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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 18 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

The E-Book version is also out, and it is now out in Amazon Kindle too. Click on this link, or search "Forecast 2013".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Note : Monday is President's Day in the USA. Financial markets will be closed there.

The Market Week in Review :

The Uranus-Pluto square continues to manifest in explosive and unexpected ways, both in precious metals and in human lives.

Over 1000 people were injured when a meteor shower struck central Russia on Friday.

Over 4000 people suffered on the Carnival Cruise ship after an engine room fire rendered the ship without electrical power for the next four days, causing toilets to overflow the "…stinking, crippled ship", until it could be escorted into the port at Mobile, Alabama.

This is all consistent with the mundane astrological principles of Uranus square Pluto, which remains in effect through March 2015. It is a dangerous signature, one that can threaten the lives of many people, due to unexpected natural or out-of-control, man-induced, disasters. The thing with this aspect is that you cannot really do anything to prevent or avoid its sudden eruption. All you can do is control your response and reactions when it does strike.

In terms of financial markets, it can also coincide with bizarre and unexpected behavior. For instance, as we loom around the world and observe its various equity markets, we notice the following occurrences last week: new multi-year highs in the Zurich SMI and London's FTSE indices, but new lows for the year in the Netherlands AEX and a test of the lows so far this year in the German DAX; new multi-year highs in the NASDAQ Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average, but new lows for 2013 in Brazil's Bovespa index; new multi-month highs for the Australia All Ords and China's Shanghai Indices, but new lows for the year 2013 in India's NIFTY and Hong Kong's Hang Seng indices. This is a remarkable case of intermarket divergence within each region of the world. But is it bullish or bearish divergence ?.

Yett the most pronounced activity last week occurred in precious metals. On Friday, February 15, Gold fell below 1600 for the first time since August 2012. Silver dropped below $30.00/ounce. Although this decline was fast and furious and shocked many, it was right in line with our forecasts in terms of both time and price.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

There were many "best trades last week". Some involved taking some huge profits on our short positions in both Gold and Silver that had been established in several places since the yearly high of October 5, 2012. All shorts were initiated above 1680, and several above 1700. Other "best trades" involved initiating new positions in stock indices, currencies, and soybeans. Perhaps the best trade last week involved the Euro currency again, which continued to fall after posting a multi-month high on February 1. Our weekly report for Euro last week stated, "Position traders may look to sell short at 1.3450 or higher (preferably in weekly resistance of 1.3516-1.3563), with a stop-loss on a close above 1.3711 or 1.3575, depending on your risk allowance" On Wednesday, February 12, the Euro currency hit 1.3520. By Friday, it was testing 1.3300. The daily report was already short from the high of February 1, above 1.3700, as disclosed in this column two weeks ago.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

We continue to troll through the middle of a long time band of consecutive geocosmic signatures, stretching from January 25 through March 6. Perhaps the most important of these signatures is Saturn turning retrograde on Monday, February 18. This will be followed by the Sun conjunct Neptune on February 21. Both are Level 1 geocosmic signatures (strongest and most reliable indicators of market reversals) as described in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles".

Saturn retrograde is especially important, and will highlight the themes of Saturn for the next few days. Those themes involve delays, demand for accountability, restrictions, unusually cold weather, and the fear or sense of loss. In financial markets, we have a rule : any market that is declining into a major Saturn signature is a candidate for buying. Several markets have been declining into this period. Be alert. Do your homework and research, and see which of those markets have the best looking technical studies to support a rally at this time. And then muster up the courage to act upon your analysis, with proper risk management parameters in place (at least have a mental stop and the discipline to act if it is hit).

Longer Term Thoughts :

"The common elements that link our least successful leaders (are)… broken promises and gloomy temperaments (that) lead inevitably to an alienated public… All chief executives unmistakably identified as failures displayed a self-destructive tendency to violate the core promises of their campaigns". Michael Medved, "Learning From White House Failure", USA Today, February 11, 2013.

So, we are back to Neptune and the fact that transiting (current) Neptune is the dominant geocosmic factor in the birth chart of USA President Barack Obama for the next two years. It will be back in play this week as the transiting Sun will form a conjunction with Neptune on February 20, setting of an important geocosmic configuration in the President's chart.

As a review, transiting Neptune will traverse the 3-6° sector of the sign of Pisces from now (mid-February 2013) through February 2015. Obama's natal Moon is 3° Gemini and his natal Pluto is 6° Virgo. Thus, transiting Neptune will form a T-square to his Moon-Pluto square, which is known as a "hard aspect configuration". It doesn't mean that his life suddenly falls apart (although it could manifest that way). But it does mean that the dynamics of Neptune will be front and center in his life. It also means that the temptation to act upon the more negative themes of Neptune will be stronger than usual, and if not controlled through disciplined thinking and well thought out reactions, consequences will result that are consistent with the principles of Neptune.

