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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
August 6 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

The roller-coaster ride of Mercury retrograde, within the Uranus-Pluto square time frame, continued last week. The previous week, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi surprised the financial community when he announced that the ECB was willing to use its power to print money to preserve the euro and that "Within our mandate, the ECB is willing to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro and believe me, it will, be enough". To which this column stated, "Hmmmm, maybe I'm becoming too cynical. Whenever anyone tells me "Believe me", or "Trust me", my first inclination is to not "believe" or "trust" what then follows - especially when pronounced under Mercury retrograde, where statements are usually invalidated or in need of modification soon afterwards". By Thursday, all the gains of the prior week had been lost - and more - as ECB President Draghi qualified his statements to a series of "maybes", "might", "could", "possibilities", and everything but "we would" and "we will". The market didn't like the reversal of certainty and conviction from Draghi's prior week's comments.

But then a funny economic-political thing happened on Friday. The payroll reports showed a 163,000 increase in payroll numbers for July, well above expectations. It also showed that unemployment increased to 8.3%. You might wonder how so many new jobs can be created, while at the same time unemployment increases. Well, if you are a Financial Astrological conspiracy theorist - and most of us are by nature - you might consider that these numbers came out

1) under Mercury retrograde and
2) with the Moon on the verge of entering Pisces, which is enough for financial astrologers to wonder about conspiracy theories in any event.

What I am trying to say is (and it's not easy to say anything straight under Mercury Rx with Moon in Pisces) is this : the probability is extremely high that these numbers will be revised sharply in next month's report. It is important to show good numbers however as the two parties head to their nominating conventions in August (well, really, it is only important to one party to show good numbers ahead of these conventions, and if they are adjusted downwards next month, that's OK).

On Draghi's qualifications of his prior week's comments, stock indices around the world fell through Thursday. Many fell below weekly and other support levels, which is typical of Mercury retrograde. On Friday's very unexpected and positive jobs report, stock indices surged upwards again, well above daily and even some weekly resistance levels, again typical of Mercury retrograde. This trickster has no respect for boundaries like support and resistance, much like its cosmic cousin Uranus. He also likes to move fast... err, rather, he changes fast. So every 1-4 days he prompts prices up, then reverses and argues prices back down. The good news is that on August 8 he leaves the slippery trickery of working behind the scenes with conflicting information and misinformation, combined with false buy and sell signals, that all become subject to revisions and a whole different story line later on. In the meantime, talking heads find themselves talking to themselves as they spin around 180 degrees trying to explain why their explanations no longer explain what they just explained. Words don't matter. Numbers do - until they are readjusted later on after they serve the purpose they were intended to produce. In the meantime, be happy to trade rumors, but trade them quickly, for Mercury doesn't stand in one place lest he risk getting caught. And he is seldom caught when in retrograde motion. It's only later that you discover he played you again, unless you learn to play by his (lack of) rules.

It wasn't just stock markets that rode the Mercury Express roller coaster last week. Gold and Silver were also sharply up - then down - then back up again by Friday. The same was true with Crude Oil and currencies against the U.S. Dollar, which the latter is once again plummeting after these dizzying twists and turns. And amidst it all, Treasuries continued their move down from last week's all-time highs. Don't worry. In classical Mercury tradition, they will reverse again too.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Where do you start ? There were so many last week, whether in stock indices, currencies, Treasuries, or metals. Let's take the daily report of Thursday, August 2, for Silver, which stated, " Position traders are flat and may go long at 2690 or better if offered with a stop-loss on a close below 2670. Aggressive traders may do the same". The low that day was 2688. The next day, Friday (August 3), Silver was up to 2790 and closed at 2780. The day before we also advised for the September e-mini NASDAQ contract, "Aggressive traders are short with a stop-loss on a close above 2660. However look to cover and reverse to the long side at 2620 or better if offered, with a stop-loss on a close below 2570". The low was 2618.50 that day, and by Friday they were above 2680.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

In February 1968, just as the current Uranus-Pluto got underway following its 112-147 year conjunction, President Lyndon Johnson asked Congress to end the requirement that dollars be backed in gold. He said, "The gold reserve requirement against the Federal Reserve notes is not needed to tell us what prudent monetary policy should be - that myth was destroyed long ago. It is not needed to give value to the dollar - that value derives from our productive economy". That decision, passed by Congress the next month, fundamentally altered the nature of money in the USA (and even the entire world) and permitted an unprecedented proliferation of credit. - From the MMA Workshop on Gold, Amsterdam, Netherlands, June 23, 2012, and quote from Richard Duncan, Chief Economist at Blackhorse Asset Management, in his new book titled "The New Depression : The Breakdown of the Paper Money Economy".

Now we come to one of the more intense geocosmic time bands of the year, starting with Mercury turning back to direct motion on August 8 and ending with Venus making a T-square and translation to the Uranus-Pluto square on August 15-16. The later dates are extremely important because Mars will also make its multi-year conjunction to Saturn on August 15. This is heavy stuff for several reasons.

