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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
March 4 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : "Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it".

The E-Book version is also out, and it is now out in Amazon Kindle too. Click on this link, or search "Forecast 2013".

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

The Trickster was on a roll last week!

Mercury retrograde - you have got to love it. He never fails to surprise, disappoint, excite, challenge, enlighten, or veer from the path of expectancy. If something is certain under his reign, you can bet it will not happen. Or even if it does happen, you can be almost certain that it won't stay that way for long. In fact, the only certainty you can rely upon under Mercury retrograde is that there will be more than the usual amount of uncertainty, misunderstanding, and the need to undo or redo that which has been done or was contemplated of being completed. So the enlightenment he brings to the party is simple : don't expect anything to go as planned, but rather be flexible and open to other realities and even other universes in which different rules exist than you could ever imagine. In other words, use your imagination, but don't get stuck on any "probable" outcome.

For instance, last week the Dow Jones Industrial Average did not post a new all-time high despite the "watch" that was on for it to happen by major financial networks. The sequester problem did not get resolved, and yet the world did not end nor did the stock market crash, despite that extreme warnings that it would lead to unendurable pain by government leaders.

In fact, the U.S. stock market, via the Dow Jones Industrial Average, soared to a new 5-year high last week, hitting 14,149 on Thursday, February 28, less than 50 points off its all-time high of 14,198 recorded on October 11, 2007. The S&P and NASDAQ futures, on the other hand, could exceed their highs of the prior week, achieved on February 20. So many analysts and commentators were anticipating the new record, but instead ended the week disappointed. Of course, they will call for it again this coming week, and they might be right. But then again, maybe they won't, for Mercury retrograde has this bizarre tendency to either fail to deliver what is expected, or it does deliver, but then follows with a stunning reversal.

Last week started out scary. Both the president's message that a whole lot of economic pain would be inflicted on a whole lot of society if the sequester he initiated actually took effect, combined with the DJIA's loss of over 200 points on Monday, February 25, had everyone… well, scared.

But then Benevolent Ben came to the rescue, as he always does in situations like this (he has a Moon in Pisces - the rescuer). If there is any doubt that the bull market in U.S. and even world stock indices since the bottom in March 2009 is anything other than a Bernanke bull market, those doubts were totally erased on the basis of his magical testimony of Tuesday-Wednesday, February 26-27. The market completely reversed its huge losses on Monday and soared over 300 points higher.  Not even the sequester scare tactics could bring it back down.

Bernanke's testimony not only rescued the ailing stock market, but they also convinced investors that Gold and Silver would not perform as well as equities - at least for now. Gold had risen $65.00 in just four trading days prior to his testimony. By Friday, $55.00 of those gains had been given back. Silver's good fortune was even shorter-lived, as prices fell 30 cents/ounce below the low of last week. However, there may be a silver lining here ; Silver and Gold did not both take out last week's low, and thus we may have a case of intermarket bullish divergence unfolding. If they reverse right back up again next week, it will once again demonstrate the fickle nature of Mercury the Trickster : just don't get attached to anything when he is active. His modus operandi when first turning retrograde is usually to create volatility and uncertainty. He was at it again in full force last week.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

There were again many "best trades last week". MMA weekly stock market subscribers were advised in the NASDAQ, "Aggressive traders are still short…. Take profits on 1/3 of these shorts now, and the rest at 2700 +/- 10 if offered, and go long there with a stop-loss on a close below 2690". That resulted in a nice profit both ways (closed on the shorts, and in the money on the open longs) as the low last week was 2689 and it closed at 2748.75. MMA weekly subscribers were also advised to cover several positions in other stock indices, currencies, crude oil, treasuries, and soybeans for excellent profits. New trades were initiated in SLV (Silver's ETF) that look promising too.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The main geocosmic factor to watch this week is the center of the Mercury retrograde time band, which takes place on Wednesday, March 6. Oftentimes a financial market will reverse its primary trend if it didn't do so within a day or two of the retrograde date. This may be especially pertinent to the European currencies.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"House Republicans are offering to give Mr. Obama even more flexibility, yet the President won't take yes for an answer. Mull that one over : the president wants to deny himself and his executive branch the authority to do less harm. Don't stop me before I kill myself again". - Wall Street Journal, "Obamageddon", March 1, 2013, editorializing on the bill to give Obama authority to decide how to administer the sequester cuts rather than just chop off funding for all programs, even those he declares are critical if hit.

It was a wild and crazy Mercury retrograde week, and it started to reveal some the Neptunian difficulties for President Barack Obama as discussed in our recent columns. You may remember our concerns that he might experience a reversal of fortune now regarding his image and credibility, lasting February 2013 through March 2015. So what happened last week ?.

First of all, in a very bizarre twist of words and actions, Tuesday's Wall Street Journal reported, "He nudged Congress again on Monday at a session with the nation's governors, saying that Washington 'has to get past its obsession with focusing on the next election instead of the next generation.'" You may have to pardon Republicans if they feel like an 'identity theft' victim, for that has been their exact message to the White House regarding fiscal policy over the past four years.

Then came the story about respected journalist Bob Woodward, who broke the Watergate Burglary matter some 30 years ago that led to President Nixon's resignation. According to Friday's Wall Street Journal (and a slew of TV talk shows late last week). "Mr. Woodward's sin was to report that the sequester was Mr. Obama's idea in 2011 and that the terms did not then include a tax increase". Woodward, you see, wrote the book titled "The Price of Politics" where his research resulted in the  most in-depth reporting of what went wrong with the debt crisis talks in the summer of 2011 that led to the USA credit rating being downgraded, and also led to the idea of the sequester now underway. For this, Mr. Woodward received a tense phone call from White House National Economic Council director Gene Sperling, who told Woodward that he would "regret his words". Or so the blogs reported it as threat, as they went viral. Suddenly the White House crew starts to look like thugs. Yet, consistent with the inconsistency of Mercury retrograde, what Sperling actually said was, "I know you may not believe this, but as a friend, I think you will regret staking out that claim". Not so harsh after all. However, the damage to the president's image was done as other reporters supposedly came out and reported personal incidents of a similar nature to their efforts to ask tough questions of the White House on other matters in the past.

