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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 11 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

The E-Book version is also out, and it is now out in Amazon Kindle too. Click on this link, or search "Forecast 2013".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

 

The Market Week in Review :

Although many world indices made new yearly highs, it was a relatively quiet week. The range in the Dow Jones Industrial Averages, for instance, was only 170 points. The week before, the range was only 159 points. You have to go back to the week of September 21, 2012, to find the prior week in which the range on the DJIA was less than 200 points. This type of "coiling pattern" suggests something big is on the verge of occurring. You may remember September 21 was the high of the year in the NASDAQ Composite. It proceeded to fall over 400 points from that high to the low of November 16. The S&P had topped out the week before, while the DJIA made a slightly higher high October 5, unconfirmed by the other indices. All indices then collapsed over 10% the following 7 weeks. Other world markets fell even more sharply.

What lessons do we learn from this ? When equity markets make new highs accompanied by narrow price ranges, watch out. Be especially attentive when this happens late in their primary cycles, as is the case now. Be even more attentive when new highs in one market are not accompanied by new highs in other related markets. And as always, be most attentive when these types of intermarket bearish divergence signals happen during geocosmic critical reversal periods. These are identified as time bands in which there are an unusually large number of consecutive geocosmic signatures unfolding in a short amount of time - one right after the other, with no more than 6 calendar days between them. We are in the midst of one of those through March 6.

Stocks are not the only financial market undergoing relatively narrow weekly price ranges. Gold and Silver are too. The range in Silver last week, for instance, was only 82 cents. Usually over the past several years, it has been at least twice that much. You would have to go back about three months to last observe this small of a weekly range.

In lieu of the small ranges in stocks and precious metals, we do note however that the currencies are moving sharply. That is where the action has been. That is probably where the action will continue over the next couple of weeks. As late as we are in the stock and precious metals markets, we are even later in the cycle of currencies. I would expect both stocks and metals to mimic the currency activity shortly, as they will soon be in comparable stage of their cycles (last phase) very shortly. In terms of fundamentals, this makes sense, because in just a couple of weeks, the USA budget sequester will take place. That's when a slew of government programs will see their spending slashed. And isn't it interesting that this will come due when Mercury is retrograde (February 23-March 17) ?.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

With the weekly range in stock indices and precious metals being so small, our best trades continue to be in the currencies. The MMA Weekly Report on the Dollar-Yen advised aggressive traders : "You can probe the short side again if prices enter weekly resistance with a stop-loss on a close above there". Weekly resistance was 93.68-94.05. The high of the week was 94.06 and the close was 92.66. Position traders, however, remain long from way back in the 70's.

Our short position on the March Euro contract of Friday, February 1 continues to be a stellar trade. That was the day in which both position and aggressive traders were advised to "… sell short if prices rally to 1.3708-1.3778 with a stop-loss on a close above this range". The high in the March Euro that day was 1.3715 and the close last week was 1.3366. That high was the highest price in the Euro since November 2011 (more than a year ago)

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

U.S. stock indices posted new multi-year highs on Friday, February 8. This fits with last week's column, which stated, "However, it is later in the week that may be of most importance to equity traders. On Thursday, February 7, Venus will trine Jupiter. This will be followed by a square between Mars and Jupiter on February 10. In a sense, we will have Mars making a translation to a wide Jupiter-Neptune square. This is a dynamic that Alan Greenspan would relate as 'irrational exuberance'. It is possible that equities continue their parabolic rise into then, for whenever Jupiter is so active, trends of financial markets can either soar way above expectations and resistance, or fall way below support. It's either wild but misplaced exuberance, or hysteria and panic. Right now, it looks more like the former… On top of all that, there will be a new moon in Aquarius on February 10. Then comes a slew of Saturn signatures, February 11-18. The hopes of Jupiter get dashed by the realities of Saturn".

There is no need to change that outlook for this week.

Longer Term Thoughts on the Remarkable Uranus-Pluto Square :

Our long-term thoughts of last week focused on the transits of Mars and Neptune affecting the Moon and Neptune in the natal chart of President Barack Obama. So how was Mr. Obama's week? And how close was it to the description of these transits given ?.

Keep in mind that Mars can represents assertion, aggression, and war, whereas Neptune can represent ideals, the urge for peace, as well as disillusionment and misunderstandings of intent as well as allegations of deception and hypocrisy. When in a hard aspect to one's natal Moon and Pluto, it can manifest as an effort wherein one's motives are intentionally misinterpreted in order to damage one's reputation. Alternatively, it can be a case where one the native him or herself is the instigator of such efforts against others. Here are the titles of a couple of articles published in the Wall Street Journal last week :

"U.S., S&P Settle in for a Bitter Combat", U.S. to Sue S&P Over Ratings", "Payback for a Downgrade ?" In these articles, the U.S. Department of Justice has initiated a lawsuit seeking $5B in damages against the S&P rating agency for committing … "fraud when it issued high credit ratings on mortgage-related securities prior to the financial crisis of 2008". Well, OK. But why S&P, and not Moody's and Fitch's and other ratings' agencies, which also issued high ratings for the same securities based on their opinions of these securities at the time ? Perhaps it was because S&P - and not the other credit agencies - actually downgraded the USA credit worthiness in August 2011, a move that perhaps "peeved" the White House. Whenever Pluto (or Scorpio or the 8 th house) is involved, it can coincide with "Payback Time". This was the conclusion of the Wall Street editors on February 6, and once again casts Mr. Obama as a person intent on punishing his enemies, rather than being "… intent on elevating the common good".

