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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 3 - 2012
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

Chinese - Chinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

Last week and the week before were both as volatile and not as volatile as expected, which is a function of two sets of geocosmic factors. In one set, we had Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus very active in various aspects from November 22-December 2, which implies great volatility. For instance, on Friday, November 23, Mars was square to Uranus. This was the day after the Thanksgiving holiday in the USA when markets are generally quiet but bullish. However this year they were bullish and not so quiet. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 172 points higher that day. Gold was up $33 and Silver 76 cents, which are large moves consistent with this type of aspect.

This past week has the Sun trine Uranus, Venus conjunct Saturn and Mercury turning direct on Monday, November 26, followed by Mars conjunct Pluto on Tuesday, November 27. One day later there was a lunar eclipse in Sagittarius-Gemini. Normally one would expect fireworks galore in financial markets for the week. But by the end of the week, the DJIA was only up 15 points from the prior week. Except for the lunar eclipse of Wednesday, November 28, there really was little volatility. That brings up the second geocosmic factor in effect, which was Mercury turning stationary direct last week. This is a time when financial markets are relatively quiet and subdued. Thus, in retrospect, we see that both sets of geocosmic principles used in Financial Astrology were operative : the volatility of Mars, Jupiter and Uranus each being touched off, and the lack of volatility associated with Mercury stationary.

Although the stock market did not record much change from the prior week, it was important from a Financial Astrology perspective nonetheless. Equity prices rose to new cycle highs into this time band of powerful geocosmic signatures that was in effect November 22-December 2. The DJIA climbed to 13,062 as of Thursday, November 29, well up from its primary cycle trough of 12,471 just two weeks earlier on November 16.

Other stock indices throughout the world followed a similar pattern, but many did not. For example, in Europe, the Zurich SMI soared to its highest level in 2-1/2 years. All the other indices we track also rallied, but have not yet taken out their highs of September. They are getting close, however, in the German DAX, Netherlands AEX, and London FTSE. Moscow's MICEX stock market was comparatively very weak, still 8% off its yearly highs of September 14.

In the Far East and Pacific Rim, even more signs of intermarket bearish divergence were evident. For example, the Japanese Nikkei soared to its highest level in seven months on Friday, November 30. But China's Shanghai Index fell to its lowest level in over three years on the same day. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong rallied smartly, closing very close to its yearly high. But in Australia, the rally was OK, but well below its yearly high of October 18.

Which brings us to the America's. South America witnessed anemic rallies to close out last week, with Brazil's Bovespa and Argentina's Merval indices well below their yearly highs. And although the DJIA and NASDAQ Composite rallied to new highs for this current primary cycle last week, they are still considerably below their yearly highs made in the last cycle - on October 5, in the case of the DJIA and September 21 in the Composite. In fact the rallies of last week only gained those indices slightly above a 50% correction of the prior down move.

Gold and Silver also exhibited intermarket bearish divergence in last week's market activity. Silver made a new high for this primary cycle on Thursday, November 29, while Gold failed to take out its high of the prior week. All in all, the markets may not have moved that much last week, but significantly rallies took place into this powerful geocosmic time band in which possible cases of intermarket bearish divergence unfolded. This should therefore be an interesting week coming up. Will these markets now reverse, or break through to the upside. It probably depends upon what happens in Washington D.C. and the seriousness and sincerity of their efforts to really compromise and avert the "Fiscal Cliff". Saying you are willing to compromise is not the same thing as actually acting like you are willing to compromise. Words matter only when they are backed up with serious intentions and complimentary actions, as we will likely find out in the next two weeks.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

MMA's Weekly Service on the S&P advised, " Aggressive traders may look to sell short again at 1415-1420, with a stop-loss on a close above 1432". The high was 1419.50. It remains to be seen if this will be a good trade or not, but so far, it nailed the high of the week.

MMA's Daily service on GLD (Gold's ETF), for Thursday, November 29, advised, " If given the chance, you may sell short into daily resistance with a stop-loss on a close above 170". Daily resistance was 167.13-167.28. The high was 167.50 and Friday closed at 166.05. This was after taking excellent profits on the long side early in the week on Gold and GLD (as well as Silver and its ETF, SLV).

Short-Term Geocosmics and some Longer-Term Thoughts :  

The current critical reversal zone is not over yet. On Sunday, December 2, a very important geocosmic signature occurs, known as the Sun- Jupiter opposition. This is one of the most significant of all trading signatures used in Financial Astrology for timing stock market turns. Within an orb of 10 trading days, this signature has an impressive 50% correlation to reversals in 50-week of greater long-term cycles ! It has a 75% historical correlation to primary cycles within 10 trading days. This is huge (but then, so is Jupiter), so what does it say about stock indices as well as the government's ability to resolve the "Fiscal Cliff" ?. It provides a unique insight, in my opinion.

