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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 21 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

(Thank you Stars - Katie Melua) - Receive this column by mail.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note that there will be no weekly column issued in two weeks, for the week of May 28, due to the UAC conference taking place May 24-29 in New Orleans, LA. We hope to see many of you there. For information please go to www.uacastrology.com.

The Market Week in Review :

Ah ! How good was last week for Gold and Silver traders using market timing studies like cycles and geocosmics for buying and selling ! Both metals are at the end of a time band when a primary cycle trough is due. May 15 was the day that the powerful Venus retrograde took place, which was described in the past few columns and all of our subscription reports (monthly, weekly, and daily) as one of the strongest and most consistent geocosmic signatures to market reversals as demonstrated in our published studies.

On the evening of May 15, and before markets opened the next morning in the USA, June Gold bottomed at 1526.70. This was slightly below the 1528.60 low this same June contract made on December 29, but above the 1523 low that the nearby February contract made at the same time, for a case of bullish divergence. It was also a case of intermarket bullish divergence to Silver, because July Silver fell to 2673, well above the nearby contract low of 2614 also on December 29. And then both metals rallied smartly, with June Gold testing 1600 and July Silver soaring to nearly 2900 by Friday. Market timing doesn't get any better than that, and Financial Astrology nailed it precisely to the date (well, within 24 hours), which is why Financial Astrology does provide that extra market timing edge for serious traders.

Yet the same correlation of Venus retrograde has not yet kicked in with equity markets around the world. They continue to spiral down in response to the rapidly increasing crisis in the Euro Union banking situation. As written before, the Venus retrograde can have an orb of as much as 12 trading days either side of its event, although usually it will find its bottom or top within a week. But so much damage has been done to equities that the odds have appreciated considerably that the high of the four-year cycle is in. Therefore a reversal from a low that is now forming may very well not take out the highs of March-May in world indices. It also suggests that the highs correlating with Jupiter in transit between 23º Aries and 7º Taurus worked right on time in stock indices throughout the world, except in the USA. Most of these indices completed their 4-year cycle crest in May 2011 with a double top in July 2011, when it was due. When Jupiter retrograded back to 0-7º Taurus from October 7, 2011 through March 7, 2012, all indices rallied again. But only the U.S. indices made new multi-year highs slightly afterwards. The S&P for instance topped out March 27, 2012 when Jupiter reached 12º Taurus. The DJIA topped out on May 1 as Jupiter touched 20º Taurus. All have now broken many long-term support points, as discussed in last week's MMA Cycles Report, signaling that the bull market could be over. The next rally and its following pullback will be required to confirm that outlook.

Stock markets around the globe plummeted all week. In the Far East and Pacific Rim, the Hang Seng of Hong Kong, Nifty of India, and Nikkei index of Japan all fell to their lowest level since January. The Shanghai Composite of China is the only one that made a modest corrective decline, as it held well above its lows of December and March. If you are looking for an index to buy in this reversal zone, this is the one that looks strongest.

In Europe, every market fell hard last week as well. The German DAX looked the best as it fell only to its lowest level since January. The Zurich SMI didn't look that bad either, although it declined to its lowest level since December. But in both cases, these lows are only normal corrections from the low of last summer to the high of spring. The Netherlands AEX and London FTSE look far worse, falling to their lowest levels since November 2011. Russia's MICEX looked even worse, perhaps reflecting the discontent and protests over the recent elections.

The American indices fell throughout the week too, with the worst being the Merval Index of Argentina, which plunged to its lowest level since May 2010. Brazil's Bovespa also fell hard to its lowest level since October 2011. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite declined to their lowest levels since January, but in both cases, those declines were close to a 50% corrective retracement of the move up from their lows of November 25, 2011 to their highs of April and May 2012. Although these later two indices are breaking many important support zones, they haven't broken enough to completely confirm the bull market is dead. There is a still a chance of a significant rally as Jupiter moves into Gemini, June 11, 2012 through June 27, 2013, and especially into August-November 2012.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

An important solar eclipse occurs on May 20 as both the Sun and Moon enter the first degree of a new sign, Gemini. Three days later, the Sun will form a waxing square to the Neptune, on Wednesday, May 23. Usually this combination correlates with a high in stocks, but this time it will be a low, if anything. With an eclipse and Neptune involved, it can signify a period of great confusion and uncertainty, and maybe some mischief going on behind the scenes. Neptune can be deceptive, especially when involved in a hard aspect with another planet (or the sun). It tends to be evasive, distracting the attention of others from the real issues at hand. We certainly see this dynamic at work in the campaign for the U.S. presidency now. It is getting difficult to tell the difference between facts and negative innuendos concerning the character of the candidates. Under hard Neptune aspects, especially with an eclipse in Gemini, rumors rule the day and the truth may be nowhere to be found. If it is, then the perpetrators of the deception experience great embarrassment. It is interesting that Facebook launched its IPO under these signatures, given its early history alleging sabotage and betrayal, two classical expressions of a negative Neptune.