As if that was not enough, this was followed by these headlines : "The Real Problem with Obama's Drone Memo", and "King of Drones". Here the White House is accused of another power grab. The memo seeks to grant Mr. Obama the power to identify and "…kill al Qaeda operatives, including U.S. citizens". Unlike torture, which the White House frowns upon as inhumane and barbaric, this memo makes it seems better to just kill a U.S. citizen who is perceived as being cozy with al Qaeda (or some organization perceived to be related to al Qaeda), rather than allowing these citizens "due process of law". In this editorial, the Wall Street Journal states, " Hypocrisy aside, the justice department makes an adequate legal case… (but it is) being denounced on the anti-terror left". But the conflict now comes up : is Obama a far left radical peacenik as many claim, or is he truly seeking such colossal powers over the life and death of some U.S. citizens that he might perceive as a threat to the security of this country ?. In addition, how do Americans feel about their leaders being associated with "killing" anyone ?. This is yet another case of "Payback time" for one's enemies.

This in turn was followed by the article "Obama Blocked Rebel Arms - White House Opposed Pentagon, CIA, State (Hillary Clinton) Plan to Ship Weapons to Syrian Resistance". Now Obama has the conflict of appointing his dream team for national security, but then choosing to go against their advice on a very sensitive military matter along the lines of which he frequently states is one of his greatest values : the right of people to seek freedom from oppression and his commitment to help these people achieve it. Another embarrassment (Neptune).

At the end of the week, there was yet another story : "Hyatt Board Member Eyed for Commerce". Penny Pritzker of Hyatt Corporation was a major fundraiser in the emergence of Barack Obama's political career. And now she is in line for a top cabinet post. Here we have another case of "Payback Time", but in this case, it is in the form of a reward for help given by one's friends. It brings back memories of Harriet Miers, a friend of George W. Bush, who was nominated (by Bush) for a vacant position on the Supreme Court. She never made it because her friendship with the president was not perceived as a solid qualification for such an appointment.

In short, it was not a good week for the president. It was a classic example of what can happen when transiting Mars is conjunct Neptune, and both form a T-square to one's natal Moon-Pluto square. It is a challenging time. It is a time when your reputation may be on the line and others speculate on nefarious, underlying motives for your actions. Likewise, you may question the motives behind the actions of others who appear to be against you.

Fortunately, for Mr. Obama, Mars leaves this combination by the middle of next week. However, Neptune will remain in orb of this same combination for the next two years. This is not the time for the president to come across as "No More Mr. Nice Guy", as the White House proclaimed recently. That is exactly the wrong solution for dealing with a hard Neptune transit. To the contrary, the more successful path would be a return to his original and positive vision for the USA in which he was "… intent on elevating the common good". That is more in line with an expression of Neptune that in turn would elevate the president to the highest level possible under this transit.

We will continue to track this aspect to Mr. Obama's chart in future columns. Why ? Because his success in navigating through this period could translate as a confidence booster to financial markets and other economic matters currently besieging the world.

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             MMTA FIRST WORKSHOP ON "CYCLES AND CHART PATTERNS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS", APRIL 6-8, 2013. MMTA will conduct its first workshop course on "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets", April 6-8, 2013. This is the first course of the new Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), and is open to non-MMTA students via this webinar. This course will outline the various cycles (long-, intermediate-, and short-term) in financial markets, and the various phases and patterns that unfold in each. Chart patterns that correlate with cyclical troughs and crests will be shown and discussed in detail. Attendees will then be instructed on trading and investment strategies for each type of cycle, as well as their phases. The live webcast will take place from 10 :00 AM - 6 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday (with snack and lunch breaks), as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 4 :00 PM. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course. For this course, you will need a computer with speakers. The cost for this course is $3000.00. For further information, please go to www.merrimanmta.com, or contact Maureen Hogan.

             Forecast 2013 Book : is out. And the E-Book will be out early next week (our apologies for the delay, but it is coming). In retrospect, this year's book was the most enjoyable to write in a long time. It was very pleasing to hear our editors in both the USA and abroad comment that it was also their most enjoyable read of all the ones they have edited. I think that may be due to the fact that I gave a wealth of advice on "what to do" now - a well-thought out investment plan for 2013 based on the implications of cycles and geocosmic studies as they apply to 2013. The book may still be pre-ordered at $55.00, plus postage prior to December 15. It will also be available in an e-book format at these same prices, and with no postage costs. The book is 160 pages, and as always, a limited number will be printed, based on pre-publications sales. So order now, save big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out!!! Once they sell out, however, you can still buy the electronic book version.

To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.
By the way, 2013 should be very interesting as there will be a super-rare configuration in effect by the summer. We are doing our research on the frequency of this pattern now, along with its historical corresponding themes.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.
The DVD of the MMTA pre-training workshop on "How to Read an Ephemeris" is now out! The cost of the 8-set, 10+ hour DVD packet, is $395.00 plus postage, and will include the workbook. If you are a trader, analyst, or student interested in enhancing your skills in market timing, or if you are considering applying for admittance to the MMA Market Timing Academy (MMTA), then this DVD is highly recommended.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             March 8, 2013 : Scottsdale, AZ "Forecast 2013", Sponsored by ASA - the Arizona Society of Astrology. Call 602-952-1526 for further more information, or go to www.AzAstrologers.org. You may also email ASA program director Arlene Hougland at maykawish@cox.net.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10 :00 AM - 5 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 1 :00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

             June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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