First of all, let's consider my own bias, which is that the White House and Congress will not come to an agreement by Christmas, despite President Obamas proclaimed "wish" to get the deal done by then. To me, it is amazing that investors took that statement as a reason to be optimistic on the lunar eclipse of Wednesday, November 28. The DJIA had fallen over 100 points in the first hour of trading before the "wish" was pronounced. Then it rallied to close up 100+ points. Everyone "wishes" to get a deal to avoid the "Fiscal Cliff" by Christmas, which really means by Friday, December 21, so lawmakers can take the extra-long holiday vacation this year. In other words, no one wants to hang around Washington DC after December 21. If they don't get it done by then, they probably aren't going to get it done by January 1, which means a boatload of new taxes and spending cuts will go into effect that many economists predict will push the USA into a sudden and sharp recession. If the USA falls off the cliff, so will the rest of the world, for Americans are the biggest consumers on earth.

But back to the issue, and the Sun-Jupiter opposition. Every day that gets closer to December 21 is a day in which angst will increase, and so will the blame. Every day closer to December 21 is one day closer to the probable "rush to exit" by investors. As we approach December 13, the panic to exit stocks will probably increase greatly, and the sell-off (once started) will build momentum, for that is the date that Uranus turns stationary direct. And when Uranus is highlighted, there is no bottom or top to the market. Uranus has no respect for support or resistance. It likes to be in "breakout" mode, especially as it is already in its powerful waxing square aspect to Pluto. Thus, failure to make a new high next week would mean the Sun-Jupiter correlated with a crest this past week, and the selling pressure will start in earnest. Even if it does make a new high early this coming week, selling pressure could start up at any moment, absent an agreement from Washington.

Now, in case my bias is wrong and there is an agreement, then stock prices could soar into a crest around December 13, +/- a couple of days. Uranus would be wildly bullish. But then reality would set in and traders and investors alike would realize that there really is no fundamental tax reform in effect that is needed to truly stimulate the economy by creating new jobs, and bringing about a reason for higher wages. That - and only that -will create the revenues the White House seeks to make a dent in the debt situation long-term.

So it is possible the "Cliff" is averted, but the "can" is still being kicked down the proverbial road on what is really necessary to change. And Saturn is in Scorpio through 2015, along with Uranus and Pluto in waxing square. In other words, the "Day of Reckoning" (Saturn in Scorpio) is still coming, and with it, there may be one more meltdown ahead before the financial system's foundation is seriously rebuilt for long-term sustainability. And the cause of that meltdown may not even be in the hands of the USA. It seems to me that it is more in the hands of Europe next year, which is a subject covered in great detail in the Forecast 2013 Book, due out shortly.

Longer Term Thoughts :

".

To be continued… (next week)  

Announcements :

             First of all, the new MMTA website is up and running now !!! This is the website dedicated to MMA's new Market Timing Academy, which will begin in April 2013. Please note that registration to participate in this "once in a lifetime" live course is now open until February 5, 2013. Read more below, or visit http://www.merrimanmta.com.

             Forecast 2013 Book : is now at the printer and on schedule to be released before December 15, 2012. You know, this year's book was the most enjoyable to write in a long time. It was very pleasing to hear our editors in both the USA and abroad comment that it was also their most enjoyable read of all the ones they have edited. I think that may be due to the fact that I gave a wealth of advice on "what to do" now - a well-thought out investment plan for 2013 based on the implications of cycles and geocosmic studies as they apply to 2013. The book may still be pre-ordered at $55.00, plus postage prior to December 15. It will also be available in an e-book format at these same prices, and with no postage costs. The book is 160 pages, and as always, a limited number will be printed, based on pre-publications sales. So order now, save big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out!!! Once they sell out, however, you can still buy the electronic book version.

To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.
By the way, 2013 should be very interesting as there will be a super-rare configuration in effect by the summer. We are doing our research on the frequency of this pattern now, along with its historical corresponding themes.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.
The DVD of the MMTA pre-training workshop on "How to Read an Ephemeris" is now out! The cost of the 8-set, 10+ hour DVD packet, is $395.00 plus postage, and will include the workbook. If you are a trader, analyst, or student interested in enhancing your skills in market timing, or if you are considering applying for admittance to the MMA Market Timing Academy (MMTA), then this DVD is highly recommended.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             January 11-12, 2012 : Zurich Switzerland".Forecast 2013 Symposia" sponsored by AstroData.
January 11 lecture on Forecasts 2013. January 12 will be a special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market : Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver". 10:00 AM - 4:30 PM. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss !!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, follow this link or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email info@mma-europe.ch. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited!.

             January 17, 2013 : Amsterdam, Netherlands".Forecast 2013", Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. Call 31-(0) 294-415-917 for further more information, Or there.

             March 8, 2013 : Scottsdale, AZ "Forecast 2013", Sponsored by ASA - the Arizona Society of Astrology. Call 602-952-1526 for further more information, or go to www.AzAstrologers.org.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM - 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM - 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

             June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders: high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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