Nevertheless, even though it was a tough week for the President again and his image took another hard knock, there will be another opportunity shortly for him and his team to score a huge victory in public opinion. As described at length in the Forecast 2013 book, the grand trine of Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune in mid-July, 2013 will present a rare opportunity to close the deal on a Grand Bargain that everyone wants. Because Pluto is also involved in what will become a Kite pattern at the same time, this will involve the possibility of a major tax reform. If it succeeds, the USA could be able to reverse this debilitating debt problem accrued over the past decade.That's not all. As reported before, I think the USA tax revenues coming in this spring will be at a record level. That too will help move down the current debt trajectory.

The sequestration may have started last week, but it is not the frightening disaster politicians have made it out to be. Come on, it is only 2.4% of the annual spending, which has already been over $1 trillion above revenues for the past four years. This is what happens when you don't have a budget to go by. To the contrary, I believe the failure to resolve the sequester issue last week will be a psychological stimulus to now form a grand bargain that can truly revamp this hideous deficit problem that has plagued Washington for far too long. This has made everyone the world over so exhausted and weary with one fiscal crisis after another. They will now have a chance to redeem themselves and show real leadership. Let's hope they will  come to an agreement, the "Grand Bargain", by this summer when the stars are in almost perfect alignment for such a historic decision - if they truly want to do it. To quote the shared mantra of both Republicans and Obama, now: "Washington has to get past its obsession with focusing on the next election instead of the next generation". Words do matter, and so do numbers. Politicians : your time is coming. Please step up to the plate and do the right thing for the next generation, for the people you represent who voted you into office, and for your own legacy.

I look forward to seeing many of you at my talk on Forecasts 2013 on Friday, March 8, in Phoenix, AZ. It should be an awesome time. It is the only Forecast 2013 speech I will be giving in the USA this year. For more information, see "Events" below.  

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             The MMA Cycles Report, with its special update on the labeling and projection of Gold's longer-term cycles, went out last week. If you are interested in this special Gold report, you might want to consider subscribing to the MMA Cycles Report (2-issue trials are possible for only $50.00, or 4-month or 1-year subscriptions). The MMA Cycles Report covers stock indices, precious metals, treasuries, currencies, crude oil, and soybeans, plus critical reversal dates. Go to our special page for information. If you subscribe to this report (or MMA Japan or MMA Europe Cycles reports) and did not get the issued sent out last week, call us at once at 1-248-626-3034.

             MMTA FIRST WORKSHOP ON "CYCLES AND CHART PATTERNS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS", APRIL 6-8, 2013. MMTA will conduct its first workshop course on "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets", April 6-8, 2013. This is the first course of the new Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), and is open to non-MMTA students via this webinar. This course will outline the various cycles (long-, intermediate-, and short-term) in financial markets, and the various phases and patterns that unfold in each. Chart patterns that correlate with cyclical troughs and crests will be shown and discussed in detail. Attendees will then be instructed on trading and investment strategies for each type of cycle, as well as their phases. The live webcast will take place from 10 :00 AM - 6 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday (with snack and lunch breaks), as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 4 :00 PM. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course. For this course, you will need a computer with speakers. The cost for this course is $3000.00. For further information, please go to www.merrimanmta.com, or contact Maureen Hogan.

             Forecast 2013 Book : is out. And the E-Book will be out early next week (our apologies for the delay, but it is coming). In retrospect, this year's book was the most enjoyable to write in a long time. It was very pleasing to hear our editors in both the USA and abroad comment that it was also their most enjoyable read of all the ones they have edited. I think that may be due to the fact that I gave a wealth of advice on "what to do" now - a well-thought out investment plan for 2013 based on the implications of cycles and geocosmic studies as they apply to 2013. The book may still be pre-ordered at $55.00, plus postage prior to December 15. It will also be available in an e-book format at these same prices, and with no postage costs. The book is 160 pages, and as always, a limited number will be printed, based on pre-publications sales. So order now, save big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out!!! Once they sell out, however, you can still buy the electronic book version.

To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a "Scorecard" of this year's forecasts.
By the way, 2013 should be very interesting as there will be a super-rare configuration in effect by the summer. We are doing our research on the frequency of this pattern now, along with its historical corresponding themes.

             The monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles". We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "Market Timing Academy" (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing", September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.
The DVD of the MMTA pre-training workshop on "How to Read an Ephemeris" is now out! The cost of the 8-set, 10+ hour DVD packet, is $395.00 plus postage, and will include the workbook. If you are a trader, analyst, or student interested in enhancing your skills in market timing, or if you are considering applying for admittance to the MMA Market Timing Academy (MMTA), then this DVD is highly recommended.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :"I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications". - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             March 8, 2013 : Scottsdale, AZ "Forecast 2013", Sponsored by ASA - the Arizona Society of Astrology. Call 602-952-1526 for further more information, or go to www.AzAstrologers.org. You may also email ASA program director Arlene Hougland at maykawish@cox.net.

             April 6-8, 2013 : MMTA Course 1 : "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10 :00 AM - 5 :00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10 :00 AM - 1 :00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

             June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing" has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the"Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for…many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifies"Big Range Days" - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is that"extra edge". And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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