What are those negative themes, actions, and consequences associated with Neptune that the president will likely need to be aware of in order to make it through this period successfully ?. Well, the major psychological issue underlying Neptune is "trust versus mistrust". And trust is something that is earned, related to one's propensity to 1) tell the truth and 2) not mislead others by either misinformation, or the withholding of critical information needed by others to make an intelligent decision (or vote). In other words, one must act with complete integrity, transparency, and honesty in all of his/her dealings during this period, and refrain from harboring underlying motives or plans. The consequences for violating this universal law of truth include scandal, humiliation, embarrassment, and a complete lack of trust and faith in the individual by others. The consequences of handling these matters truthfully and honestly are instead much more favorable : one ascends to a well-respected and even "loved" level in the eyes of the world. But…since this is a "hard aspect configuration", getting to there is challenging.

Shorter-term, we find transiting Saturn is also important as a transit right now to the chart of the USA President. His natal Sun is located at 12° Leo and his natal Neptune is posited at 8° Scorpio. This is a square aspect, another "hard" aspect. Transiting Saturn turns retrograde this week - it is stationary - at 11° Scorpio. It is thus touching off this Sun-Neptune square, even as the Sun and Neptune are square to one another by transit this week too.

Whenever Saturn is involved in such a critical natal pattern, one gets exactly what one has earned, based on his level of accountability and responsibility. There is no magic. Everything is a result of hard work and effort (if it is to be positive), or lack of the same (if it is to be negative). By negative, I mean there is a sense of "not enough" of something one wants, but is unwilling to work hard to attain. The negative consequences of transiting Saturn have to do with either demanding too much and not getting what you want, or others demanding too much of you and thus you feel unappreciated and over-criticized. Without the support you wish, you may feel like quitting. This aspect from transiting Saturn to Obama's natal chart has been in effect since mid-December. You may remember the turmoil surrounding the debt ceiling limit in late December. But now that Saturn turns retrograde on Monday, February 18, it will be at its strongest influence through April, and to a large extent, even into late October.

Why is this important to financial markets ? Because the spending cuts of the President's sequester arrangement are set to go into effect March 1. That's a lot of money to be taken out of the economy. The debt-ceiling crisis has only been relieved for a couple of months. This too will come up again within this time frame and could coincide with disruptions to the economy. The President is unlikely to get what he wants, which means actions on these fronts may be delayed and thus cause unwelcomed interruptions to the current pace of the economy, in both the USA and the world. He - and not the Congress this time - may the subject of greater criticism for his actions and he may feel a greater lack of support than he expected.

How will he react ? How will financial markets react to his reactions ? How will this affect the level of trust between Mr. Obama and the American people ? These will be the great questions of the next two months. But for us as Mundane and Financial Astrologers, it is all about the nature of transiting Saturn and Neptune, a time when ideals clash with reality, when flowery words (spin and hype) clash with the actuality and objectivity of numbers, when hopes and dreams are met with skepticism and demands for accountability and transparency. Do you really know, or do you just have faith and/or a belief without substance ? These extremes of the spectrum need to be connected in order to make progress at this time. It can be done, but it won't be easy or natural. It will require an honest effort and conscious choice to do so.

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             MMTA FIRST WORKSHOP ON "CYCLES AND CHART PATTERNS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS", APRIL 6-8, 2013. MMTA will conduct its first workshop course on "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets", April 6-8, 2013. This is the first course of the new Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), and is open to non-MMTA students via this webinar. This course will outline the various cycles (long-, intermediate-, and short-term) in financial markets, and the various phases and patterns that unfold in each. Chart patterns that correlate with cyclical troughs and crests will be shown and discussed in detail. Attendees will then be instructed on trading and investment strategies for each type of cycle, as well as their phases. The live webcast will take place from 10 :00 AM - 6 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday (with snack and lunch breaks), as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 4 :00 PM. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course. For this course, you will need a computer with speakers. The cost for this course is $3000.00. For further information, please go to www.merrimanmta.com, or contact Maureen Hogan.

             Forecast 2013 Book : is out. And the E-Book will be out early next week (our apologies for the delay, but it is coming). In retrospect, this year's book was the most enjoyable to write in a long time. It was very pleasing to hear our editors in both the USA and abroad comment that it was also their most enjoyable read of all the ones they have edited. I think that may be due to the fact that I gave a wealth of advice on "what to do" now - a well-thought out investment plan for 2013 based on the implications of cycles and geocosmic studies as they apply to 2013. The book may still be pre-ordered at $55.00, plus postage prior to December 15. It will also be available in an e-book format at these same prices, and with no postage costs. The book is 160 pages, and as always, a limited number will be printed, based on pre-publications sales. So order now, save big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out!!! Once they sell out, however, you can still buy the electronic book version.

To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.
By the way, 2013 should be very interesting as there will be a super-rare configuration in effect by the summer. We are doing our research on the frequency of this pattern now, along with its historical corresponding themes.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.
The DVD of the MMTA pre-training workshop on "How to Read an Ephemeris" is now out! The cost of the 8-set, 10+ hour DVD packet, is $395.00 plus postage, and will include the workbook. If you are a trader, analyst, or student interested in enhancing your skills in market timing, or if you are considering applying for admittance to the MMA Market Timing Academy (MMTA), then this DVD is highly recommended.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             March 8, 2013 : Scottsdale, AZ "Forecast 2013", Sponsored by ASA - the Arizona Society of Astrology. Call 602-952-1526 for further more information, or go to www.AzAstrologers.org. You may also email ASA program director Arlene Hougland at maykawish@cox.net.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10 :00 AM - 5 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 1 :00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

             June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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