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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
September 10 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

The market got what it wanted. Political leaders got what they wanted too in the form of the ECB announcement on September 6 that they will indeed purchase bonds of Euro zone counties as needed to bring down their borrowing costs. On the announcement, stocks markets around the world soared, with many making new multi-year highs. But the ferocious rally wasn't limited to stocks. Many commodities, like Gold and Silver, just exploded to the upside as the U.S. Dollar plummeted back towards the 80.00 level, its lowest mark since May.

In Asia, all stock markets started the week tepidly. China's Shanghai Index fell to its lowest level since February 2009 on Thursday, September 6. But on Friday it was up nearly 5%. On September 6, the Hang Seng of Hong Kong was making a monthly low before also jumping up over 4% the next day. It was the same in Japan, India, and Australia too, though the rally was not nearly so robust. None of these markets exceeded their highs of late August, however.

In Europe, it was a different story as most equity indices did soar to new yearly highs. The German DAX stared the week below 6900 but by Friday it was up to 7248, its highest level since August 2011. The Netherlands AEX and Zurich's SMI index also started slowly before skyrocketing to new yearly highs on Thursday and Friday. But the London FTSE lagged well behind even its high of mid-August for a possible case of intermarket bearish divergence in Europe, in the event the FTSE fails to exceed 5876 this coming week.

The Americas were a tale of two hemispheres as well. In the USA, the NASDAQ soared to its highest level since November 2000. The S&P also exploded, putting in its highest mark since May 2008. But the rally to 13,320 in the DJIA fell slightly short of its August 21 and May 1 highs of 13,330 and 13,338 respectively. The Bovespa of Brazil and Merval index of Argentina are still well below their highs of August 17-21, less than one month ago.

As discussed before, both the Federal Reserve and the White House want to see an exploding stock market, for this will increase the net worth of all stock holders at a time when the attention would otherwise focus even more ominously in the slow economic growth due to the fiscal policy drag. In fact, a soaring stock market will only serve to confuse and distract investors from the reality of the impending fiscal cliff, which still points to a decline of 30% (or even more) in the stock market if all those tax hikes on investors are not repealed by January 1. So the old saying remains valid with stocks right now : "The higher they go, the harder they will fall". And every day that cliff comes nearer and nearer. It's just a matter of time before the bodies fall. And time is running out because you know nothing will be done before the election on November 6. They will have less than 2 months to resolve the problem, with a lame duck congress and possibly White House. The prospects are not good, especially given that we are now in the midst of the Uranus-Pluto square. And investors of Gold and Silver know this very well, for also in the midst of this impending fiscal crisis and extremely inflationary central bank decisions, Gold and Silver are also exploding to their highest levels in several months.

But then again, we expected this - didn't we ? - with Mars fully into Scorpio August 23-October 5.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

In the shortened holiday week, the majority of our trades were to cover some (but not all) long positions for profits in metals, currencies, and Treasuries, and 2/3 of our short positions in stock indices before Thursday's ECB announcement. The only new position opened was on Friday, where the daily report advised aggressive traders in the Euro currency to "... sell short at 1.2750 +/- .0015, with a stop-loss on a close above 1.2850". Position traders remained long.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Last week's report here was on the money, as it stated the following: "On Monday, September 3, Venus will form a waning square to Saturn. This can also correlate with a downturn in equity values. In many stock markets, such an aspect coincides with a reversal within 4 trading days.... On Friday, September 7, the Sun will form a waxing square to Jupiter. This is a signature of exaggeration and possibly over-exaggeration. But it also a very high historical correlation (79%) to sharp swings in equity values, again within 4 trading days. It appears that when investors return from the holidays, they will be ready to initiate new positions in various financial markets". The stock markets indeed opened up the week on a soft note which remained in force until Thursday's ECB announcement, and then equity prices exploded to the upside.

The only major aspect unfolding this week will be a waxing trine between Venus and Uranus on September 12. This is followed by a new moon over the next weekend (September 16). There is nothing here particularly negative. However, transiting Saturn will be in 27 degrees of Libra, which forms a conjunction to Neptune in the NYSE chart (founded May 17, 1792) and a square to Neptune in the chart of the Federal Reserve Board (founded December 23, 1913). Saturn's dynamic is to repress and limit. It correlates with anxieties and worry. It is said that financial markets are ruled by greed and fear. Greed is Jupiter, fear is Saturn. Thus when prices rally into Saturn aspects, there is usually some worrisome news that causes the rally to stall or even reverse downwards. Since the Federal Reserve Board chart is involved, perhaps central bankers modify their recent policy changes in a way that gives rise to new worries. Maybe their clarifications are not taken as bullish by the investment community as was witnessed last week.

