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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
October 29 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

"As the deadline for fiscal peril in the U.S. nears, Wall Street is worried that the impact could be much worse than anyone thought - while investors remain nearly oblivious to the danger". – Jeff Cox, CNBC.com staff writer, "Why the Fiscal Cliff May Be Bigger Threat Than You Think", October 19, 2012.

Someone once said to me that the hardest markets to trade were war and election-season markets. If you have been trading the stock indices over the past week, you might find this lament to have an element of truth in it. Last Friday, October 19, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was down 205 points. It looked like it wanted to rally early Monday, but then on Tuesday, October 23, it was down another 245 points. Every day thereafter it stated out with rallies, but then fell somewhat sharply before the close. It seems like it wants to go up, but it just runs out of steam before the session is over.

But now the DJIA gets perilously close to a long-term upward primary trendline connecting the 15.5-month cycle low of last October 4, 2011 to its half-cycle low of June 4. That trendline is just above 13,000 now. When (and if) you break a trendline like that, it often means the next highest cycle has topped out, which in this case would be the 4-year cycle. There are other criteria needed to confirm this has happened, which we discuss in our subscription reports, but all readers of this column should understand that the U.S. stock market is near a very critical price point. What makes it more critical is that powerful aspects involving Uranus are in effect this coming week and again in late November. When Uranus is strong and markets are near important trend lines and support-resistance areas, they often break trough – if they don't completely reverse. Uranus has no respect for boundaries. It loves to break them. And when that happens, panic can ensue. We are entering such a period next week and again later in November (November 22-December 2).

You already know that the geocosmic picture is critical now through December 2 per previous columns. And of course you know that two very important fundamental issues loom immediately ahead that relate to these geocosmic signatures : the USA Presidential Election on November 6, and the "Fiscal Cliff", or "Taxmageddon" on January 2, when a slew of new taxes will go into effect that will push investors to sell many of their holdings, while at the same time extreme spending cuts will kick in. The combination will very likely send the USA and world economy into a sharp recession through the first half of 2013, unless this "sequestration" is repealed before then. As pointed out before, if this economic threat is not solved in time, the stock market could easily drop at least 30% from its previous crest (right now, that crest is 13,661 as of our October 5 geocosmic critical reversal date). It is quite possible that such a decline has already started, and if not solved by December 2 (Sun in opposition to Jupiter, preceded by Mars translating the Uranus-Pluto square November 23-27), a torrent of selling could very well ensue. For those in the USA, this might be a Thanksgiving season to remember, but for all the wrong reasons, unless Congress and the White House can deliver something to be thankful for, like reaching "across the aisle" in a show of unity to prevent this economic crisis, on behalf of the citizens they were elected to serve.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

There were several recommended trades that were elected last week on both the daily and weekly reports, but it is a little early to chose which are the "best ones". It may be the half positions on the long side that were covered for decent profits in the Euro, Swiss Franc, and Euro-Yen currencies. It may be the short positions taken on the stock indices, or the longs in Gold and Silver, taken late in the week on the daily report. But let's go with these for now. The weekly report on the Dow Jones Industrial Average stated, " Position traders are still short… Cover 1/3 of positions if prices drop to 12,950-13,075, and bring your stop-loss down to a close above 13,500. Aggressive traders are also short… Cover half those positions below 13,075, and move stop-loss down to a close above 13,350 on the rest". On Thursday, the DJIA fell to a weekly low of 13,039.

The daily report of Wednesday, October 25, on Silver, advised: "Aggressive traders (may) look to buy again at 3125-3155 with a stop-loss on a close below 2950 or 3050, depending on your risk allowance". The low that day – and that week – was 3153.50.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

We are right in the middle of another slew of powerful geocosmic critical signatures this week. Mars will be in opposition to Jupiter on Sunday, October 28. This is followed by Venus entering into a T-square to the Uranus-Pluto waxing square (November 1-3), and Mercury turning retrograde (November 6). As stated last week, and already starting to unfold, "It could also correspond to a very large price swing in world equity prices because Mars is also in Sagittarius at the same time (October 6-November 16)… This is a combination of dynamics that suggests very wild markets. Mars represents impulse and aggression, the urge to win at all costs… It can be combative and war-like… (and) financial markets can display powerful rallies or crushing declines …".