First, Mars in conjunction to Saturn is like putting together an irresistible force with an immoveable object. It's like trying to compete in an auto race with your emergency brake on. Somebody wants something and they want it now. The other party doesn't want to even consider obliging, but perhaps wants to withhold giving what is demanded just because it makes the demanding party squirm. Sort of like the White House demanding Romney reveal his tax returns, and the Romney camp demanding that the president reveal his high school and college records. How nice it would be if they would both reveal what the other side demands. But of course neither will reveal anything the other side demands because, after all, the other side is not being transparent so why should I ? Mars and Saturn are more warlike than conciliatory. In the meantime, everybody thinks the other side is hiding something, and the truth is that both sides are probably hiding something, for after all again, isn't Pluto prominent today ? And Pluto hides AND reveals that which is being hidden. If they want to avoid the wrath of Pluto, they should both just agree to reveal everything the public deserves to know in order to make a well-informed voting decision. Additionally Mars and Saturn represent the height of the drought and loss of crops.

The second matter is Venus aspecting the Uranus-Pluto square. Since Venus rules credit and Pluto rules debt and they are both in hard aspect to Uranus, it implies another onslaught of conflicting reports regarding the exploding world-wide debt crisis. It could be in Europe, the USA, or anywhere, for debt knows no boundaries, especially in modern times where debt is now considered credit - and that reality has been growing ever since the gold standard was dropped over 40 years ago. But the problem is that there are boundaries and limitations that eventually have to be faced. That's one of the lessons of Pluto in Capricorn (2008-2024), which says... all this debt has to be paid somehow, some way, and the books need to be balanced or burned (i.e. the debt has to be forgiven as it will probably never be repaid). And how are you going to repay it when your debt is securitized not by your credit (which no longer really exists) but merely by increasing the size of your debt under the promise of your good will and trust to repay it that which you can't repay ?.

Lewis Carroll and Alice in Wonderland would find this wormhole rant the equivalent of wise council from the caterpillar. And the caterpillar is an excellent symbol of Pluto for its ability to transform from one form to another, which is exactly what has happened to the concept of a credit-based financial system during the days of the gold standard to the debit-based system of paper fiat currency that is now finding the only way to sustain itself is to grow even more and more debt because world governments are unwilling to be patient with sensible austerity measures. In fact, most world leaders no longer believe that austerity measures make any sense whatsoever. Like the caterpillar, they prefer to believe that what makes sense is to spend more and more money they do not have (i.e. debt) and in doing so they will somehow magically create less and less debt. Did I say Mercury is retrograde ? Perhaps the horoscope of the world has progressed Mercury in retrograde now, and probably in Pisces or in hard aspect to Neptune.

Longer Term Thoughts :

On August 4 at 8:03 AM, President Barack Obama will celebrate his 51 st solar return, assuming he is in Chicago (he usually is on his birthday). If so, he will have Virgo rising, his Sun in the 12 th house, and Moon in Pisces in the 7 th . Don't hold your breath for any evidence of transparency with this set up, for the 12 th house and Pisces prefer to work from behind the scenes. They don't reveal what they know. Yet with Jupiter in his solar return tenth house, it still seems he is on the path towards an election victory via this method of forecasting. Of course, even with Jupiter high up in the chart, it is in square aspect to the Moon, Chiron, and Neptune straddling around the 7 th house cusp in Pisces, and thus he will need to be careful of exaggerations and boasts that could backfire and cause humiliation. From this chart alone, it seems that his biggest obstacles to victory would be carelessness, inaccuracy, and exaggeration. His biggest asset to a victory would be his ability to inspire faith in those who still believe in "hope and change". Fortunately, it seems he has luck on his side. Unfortunately, he still struggles with the ability to deliver what is promised, and in his mind, it is not his fault. So if he is re-elected, once again it looks like he is likely to inherit a terrible mess. What is a president to do ? More importantly, what is the populace to do ? .

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But... there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. A pplications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. Its cost will be the same as the Weekly Stock Indices, Weekly Gold and Silver, and weekly Currency Reports. It will start this week.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             August 2-6, 2012 : Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology and Financial Market Timing with Raymond Merriman on Thursday, August 2. Featuring over 20 astrologers, including Michael Lutin, Chris McRae, Bob Thibodeau, Dennis Fairchild, Monica Dimino, Richard Smoot, Grace Morris and others. For more information, call 303-828-5445, 303-604-2777, or email macasrtrology@yahoo.com, or go to http://macastrology.tripod.com.

             September 15-16 : Troy Michigan. OLMTA - the On-Line Market Timing Academy - will conduct it pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing". This will be an introductory course on how to read an ephemeris and how to calculate a critical reversal date. It is open to anyone, but understanding this material is mandatory for anyone entering the MMA mentor-apprenticeship program that will officially start in March 2013. This introductory workshop will be available as a live webinar too. The cost is $300 to subscribers of any MMA subscription report, or $395 to others. For further information, please contact or ordersmmma@msn.com.

           April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM - 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM - 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

           June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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