In spite of the powerful rally at the end of last week, caution is still warranted. We referred earlier to the still impending fiscal cliff, and its astrological correlation to the Uranus-Pluto waxing square. Well, the second of seven of those transits will unfold September 19, followed by the Sun's translation to (and in a T-square) to Uranus and Pluto on September 29. It is entirely possible that we see the edges of that cliff during that period, +/- one week. All this momentum seems as if it is being pulled to climax around then, say September 19-October 8.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"You didn't elect me to tell you what you wanted to hear. You elected me to tell you the truth". Barack Obama's acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention, September 6, 2012, Charlotte, NC.

"I did not have sex with that woman" - Bill Clinton to the American people, summer 1998. Just a few weeks later, the truth was found to be slightly different, depending on what the meaning of "is" is, and impeachment proceedings followed.

"Read my lips. No new taxes". George H. Bush during the election season of 1988. Less than two years later, he agreed to a major tax hike, and promptly lost his bid for re-election as a result.

What rules "truth" in the study of astrology ? And how will it play in this year's election, especially given that supporters of both parties and both candidates feel very strongly that the opposition is not telling the truth ?.

Perhaps truth is a dynamic that falls under the domain of Saturn. But actually Saturn refers more to accuracy and accountability, which of course are characteristics that involve truth, or at least of being truthful. Neptune may offer a clue, for it is well understood in astrology that when Neptune is prominent, there is a strong tendency to hide the facts and all information that is relevant to make a completely well-informed decision. Neptune is said to rule trust, but more often than not it pertains to deception and lack of trust when afflicted by other planets.

In a few weeks, Saturn will move into Scorpio, where it will trine Neptune (October 10, 2012-July 19, 2013). Thus truth and trust will be on center stage. It will be there during the November 6 election. The issues and the ideology separating the two candidates and two parties are in stark contrast to one another. Yet despite all the differences between all the issues, the final tally may come down to this one important character issue : who do you trust, who is telling you the truth, and who has been truthful to you throughout this campaign - or at least, who exhibits these principles the most in the last month of this election ?.

Voters in the USA have shown throughout their history that as much as they support a particular party's position on certain issues, nothing will solidify their vote more than their belief that the candidate is being truthful. If either candidate makes a huge mistake in the matter of truthfulness prior to election, it could be costly. However, if it happens after the election, it may be even more costly, for with Uranus in Aries square to Pluto in Capricorn, the "urge to purge" will be at a peak. There will likely be little tolerance for a leader who makes promises he does not keep, and even more so if he carelessly ignores or modifies those promises of the campaign season. We are fully in an era of demanding accountability in 2012-2015 under this powerful Uranus-Pluto signature, and if not forthcoming, it can quickly become an era of expulsion.

To be continued... (next week)  

Announcements :

             Forecast 2013 Book : We are now taking pre-publications orders for the Forecast 2013 Book. As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 15, 2012. We are pleased to announce that the cost of this year's book will remain the same as last year at $55.00. We are also pleased to announce that the special pre-publication rate of $45.00 (plus postage) will available to those who order prior to October 30! Additionally we will offer Forecast 2013 in an e-book format at these same prices, although the e-book may not contain the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back, as will be the case in the printed hard copy editions. But there will be no postage costs with the e-book. As always, a limited number are printed, so order now, save even more big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out (or you forget)!!!.
To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But... there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. A pplications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             September 15-16 : Troy Michigan. OLMTA - the On-Line Market Timing Academy - will conduct it pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing". This will be an introductory course on how to read an ephemeris and how to calculate a critical reversal date. It is open to anyone, but understanding this material is mandatory for anyone entering the MMA mentor-apprenticeship program that will officially start in March 2013. This introductory workshop will be available as a live webinar too. The cost is $300 to subscribers of any MMA subscription report, or $395 to others. For further information, please contact or ordersmmma@msn.com.

             January 11-12, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland. "Forecast 2013 Symposia" sponsored by AstroData.
January 11 lecture on Forecasts 2013. January 12 will be a special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver". 10:00 AM - 4:30 PM. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss !!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, follow this link or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited!.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM - 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM - 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

           June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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