There is - was - another geocosmic matter of importance last week involving the transit of Jupiter. It was in conjunction to Mercury in the chart of the New York Stock Exchange, often referred to as "The Buttonwood Agreement" of May 17, 1792. As you can see, last week was also the solar return (birthday) of the NYSE. But transiting Jupiter was conjunct Mercury, which would normally be considered bullish - except that in this NYSE chart, Mercury squares Pluto. Jupiter and Pluto in hard aspect can symbolize the potential for a large loss. Stockholders around the world certainly felt large losses last week under this transit. That appears ready to change now that the new moon and solar eclipse move on to Gemini, and Jupiter moves forward towards a conjunction to the NYSE Sun, May 29-June 4, at 27º Taurus. Usually that's positive as a wave of optimism comes to the stock market. If not, then a negative Jupiter-Sun would be panic and hysteria, especially following a solar eclipse in square aspect to Neptune.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"… unless current law is amended before year end, the stock market has to fall at least 30 percent". - Donald Luskin, Wall Street Journal " The 2013 Fiscal Cliff Could Crush Stocks", May 5, 2012.

Are you ready for the first quarter phase of the 112-142 year Uranus-Pluto cycle ?.

This is the big one and it is the first time these two planets have been in a square aspect since 1931-1934. It will make its first of seven passages on June 24, 2012. It will make its seventh and final passage on March 17, 2015. It has already been within 1 degree of its exact square in late July through early August of last summer. You may remember that was when the USA Congress and the White House struggled to finally agree on lifting the nation's debt ceiling limit above $14 trillion. This was immediately followed by the first downgrade ever of the USA's credit worthiness by the S&P rating agency. Several European nations have had their credit rating downgraded even more than one notch this year, so this planetary powerful is alive and well and doing what Financial and Mundane Astrologers would expect from it : good credit is hard to find, bad credit and debt is everywhere. And the next debt ceiling will arrive before the Presidential Election in early November. Things don't get any easier in the heavens between now and then.

Pluto represents "debt" and Uranus signifies "explosion", and the world is certainly undergoing the "debt explosion" now, and will be experiencing its consequences for the next couple of years, and perhaps even into 2020 when Saturn will finally conjunct Pluto and start a new cycle of fiscal behavior - usually a more responsible financial behavior.

Pluto also rules banks, and in hard aspect to Uranus, it can coincide with runs on banks. Last week witnessed bank runs in Greece and Spain, as hundreds (maybe thousands) of people withdrew their deposits back from banks to the tune of nearly $1 trillion.

Pluto also rules taxes, and as politically astute individuals are aware, capital gains taxes in the USA are set to double in January 2013 and taxes on dividends will nearly triple - as in "cripple" the stock market. To avoid those higher taxes, investors and holders of dividend paying stocks will need to sell out by the end of this year. That too, may be playing a role as to why so many stock indices are falling now. Now one wants to get caught in the stampede that will surely happen by the end of this year if the proposed changes in these taxes are not repealed. Contrary to faulty logic, these taxes will not bring in more revenues. They will just escalate the financial crisis and lead to a massive sell off in stocks, which in turn means a massive loss of wealth for both the nation in terms of lost tax revenues (not gains) and for businesses that need investors to provide capital for them to produce goods and hire - instead of fire - employees. I know this is not a popular thought in today's class warfare climate, but it is reality.

Given that Uranus will be in the early stages of its seven passage square to Pluto at the end of this year, it would be unwise to assume that the new taxes that are due to commence will be repealed. Of course, one can always "hope for change", hope for understanding to avoid the crush that is about to befall stock markets otherwise. But with Uranus and Pluto, I can't think of more telling geocosmic signature that could pertain to bank runs and a stampede to exit financial markets and institutions. But let's not be totally negative. Miracles do happen, and changes do take place whenever Uranus is involved in any relationship to other planets - even Pluto. It all depends on choices, and the intention behind those choices. Is it personal power (Pluto) or collective freedom (Uranus) that lead to these decisions ?.

We need more miracles - any miracle - out of Washington D.C., and fewer grievances, before January 1, 2013. Otherwise we are going to know what a lemming feels like at the end of its cycle. There is a cliff approaching for those in stocks who follow leaders who are lost and don't know the way in regards to the economy, and perhaps too proud or stubborn to admit it. Words do matter, for they can inspire and provide hope. But so do numbers, which if understood and not manipulated for personal bias, can lead one to correct actions that result in growth.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             !!! We have now added the Gold (GLD) and Silver (SLV) exchange traded funds (ETFs) to the markets we now analyze in our daily, weekly, and monthly subscription reports. We do this because so many subscribers now use our reports to trade ETF's rather than future contacts. The initial feedback has been very positive, so we will now make this part of the each report.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is now available. This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :
1) Market Timing studies
2) Price Objective calculations
3) Technical Analysis
4) Pattern Recognition studies
5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining the forthcoming Venus retrograde period (May 15-June 27), the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013.
The cost for this 4-hour DVD workshop is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss! .

