday, March 24, followed by a waxing square to Pluto on March 29. This is also known as "the Sun translating the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square". It offers a preview of what to look forward to from late June 2012 through March 2015, when the first of seven exact waxing square aspects take place between Uranus and Pluto.

Longer Term Thoughts :

With Uranus, nothing goes as planned. Surprises abound. The Uranus-Pluto combination, being previewed this week by the transiting Sun, is a dynamic that affects everyone. It is universal and collective in its scope. Many people are likely to be affected at the same time, with similar themes, although strikingly different specifics.

Let us consider a couple of examples from the recent news events. Here are three headlines from Friday's papers :

1) French Killer's Path to Jihadist Rampage,
2) Sgt. Bales To Face 17 Murder Charges, and
3) Florida Teen's Death Prompts Rallies.

The first story relates to a homegrown terrorist in France who initiated 7 point blank killings in 11 days, the most violent attacks in France in almost two decades.
The second relates to an army soldier who also went berserk, went on a rampage and killed 17 Afghan villagers.
The third case relates to a neighborhood watch volunteer near Orlando, Florida, who shot a killed an unarmed black teenager. The shooter said he was defending himself.
In each case, the killings sparked an outrage - an outrage based on racial, religious, or nationalistic profiling and/or biases of the killer. Are these "hate crimes", or the result of someone just "losing it" and going crazy ?.
Hate crimes fall under the domain of Pluto (especially in Saturn-ruled Capricorn). "Going crazy" relates to Uranus, especially in the war-like sign of Aries. The fact that it provoked large groups of people into action demanding justice (or is it revenge ?), is also consistent with Uranus (masses) as well as Pluto in Capricorn (someone must pay for this!). These are not stable times where people, behave normally. Nor are these times in which people are apt to react with compassion and self-control. To the contrary, people act and react with a frenzy that escalates tensions.

Here is another headline from Friday's Wall Street Journal that reflects yet another expression of the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square : "IRS Ramps Up Audits of Wealthiest". The article starts off by stating, "The Internal Revenue Service expanded its audits of Americans earning more than $500,000 last year with a stark increase for those making more than $1 million". The number of people earning this amount of money who were audited nearly doubled last year from the prior year. But the article concludes, "Despite doing more audits of the wealthy, the IRS hasn't seen a big spike in the income it collects..." In 2011, it collected $31.1 billion in "enforcement revenues"". It was up from $29.1 billion in fiscal 2010, hardly comparable to the increase in the number those audited in this class.

I know my liberal friends aren't going to like this, but here is what this story says to me, in line with the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square (especially with Pluto in Capricorn) : Big Brother is not just watching you. Big Brother is punishing those of you who are successful, under the belief that successful people are somehow corrupt and dishonest. The IRS is being used as a weapon of political biases against... people who succeed. Why are successful people being punished and harassed like this ? Who made this decision to amp up audits of people making over $500,000 - for what reason other than suspicion or ....what ? Is this not comparable to a "hate crime" based on some sort of social profiling ? Answer me that !.

Yes, I understand the need for compassion and assistance for those who try but are not fortunate in life due to circumstances beyond their control. They do need help. But I cannot understand the need to punish and harass those who are fortunate due to their efforts and abilities applied honestly and with responsibility - even if they are Republicans. The current punitive policy described herein - and consistent with the negative side of Uranus square Pluto - is not a basis for a healthy society, nor is it the right model for a country trying to come to grips with its exploding debt situation. You don't solve a financial crisis by punishing and vilifying your most productive citizens and rewarding those who know how to "game the system" for personal advantage.

Or do you?

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             The Special Offer Now in Effect : We will now offer a free copy of the Forecast 2012 Book (printed copy) to any purchasers of the following subscription reports : 1 year of any MMA Cycles Report or any length subscription to an MMA Weekly or Daily report. The book is free to those who place such an order, but normal postage rates will apply to send the book. This special offer is not advertised on our website at this time, so if ordering do the following : order the subscription report of your choice, and then during the payment process, write in (under comments), "Please include free copy of Forecast 2012 Book". Or, call Amber at 1-248-626-3034 or email her.

"Forecast 2012" webcast of Sunday, February 19, 19 went extremely well. Perhaps it was our best webcast ever, according to feedback received. The entire broadcast is available as a historical archive until March 20. That is, you can view the presentation in its entirety - with slides, video, and questions and answers - as often as you want until March 20. The cost to get into the archive is $45.00 (no postage). If you would like a DVD or CD of the presentation for your library, they too are now available for $59.95 and $45.00 respectively, plus postage. Or go to our home page and scroll down to the announcement. For those ordering CD's, a PDF file of the charts will be emailed along with the order. "I just wanted to say that Ray's presentation was EXCELLENT!  Great presentation and the WEBINAR was outstanding.  Once again...THANK YOU !" Matt M., trader, Boulder, CO. on making reservations.

             NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD !!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012", held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English.
The following presentations are included on this CD :  

1) 2012 End Time of Dawning  by Irma Schogt (20 minutes) ;

2) Happy New Year  by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board) ;

3) 2012 = The Center of the Storm  by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology);

4) Forecast for 2012  by Raymond Merriman (1 hour).

Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go there, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

             Our new 2013 MMA Catalogue of products and services is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks".I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to"tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret"soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is"the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado "Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing", focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.

             April 27 : Scottsdale, AZ. Evening presentation on "Political, Economic and Financial Markets Outlook for 2012". Details soon.

             May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             June 23 : Amsterdam : A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Price of Gold" Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year : the first Uranus-Pluto square! :).

             August 2-6, 2012 : Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

             September 14-15 : San Diego, CA. Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of"Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available :"The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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