On top of all that, there is a full moon on Monday, October 29. In two weeks, there will be a solar eclipse at 22 degrees of Scorpio, on November 13. Why is this important ? Because it is on my natal Venus, so the whole world-wide financial system will probably collapse. Seriously, I know many financial and mundane astrologers are concerned about this eclipse - as they are with most eclipses. But keep in mind that this is a North Node eclipse, not a lunar South Node one. Usually North Node eclipses contain a silver lining of hope. Since the eclipse is in Scorpio, and Scorpio pertains to debt and the eclipse pertains to a "change of direction from the past course of action", there is cause to be hopeful. As I will discuss in great detail in the Forecast 2013 Book, there is a very rare celestial configuration that will occur next year that portends the possibility of finally bottoming with this world-wide debt explosion. It is as if a massive part of the world population understands the consequences of what has happened over the past decade, and accepts the remedies necessary to stop this slide into financial oblivion. As a result, we may experience the bottom and through this window of collective understanding and acceptance present in mid-2013, start the rebuilding that will bring us back. Of course it will not turn magically overnight. But decisions can be made which reflect some kind of universal law and understanding, and probably by 2015, the worst can be over. For humanity, this planetary pattern, as unusual and powerful as it is, can represent the start of a more solid and secure financial foundation.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"There's no more serious issue on a presidential campaign than trust. Trust matters. And here's the thing. Iowa, you know me. You know that I say what I mean and I mean what I say". Barack Obama, Wednesday, October 24, campaigning in Iowa (Wall Street Journal).

"In time it was no surprise that people began to ask : Was the White House hiding something about an event (terrorist attack in Benghazi that killed USA Ambassador Chris Stevens and others) of enormous gravity to protect the president's candidacy ? For much of the American electorate, that would be cause to start marking down the presidency…. The incumbent president has a credibility gap". Daniel Hemninger, Wall Street Journal, October 25, 2012, "Suddenly, a Credibility Gap".

So which is it ? Is the president credible ? Does he "… say what he means and mean what he says", as he states ? That will surely play on the public's mind on November 6 when they go to vote – that is, those who haven't voted already in the pre-election, absentee ballot period now in effect.

I think we may see the credibility of each candidate on display in the next week. We will see it by the tactics that each employs in these final days leading up to the November 6 election, when Mercury turns retrograde, and Neptune is stationary and about to turn direct. This is not a combination that implies honesty and transparency, but rather one that may resort to trickery and surprise allegations and "leaks" that no one takes responsibility for. In other words, do not be surprised if there is one more shift in the polls in this next week. I would not, for instance, be surprised if suddenly, out of the blue, appeared a copy of Governor Romney's income tax records showing he held an offshore account several years ago (never mind that it was legal before the current administration took office, because now it isn't without proper reporting), or interviews with someone at Columbia University who went to school with Barack Obama who now reveals that he failed in an economics course… you get the drift. But if anything like that occurs, it is likely to boomerang against the candidate who would seem to benefit because… it's all about credibility. Either you are transparent and credible, or you are not. And trust matters.

And when Mercury and Neptune are highlighted at the same time, the issue of trust is a real challenge. Watch the news in the next week and the vote-counting in the week that follows. It could offer an important lesson in Mundane Astrology.

To be continued… (next week)  

Announcements :

             Forecast 2013 Book : Please note that October 30 - this Tuesday! - will be the last day to take advantage of MMA's special pre-publication offer for the Forecast 2013 Book. As in the past, MMA offers a special pre-publication discount rate for those who pre-order the next year's book before October 15, 2012. We are pleased to announce that the cost of this year's book will remain the same as last year at $55.00. We are also pleased to announce that the special pre-publication rate of $45.00 (plus postage) will available to those who order prior to October 30! Additionally we will offer Forecast 2013 in an e-book format at these same prices, although the e-book may not contain the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back, as will be the case in the printed hard copy editions. But there will be no postage costs with the e-book. As always, a limited number are printed, so order now, save even more big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out (or you forget)!!!.
To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. A pplications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland".Forecast 2013 Symposia" sponsored by AstroData.
January 11 lecture on Forecasts 2013. January 12 will be a special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver". 10:00 AM - 4:30 PM. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss !!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, follow this link or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited!.

             January 17, 2013 : Amsterdam, Netherlands".Forecast 2013", Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Call 31-(0) 294-415-917 for further more information, Or there.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM - 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM - 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

           June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

           The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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