We are down to the last couple of DVD's of the "Forecast 2012" webcast, which went extremely well. Perhaps it was our best webcast ever, according to feedback received. The cost for one of the remaining copies is $59.95 plus postage. To order go to our home page and scroll down to the announcement. For those ordering CD's, a PDF file of the charts will be emailed along with the order. "I just wanted to say that Ray's presentation was EXCELLENT!  Great presentation and the WEBINAR was outstanding.  Once again...THANK YOU !" Matt M., trader, Boulder, CO. on making reservations.

             NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD !!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012", held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English.
The following presentations are included on this CD :  

1) 2012 End Time of Dawning  by Irma Schogt (20 minutes) ;

2) Happy New Year  by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board) ;

3) 2012 = The Center of the Storm  by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology);

4) Forecast for 2012  by Raymond Merriman (1 hour).

Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go there, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5 : Price Objectives and Technical Analysis is out !. The comments and reviews are starting to come in, and we will post them here over the next few weeks".I am a long time Merriman Market Analysis Newsletter reader. It has never ceased to amaze me how accurate those levels are given in the newsletter. I often wonder how Ray calculates those levels. By setting up my trades using those levels together with his timing methodology, I have profited greatly. I sincerely feel that Volume 5 of the series finally gives the whole investment community the full story about Ray's lifetime work and the complete description of his financial astrology methodology. It will be a great treasure to all serious market participants". Kenneth Laio, Trader and Chief Technology Officer, Sequoia Media Inc., Beijing, China.
It took two years to write this one, which is par for each of the five books of this series that started in 1997. That was around the time I decided I wanted to"tap into the soul of the stock market", like there is such a thing. Turns out there is, in my opinion. But it depends on how you interpret"soul". If you accept that it is a connection between the observable and the intuitive, that patterns do exist and like oracles, they oftentimes do reveal the future, then it exists. This is a book describing the tools that serious traders that I know use. I use them. Many of my subscribers use them, although not that many know how I calculate price targets to go along with market timing. This book identifies the formulas I personally use to calculate price targets, and the trading plans I find that work using these market timing and technical indicators. This book is packed with powerful tools (signals), and if you take the time to learn these tools properly, your chances of being a successful trader will increase tremendously, IMHO. The book is 300 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2" x 11" size. The retail price of this new book is $144.00. The publication of Volume 5 will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. If you are interested in this unique and integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering all five volumes, or choice of any four now, or just go to www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. If ordering all five volumes, you will save $99.00 !.
For more information on this book, go to YouTube at http://www.youtube.com/watch ?v=PnplAS5m2AI, describing this new book. It is"the missing link". You may want to check this video out, as it contains some interesting long-term tips. You can also download that video there and read more comments.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             May 24-29, 2012 : UAC !!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.

             June 23 : Amsterdam : A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Price of Gold and Silver" 11:00 AM - 5:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to, or call 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at 31 (02) 294-415-918 to register for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year : the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited ! .

             August 2-6, 2012 : Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology and Financial Market Timing with Raymond Merriman on Thursday, August 2. Featuring over 20 astrologers, including Michael Lutin, Chris McRae, Bob Thibodeau, Dennis Fairchild, Monica Dimino, Richard Smoot, Grace Morris and others. For more information, call 303-828-5445, 303-604-2777, or email macasrtrology@yahoo.com, or go to http://macastrology.tripod.com.

             September 15-16 : Troy Michigan. OLMTA - the On-Line Market Timing Academy - will conduct it pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing". This will be an introductory course on how to read an ephemeris and how to calculate a critical reversal date. It is open to anyone, but understanding this material is mandatory for anyone entering the MMA mentor-apprenticeship program that will officially start in March 2013. This introductory workshop will be available as a live webinar too. The cost is $300 to subscribers of any MMA subscription report, or $395 to others. For further information, please contact or ordersmmma@msn.com.

           The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             We also have our new CD available :"The Cardinal Climax 2008-2015 : Investment Opportunities and Dangers". This 75-minute CD outlines the most powerful geocosmic configuration of our lifetime : The Cardinal Climax of 2008-2015. This presentation examines the historical, long-term geocosmic signatures that are present 2008-2015, how they correlated to economic crises in the past, and how they will likely impact various financial markets and investment opportunities this time. In fact, many of the themes are already underway. Approximately 75 minutes, with PDF file of charts used: $25.00 plus postage.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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